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IndiaPulse

IDFC First Bank Limited (IDFCFIRSTB)

Mid Cap

Financial Services stocks · Mid cap · NSE

IDFC First Bank is a private sector bank in India, transitioning from a high-yield, high-credit-cost NBFC model to a diversified bank offering prime loans while retaining specialized lending capabilities. It is actively building its deposit franchise, digital capabilities, and expanding its product lines across retail, rural, MSME, and corporate segments.

₹86.71
-0.79 · -0.90%
Quote04 Sept, 03:59 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags03 May 2026
Coverage11/14 · 79%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Financial Services P/E 18.5 (n=240)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, while price trend supports entry. This looks more like momentum/speculation than a clean fundamental investment setup.

Suggested next step
Momentum only
Trend is strong but fundamentals do not support a clean investment thesis.
Weak U-Score but strong trend: momentum may be ahead of fundamentals.
U-Score
OVERVALUED
23

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
61

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Bullish
78

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
consistent
82

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Good · 65/100

Rev +15% YoY · PAT +153% YoY · operating leverage

Filed 25 Jul 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹11,051 Cr+14.6%+4.7%
EBITDANDFNDFNDF
Operating marginNDFNDFNDF
PAT₹1,148 Cr+153.4%+246.8%
PAT margin10.4%+569 bps+725 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-06-14T07:53:49.784Z
Management commentary snapshot

Q4 FY26 PAT reported at Rs. 319 crores, significantly impacted by a Rs. 480 crores post-tax fraud incident and Rs. 118 crores post-tax treasury loss. Normalized PAT, excluding these and a tax refund, was Rs. 746 crores, up 145% YoY. Loan growth was healthy at 20% YoY, while deposits grew 16.8% YoY but were flat QoQ. Asset quality improved with GNPA at 1.61% and NNPA at 0.48%.

The bank demonstrated strong underlying operational performance in Q4 FY26, with robust loan growth and improving asset quality. However, the significant one-off fraud incident and flat sequential deposit growth raise concerns about short-term stability and the deposit franchise's resilience. Management is confident of a strong recovery in deposit growth and continued operational improvement, but the path to sustained higher ROA remains under scrutiny.

Growth engines

Diversified Lending Machine

Positive

The bank's lending machine operates across 25 lines of businesses, with a book yield of 13%+ and credit costs less than 2%, providing a unique risk-adjusted yield.

MFI Book Recovery

Positive

MFI book decline has been arrested, with disbursements up 27% QoQ. Management expects the MFI book to grow by 15-20% next year.

Credit Card Business

Positive

Credit cards have crossed 4.5 million, and the book has grown strongly at about 22% on a Y-o-Y basis.

Corporate Banking Growth

Positive

After de-growing the book from ~Rs. 68,000 crores to ~Rs. 36,000 crores to clean out project financing, the corporate book is now on a growth path with no meaningful credit loss.

Capacity and execution

Branch Expansion

Positive

The bank added about 80 branches in Q4 FY26.

Tailwinds

Strong Customer Goodwill

Positive

Despite the fraud incident, the bank received significant customer support, with new account openings in March remaining strong, equal to previous months.

Improving Operating Leverage

Positive

Management expects operating leverage to improve into the next year, with the top line growing faster than opex, contributing positively to ROA.

MFI CGFMU Cover

Positive

89% of the MFI book is covered through CGFMU, which is expected to provide some benefit to credit cost in the next year.

Headwinds

One-off Fraud Incident

Negative

A fraud incident in Q4 resulted in claims of Rs. 646 crores principal, with a post-tax impact of Rs. 480 crores on PAT.

Treasury Loss

Negative

The bank reported a trading loss of Rs. 159 crores (pre-tax) in Q4 due to widening G-Sec yields.

Tight Liquidity & Geopolitical Crisis

Negative

Tight liquidity, advanced tax outflows, and the West Asia crisis impacted deposit flows during Q4, leading to modest 1% QoQ growth.

Risk radar

Deposit Growth Stability

Neutral

Deposit growth was flat QoQ in Q4 due to rate reductions, a fraud incident, and tight liquidity, raising questions about sustained growth momentum.

Geopolitical Escalation

Neutral

The ongoing West Asia crisis is being monitored for potential escalation that could lead to material supply disruptions, impacting certain sectors.

Future Capital Requirement

Neutral

Management anticipates needing more capital by the end of the next year or starting the year after to support its growth trajectory.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is crucial for assessing overall growth trends in loans and deposits, which are typically seasonal. QoQ comparison is vital for evaluating sequential momentum in asset quality metrics, NIM, and the immediate impact of one-off events like the fraud incident and MFI recovery.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Loans and Advances Growth

Positive

Loans and advances, including credit substitutes, grew by 20% on a Y-o-Y basis to Rs. 2.9 lakh crores.

MFI Loan Disbursements Growth

Positive

MFI loan disbursements were higher by almost 27% on a sequential basis.

Net Interest Margin (NIM)

Stable

Q4 NIM was 5.93% on an AUM basis. Full year FY26 NIM was 5.75%. Management expects NIM to be stable around 5.75% for the next year.

