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Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOC)

Large Cap

Energy stocks · Large cap · NSE

Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOC) is an integrated energy company engaged in refining, pipeline transportation, and marketing of petroleum products, petrochemicals, and gas. It operates a vast network of retail outlets and is focused on expanding its refining capacity and product portfolio across India.

₹130.25
-0.13 · -0.10%
Market cap ₹1,80,455 Cr
IndicesNifty 500
Data qualityFresh enough for analysisQuote updated 19 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Details
Quote19 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Base fundamentals14 Oct 2026 · screener
Latest result31 Jul, 11:18 pm IST
Score20 Oct, 04:30 am IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags15 Aug 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Energy P/E 11.4 (n=18)
Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

28Bearish

full bear SMA stack · SMA20 -3.7% / mo · MACD + · near 52W low · sector -3.5pp vs Nifty 500 (3M)

Stock trend: 26
Sector RS: 31
Sector 3M: -9.1% vs Nifty 500 -5.6%
Energy FPI tailwindNot confirmed

Latest mapped FPI equity flow was not positive. View sector evidence

Technical chart

IOCD candles · FIT view-9.2%
Latest close ₹130.25 on 2026-10-19
Bar
+0.3%
RSI
46
MACD hist
0.16
52W pos
8%
Visible chart range
Candle interval
2026-10-19O ₹129.90H ₹130.83L ₹129.36C ₹130.25Vol 45.7L sh
₹123.57₹130.98₹138.38₹145.79₹153.1952L₹130.252026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-042026-062026-082026-092026-11
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal
Market context

Relative performance and chart statistics

Adjusted completed-session prices, rebased to 100

IOCNifty EnergyNifty 500
-13%-8%-2%+3%20 Jul1 Sept19 Oct19 Oct 2026IOC -8.5%Nifty Energy -9.3%Nifty 500 -5.6%
IOC
-8.5%
Nifty 500
-5.6%
Nifty Energy
-9.3%
Vs Nifty 500
-3.0 pp
Chart stats
19 Oct 2026
From 52W high
-31.1%
₹189
52W range position
8%
₹124.9 - ₹189
ATR (14)
2.0%
₹2.7
Volume vs 20D
0.52x
Latest completed session
Avg traded value
₹111 Cr
20-session average
20D price channel
₹124.9 - ₹139.3
22.4% annualized volatility
Research snapshot

What the evidence says now

Strong fundamentals, management evidence is still limited to a financial-only Trust Lite signal, but price trend argues for patience. Suitable for staggered entry or watchlist confirmation rather than aggressive buying.

Strong U-Score but weak trend: timing is not confirming the thesis.

Suggested next step
Add to watchlist
Fundamental setup is interesting, but technical confirmation is weak.
U-Score
Legacy · DEEP VALUE
90

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Latest result
Bad
2

Revenue +38.5% · PAT -116.8% YoY

Technical
Bearish
28

Price trend and sector-relative-strength timing.

Valuation
Legacy model
+68.1%

Legacy margin-of-safety estimate; the revised evidence label remains in shadow validation.

Trust
Limited evidence
80

Financial-only signal; management claim evidence is not sufficient yet.

Financials

Fundamentals, quarterly history, margins, returns and balance-sheet evidence

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Bad · 2/100

PAT -117% YoY · margin compression · Rev +39% YoY · +28% QoQ

Filed 31 Jul 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹2,66,407 Cr+38.5%+27.9%
EBITDA₹4,062 Cr-69.4%-83.6%
Operating margin1.5%-550 bps-1050 bps
PAT₹-1,141 Cr-116.8%-107.5%
PAT margin-0.4%-397 bps-772 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
5.36
P/B
0.83
EV/EBITDA
3.61
Market Cap
180455.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
20.50%
ROCE
18.70%
ROA
6.75%
Dividend Y
6.46%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
17.00%
EPS 5Y
14.00%
Revenue 3Y
-2.00%
EPS 3Y
62.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.60
Interest Coverage
8.52×
Altman Z
3.09
Book Value
155.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
29.85%
FCF Positive Y
10/5
OCF
76142.00 Cr
EPS TTM
23.84

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
51.50%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
5%

