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Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL)

Mid Cap

Infra stocks · Mid cap · NSE

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL) is an infrastructure-focused company executing projects across rail infrastructure, metros, roads and highways, transmission, and port harbors. It primarily works for government entities and PSUs, focusing on project delivery and expanding business opportunities.

₹194.5
-4.95 · -2.48%
Market cap ₹40,554 Cr
IndicesNifty 500
Data qualityFresh enough for analysisQuote updated 19 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Details
Quote19 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Base fundamentals20 Oct 2026 · screener
Latest result16 Aug, 12:38 am IST
Score20 Oct, 05:15 am IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Infra P/E 15.4 (n=87)
Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

30Bearish

full bear SMA stack · SMA20 -5.2% / mo · MACD + · near 52W low · sector -2.7pp vs Nifty 500 (3M)

Stock trend: 26
Sector RS: 35
Sector 3M: -8.3% vs Nifty 500 -5.6%

FPI equity flow was positive in both fortnights, but the sector index is below its 100-session average. View sector evidence

Technical chart

RVNLD candles · FIT view-35.9%
Latest close ₹194.50 on 2026-10-19
Bar
-2.9%
RSI
42
MACD hist
0.65
52W pos
4%
Visible chart range
Candle interval
2026-10-19O ₹200.21H ₹200.95L ₹194.01C ₹194.50Vol 19.7L sh
₹180.67₹214.92₹249.18₹283.43₹317.6852L₹194.502026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-042026-062026-082026-092026-11
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal
Market context

Relative performance and chart statistics

Adjusted completed-session prices, rebased to 100

RVNLNifty InfraNifty 500
-20%-11%-3%+6%20 Jul1 Sept19 Oct19 Oct 2026RVNL -14.3%Nifty Infra -8.2%Nifty 500 -5.6%
RVNL
-14.3%
Nifty 500
-5.6%
Nifty Infra
-8.2%
Vs Nifty 500
-8.7 pp
Chart stats
19 Oct 2026
From 52W high
-51.5%
₹400.7
52W range position
4%
₹186.9 - ₹400.7
ATR (14)
3.0%
₹5.8
Volume vs 20D
0.41x
Latest completed session
Avg traded value
₹88.6 Cr
20-session average
20D price channel
₹186.9 - ₹214.3
30.4% annualized volatility
Research snapshot

What the evidence says now

Weak fundamentals, management evidence is still limited to a financial-only Trust Lite signal, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The evidence is not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
Legacy · OVERVALUED
14

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Latest result
Good
60

Revenue +10.5% · PAT +19.4% YoY

Technical
Bearish
30

Price trend and sector-relative-strength timing.

Valuation
Legacy model
-615.2%

Legacy margin-of-safety estimate; the revised evidence label remains in shadow validation.

Trust
Limited evidence
64

Financial-only signal; management claim evidence is not sufficient yet.

Financials

Fundamentals, quarterly history, margins, returns and balance-sheet evidence

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Good · 60/100

Rev +11% YoY · PAT +19% YoY · margin expansion · operating leverage

Filed 30 Jun 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹4,321 Cr+10.5%-35.5%
EBITDA₹185 Cr+249.1%-31.2%
Operating margin4.3%+290 bps+30 bps
PAT₹160 Cr+19.4%-12.1%
PAT margin3.7%+27 bps+98 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
45.10
P/B
4.12
EV/EBITDA
48.84
Market Cap
40554.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
9.02%
ROCE
10.80%
ROA
4.13%
Dividend Y
0.89%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
6.00%
EPS 5Y
-2.00%
Revenue 3Y
-1.63%
EPS 3Y
-13.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.62
Interest Coverage
2.23×
Altman Z
3.46
Book Value
47.10

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
—
FCF Positive Y
7/5
OCF
-1889.00 Cr
EPS TTM
4.31

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
72.84%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
3%

