IP
IndiaPulse

Afcons Infrastructure Limited (AFCONS)

Small Cap

Infra stocks · Small cap · NSE

Afcons Infrastructure, flagship of Shapoorji Pallonji Group, is a global EPC company. It specializes in complex infrastructure projects across marine, surface transport, urban infrastructure, hydro & underground, and oil & gas. Ranked among ENR Top International Contractors, it leverages extreme engineering capabilities for high-value projects.

₹292.8
-1.90 · -0.64%
Quote04 Sept, 03:58 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Infra P/E 16.9 (n=83)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is a red flag, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Verify management risk first
Do not let cheap valuation override weak Trust or governance evidence.
U-Score
OVERVALUED
18

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Low Trust
37

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
52

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
weak
15

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Bad · 0/100

Rev -21% YoY · PAT -78% YoY · margin compression

Filed 30 Jun 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹2,671 Cr-20.7%+2.2%
EBITDA₹251 Cr-42.3%+483.7%
Operating margin9.0%-400 bps+740 bps
PAT₹30 Cr-78.1%NDF
PAT margin1.1%-295 bps+452 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-06-04T08:37:45.907Z
Management commentary snapshot

Afcons reported Q4 FY26 PAT of -₹89 Cr, a sharp decline from ₹111 Cr YoY and ₹97 Cr QoQ. FY26 PAT was ₹251 Cr, down 48.5% YoY. Total Income for Q4 FY26 was ₹2,777 Cr (-18% YoY, -8.2% QoQ). FY26 Order Inflow was ₹4,125 Cr, with an Order Book of ₹32,496 Cr as of Mar’26.

Q4 FY26 results show significant deterioration with negative PAT and sharp declines in Total Income and EBITDA both YoY and QoQ. While FY26 PAT is positive, it nearly halved YoY. Order inflow for FY26 is modest relative to the large order book, raising concerns about execution pace and future revenue conversion.

Current business mix

Order Book by Segment (Mar’26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 6 reported categories.

Businessmix
Urban Infra - Underground & Elevated Metro28.0%
Urban Infra - Bridges & Elevated Corridor23.0%
Hydro & Underground23.0%
Marine & Industrial15.0%
Surface Transport9.0%
Oil & Gas2.0%
Growth engines

Extreme Engineering Capabilities

Track record in executing large, complex, high-value projects, including world's tallest single-arch railway bridge and India's first undersea rail tunnel.

Diverse & High-Quality Order Book

Order book of ₹32,496 Cr as of Mar’26, spread across major infrastructure segments and geographies, providing revenue visibility.

Strategic Equipment Base

Indigenous strategic equipment fleet worth ₹42,825.5 mn, including 20 TBMs and 9 large-capacity jack-ups, providing a technological edge.

Market Expansion

Strategy to maximize opportunities in existing markets and expand footprint in overseas markets.

Risk radar

Project Execution

Risks include unknown site conditions, operational challenges, construction methods, design issues, and site access/logistics.

Subcontractor Management

Potential challenges related to subcontractor performance and management.

Cost Overruns

Monitoring and reporting system tracks budget monthly/quarterly for cost overruns, indicating this as a managed risk.

Contractual Disputes

Robust contracts management system and engagement with clients to resolve claims, suggesting dispute resolution is a key activity.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

QoQ comparison is vital for assessing sequential momentum in project execution, utilization, and margin trends. YoY comparison provides a broader view of annual performance and accounts for any seasonality in the infrastructure sector.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Order Inflow

₹4,125 Cr for FY26.

Order Book

₹32,496 Cr as of Mar’26.

Book to Bill

2.6x for FY26.

Total Income

Q4 FY26: ₹2,777 Cr (-18.0% YoY, -8.2% QoQ); FY26: ₹12,322 Cr (-5.4% YoY).

Management forward view

Sustainable Profitable Growth

Aims to grow business in a sustainable profitable manner.

Order Book Management

Maintaining an order book that matches its execution capacity.

Operational Efficiency

Rationalizing costs, improving execution efficiencies, and consistently developing capabilities and capacity for project delivery.

