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IndiaPulse

Thomas Cook (India) Limited (THOMASCOOK)

Micro Cap

Consumer stocks · Micro cap · NSE

Thomas Cook (India) Ltd is a diversified travel services company with 145+ years of legacy, operating across 28 countries. It has four main engines: Financial Services, Travel & Related Services, Leisure Hospitality (Sterling Holiday Resorts), and Digital Imaging Solutions (DEI). Part of Fairfax Group.

₹111.65
+5.34 · +5.02%
Quote04 Sept, 03:58 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags15 Aug 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Consumer P/E 23.3 (n=433)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Mixed fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Check latest quarters
Result consistency is weak; verify whether the thesis is improving or deteriorating.
U-Score
FAIR VALUE
48

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
69

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
48

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
weak
42

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Bad · 0/100

Rev -13% YoY · PAT -14% YoY · margin compression · +18% QoQ

Filed 03 Aug 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹2,092 Cr-13.1%+18.1%
EBITDA₹93 Cr-26.8%+19.2%
Operating margin4.5%-50 bps+10 bps
PAT₹64 Cr-13.5%+106.5%
PAT margin3.1%-1 bps+131 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-06-11T07:39:03.771Z
Management commentary snapshot

FY26 consolidated income grew 3.3% YoY to Rs 85.6 Bn, but EBIT declined 10.9% due to geopolitical disruptions, elevated costs, and negative currency volatility. Q4 saw a sharper decline in total income (-10.7%) and EBIT (-38.6%), primarily impacting Travel and Digital Imaging segments.

The company's overall profitability was significantly impacted in Q4 and FY26 due to geopolitical disruptions, particularly in the Middle East, affecting its Travel and Digital Imaging segments. While Financial Services and Leisure Hospitality showed resilience, the material headwinds pose a challenge to sustained growth and margin expansion.

Current business mix

Revenue by Segment (FY26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 4 reported categories.

Businessmix
Travel & Related Services78.3%
Digital Imaging Solutions9.8%
Leisure Hospitality & Resorts6.2%
Financial Services3.8%
Growth engines

Financial Services Retail Focus

Retail sales growth of 27% YoY in Q4 FY26, driven by Holiday (29% YoY) and Education (25% YoY) segments, leveraging AD II license and omnichannel distribution.

Leisure Hospitality Resort Engine

Sterling Holiday Resorts achieved record Q4 revenue with 19% YoY growth, driven by 38% growth in Room Revenue, signaling business model transformation and growth phase.

B2C Outbound Travel

B2C Outbound revenue grew 10% YoY in FY26 and 12% in Q4 FY26, with Short Haul growing 21% YoY in Q4 FY26, indicating strong demand in this segment.

Corporate Travel Expansion

Corporate Travel revenue grew 19% YoY in FY26 and 28% in Q4 FY26, with 8 new accounts acquired in Q4 FY26 and global footprint expanded into the EU via Cyprus.

Capacity and execution

Financial Services Outlets & Digital Reach

Opened 7 new outlets in Q4 FY26 (5 GCP, 1 owned, 1 airport counter). Quick-commerce expansion via Blinkit in 6 additional cities, increasing digital distribution to 12 cities.

Digital Imaging Partnerships

Signed 9 new partnerships and renewed 12 key partnerships in Q4 FY26 across India, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Singapore. Operational launch of 4 partnerships.

Travel Charter Flights

Launched Bhutan charter flights ex Bengaluru & Ahmedabad to capitalize on direct air connectivity and growing travel interest.

Tailwinds

India Outbound Tourism Growth

India outbound tourism projected to grow at ~14% CAGR through 2030, reaching 50M+ travellers and a ₹5 Trillion market by 2030.

Indian Overseas Education Spend

Indian overseas education spend projected to grow at ~13% CAGR through 2030, with a growing base of 800K+ students abroad driving repeat forex flows.

Corporate Travel Market Expansion

Corporate travel market projected to double to ~$21bn by FY2030, driven by enterprise expansion and outbound activity, creating non-discretionary demand.

Headwinds

Geopolitical Disruptions

FY26 was marked by significant geopolitical disruptions at both the start and close of the FY, effectively truncating the sales & operating period from 12 to less than 9 months.

Middle East Tensions

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including travel disruptions and airspace closures, impacted Overseas DMS (sales declined 24% YoY in Q4 FY26) and Digital Imaging Solutions.

Elevated Costs & Currency Volatility

Challenging environment characterized by elevated costs and significant negative currency volatility impacted overall profitability.

Digital Imaging UAE Operations

Temporary suspension of operations in the UAE, which contributes approximately 50% of DEI’s total revenue, significantly impacted sales and EBIT in Q4 FY26.

Risk radar

Geopolitical Instability

Ongoing geopolitical disruptions and regional escalation, particularly in the Middle East, pose a risk to travel demand, connectivity, and operational stability.

Currency Volatility & Cost Inflation

Significant negative currency volatility and elevated operating costs can continue to pressure margins across segments.

Dependence on Key Markets (DEI)

High dependence on the UAE market for Digital Imaging Solutions (approx. 50% of revenue) makes the segment vulnerable to regional disruptions.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is crucial for assessing annual growth and the impact of geopolitical events over a full year. QoQ is important to understand sequential momentum and the immediate impact of Q4 disruptions on specific segments like Travel and Digital Imaging.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Financial Services Retail Sales Growth

Retail sales grew 27% YoY in Q4 FY26 and 16% in FY26. Holiday sales grew 29% YoY in Q4 FY26 and 13% in FY26. Education sales grew 25% YoY in Q4 FY26 and 17% in FY26.