Financial History

Updated 20/10/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 20.4k+2.5% vs prev
022kMar 2017: 5,915Mar 2018: 7,597Mar 2019: 10.1kMar 2020: 14.5kMar 2021: 15.4kMar 2022: 19.4kMar 2023: 20.3kMar 2024: 21.9kMar 2025: 19.9kMar 2026: 20.4kFY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 871-31.8% vs prev
01551Mar 2017: 443Mar 2018: 570Mar 2019: 688Mar 2020: 757Mar 2021: 992Mar 2022: 1,110Mar 2023: 1,342Mar 2024: 1,551Mar 2025: 1,278Mar 2026: 871FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 11.3-34.1% vs prev
031.0Mar 2017: 30.1%Mar 2018: 31.0%Mar 2019: 29.8%Mar 2020: 24.9%Mar 2021: 27.9%Mar 2022: 26.2%Mar 2023: 26.0%Mar 2024: 23.4%Mar 2025: 17.1%Mar 2026: 11.3%FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Technicals

Trend interpretation, Stage 2, relative strength, volume and indicator evidence

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 42. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price < SMA20 < SMA50 < SMA200 — full bearish stack.
  • SMA20 falling (~5.5% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 42 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal, histogram expanding — bullish momentum building.
  • Within 5% of 52-week low — testing support.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

3
RS percentile
Stage 4 Downtrend
1M return
-9.2%
3M return
-14.3%
6M return
-36.7%
1Y return
-40.9%
RS 1D
0
RS 20D
0
Sector rank
#14
Industry rank
-
Stage evidence
  • Price is 19.3% below the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is below the 30-week proxy and its slope is falling -4.8%.
  • Both 3-month and 6-month returns are negative.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price below
Sector
lagging
Industry
unranked
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
262 observations
19 Oct 2026Value 59.33-1.48%
56708498112Sept 25Feb 26Jun 26Oct 2659
RS vs Nifty 50059

Valuation & peers

U-Score 14 · legacy U-Score band OVERVALUED · valuation evidence and comparable companies

14U-SCORE
OVERVALUED

Fundamental score breakdown

U band · OVERVALUED
Valuation0/30
Growth2/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet7/15
Cash Flow3/10
Piotroski
3/9 (+1)
Penalties
1
Raw sum
14

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

14/100 · legacy band OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Balance sheet contributes 7/15 to the score.
  • Cash flow contributes 3/10 to the score.
  • Growth contributes 2/25 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -615.2%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Execution business valuation: EV/EBITDA plus order and working-capital risk

Capital-intensive execution stories need cash-flow and balance-sheet checks alongside valuation.

Execution EV/EBITDA
Primary lens
EV/EBITDA and PE against execution quality and margin stability.
Secondary checks
Order book, receivables, working capital, debt, operating cash flow.
Main risk check
Order wins matter only if they convert into cash and margins.
PE
45.1
PB
4.1
EV/EBITDA
48.8
ROE
9.0%
ROCE
10.8%
FCF Yield
—
Debt/Equity
0.6
MoS
-615.2%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 20 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
14
Previous: 14
Legacy U-Score band
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-615.2%
Previous: -615.2%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

20 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹67.58
-187.8% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
6.3
Growth-justified Value
₹27.2
-615.2% MoS
PEG
—

Comparable companies

Peers

Business-comparable peers in Infra — ranked by industry, sub-sector, theme-tag overlap, market cap, and U-Score similarity. Green cells mark the best available peer metric in this table.

Compare all ↗
Ticker
Name
Why peer
Score
PE
ROE
MoS
Verdict
BCPL
Small
BCPL Railway Infrastructure Limited
Railway Infrastructure
match 128
18
13.6
6.8%
-28%
OVERVALUED
E2ERAIL
SME
E To E Transportation Infrastructure Ltd.
Railway Infrastructure
match 123
23
30.7
10.4%
-27%
OVERVALUED
DHARARAIL
SME
Dhara Rail Projects Ltd.
Railway Infrastructure
match 115
71
13.2
35.7%
+46%
UNDERVALUED
IRCON
Small
Ircon International Limited
Construction & Engineering
match 88
17
19.2
8.2%
-33%
OVERVALUED
RITES
Large
RITES Limited
Construction & Engineering
match 86
41
23.1
15.4%
-245%
WATCHLIST

Business, management & trust

Growth engines, risks, management commitments and evidence-backed delivery

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-06-04T07:53:20.281Z
Management commentary snapshot

Q4 FY26 revenue grew strongly QoQ and modestly YoY, but standalone EBITDA and PAT declined significantly QoQ and YoY due to onerous contracts and JV reconciliation adjustments, impacting profitability.