Project Selection

Selectively pursue large value and complex projects.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Order Inflow₹4,125 Cr (FY26)Monitor new order wins to ensure replenishment of the order book and future revenue visibility.
EBITDA Margin6.1% (Q4 FY26)Watch for stabilization and improvement in margins, which have seen significant declines both YoY and QoQ.
Working CapitalTrade Receivables ₹4,038 Cr, Contract Assets ₹7,731 Cr (FY26)Monitor trends in receivables and contract assets to ensure efficient working capital management and cash conversion.
Quarterly Profitability-₹89 Cr (Q4 FY26)Observe if the company can return to consistent profitability on a quarterly basis, reversing the Q4 loss.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

52Neutral

SMA20 -1.9% / mo · MACD + · near 52W low · sector +2.3pp vs Nifty (3M)

Stock trend: 46
Sector RS: 61
Sector 3M: +0.8% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

AFCONSdaily · 1Y · AUTO+2.8%
Latest close ₹292.80 on 2026-09-04
Bar
-0.8%
RSI
60
MACD hist
2.35
52W pos
15%
2026-09-04O ₹295.05H ₹297.40L ₹291.35C ₹292.80Vol 4.0L sh
₹253.76₹283.15₹312.55₹341.95₹371.3552L292.802026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 60. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price below SMA200 (long-term downtrend) — short-term bounces likely countertrend.
  • SMA20 falling (~2.0% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 60 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal, histogram expanding — bullish momentum building.
  • 39% off 52W high · 13% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

14
RS percentile
Stage 4 Downtrend
1M return
+6.8%
3M return
-7.2%
6M return
+5.1%
1Y return
-35.7%
RS 1D
-1
RS 20D
+8
Sector rank
#15
Industry rank
#22
Stage evidence
  • Price is 3.6% below the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is below the 30-week proxy and its slope is falling -2.8%.
50-DMA
price above
200-DMA
price below
Sector
improving
Industry
lagging
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 67.27-0.64%
57708396109Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 2667
RS vs Nifty 50067

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 18 · OVERVALUED · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

18U-SCORE
Distress Watch

Fundamental score breakdown

OVERVALUED
Valuation1/30
Growth10/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet0/15
Cash Flow3/10
Piotroski
5/9 (+3)
Penalties
1
Raw sum
18

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

18/100 · OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Growth contributes 10/25 to the score.
  • Cash flow contributes 3/10 to the score.
  • Valuation contributes 1/30 to the score.

Main drags

  • Altman Z is 1.7, in distress territory.
  • Promoter pledge is 100.0%.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -144.3%.
Sector valuation model

Execution business valuation: EV/EBITDA plus order and working-capital risk

Capital-intensive execution stories need cash-flow and balance-sheet checks alongside valuation.

Execution EV/EBITDA
Primary lens
EV/EBITDA and PE against execution quality and margin stability.
Secondary checks
Order book, receivables, working capital, debt, operating cash flow.
Main risk check
Order wins matter only if they convert into cash and margins.
PE
52.6
PB
2.0
EV/EBITDA
10.1
ROE
5.6%
ROCE
13.9%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.7
MoS
-144.3%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
18
Previous: 18
Verdict
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-144.3%
Previous: -144.3%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
22
23
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹114.54
-155.6% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
30.4
Growth-justified Value
₹119.85
-144.3% MoS
PEG
4.38

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
37Low Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Low Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 1st percentile of the scored universe and 1st percentile within Infra. Main check: results consistency is weak at 15/100.

Low Trust Lite: 4 years of positive FCF. Key concern: Promoters have pledged 100% of holding.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
36 docs text-extracted · 14 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Low Trust

Avoid relying on management narrative unless turnaround evidence is hard and recent.

Relative rank
1st percentile

overall median 67 · Infra: 1st pctile, median 64 · Small: 1st pctile, median 66

Evidence depth
Financial-only

36 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Low Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Do not rely on management narrative unless hard turnaround evidence is visible.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
35
weak · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
52
watch · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
33
weak · leverage and solvency
Discipline
42
weak · capital discipline
Results
15
weak · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • 4 years of positive FCF.

Trust risks

  • Promoters have pledged 100% of holding.
  • Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-127 Cr.
  • Altman Z is 1.71.
  • 3 latest quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
52.60
P/B
1.98
EV/EBITDA
10.05
Market Cap
10769.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
5.61%
ROCE
13.90%
ROA
0.75%
Dividend Y
0.68%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
5.00%
EPS 5Y
12.00%
Revenue 3Y
-2.00%
EPS 3Y
-11.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.67
Interest Coverage
1.51×
Altman Z
1.71
Book Value
148.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
4/5
OCF
-127.00 Cr
EPS TTM
3.94

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
50.17%
Promoter Pledge
100.00%
Momentum 52W
15%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Infra, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.