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IndiaPulse

Tata Steel Limited (TATASTEEL)

Large Cap

Metals stocks · Large cap · NSE

Tata Steel Limited is a global steel producer with significant operations in India, UK, and Netherlands. The company is focused on scaling up capacity in India, driving sustainability initiatives, embracing digital transformation, and enhancing competitiveness through cost and efficiency programs.

₹188.79
+4.59 · +2.49%
Quote04 Sept, 03:59 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Metals P/E 20.4 (n=89)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is supportive, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
WATCHLIST
37

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
80

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
53

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
consistent
95

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Good · 55/100

Rev +14% YoY · PAT +19% YoY · margin expansion

Filed 30 Jul 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹60,794 Cr+14.3%-3.9%
EBITDA₹9,264 Cr+24.7%-5.7%
Operating margin15.0%+100 bps-100 bps
PAT₹2,385 Cr+18.8%-19.6%
PAT margin3.9%+15 bps-77 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-07-07T00:40:43.292Z
Management commentary snapshot

Tata Steel reported robust FY2026 performance with deliveries up 3.26% YoY, revenues up 6.22% YoY, and EBITDA increasing 35.06% YoY, despite global headwinds. Profit after Tax and EPS also saw significant year-over-year growth.

While FY2026 results show strong growth in key operational and financial metrics, particularly EBITDA, the sustainability of these gains amidst 'global headwinds' and the impact of ongoing large-scale capacity expansion and decarbonization efforts warrant close monitoring. The significant cost transformation program is a positive, but its continued effectiveness is crucial.

Growth engines

India Capacity Expansion

Scaling up in India to capitalize on growth opportunity, targeting 40+ MTPA capacity from ~27.4 MTPA.

Downstream Product Investment

Investment in downstream products including Tubes (1.7 MTPA to 4 MTPA), Wires (0.6 MTPA to 1 MTPA), Tinplate (0.4 MTPA to 1 MTPA), and a 0.7 MTPA HRPGL complex.

Digital Platforms

Digital platforms achieved US$1 billion sales in FY2026, leveraging AI for efficiency and customer experience.

Capacity and execution

India Crude Steel Capacity

Targeting 40+ MTPA crude steel capacity in India from current ~27.4 MTPA.

NINL Expansion

4.8 MTPA expansion at Neelachal Ispat Nigam Limited (NINL).

TSM Finished Steel

2.5 MTPA finished steel expansion at Tata Steel Meramandali (TSM).

Maharashtra Greenfield Project

6.0 MTPA greenfield project in Maharashtra.

Headwinds

Global Headwinds

Consolidated EBITDA improved by ~320 bps YoY for FY2026 despite global headwinds.

Risk radar

Economic Conditions

Economic conditions affecting demand/supply and price conditions in domestic and overseas markets.

Regulatory and Environmental Changes

Changes in or due to the environment, Government regulations, laws, statutes, judicial pronouncements.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare YOY

The presentation provides annual financial and operational data for FY2025 and FY2026, making year-over-year comparison the most appropriate basis for assessing performance trends and growth.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Deliveries (million tons)

Deliveries increased to 31.97 million tons in FY2026 from 30.96 million tons in FY2025, a 3.26% YoY increase.

Revenues (Rs crores)

Revenues grew to Rs 2,32,140 crores in FY2026 from Rs 2,18,543 crores in FY2025, up 6.22% YoY.

EBITDA (Rs crores)

EBITDA improved to Rs 34,848 crores in FY2026 from Rs 25,802 crores in FY2025, a 35.06% YoY increase.

EBITDA Margin Improvement

Consolidated EBITDA improved by ~320 bps YoY for FY2026 despite global headwinds.

Management forward view

Sustainability Commitment

Sustainability is at the core of strategy, with a Net Zero emissions target for Tata Steel by 2045.

Continued Cost Focus

Targeted focus on cost to continue in FY2027, aiming for ~Rs 7,140 crores (~$0.8 billion) in savings.

Balance Sheet Optimization

Focus on optimizing capital structure and cost, including onshoring debt to drive efficiency.

