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IndiaPulse

E To E Transportation Infrastructure Ltd. (E2ERAIL)

SME Cap

Infra stocks · SME cap · NSE

E2ERAIL is India's only full-stack railway safety & intelligence platform. It offers OEM products (KAVACH 4.0), system integration for B2G & B2B clients, engineering design (EDRC), and O&M lifecycle services across mainline, metro, and private sidings in 14 countries.

₹353.1
+7.70 · +2.23%
Quote04 Sept, 03:53 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags24 Apr 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Infra P/E 16.9 (n=83)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust needs verification, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
OVERVALUED
20

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
56

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Bullish
61

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
mixed
55

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Average · 30/100

YoY data unavailable — classification deferred

Filed 31 Mar 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹269 CrNDF+69.2%
EBITDA₹39 Cr+5.4%+5.4%
Operating margin15.0%-800 bps-800 bps
PAT₹24 CrNDF+0.0%
PAT margin8.9%-617 bps-617 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-07-01T17:19:20.896Z
Management commentary snapshot

FY26 revenue grew 51.5% YoY to ₹380 Cr, with EBITDA at ₹38.0 Cr (10.0% margin) and PAT at ₹16.8 Cr (4.4% margin). Order book (incl. L1s) reached ₹1,015 Cr, covering 2.3x FY26 revenue. Operating cash flow was negative due to Q4 billing concentration.

The company demonstrated strong top-line growth and secured a robust order book, indicating continued execution momentum. The strategic shift towards OEM with KAVACH CCA approval is a significant long-term positive. While working capital remains a concern, management attributes it to a timing anomaly, which needs close monitoring for normalization.

Current business mix

FY26 Segmental Revenue Breakup

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 4 reported categories.

Businessmix
Signalling And Telecommunications (S&T)79.0%
Composite Projects17.0%
Overhead Electrification (OHE)3.0%
Engineering Design And Research Center (EDRC)1.0%
Growth engines

KAVACH 4.0 OEM Platform

NOVA Control Tecnologix received RDSO CCA approval on May 15, 2026, for KAVACH 4.0 development, positioning E2E as a certified OEM/integrator for India's indigenous train collision-avoidance system.

Full-Stack Railway Intelligence Platform

The company's integrated capabilities across OEM (NOVA), system integration, engineering design (EDRC), and O&M services unlock larger, complex bids and provide recurring annuity revenues.

Strong Order Book & Pipeline

A current order book of ₹1,015 Cr (2.3x FY26 revenue) and a robust FY27 order pipeline, with 71% from Indian Railways, provides revenue visibility and execution opportunities.

Recurring Revenue Streams

O&M contracts (e.g., Chennai Metro 5-yr S&T + PSD O&M) and NOVA AMC for safety-critical products create a stable, recurring earnings base.

Capacity and execution

KAVACH Product Development

NOVA Control Tecnologix, a wholly-owned deep tech subsidiary, is developing KAVACH 4.0, with 75% acceptance readiness completion targeted by July 10, 2026.

Engineering Design & Research Center (EDRC)

The EDRC has 45+ design experts, enabling in-house advanced electrification modelling and EI configuration, reducing vendor dependency and accelerating development cycles.

Skill Development - Rail Village

The company is building a structured training ecosystem for rail engineers to ensure a scalable manpower pipeline for project execution.

Tailwinds

Indian Railway Modernization Cycle

India's railway sector is entering a generational technology upgrade cycle driven by safety, automation, intelligent signaling, and indigenous systems like KAVACH.

KAVACH Mandate

KAVACH is India's indigenous train collision-avoidance system, mandated across 35,000+ km of rail network, creating a significant addressable market of ~₹1.5–2.0 Lakh Crore over 10 years.

Convergence of Capabilities

Management believes the convergence of system integration capability with technology ownership will define the next phase of industry leadership.

Risk radar

Working Capital Intensity

The company reported 181 working capital days for FY26 and negative operating cash flow, driven by a significant concentration of billing (48% of FY26 revenue) in March.

Project Execution Timelines

The disclaimer notes that actual results may vary due to factors including project execution timelines, which is inherent to the railway and infrastructure sector.

Regulatory & Policy Changes

Changes in the regulatory environment and government policies are identified as factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from forward-looking statements.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is essential for assessing annual financial performance and growth trends. QoQ is relevant for tracking sequential order inflow momentum, working capital normalization, and project execution pace, especially given the Q4 concentration.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Order Book (incl. L1s)

Current Order Book (incl. L1s) is ₹1,015 Cr as of May 2026, representing 2.3x FY26 Revenue.

FY26 Order Wins

FY26 Order Wins totaled ₹453 Cr. From Jan-May 2026, new orders won (LOAs + L1s) amounted to ₹613 Cr.

Revenue Growth

FY26 Revenue from Operations was ₹379.99 Cr, a 51.50% increase YoY from ₹250.81 Cr in FY25.

EBITDA Margin

FY26 EBITDA was ₹38.25 Cr, with a margin of 10.07%. H2FY26 EBITDA margin was 14.76%.

