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IndiaPulse

Sobha Limited (SOBHA)

Large Cap

Real Estate stocks · Large cap · NSE

Sobha Limited is a Bengaluru-headquartered real estate developer with over 30 years of experience. It operates a backward integrated model covering design, manufacturing, construction, and delivery, focusing on residential real estate. The company also has contracting, manufacturing, and retail segments.

₹1,263.8
+4.70 · +0.37%
Quote04 Sept, 03:57 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Real Estate P/E 23.9 (n=72)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
OVERVALUED
27

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
66

low confidence · 2/6 claims checked

Technical
Strong Bear
19

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
stable
72

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Excellent · 90/100

Rev +50% YoY · PAT +264% YoY · margin expansion · operating leverage

Filed 30 Jun 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,278 Cr+50.0%-35.7%
EBITDA₹78 Cr+225.0%-48.7%
Operating margin6.0%+320 bps-200 bps
PAT₹51 Cr+264.3%-44.6%
PAT margin4.0%+235 bps-64 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-07-21T07:15:01.314Z
Management commentary snapshot

Sobha reports record Q1 FY27 real estate sales of ₹36.56 Bn (+76% YoY) and 2.34 Mn sft (+62% YoY), driven by strong launches in Bangalore and NCR. PAT surged 264% YoY to ₹0.51 Bn, despite a negative net cashflow of (₹1.49) Bn due to increased land investments.

The company delivered record quarterly sales and strong profit growth, supported by new launches and a robust project pipeline. However, increased land investments led to negative net cashflow for the quarter, which warrants monitoring despite a net cash positive balance sheet.

Current business mix

Q1 FY27 Sales Value Mix by Price Band

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 4 reported categories.

Businessmix
< ₹2 Cr.19.0%
₹2 - ₹3 Cr.26.0%
> ₹3 - ₹5 Cr.13.0%
>₹5 Cr.42.0%
Growth engines

New Market Entries

Company entered 2 new markets, Greater Noida & Mumbai, in 2026 with SOBHA Aurum & SOBHA Inizio.

Strong Launch Performance

Strong launch performance of SOBHA Crescent helped achieve historic quarterly high sales in NCR. Bangalore achieved its best ever quarterly sales.

Robust Project Pipeline

20.77 Mn sft forthcoming launches with a sale potential of ₹295.57 Bn over 6-8 quarters.

Developable Land Bank

361 acres of developable land bank across 8 regions with 36.94 Mn sft potential for future growth.

Capacity and execution

New Project Launches Q1 FY27

SOBHA OneWorld (Hoskote, Bangalore), SOBHA Crescent (Sector 63A, Gurgaon), SOBHA Sacred Grove (Chikka Tirupati, Bangalore) launched.

Tailwinds

Credit Rating Upgrade

Ind-RA upgraded Outlook to AA- Positive, reflecting stable financial footing.

Strong Market Response

Bangalore achieved its best ever quarterly sales, backed by good response to SOBHA OneWorld and Sacred Grove launches.

Headwinds

Increased Sales & Marketing Spend

Sales & marketing spend is at ₹0.88 Bn (+79% YoY) in Q1 FY27, on account of higher sales.

Increased Land Investment

Land investment increased to ₹3.70 Bn (+31% YoY) in Q1 FY27.

Risk radar

Negative Net Cashflow

Net Cashflow after Land and Financial outflow is at (₹1.49) Bn for Q1 FY27, despite positive operational cashflow.

Execution Risk for Projections

Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ from projections made by the company.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is crucial for assessing growth against seasonal fluctuations in the real estate sector. QoQ provides insight into sequential momentum, especially for sales and cashflow trends, which are both relevant here.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Presales (New Sale Area)

New sale area Q1 FY27: 2.34 Mn sft, up from 1.44 Mn sft in Q1 FY26 (+62% YoY).

Presales (Total Sale Value)

Total sale value Q1 FY27: ₹36.56 Bn, up from ₹20.79 Bn in Q1 FY26 (+76% YoY).

Collections (Real Estate)

Real estate collections Q1 FY27: ₹17.56 Bn, up from ₹15.99 Bn in Q1 FY26 (+9.9% YoY).

Launches (New Saleable Area)

New Launches Q1 FY27: 6.89 Mn Sft saleable area across 3 projects in 2 cities.

Management forward view

Future Revenue Recognition

₹205.53 Bn revenue to be recognized from sales done till June 30, 2026.

Projected Project Level EBITDA Margin

Management projects 30%+ project level EBITDA margin.

Total Marginal Cashflow

₹194.81 Bn marginal Cashflow expected from current & forthcoming projects.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Net Operational Cashflow₹3.12 Bn (Q1 FY27)Improvement from YoY decline and sustained positive trend in subsequent quarters.
Net Cashflow(₹1.49) Bn (Q1 FY27)Return to positive territory and efficient funding of land investments without significant debt increase.
Real Estate Sales Value₹36.56 Bn (Q1 FY27)Continued growth momentum and successful performance of new launches in upcoming quarters.
Realization (₹/sft)₹15,655/sft (Q1 FY27)Sustained price increases across regions, indicating strong demand and pricing power.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Show extracted source claims
capex timelinenot yet verifiablequantified

Forthcoming projects are expected to be launched over the next 6-8 quarters.

Timeframe: next 6-8 quartersConfidence: expected

"expected to be launched over next 6-8 quarters"

capex timelinenot yet verifiablequantified

Forthcoming projects are expected to be launched over the next 6-8 quarters.

