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Steel Authority of India Limited (SAIL)

Mid Cap

Metals stocks · Mid cap · NSE

Steel Authority of India Limited (SAIL) is a major Indian public sector steel producer, operating integrated steel plants. It produces a wide range of steel products and has captive mines for iron ore, limestone, and dolomite.

₹169.5
+0.53 · +0.31%
Market cap ₹70,735 Cr
IndicesNifty 500
Data qualityFresh enough for analysisQuote updated 21 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Details
Quote21 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Base fundamentals16 Oct 2026 · screener
Latest result16 Aug, 01:33 am IST
Score21 Oct, 04:30 am IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Metals P/E 23.2 (n=92)
Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

37Bearish

SMA20 -5.9% / mo · MACD −

Stock trend: 33
Sector RS: 44
Sector 3M: -5.5% vs Nifty 500 -5.6%
Metals FPI tailwindNot confirmed

Latest mapped FPI equity flow was not positive. View sector evidence

Technical chart

SAILD candles · FIT view-8.0%
Latest close ₹169.50 on 2026-10-21
Bar
-0.9%
RSI
41
MACD hist
-0.54
52W pos
53%
Visible chart range
Candle interval
2026-10-21O ₹171.00H ₹172.72L ₹166.50C ₹169.50Vol 1.5Cr sh
₹155.43₹169.64₹183.85₹198.07₹212.2852H₹169.502026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-042026-062026-082026-092026-11
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal
Market context

Relative performance and chart statistics

Adjusted completed-session prices, rebased to 100

SAILNifty MetalNifty 500
-10%+1%+13%+25%21 Jul2 Sept21 Oct21 Oct 2026SAIL +3.3%Nifty Metal -6.1%Nifty 500 -6.5%
SAIL
+3.3%
Nifty 500
-6.5%
Nifty Metal
-6.1%
Vs Nifty 500
+9.8 pp
Chart stats
21 Oct 2026
From 52W high
-19.2%
₹209.7
52W range position
53%
₹124 - ₹209.7
ATR (14)
3.5%
₹5.9
Volume vs 20D
0.93x
Latest completed session
Avg traded value
₹298 Cr
20-session average
20D price channel
₹165.8 - ₹191.4
37.5% annualized volatility
Research snapshot

What the evidence says now

Weak fundamentals, management evidence is still limited to a financial-only Trust Lite signal, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The evidence is not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
Legacy · WATCHLIST
42

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Latest result
Good
70

Revenue +1.3% · PAT +120.7% YoY

Technical
Bearish
37

Price trend and sector-relative-strength timing.

Valuation
Legacy model
-140.3%

Legacy margin-of-safety estimate; the revised evidence label remains in shadow validation.

Trust
Limited evidence
74

Financial-only signal; management claim evidence is not sufficient yet.

Financials

Fundamentals, quarterly history, margins, returns and balance-sheet evidence

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Good · 70/100

Rev +1% YoY · PAT +121% YoY · margin expansion · operating leverage

Filed 30 Jun 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹26,246 Cr+1.3%-14.8%
EBITDA₹4,153 Cr+50.0%-5.8%
Operating margin16.0%+500 bps+200 bps
PAT₹1,644 Cr+120.7%-10.4%
PAT margin6.3%+339 bps+30 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
14.60
P/B
1.17
EV/EBITDA
5.27
Market Cap
70735.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
6.57%
ROCE
7.92%
ROA
3.14%
Dividend Y
1.36%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
10.00%
EPS 5Y
-1.00%
Revenue 3Y
2.00%
EPS 3Y
26.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.53
Interest Coverage
6.20×
Altman Z
2.44
Book Value
146.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
15.75%
FCF Positive Y
5/5
OCF
19039.00 Cr
EPS TTM
10.34

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
65.00%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
55%

Financial History

Updated 21/10/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 26.2k-14.8% vs prev
031kSep 2023: 29.7kDec 2023: 23.3kMar 2024: 28.0kJun 2024: 24.0kSep 2024: 24.7kDec 2024: 24.5kMar 2025: 29.3kJun 2025: 25.9kSep 2025: 26.7kDec 2025: 27.4kMar 2026: 30.8kJun 2026: 26.2kQ2 23Q3 23FY24Q1 24Q2 24Q3 24FY25Q1 25Q2 25Q3 25FY26Q1 26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 1,644-10.4% vs prev
01835Sep 2023: 1,306Dec 2023: 423Mar 2024: 1,126Jun 2024: 82.0Sep 2024: 897Dec 2024: 142Mar 2025: 1,251Jun 2025: 745Sep 2025: 419Dec 2025: 374Mar 2026: 1,835Jun 2026: 1,644Q2 23Q3 23FY24Q1 24Q2 24Q3 24FY25Q1 25Q2 25Q3 25FY26Q1 26
ROE is shown only in the Annual view — quarterly equity data isn't published.