Management forward view

Vision 2029 Revenue Target

Management's ambition is to build a railway technology enterprise capable of crossing ₹1,000 Cr in annual revenue by Vision 2029, implying 30%+ consolidated revenue growth.

Vision 2029 Margin Targets

Management aims for EBITDA margins in the range of ~12-14% and sustainably delivering PAT margins of 7% and above by Vision 2029.

Strategic Transformation

The company is strategically transforming into a technology-led railway systems platform, positioning itself as a creator of critical railway technologies and integrated mobility solutions.

Working Capital Normalization

Management expects OCF to turn positive, with ₹300 Cr+ receivables recovery in FY27 H1 (₹90 Cr already collected) and focused governance on billing/collection.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
KAVACH Field Trial OrdersRDSO CCA approval received (May 15, 2026). Acceptance readiness 75% complete (Target: July 10, 2026).Securing field trial orders and subsequent prototype approval for KAVACH 4.0.
Operating Cash Flow (OCF)FY26 OCF was -₹103 Cr due to Q4 billing concentration.Material improvement and positive OCF in FY27, driven by receivables recovery and even distribution of billing.
EBITDA & PAT MarginsFY26 EBITDA margin 10.07%, PAT margin 4.42%.Progress towards Vision 2029 targets of 12-14% EBITDA margin and 7%+ PAT margin, supported by product and O&M revenues.
Order Inflow & Execution₹613 Cr orders won Jan-May 2026. FY26 revenue growth 51.5%.Consistent order inflow momentum and efficient execution of the robust order book to sustain revenue growth.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

61Bullish

SMA20 +7.3% / mo · RSI overbought · MACD + · near 52W high · sector +2.3pp vs Nifty (3M)

Stock trend: 61
Sector RS: 61
Sector 3M: +0.8% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

E2ERAILdaily · 1Y · AUTO+91.1%
Latest close ₹353.10 on 2026-09-04

Daily history is available from 2026-01-02; the requested 1Y window is partially covered.

Bar
+4.8%
RSI
74
MACD hist
7.69
52W pos
91%
2026-09-04O ₹337.00H ₹364.95L ₹337.00C ₹353.10Vol 83,200 sh
₹161.00₹216.00₹271.00₹326.00₹381.0052H52L353.102026-03VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend unclear. RSI 74. Wait for confirmation.

  • SMA20 rising (~6.8% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 74 — overbought zone; risk of mean reversion.
  • MACD above signal, histogram expanding — bullish momentum building.
  • 5% off 52W high · 106% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 20 · OVERVALUED · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

20U-SCORE
OVERVALUED

Fundamental score breakdown

OVERVALUED
Valuation0/30
Growth13/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet5/15
Cash Flow0/10
Piotroski
5/9 (+3)
Penalties
-1
Raw sum
20

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

20/100 · OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Growth contributes 13/25 to the score.
  • Balance sheet contributes 5/15 to the score.
  • Valuation contributes 0/30 to the score.

Main drags

  • Penalty bucket subtracts 1 points.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -50.6%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Execution business valuation: EV/EBITDA plus order and working-capital risk

Capital-intensive execution stories need cash-flow and balance-sheet checks alongside valuation.

Execution EV/EBITDA
Primary lens
EV/EBITDA and PE against execution quality and margin stability.
Secondary checks
Order book, receivables, working capital, debt, operating cash flow.
Main risk check
Order wins matter only if they convert into cash and margins.
PE
36.3
PB
3.0
EV/EBITDA
19.8
ROE
10.4%
ROCE
14.8%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.8
MoS
-50.6%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
20
Previous: 20
Verdict
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-50.6%
Previous: -50.6%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +2 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
35
35
19
19
19
19
21
21
21
18
18
20

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹161.41
-118.8% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
24.1
Growth-justified Value
₹234.49
-50.6% MoS
PEG
2.52

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
56Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 18th percentile of the scored universe and 28th percentile within Infra. Main check: cash conversion is weak at 28/100.

Mixed Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-102 Cr.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
3 docs text-extracted · 1 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
18th percentile

overall median 67 · Infra: 28th pctile, median 64 · SME: 19th pctile, median 64

Evidence depth
Financial-only

3 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Needs extra due diligence; demand valuation comfort and recent improvement.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
82
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
28
weak · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
65
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
58
watch · capital discipline
Results
55
watch · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • Promoter holding increased 30.5%.

Trust risks

  • Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-102 Cr.
  • Only 0 years of positive FCF.
  • ROCE trend is -2.9%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
36.30
P/B
2.97
EV/EBITDA
19.82
Market Cap
609.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
10.40%
ROCE
14.80%
ROA
3.06%
Dividend Y

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
30.00%
EPS 5Y
9.00%
Revenue 3Y
41.00%
EPS 3Y
29.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.80
Interest Coverage
2.11×
Altman Z
2.56
Book Value
119.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
0/5
OCF
-102.00 Cr
EPS TTM
9.73

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
32.54%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
91%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Infra, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.