RVNL maintains a strong, diversified order book providing multi-year revenue visibility and demonstrated robust execution leading to revenue growth. However, significant margin erosion in Q4 FY26, attributed to specific contracts and adjustments, raises concerns. Management expects margin improvement in Q1 FY27, which requires close monitoring.

Current business mix

Order Book by Segment (as of Mar 31, 2026)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 6 reported categories.

Businessmix
Railways57.4%
Signaling15.0%
Port, Roads, Highways10.5%
Metros10.0%
Power and Transmission4.0%
Hydro and Irrigation2.0%
Growth engines

Strong and Diversified Order Book

Total order book of INR 99,262 crore provides healthy multiyear execution visibility.

Increased Execution from Bidding Works

Execution from bidding works increased by 129% from FY25 to FY26, reaching INR 6,283 crores.

Government Emphasis on Infrastructure

Continued government emphasis on relevant perceptual development supports long-term growth prospects.

Diversified Infrastructure Opportunities

Actively encouraging opportunities in diversified infrastructure and emerging business areas.

Capacity and execution

BharatNet Project

INR 13,236 crore project for 8,206 km OFC infrastructure, achieved 15.01% physical progress.

Rishikesh Karnaprayag Rail Project

INR 37,000 crore, 125-kilometer project achieved 74% overall progress, with 96% tunnel excavation complete. Target completion by Dec 2029.

Vande Bharat Sleeper Train Sets

INR 14,400 crore project with 35 years maintenance. First prototype train set targeted for launch in December 2026.

Tailwinds

Government Infrastructure Push

Continued government emphasis on relevant perceptual development supports long-term growth prospects.

Strong JV and Subsidiary Performance

JVs and subsidiaries contributed INR 399.86 crore to consolidated revenue and INR 64.23 crore to PAT.

Positive MoU Rating

Achieved an MoU rating of 'very good' for FY25 from Department of Public Enterprises.

Headwinds

Market and Sectoral Headwinds

This year has been challenging for the company despite market and sectoral headwinds.

Profitability Pressure

UNDER_STRESS

Profitability remained under pressure due to a few onerous contracts and reconciliation adjustments relating to joint ventures.

Cash Flow Challenges

Cash flow was a challenge due to INR 3,400 crores recoverable from Ministry of Railways, received in April.

Risk radar

Margin Pressure and Cost Burden

UNDER_STRESS

Pressure on margins and profitability remains a key area of concern, indicating increased cost burden during execution.

Receivables Management

UNDER_STRESS

High receivables from Ministry of Railways and Krishnapatnam Railway Company pose a challenge to cash flow.

Execution Pace

Faster execution is a main challenge for achieving good revenue and margins.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

Revenue shows strong sequential momentum (QoQ) indicating improved project activity, while YoY comparison provides a broader view of growth. Profitability declines are evident on both QoQ and YoY bases, highlighting sustained pressure.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Standalone Order Inflow (Q4 FY26)

INR 4,644 crores

Standalone Order Inflow (FY26)

INR 5,875 crores

Total Order Book (as of Mar 31, 2026)

INR 99,262 crore

Standalone Revenue Growth (Q4 FY26)

47.6% QoQ; 0.72% YoY

Management forward view

Revenue and Margin Outlook for FY27

Management expects revenue to rise by 15-20% and margins to definitely increase, being much better than this year.

Focus on Faster Execution

The team is focusing on faster and timely execution using latest technologies like 5G functions, drones, and software dashboards.