Financial History

Updated 19/10/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 784.4k+3.5% vs prev
0842kMar 2017: 355.4kMar 2018: 421.5kMar 2019: 528.2kMar 2020: 483.8kMar 2021: 363.9kMar 2022: 589.3kMar 2023: 841.8kMar 2024: 776.4kMar 2025: 758.1kMar 2026: 784.4kFY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 43.7k+216.8% vs prev
-1876044kMar 2017: 20.4kMar 2018: 22.6kMar 2019: 17.3kMar 2020: -1,876Mar 2021: 21.8kMar 2022: 25.7kMar 2023: 11.7kMar 2024: 43.2kMar 2025: 13.8kMar 2026: 43.7kFY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 19.9+169.3% vs prev
-2.0023.5Mar 2017: 20.0%Mar 2018: 19.9%Mar 2019: 15.4%Mar 2020: -2.0%Mar 2021: 19.5%Mar 2022: 19.3%Mar 2023: 8.4%Mar 2024: 23.5%Mar 2025: 7.4%Mar 2026: 19.9%FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Technicals

Trend interpretation, Stage 2, relative strength, volume and indicator evidence

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 46. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price < SMA20 < SMA50 < SMA200 — full bearish stack.
  • SMA20 falling (~3.8% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 46 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal but histogram contracting — bullish momentum cooling.
  • Within 5% of 52-week low — testing support.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

37
RS percentile
Stage 4 Downtrend
1M return
-4.9%
3M return
-8.5%
6M return
-11.6%
1Y return
-15.7%
RS 1D
+2
RS 20D
+4
Sector rank
#6
Industry rank
#10
Stage evidence
  • Price is 6.3% below the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is below the 30-week proxy and its slope is falling -3.3%.
  • Both 3-month and 6-month returns are negative.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price below
Sector
neutral
Industry
improving
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
262 observations
19 Oct 2026Value 92.54+0.94%
8898108118129Sept 25Feb 26Jun 26Oct 2693
RS vs Nifty 50093

Valuation & peers

U-Score 90 · legacy U-Score band DEEP VALUE · valuation evidence and comparable companies

90U-SCORE
Top Setup

Fundamental score breakdown

U band · DEEP VALUE
Valuation30/30
Growth18/25
Quality14/20
Balance Sheet12/15
Cash Flow10/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
1
Raw sum
90

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

90/100 · legacy band DEEP VALUE

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 29.9%.
  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 68.1%.

Main drags

  • Quality is weaker at 14/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Growth is weaker at 18/25; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 12/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
5.4
PB
0.8
EV/EBITDA
3.6
ROE
20.5%
ROCE
18.7%
FCF Yield
29.9%
Debt/Equity
0.6
MoS
+68.1%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE. Current PE is low at 5.4, so peak-cycle earnings risk should be checked.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 20 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
90
Previous: 90
Legacy U-Score band
DEEP VALUE
Previous: DEEP VALUE
Margin of safety
+68.1%
Previous: +68.1%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

20 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
89
89
89
89
89
90
90
90
90
90
90
90

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹288.34
+54.8% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
17.1
Growth-justified Value
₹407.66
+68.1% MoS
PEG
0.24

Comparable companies

Peers

Business-comparable peers in Energy — ranked by industry, sub-sector, theme-tag overlap, market cap, and U-Score similarity. Green cells mark the best available peer metric in this table.

Compare all ↗
Ticker
Name
Why peer
Score
PE
ROE
MoS
Verdict
BPCL
Large
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited
Oil Refining & Marketing
match 99
88
8.1
28.8%
+56%
DEEP VALUE
CHENNPETRO
Large
Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited
Oil Refining & Marketing
match 93
97
5.0
31.8%
+70%
DEEP VALUE
HINDPETRO
Mid
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited
Oil Refining & Marketing
match 87
54
44.4
30.9%
-116%
FAIR VALUE
MRPL
Small
Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited
Oil Refining & Marketing
match 59
81
6.8
14.5%
+60%
DEEP VALUE
KIOCL
Small
KIOCL Limited
Oil Refining & Marketing
match 39
18
502.0
0.9%
-55570%
OVERVALUED

Business, management & trust

Growth engines, risks, management commitments and evidence-backed delivery

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-12T16:37:57.019Z
Management commentary snapshot

IOC achieved highest-ever crude throughput, pipeline throughput, and sales volume in FY2025-26, alongside record retail outlet commissioning and strong financial performance with a PAT of INR 36,802 Cr.