Technicals

Trend interpretation, Stage 2, relative strength, volume and indicator evidence

Daily technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend down. RSI 41.

  • Price below SMA200 (long-term downtrend) — short-term bounces likely countertrend.
  • SMA20 falling (~6.2% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 41 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 19% off 52W high · 37% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

81
RS percentile
Stage 1 Base / Transition
1M return
-4.4%
3M return
+3.3%
6M return
-3.9%
1Y return
+20.6%
RS 1D
-1
RS 20D
+5
Sector rank
#11
Industry rank
#12
Stage evidence
  • Price is within 4.2% of the 30-week proxy.
  • The 30-week proxy changed +1.5% over 20 sessions.
  • The moving-average structure does not confirm Stage 2 or Stage 4.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price below
Sector
neutral
Industry
neutral
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
262 observations
21 Oct 2026Value 134+1.25%
89107125143161Sept 25Feb 26Jun 26Oct 26134
RS vs Nifty 500134

Valuation & peers

U-Score 42 · legacy U-Score band WATCHLIST · valuation evidence and comparable companies

42U-SCORE
WATCHLIST

Fundamental score breakdown

U band · WATCHLIST
Valuation12/30
Growth5/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet10/15
Cash Flow10/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
42

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

42/100 · legacy band WATCHLIST

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 15.8%.
  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Cash flow contributes 10/10 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -140.3%.
  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Growth is weaker at 5/25; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
14.6
PB
1.2
EV/EBITDA
5.3
ROE
6.6%
ROCE
7.9%
FCF Yield
15.8%
Debt/Equity
0.5
MoS
-140.3%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 21 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
42
Previous: 42
Legacy U-Score band
WATCHLIST
Previous: WATCHLIST
Margin of safety
-140.3%
Previous: -139.6%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

21 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
42
42
42
42
42
42
42
42
42
42
42
42

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹184.3
+8.0% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
6.8
Growth-justified Value
₹70.52
-140.3% MoS
PEG
—

Comparable companies

Peers

Business-comparable peers in Metals — ranked by industry, sub-sector, theme-tag overlap, market cap, and U-Score similarity. Green cells mark the best available peer metric in this table.

Compare all ↗
Ticker
Name
Why peer
Score
PE
ROE
MoS
Verdict
JINDALSTEL
Large
JINDAL STEEL LIMITED
Steel
match 86
26
34.1
8.2%
-385%
OVERVALUED
MUKANDLTD
Small
Mukand Limited
Steel
match 77
56
4.2
5.6%
+89%
FAIR VALUE
JAIBALAJI
Micro
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
Steel
match 77
66
20.4
30.7%
+37%
UNDERVALUED
JSWSTEEL
Large
JSW Steel Limited
Steel
match 74
41
23.8
10.2%
-25%
WATCHLIST
TATASTEEL
Large
Tata Steel Limited
Steel
match 74
39
18.4
11.7%
-1%
WATCHLIST

Business, management & trust

Growth engines, risks, management commitments and evidence-backed delivery

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-04T07:54:02.013Z
Management commentary snapshot

SAIL reported strong FY26 performance with PAT up 50.5% YoY and EBITDA up 11.7% YoY, driven by higher sales volumes and improved realizations. Q4 FY26 saw significant sequential profitability improvement, with EBITDA up 81.1% QoQ, despite flat sales volumes YoY for the quarter.

SAIL demonstrated robust financial and operational improvements in FY26, marked by significant PAT growth and enhanced EBITDA margins. Deleveraging continued, and key techno-economic parameters improved. The strong sequential Q4 performance, driven by sales price and raw material usage, indicates positive momentum, though flat quarterly sales volume needs monitoring.

Current business mix

Product Mix (FY26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 3 reported categories.