Cost of Funds

Positive

Cost of funds came down to 6% in Q4, a reduction of over 50 basis points in the last year.

Management forward view

Normalized Profitability

Positive

Management claims normalized Q4 PAT was Rs. 746 crores (excluding one-offs), translating to a 145% YoY increase.

Deposit Growth Outlook

Positive

Management expects strong traction in deposit growth in Q1 FY27, aiming for a 'normal' 5% QoQ growth rate.

ROA Trajectory

Positive

Management estimates the lending business ROA at 1.5-1.6% of loans, with the liability side drag expected to reduce from 1% to 0% in the next few years.

Long-term Profitability

Positive

Management believes the bank will not stop at 1% ROA, as operating leverage will continue to improve for the next 4-5 years, leading to further PAT growth.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Deposit Growth (QoQ)Flat in Q4 FY26Management's target of 5% QoQ growth in Q1 FY27 and subsequent quarters.
Net Interest Margin (NIM)5.75% for FY26Stability around the 5.75% level in FY27, as guided by management.
Credit Cost2.13% for FY26Reduction to the guided range of 170-180 basis points for FY27.
Liability Side Drag (ROA impact)1% in FY26Continued reduction towards 0% over the next few years, as per management's plan.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

78Bullish

full bull SMA stack · SMA20 +3.1% / mo · MACD − · near 52W high

Stock trend: 78
Sector RS:

Technical chart

IDFCFIRSTBdaily · 1Y · AUTO+23.2%
Latest close ₹86.71 on 2026-09-04
Bar
-1.3%
RSI
58
MACD hist
-0.03
52W pos
93%
2026-09-04O ₹87.81H ₹87.98L ₹86.50C ₹86.71Vol 1.5Cr sh
₹56.55₹64.98₹73.42₹81.86₹90.2952H52L86.712026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Bullish setup

Trend is constructive — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 58.

  • Price > SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200 — full bullish stack.
  • SMA20 rising (~3.0% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 58 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • Within 3% of 52-week high — testing resistance.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

80
RS percentile
Stage 1 Base / Transition
1M return
+2.5%
3M return
+17.7%
6M return
+33.9%
1Y return
+21.2%
RS 1D
0
RS 20D
+8
Sector rank
#9
Industry rank
#10
Stage evidence
  • Price is 16.2% above the 30-week proxy without full trend alignment.
  • The 30-week proxy changed +0.3% over 20 sessions.
  • The moving-average structure does not confirm Stage 2 or Stage 4.
50-DMA
price above
200-DMA
price above
Sector
neutral
Industry
neutral
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 121.86-0.90%
92100108116124Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 26122
RS vs Nifty 500122

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 23 · OVERVALUED · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

23U-SCORE
Distress Watch

Fundamental score breakdown

OVERVALUED
Valuation0/30
Growth16/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet1/15
Cash Flow4/10
Piotroski
5/9 (+3)
Penalties
-1
Raw sum
23

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

23/100 · OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Growth contributes 16/25 to the score.
  • Cash flow contributes 4/10 to the score.
  • Balance sheet contributes 1/15 to the score.

Main drags

  • Altman Z is 1.8, in distress territory.
  • Penalty bucket subtracts 1 points.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -14.1%.
Sector valuation model

Bank valuation: P/B adjusted for ROE and asset quality

Banks are balance-sheet businesses, so book value quality matters more than simple earnings multiples.

Bank P/B
Primary lens
Price/book and ROE/ROA, not trailing PE alone.
Secondary checks
Capital adequacy, credit cost, NPA trend, deposit franchise.
Main risk check
Low P/B can be a trap if asset quality or credit cost is worsening.
PE
32.4
PB
1.5
EV/EBITDA
ROE
3.8%
ROCE
6.0%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.1
MoS
-14.1%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
23
Previous: 23
Verdict
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-14.1%
Previous: -14.1%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
28
28
23
23
23
23
23
23
23
23
23
23

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹58.86
-47.3% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
27.8
Growth-justified Value
₹76.04
-14.1% MoS
PEG
1.16

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
61Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 32nd percentile of the scored universe and 49th percentile within Financial Services. Main check: financial discipline is weak at 28/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: Altman Z is 1.77.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
125 docs text-extracted · 35 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
32nd percentile

overall median 67 · Financial Services: 49th pctile, median 62 · Mid: 17th pctile, median 76

Evidence depth
Financial-only

125 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
67
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
55
watch · leverage and solvency
Discipline
28
weak · capital discipline
Results
82
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • 6 years of positive FCF.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY PAT growth.

Trust risks

  • Altman Z is 1.77.
  • ROCE is low at 6%.
  • ROE is low at 3.8%.
  • Revenue CAGR is 21% but EPS CAGR is -13%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
32.40
P/B
1.54
EV/EBITDA
Market Cap
74759.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
3.76%
ROCE
5.98%
ROA
0.58%
Dividend Y
0.29%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
20.00%
EPS 5Y
28.00%
Revenue 3Y
21.00%
EPS 3Y
-13.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.12
Interest Coverage
Altman Z
1.77
Book Value
56.20

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
6/5
OCF
6817.00 Cr
EPS TTM
2.74

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
93%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Financial Services, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.