IP
IndiaPulse

Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX)

Mid Cap

Financial Services stocks · Mid cap · NSE

Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) is India's leading commodity derivatives exchange, offering trading in futures and options across bullion, base metals, energy, and agricultural commodities. It also operates a clearing corporation, MCXCCL, which acts as a central counterparty for trades.

₹3,275.4
+105.20 · +3.32%
Quote04 Sept, 03:59 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags03 May 2026
Coverage12/14 · 86%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Financial Services P/E 18.5 (n=240)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Investable fundamentals, management trust is supportive, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
UNDERVALUED
61

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
84

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
56

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
stable
77

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Excellent · 90/100

Rev +88% YoY · PAT +103% YoY · margin expansion · operating leverage

Filed 04 Aug 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹702 Cr+88.2%-21.0%
EBITDA₹494 Cr+105.0%-25.7%
Operating margin70.0%+500 bps-500 bps
PAT₹413 Cr+103.5%-22.1%
PAT margin58.8%+441 bps-79 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-14T15:53:19.651Z
Management commentary snapshot

MCX reported exceptional FY26 and Q4 FY26 results, with operating revenue more than doubling YoY and PAT crossing Rs. 1,300 Cr for the full year. Q4 saw over 200% YoY operating revenue growth and nearly 300% YoY PAT growth, driven by strong ADT expansion in bullion and energy.

The company demonstrated robust financial and operational performance in FY26 and Q4 FY26, with significant YoY growth in revenue, PAT, and Average Daily Turnover (ADT). Market share dominance in key segments and strategic initiatives to expand participation and product offerings indicate continued strong momentum, supporting the investment thesis.

Current business mix

MCX Commodities Futures Turnover % Q4 FY26

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 8 reported categories.

Businessmix
GOLD43.0%
SILVER34.0%
COPPER7.0%
NATURAL GAS7.0%
CRUDE OIL7.0%
ALUMINIUM1.0%
ZINC1.0%
Others0.1%
Growth engines

Expanding Market Participation

Banks are allowed to provide broking services and serve as Professional Clearing Members. Integration of brokers and increasing institutional participation from MFs, PMS, and FPIs.

New Products & Indices

Introduction of Commodity Index Options, Cardamom Futures, Nickel Futures, Gold and Silver monthly Options, and BULLDEX Options.

Dominant Market Share

MCX continues to command over 99% share across bullion, base metals, and energy, benefiting from overall market expansion.

Bullion and Energy Segment Growth

Avg. Daily Turnover (F&O) growth in Bullion and Energy is expanding the overall market and driving sharp acceleration in ADT.

Capacity and execution

New Commodity Derivatives Platform

Go Live of new Commodity Derivatives Platform on Oct 16, 2023, enhancing operational capabilities.

Designated Warehouses

Has designated warehouses in Thane, Raipur, Chennai, Kolkata, and Palwal (NCR) for deliverable metal contracts.

Tailwinds

Indian Commodities Derivatives Market Expansion

The overall market is expanding rapidly, driven by growth in Bullion and Energy F&O Average Daily Turnover.

Regulatory Support for Participation

SEBI's initiatives allowing banks, Mutual Funds, Portfolio Managers, and Foreign Portfolio Investors to participate in commodity derivatives.

Strategic Partnerships

Licensing agreements with NYMEX (CME Group) and IEX, and a consultancy agreement with CSE to establish Bangladesh’s first Commodity Exchange.

Risk radar

Regulatory Changes

Changes in government regulations could materially differ the company's actual performance from expectations.

Competition

Competition from other exchanges or platforms could impact market share and profitability.

Technological Change

Technological change is an inherent risk that could affect the company's performance.

Economic Factors

General economic, political, and market factors in India and internationally can influence commodity trading volumes and company performance.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is crucial for assessing annual growth and overall market expansion, especially for a financial year. QoQ comparison is important to track sequential momentum in ADT, margins, and the impact of recent initiatives.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Options Average Daily Turnover (ADT)

Positive

FY26: 471,641 Cr (+146% YoY); Q4 FY26: 575,387 Cr (+112% YoY).

Futures Average Daily Turnover (ADT)

Positive

FY26: 64,407 Cr (+137% YoY); Q4 FY26: 90,199 Cr (+111% YoY).

EBITDA Margin

Positive

FY26: 73% (vs 63% PY); Q4 FY26: 76% (vs 59% PY).