People-Driven Impact

Enhancing culture, capability, and cost efficiency through skilling, organizational design, and employee well-being initiatives.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
EBITDA Margin~15.01% (FY2026)Sustained improvement in EBITDA margin and the impact of ongoing cost efficiency programs.
Capacity Ramp-up in IndiaTargeting 40+ MTPA from ~27.4 MTPATimely commissioning and utilization ramp-up of new capacities at NINL, TSM, and the Maharashtra greenfield project.
Cost Transformation Program Achievement~Rs 10,868 crores delivered in FY2026Achievement of the targeted cost savings for FY2027 (~Rs 7,140 crores).
Decarbonization ProgressNet Zero emissions by 2045; UK reduction of 50 million tons CO2e over decadeSpecific milestones and capital allocation towards decarbonization initiatives, especially in Europe.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

53Neutral

MACD + · sector +2.7pp vs Nifty (3M)

Stock trend: 46
Sector RS: 64
Sector 3M: +1.2% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

TATASTEELdaily · 1Y · AUTO-5.9%
Latest close ₹188.79 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+2.5%
RSI
56
MACD hist
0.27
52W pos
45%
2026-09-04O ₹184.20H ₹189.90L ₹182.84C ₹188.79Vol 3.7Cr sh
₹177.78₹189.99₹202.20₹214.41₹226.6252H188.792026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 56. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price below SMA200 (long-term downtrend) — short-term bounces likely countertrend.
  • SMA20 roughly flat — short-term momentum stalled.
  • RSI(14) at 56 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal, histogram expanding — bullish momentum building.
  • 16% off 52W high · 18% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

52
RS percentile
Stage 1 Base / Transition
1M return
+0.7%
3M return
-7.1%
6M return
-2.4%
1Y return
+9.7%
RS 1D
+3
RS 20D
-3
Sector rank
#5
Industry rank
#6
Stage evidence
  • Price is within 4.9% of the 30-week proxy.
  • The 30-week proxy changed -0.3% over 20 sessions.
  • The moving-average structure does not confirm Stage 2 or Stage 4.
50-DMA
price above
200-DMA
price below
Sector
improving
Industry
leading
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 114.4+2.49%
94105117129140Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 26114
RS vs Nifty 500114

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 37 · WATCHLIST · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

37U-SCORE
WATCHLIST

Fundamental score breakdown

WATCHLIST
Valuation3/30
Growth9/25
Quality5/20
Balance Sheet5/15
Cash Flow10/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
37

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

37/100 · WATCHLIST

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 8.8%.
  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Cash flow contributes 10/10 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -9.4%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 3/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Quality is weaker at 5/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
19.9
PB
2.3
EV/EBITDA
6.7
ROE
11.7%
ROCE
12.5%
FCF Yield
8.8%
Debt/Equity
0.9
MoS
-9.4%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
37
Previous: 37
Verdict
WATCHLIST
Previous: WATCHLIST
Margin of safety
-9.4%
Previous: -9.4%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹127.48
-48.1% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
19.6
Growth-justified Value
₹172.63
-9.4% MoS
PEG
2.26

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
80Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 90th percentile of the scored universe and 92nd percentile within Metals. No major sub-score weakness stands out.

High Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
150 docs text-extracted · 12 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
90th percentile

overall median 67 · Metals: 92nd pctile, median 70 · Large: 77th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

150 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Can support position sizing if valuation and trend also agree.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
89
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
73
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
68
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
95
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is 8.8%.
  • 10 years of positive FCF.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • No major Trust Lite risk flags.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
19.90
P/B
2.31
EV/EBITDA
6.69
Market Cap
235677.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
11.70%
ROCE
12.50%
ROA
3.80%
Dividend Y
2.12%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
8.00%
EPS 5Y
8.00%
Revenue 3Y
-2.00%
EPS 3Y
10.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.90
Interest Coverage
5.11×
Altman Z
2.54
Book Value
81.80

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
8.77%
FCF Positive Y
10/5
OCF
35064.00 Cr
EPS TTM
8.83

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
32.94%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
45%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 139.7k+5.4% vs prev
0143kMar 2017: 48.0kMar 2018: 59.6kMar 2019: 70.6kMar 2020: 60.4kMar 2021: 64.9kMar 2022: 129.0kMar 2023: 142.9kMar 2024: 140.9kMar 2025: 132.5kMar 2026: 139.7kFY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 16.1k+15.0% vs prev
033kMar 2017: 3,445Mar 2018: 4,170Mar 2019: 10.5kMar 2020: 6,744Mar 2021: 13.6kMar 2022: 33.0kMar 2023: 14.7kMar 2024: 15.7kMar 2025: 14.0kMar 2026: 16.1kFY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 11.8+7.5% vs prev
026.3Mar 2017: 6.9%Mar 2018: 6.5%Mar 2019: 14.5%Mar 2020: 8.8%Mar 2021: 14.9%Mar 2022: 26.3%Mar 2023: 10.8%Mar 2024: 11.1%Mar 2025: 11.0%Mar 2026: 11.8%FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Peers

Business-comparable names in Metals, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.