Financial Services Digital Adoption

Digital adoption rate moved to 22.8% in Q4 FY26 from 22% YoY. WhatsApp transactions grew 2.2x in Q4 FY26 and 2.6x in FY26. App transactions grew 4.9x in Q4 FY26 and 3.5x in FY26.

Travel & Related Services Corporate Air Volume Growth

Corporate Travel Air Volume grew over 7.3% YoY in Q4 FY26 and 4.8% in FY26. International Air Volume grew over 19.4% YoY in Q4 FY26 and 7.4% in FY26.

Leisure Hospitality & Resorts Revenue Growth

Sterling Holiday Resorts delivered highest ever Q4 Revenue of Rs 1,385 Mn, a 19% growth YoY. Room Revenue was up nearly 38% YoY, and F&B Revenue grew 14% YoY.

Management forward view

Cautious Optimism Amid Uncertainty

Management states that while the environment remains uncertain, they are cautiously optimistic that peace will endure.

Focus on Fiscal Management & Technology

Focus will remain on prudent fiscal management and leveraging technology for increased productivity to deliver sustainable growth and value.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Digital Imaging Solutions (DEI) RecoveryQ4 FY26 sales below prior year, EBIT negative due to Middle East disruptions and increased WeC costs.Signs of recovery in UAE operations and sales, and improved profitability as geopolitical tensions ease and WeC costs are absorbed.
Travel & Related Services EBIT MarginEBIT margin declined to 1.8% in Q4 FY26 from 3.7% in Q4 FY25, and to 3.3% in FY26 from 3.8% in FY25.Stabilization and improvement in EBIT margins, indicating effective cost management and recovery in high-margin travel segments.
Financial Services Digital Adoption RateDigital adoption rate at 22.8% in Q4 FY26, with strong growth in WhatsApp and App transactions.Continued increase in digital adoption and transaction volumes, which are key for scalable, low-capex growth and margin expansion.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

48Neutral

SMA20 +4.6% / mo · MACD −

Stock trend: 50
Sector RS: 45
Sector 3M: -2.3% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

THOMASCOOKdaily · 1Y · AUTO+18.4%
Latest close ₹111.65 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+5.3%
RSI
59
MACD hist
-0.00
52W pos
27%
2026-09-04O ₹106.00H ₹112.94L ₹106.00C ₹111.65Vol 23.0L sh
₹84.61₹94.16₹103.71₹113.26₹122.8152L111.652026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 59. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price below SMA200 (long-term downtrend) — short-term bounces likely countertrend.
  • SMA20 rising (~4.4% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 59 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 38% off 52W high · 29% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 48 · FAIR VALUE · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

48U-SCORE
Financial Turnaround

Fundamental score breakdown

FAIR VALUE
Valuation8/30
Growth19/25
Quality1/20
Balance Sheet8/15
Cash Flow7/10
Piotroski
7/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
48

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

48/100 · FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 4.9%.
  • Piotroski is strong at 7/9.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 31.3%.

Main drags

  • Quality is weaker at 1/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Valuation is weaker at 8/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 8/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Consumer valuation: PE/PEG and brand-quality premium

Consumer franchises can deserve higher multiples, but only when growth quality supports them.

Consumer PE/PEG
Primary lens
PE and PEG relative to growth, ROE, margins, and brand strength.
Secondary checks
Volume growth, pricing power, distribution, same-store or category growth.
Main risk check
Premium valuation needs durable growth and margin resilience.
PE
23.3
PB
2.1
EV/EBITDA
10.4
ROE
9.2%
ROCE
14.9%
FCF Yield
4.9%
Debt/Equity
0.2
MoS
+31.3%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
48
Previous: 48
Verdict
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
+31.3%
Previous: +31.3%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +1 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
53
55
49
49
48
50
50
50
50
47
47
48

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹75.23
-48.4% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
35.0
Growth-justified Value
₹162.52
+31.3% MoS
PEG
0.61

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
69Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 59th percentile of the scored universe and 64th percentile within Consumer. Main check: results consistency is weak at 42/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 64.8%. Key concern: ROCE trend is -2.8%.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
124 docs text-extracted · 32 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
59th percentile

overall median 67 · Consumer: 64th pctile, median 66 · Micro: 38th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

124 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
73
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
58
watch · capital discipline
Results
42
weak · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 64.8%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 4.9%.
  • 6 years of positive FCF.

Trust risks

  • ROCE trend is -2.8%.
  • 0/4 latest quarters had positive YoY PAT growth.
  • 1 of the latest 4 quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
23.30
P/B
2.07
EV/EBITDA
10.36
Market Cap
5252.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
9.21%
ROCE
14.90%
ROA
2.72%
Dividend Y
0.45%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
60.00%
EPS 5Y
24.00%
Revenue 3Y
18.00%
EPS 3Y
60.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.21
Interest Coverage
4.19×
Altman Z
2.38
Book Value
54.10

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
4.93%
FCF Positive Y
6/5
OCF
643.00 Cr
EPS TTM
4.65

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
64.77%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
27%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Consumer, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.