Net Profit Margin

Positive

FY26: 55% (vs 46% PY); Q4 FY26: 57% (vs 42% PY).

Management forward view

Focus on Market Expansion

Management is focused on expanding the overall market through increased participation and new product offerings.

Leveraging Dominant Position

The company aims to maintain its over 99% market share in key segments like bullion, base metals, and energy.

Operational Efficiency

The new Commodity Derivatives Platform and robust risk management systems are key operational enablers.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Overall ADT GrowthFY26 F&O ADT +146% YoY.Sustained high double-digit growth in both Futures and Options ADT.
EBITDA MarginQ4 FY26 76%.Maintenance or further improvement in high operating margins.
Client AcquisitionFY26 F&O Traded Clients 20.9 Lakh (+61% YoY).Continued growth in unique traded clients across segments.
New Product AdoptionNew products like Cardamom Futures, Nickel Futures, Gold/Silver monthly Options launched.Contribution of new products to overall ADT and revenue.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

56Neutral

SMA20 +14.4% / mo · MACD + · near 52W low

Stock trend: 56
Sector RS:

Technical chart

MCXdaily · 1Y · AUTO+28.3%
Latest close ₹3275.40 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+2.7%
RSI
60
MACD hist
0.73
52W pos
13%
2026-09-04O ₹3187.80H ₹3287.40L ₹3165.60C ₹3275.40Vol 24.9L sh
₹2.18k₹2.61k₹3.03k₹3.46k₹3.89k3275.402026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 60. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price below SMA200 (long-term downtrend) — short-term bounces likely countertrend.
  • SMA20 rising (~12.6% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 60 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal but histogram contracting — bullish momentum cooling.
  • 71% off 52W high · 54% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

17
RS percentile
Stage 2 Uptrend
1M return
+24.2%
3M return
+16.0%
6M return
+29.7%
1Y return
-57.2%
RS 1D
+5
RS 20D
+13
Sector rank
#9
Industry rank
-
Stage evidence
  • Price is 16.9% above the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is above the 30-week proxy and its slope is rising +3.6%.
  • Both 3-month and 6-month returns are positive.
50-DMA
price above
200-DMA
price below
Sector
neutral
Industry
unranked
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 39+3.34%
204977106134Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 2639
RS vs Nifty 50039

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 61 · UNDERVALUED · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

61U-SCORE
Premium Compounder

Fundamental score breakdown

UNDERVALUED
Valuation0/30
Growth25/25
Quality20/20
Balance Sheet6/15
Cash Flow6/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
-1
Raw sum
61

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

61/100 · UNDERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Growth contributes 25/25 to the score.
  • Quality contributes 20/20 to the score.

Main drags

  • Penalty bucket subtracts 1 points.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -95.2%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
54.2
PB
29.2
EV/EBITDA
42.3
ROE
56.3%
ROCE
71.4%
FCF Yield
0.8%
Debt/Equity
0.0
MoS
-95.2%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
61
Previous: 61
Verdict
UNDERVALUED
Previous: UNDERVALUED
Margin of safety
-95.2%
Previous: -95.2%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: -1 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
62
62
62
62
62
62
62
62
62
62
62
61

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹390.33
-739.1% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
27.8
Growth-justified Value
₹1,677.77
-95.2% MoS
PEG
0.75

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
84Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 97th percentile of the scored universe and 99th percentile within Financial Services. No major sub-score weakness stands out.

High Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: OPM spread across recent quarters is 20%.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
275 docs text-extracted · 181 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
97th percentile

overall median 67 · Financial Services: 99th pctile, median 62 · Mid: 89th pctile, median 76

Evidence depth
Financial-only

275 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Can support position sizing if valuation and trend also agree.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
88
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
98
strong · capital discipline
Results
77
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 0.8%.
  • 11 years of positive FCF.
  • Debt/equity is 0.00.

Trust risks

  • OPM spread across recent quarters is 20%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
54.20
P/B
29.24
EV/EBITDA
42.29
Market Cap
83520.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
56.30%
ROCE
71.40%
ROA
20.56%
Dividend Y
0.24%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
43.00%
EPS 5Y
49.00%
Revenue 3Y
65.00%
EPS 3Y
108.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.00
Interest Coverage
Altman Z
7.84
Book Value
112.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
0.76%
FCF Positive Y
11/5
OCF
3035.00 Cr
EPS TTM
60.46

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
90%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Financial Services, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.