The company demonstrated robust operational performance in FY2025-26, setting new records across key metrics like crude throughput, pipeline throughput, and total sales volume. Significant capital expenditure is underway for refinery expansions and new projects, indicating a strong growth pipeline. Financial results show healthy profitability, though the dividend payout ratio has fluctuated. The focus on expanding capacity and product offerings positions IOC for continued growth, but execution of large-scale projects and market demand will be crucial.

Current business mix

Sales Volume by Product Group (FY 2025-26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 2 reported categories.

Businessmix
Petroleum Products89.5%
Other Products (Gas, Petrochemicals, Others)10.5%
Growth engines

Refinery Expansion

Major refinery expansions at Panipat, Gujarat, and Barauni are underway to increase crude processing capacity.

Pipeline Network Expansion

The New Mundra Panipat Crude Oil Pipeline project is nearing commissioning, enhancing logistics.

Marketing Reach

Record 909 retail outlets commissioned on National Highways, expanding market presence.

Petrochemicals & Gas

Highest ever petchem sales (3.4 MMT) and record gas sales (7.3 MMT) indicate growing segments.

Capacity and execution

Panipat Refinery Expansion

Expansion from 15 MMTPA to 25 MMTPA, 92.8% physical progress, progressive start from Jun'26, full commissioning Dec'26.

Gujarat Refinery Expansion

Expansion from 13.7 MMTPA to 18 MMTPA, 87.8% physical progress, progressively started from Jul'25, full commissioning Nov'26.

Barauni Refinery Expansion

Expansion from 6 MMTPA to 9 MMTPA, 90.5% physical progress, expected commissioning Aug'26.

PX-PTA Complex at Paradip Refinery

93.5% physical progress, expected commissioning Aug'26.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare YOY

The document emphasizes 'Highest ever' operational performance for the full financial year (FY 2025-26) and provides full-year financial figures, making year-over-year comparison most relevant for assessing overall business trajectory and strategic achievements.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Crude Throughput

Highest ever Crude Throughput of 75.5 MMT for FY 2025-26.

Pipeline Throughput

Highest ever Pipeline Throughput of 105.6 MMT for FY 2025-26.

Total Sales Volume

Highest ever Sales Volume of 105.1 MMT for FY 2025-26.

Refinery Capacity Utilization

Refinery Capacity utilization was 107.4% for FY 2025-26.

Management forward view

Strategic Capex

Management is investing significantly in refinery expansions, pipeline infrastructure, and petrochemical projects.

Cleaner Future Focus

The company highlights 'Fuelling a Cleaner Future' as a strategic direction.

FY27 Capex Target

A total capex target of INR 32,700 Cr is set for FY 2026-27.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Refinery Capacity Utilization107.4% (FY26)Sustained high utilization post-expansion and ramp-up of new capacities.
Project CommissioningVarious projects nearing completion (e.g., Panipat, Gujarat, Barauni refinery expansions).Timely commissioning and cost adherence of major expansion projects.
Debt LevelsINR 110,668 CrDebt management as significant capex continues.
Sales Volume Growth105.1 MMT (highest ever)Continued growth across petroleum, gas, and petrochemical segments.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Trust Score
80Limited evidence · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Limited evidence: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 90th percentile of the scored universe and 79th percentile within Energy. No major sub-score weakness stands out.

This is a financial-behaviour screen, not a claim-tested management reliability verdict.

Computed 20 Oct 2026
management-trust-v1
31 docs text-extracted · 8 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Limited evidence

Financial behaviour is scored, but management claims do not yet have enough outcome checks.

Relative rank
90th percentile

overall median 67 · Energy: 79th pctile, median 73 · Large: 77th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

31 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Limited evidence · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Can support position sizing if valuation and trend also agree.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
89
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
81
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
76
strong · capital discipline
Results
72
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • ▸Promoter pledge is zero.
  • ▸FCF yield is 29.9%.
  • ▸10 years of positive FCF.
  • ▸4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • ▸1 of the latest 4 quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Important announcements & filings

Latest exchange and company disclosures found within the past two years.

7 shown
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Appointment of Statutory Auditor/s 21 Sep - IndianOil noted C&AG-appointed statutory auditors for 2026-27: three new appointments and one reappointment.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Amendments to Memorandum & Articles of Association 1 Sep - Shareholders approved amended MoA and new AoA, adding businesses like bio-refinery, hydrogen, chemicals, and data centers.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication 11 Aug

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication 8 Jul - Newspaper Advertisement of the Notice to Shareholders regarding special window for re-lodgment of transfer requests of physical shares.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.