Strategic Bidding and Diversification

Strategy includes focusing on railway works, PMC basis works from other PSUs, and selective bidding for 5-10% profit.

Q1 FY27 Margin Improvement

Adjustment for onerous contracts has been done, and management is hopeful for improved margins in Q1 FY27.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Standalone EBITDA Margin5.83% (Q4 FY26)Improvement towards previous levels (e.g., 10.36% in Q3 FY26) in Q1 FY27 as guided by management.
Receivables from Krishnapatnam Railway CompanyINR 1,116 croresProgress on resolution and recovery timeline, with management hoping for receivables to be wiped out in two years.
Vande Bharat Sleeper Train Prototype LaunchTargeted for December 2026On-time delivery of the prototype and subsequent ramp-up of the 120-set order over five years.
Overall Revenue Growth0.72% YoY (Standalone Q4 FY26)Achievement of management's expected 15-20% revenue growth for FY27.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Trust Score
64Limited evidence · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Limited evidence: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 42nd percentile of the scored universe and 51st percentile within Infra. Main check: financial discipline is weak at 50/100.

This is a financial-behaviour screen, not a claim-tested management reliability verdict.

Computed 20 Oct 2026
management-trust-v1
51 docs text-extracted · 33 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Limited evidence

Financial behaviour is scored, but management claims do not yet have enough outcome checks.

Relative rank
42nd percentile

overall median 67 · Infra: 51st pctile, median 64 · Mid: 24th pctile, median 76

Evidence depth
Financial-only

51 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Limited evidence · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
52
watch · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
73
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
50
watch · capital discipline
Results
60
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • ▸Promoter holding is 72.8%.
  • ▸Promoter pledge is zero.
  • ▸7 years of positive FCF.
  • ▸4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • ▸Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-1889 Cr.
  • ▸ROCE trend is -3.9%.
  • ▸1 of the latest 4 quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Important announcements & filings

Latest exchange and company disclosures found within the past two years.

12 shown
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Change in Directorate 12 Oct - Shri Deepak Mohanty appointed Independent Director on RVNL board effective 06.10.2026.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Award_of_Order_Receipt_of_Order 1 Oct - East Coast Railway cancelled RVNL's LOA for IP-based video surveillance system, without financial repercussions.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
AnnouncementSep 2026

Sep 2026 · Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Change in Directorate 30 Sep - Smt. Neeti Sarkar appointed Director (Finance) w.e.f. 30 Sep 2026; Shri Abhishek Kumar ceased.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Award_of_Order_Receipt_of_Order 19 Sep - RVNL received East Coast Railway LOA for ₹404.88 crore project; execution over 912 days.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Appointment of Statutory Auditor/s 9 Sep - CAG appoints M/s. Gandhi Minocha & Co. as RVNL statutory auditor for FY 2026-27.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Award_of_Order_Receipt_of_Order 4 Sep - RVNL received ₹903.01 crore award from SJVN Thermal for Buxar project siding construction, to be executed in 36 months.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Annual report

Reg. 34 (1) Annual Report. 21 Aug - Updated FY2025-26 annual report, including C&AG comments, uploaded on RVNL website.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Award_of_Order_Receipt_of_Order 20 Aug - RVNL received LOA from East Coast Railway for MSDAC work worth Rs161.02 crore, executable in 18 months.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication 15 Jul - Newspaper Publication for Transfer of Unpaid Dividend/ Equity Shares of the Company to IEPF Authority

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Award_of_Order_Receipt_of_Order 20 Jun - RVNL wins ₹2,977 crore NMDC contract for 10 MTPA buffer stockpiles and blending yard at Vizag, 42 months.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Award_of_Order_Receipt_of_Order 17 Jun - RVNL receives LOA worth Rs 967.93 crore from East Coast Railway for a 3rd/4th line project.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Award_of_Order_Receipt_of_Order 8 Jun - RVNL received ₹221.33 crore LOA from South East Central Railway for S&T works over 730 days.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.