Businessmix
Flats50.9%
Longs35.7%
Semis13.4%
Growth engines

Domestic Steel Consumption

India's finished steel consumption grew ~8% over previous year in FY26.

Infrastructure & Capital Goods Demand

IIP growth driven majorly by Infrastructure Goods and Capital Goods in FY25-26.

Operational Efficiency

Improved techno-economic parameters like Coke Rate, BF Productivity, and Specific Energy Consumption in FY26.

Deleveraging

Borrowings (Non Ind AS) decreased from Rs. 29811 crore (Mar'25) to Rs. 21663 crore (Mar'26).

Tailwinds

Strong Indian Economic Growth

India's First Advance Estimates for FY26 at 7.4%, likely to remain amongst the fastest growing major economies.

Domestic Steel Demand

Crude steel production in India grew ~11% over previous year whereas consumption grew ~8% during FY’26.

Improved Sales Realizations

Sales Price/NSR contributed +Rs. 2213 crore to EBITDA movement Q4 FY26 vs Q3 FY26.

Headwinds

Global Economic Slowdown

IMF decreased 2026 growth projections over Jan’26 due to prevailing scenario in the middle east.

Global Steel Production Decline

World crude steel production falling by 2.3% (Jan-Mar CY’26 over CPLY) with China registering degrowth of 4.6%.

Input Price Volatility

Input Price/Cost contributed -Rs. 4245 crore to EBITDA movement FY26 vs FY25.

Risk radar

Global Economic Volatility

Economic conditions affecting demand / supply and prices in the domestic and global markets.

Commodity Price Fluctuations

Prices in the domestic and global markets in which the Company operates.

Regulatory Changes

Changes in Government regulations, tax laws and other statutes, etc.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

Annual (YoY) comparison provides a full-year view of growth and efficiency trends, crucial for a cyclical industry like steel. Quarterly (QoQ) comparison assesses sequential momentum, pricing power, and immediate impact of input costs, critical for spreads.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Crude Steel Production

FY26: 19.434 MT (+1.2% YoY). Q4 FY26: 5.1 MT (flat YoY, +8.5% QoQ vs Q3 FY26).

Total Sales Volume

FY26: 19.932 MT (+11.2% YoY). Q4 FY26: 5.3 MT (flat YoY, +3.8% QoQ vs Q3 FY26).

EBITDA Margin

FY26: 12.0% (vs 11.6% FY25). Q4 FY26: 15.6% (vs 9.7% Q3 FY26, 12.9% Q4 FY25).

EBITDA/ton

FY26: Rs. 6595 (vs Rs. 6574 FY25).

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Domestic Steel Consumption GrowthIndia's consumption grew ~8% in FY26.Sustained growth in infrastructure and capital goods sectors.
EBITDA Margin TrendFY26 at 12.0%, Q4 FY26 at 15.6%.Ability to maintain or expand margins amidst input cost volatility and pricing pressures.
Debt-Equity Ratio0.37 (Mar'26).Continued deleveraging and efficient capital allocation.
Operational Efficiency MetricsImproved coke rate, BF productivity, specific energy consumption in FY26.Further improvements in techno-economic parameters.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Trust Score
74Limited evidence · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Limited evidence: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 75th percentile of the scored universe and 75th percentile within Metals. Main check: financial discipline is weak at 40/100.

This is a financial-behaviour screen, not a claim-tested management reliability verdict.

Computed 21 Oct 2026
management-trust-v1
52 docs text-extracted · 33 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Limited evidence

Financial behaviour is scored, but management claims do not yet have enough outcome checks.

Relative rank
75th percentile

overall median 67 · Metals: 75th pctile, median 70 · Mid: 44th pctile, median 76

Evidence depth
Financial-only

52 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Limited evidence · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
89
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
73
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
40
weak · capital discipline
Results
80
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • ▸Promoter holding is 65%.
  • ▸Promoter pledge is zero.
  • ▸FCF yield is 15.8%.
  • ▸5 years of positive FCF.

Trust risks

  • ▸ROCE is low at 7.9%.
  • ▸ROE is low at 6.6%.
  • ▸1 of the latest 4 quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Important announcements & filings

Latest exchange and company disclosures found within the past two years.

6 shown
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation 17 Sep

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication 2 Sep

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication 16 May

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.