Timeframe: next 6-8 quartersConfidence: expected

"expected to be launched over next 6-8 quarters"

cash flow improvementnot yet verifiablequantified

Forthcoming projects are projected to generate a marginal cashflow of ₹73.09 Bn.

Direction: increase

"Marginal Cashflow – Forthcoming Projects ₹ Bn 73.09"

cash flow improvementdeliveredquantified

Forthcoming projects are projected to generate a marginal cashflow of ₹73.09 Bn.

Direction: increase

"Marginal Cashflow – Forthcoming Projects ₹ Bn 73.09"

Outcome check: OPM moved from 4.1% to average 7.0% (+2.9 pp).

project executionnot yet verifiablequantified

The developable land bank has a development potential of 42.79 Mn sft SBA.

Timeframe: long-term

"Development Potential (SBA in Mn sft) 42.79"

project executionnot yet verifiablequantified

The developable land bank has a development potential of 42.79 Mn sft SBA.

Timeframe: long-term

"Development Potential (SBA in Mn sft) 42.79"

revenue outlookdeliveredquantified

Balance revenue yet to be recognized from sales done till December 31, 2025, is ₹186.06 Bn.

Timeframe: future (beyond Dec 31, 2025)Direction: increase

"Balance revenue yet to be recognized from sales done till 31 December 2025 was ₹186.06 Bn"

Outcome check: Revenue YoY averaged 55.1% across 2 later quarter(s).

revenue outlooknot yet verifiablequantified

Balance revenue yet to be recognized from sales done till December 31, 2025, is ₹186.06 Bn.

Timeframe: future (beyond Dec 31, 2025)Direction: increase

"Balance revenue yet to be recognized from sales done till 31 December 2025 was ₹186.06 Bn"

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

19Strong Bear

full bear SMA stack · SMA20 -8.0% / mo · MACD −

Stock trend: 19
Sector RS:

Technical chart

SOBHAdaily · 1Y · AUTO-6.7%
Latest close ₹1263.80 on 2026-09-04
Bar
-0.7%
RSI
39
MACD hist
-0.46
52W pos
22%
2026-09-04O ₹1273.30H ₹1276.60L ₹1243.10C ₹1263.80Vol 74,200 sh
₹1.11k₹1.23k₹1.35k₹1.48k₹1.60k52L1263.802026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 39. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price < SMA20 < SMA50 < SMA200 — full bearish stack.
  • SMA20 falling (~8.7% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 39 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 27% off 52W high · 12% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

23
RS percentile
Stage 1 Base / Transition
1M return
-5.6%
3M return
-2.8%
6M return
-5.7%
1Y return
-20.5%
RS 1D
+2
RS 20D
-2
Sector rank
#3
Industry rank
#9
Stage evidence
  • Price is within 7.5% of the 30-week proxy.
  • The 30-week proxy changed -1.6% over 20 sessions.
  • The moving-average structure does not confirm Stage 2 or Stage 4.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price below
Sector
leading
Industry
improving
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 81.32+0.37%
788694102110Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 2681
RS vs Nifty 50081

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 27 · OVERVALUED · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

27U-SCORE
Distress Watch

Fundamental score breakdown

OVERVALUED
Valuation0/30
Growth15/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet3/15
Cash Flow6/10
Piotroski
6/9 (+3)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
27

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

27/100 · OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Growth contributes 15/25 to the score.
  • Cash flow contributes 6/10 to the score.
  • Balance sheet contributes 3/15 to the score.

Main drags

  • Altman Z is 1.3, in distress territory.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -63.8%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Real estate valuation: NAV, pre-sales, debt, and inventory quality

Real estate valuation depends more on project economics and balance sheet than simple PE.

Real Estate NAV
Primary lens
NAV and market cap versus project pipeline and pre-sales.
Secondary checks
Inventory age, net debt, collections, execution record.
Main risk check
Book value can overstate value if inventory is slow or debt is high.
PE
58.6
PB
2.9
EV/EBITDA
30.7
ROE
4.2%
ROCE
6.9%
FCF Yield
2.5%
Debt/Equity
0.2
MoS
-63.8%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
27
Previous: 27
Verdict
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-63.8%
Previous: -63.8%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
29
29
27
27
27
27
27
27
27
27
27
27

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹462.63
-173.2% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
35.8
Growth-justified Value
₹771.77
-63.8% MoS
PEG
2.42

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
66Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Management has 100% delivered/partly-delivered outcomes on 2 checked claims. It ranks around the 49th percentile of the scored universe and 76th percentile within Real Estate. Main check: financial discipline is weak at 48/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: Altman Z is 1.32.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
98 docs text-extracted · 51 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
49th percentile

overall median 67 · Real Estate: 76th pctile, median 61 · Large: 26th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

98 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
100% delivered or partly delivered

2/6 claims checked · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
55
watch · leverage and solvency
Discipline
48
watch · capital discipline
Results
72
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 2.5%.
  • 9 years of positive FCF.
  • 3/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • Altman Z is 1.32.
  • ROCE is low at 6.9%.
  • ROE is low at 4.2%.
  • 1 of the latest 4 quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
58.60
P/B
2.87
EV/EBITDA
30.68
Market Cap
13514.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
4.16%
ROCE
6.86%
ROA
1.18%
Dividend Y
0.47%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
20.00%
EPS 5Y
25.00%
Revenue 3Y
16.00%
EPS 3Y
23.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.22
Interest Coverage
2.62×
Altman Z
1.32
Book Value
441.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
2.46%
FCF Positive Y
9/5
OCF
430.00 Cr
EPS TTM
21.57

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
52.88%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
22%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Real Estate, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.