IP
IndiaPulse

Karnika Industries Ltd. (KARNIKA)

SME Cap

Consumer stocks · SME cap · NSE

Karnika Industries is an integrated kidswear platform with over 15 years of legacy in manufacturing, brands, and distribution. It operates an asset-light model with 4 manufacturing facilities in Howrah, PAN-India distribution across 28 states, and an omnichannel presence. The company focuses on scalable operations and diversified growth in the fast-growing Indian kidswear market.

₹118.3
+2.75 · +2.38%
Quote04 Sept, 03:32 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags24 Apr 2026
Coverage10/14 · 71%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Consumer P/E 23.3 (n=433)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
OVERVALUED
27

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
66

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
44

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
mixed
55

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Average · 30/100

YoY data unavailable — classification deferred

Filed 30 Jun 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹73.8 CrNDF+2.8%
EBITDA₹12.7 CrNDF+65.4%
Operating margin17.2%NDF+652 bps
PAT₹9.1 CrNDF-1.9%
PAT margin12.4%NDF-60 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-08-19T07:21:53.776Z
Management commentary snapshot

Karnika Industries reported exceptional Q1 FY27 performance with revenue up 121.6% YoY, EBITDA up 154.9% YoY, and PAT up 197.1% YoY, driven by strong demand, operating leverage, and disciplined execution. Margins expanded significantly.

Karnika's Q1 FY27 results demonstrate strong execution and capitalize on the growing organized kidswear market. The asset-light model and omnichannel strategy appear to be driving significant top-line growth and margin expansion. The acquisition of Kidcity further strengthens its integrated platform and consumer reach, positioning it for continued profitable growth.

Current business mix

Revenue by Product Category (Q1 FY27)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 4 reported categories.

Businessmix
Boys’ Wear37.0%
Girls’ Wear32.0%
Infant21.0%
Fabric9.0%
Growth engines

Integrated Kidswear Platform

Positive

Building India's largest integrated kidswear platform at scale, with end-to-end control from sourcing to consumer shelf, enabling better quality and faster response.

Omnichannel Presence

Positive

Connecting every parent everywhere through extensive distributor networks, marketplace partnerships, institutional B2B, D2C channels, kiosks (55+), and shop-in-shop.

Fast-Growing Kidswear Market

Positive

Well positioned in India's fast-growing kidswear market, driven by rising disposable income, e-commerce growth, sustainability preference, and smaller families.

Kidcity Acquisition

Positive

Acquired a 75% controlling stake in Kidcity, a fast-growing D2C and omni-channel kidswear brand, expanding consumer reach and diversifying revenue streams.

Capacity and execution

Capacity Utilization

Positive

Achieved 90%+ capacity utilization level for all plants, supporting growth without heavy manufacturing investments due to an asset-light model.

Asset-Light Model

Positive

Partner network for 90% operations, with in-house core value addition, enhances scalability and reduces fixed costs, enabling growth without additional capex on plant.

Tailwinds

Rising Disposable Income

Positive

Increase in urban and semi-urban families' spending power drives demand for kidswear.

E-commerce & D2C Growth

Positive

Online channels and D2C brands are making branded kidswear more accessible.

Tier II/III Expansion

Positive

Huge demand from aspiring consumers outside metros presents significant growth opportunities.

Formalization of Unorganised Sector

Positive

Quality players like Karnika can capture market share from local suppliers as the market formalizes.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is crucial for a consumer business like kidswear due to potential seasonality. QoQ comparison is also relevant to assess sequential momentum and the impact of recent strategic initiatives and operating leverage.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Revenue Growth

Positive

Revenue from Operations grew 121.6% YoY to INR 74 Cr in Q1 FY27.

Gross Margins

Under Stress

Gross Margins were 33.6% in FY26, reflecting product mix transition and input cost normalization post peak FY22 levels (50.4% in FY22).

EBITDA Margins

Positive

EBITDA Margins expanded by 225 bps YoY to 17.2% in Q1 FY27, and by 652 bps QoQ from 10.7% in Q4 FY26.

Distribution Expansion

Positive

Pan-India distribution network covers 28 states with 150+ distribution partners. Omnichannel presence includes D2C, marketplaces, institutional B2B, kiosks (55+), and shop-in-shop.

Management forward view

Strong Start to FY27

Positive

FY27 has commenced on a strong note, driven by the strength of our integrated business model, expanding distribution network, and growing acceptance of our branded kidswear portfolio.

Focus Areas

Neutral

Focus remains on strengthening brand equity, expanding market reach, enhancing operational efficiencies, and delivering sustainable profitable growth.

Long-term Opportunity

Positive

India's branded kidswear market continues to offer significant long-term opportunities as the shift toward organized players accelerates.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Revenue Growth121.6% YoY (Q1 FY27)Sustained high double-digit revenue growth, indicating continued market penetration and brand acceptance.
EBITDA Margins17.2% (Q1 FY27)Further margin expansion, demonstrating operating leverage and efficient cost management as volumes grow.
Net Debt-to-Equity0.8x (FY26)Maintenance of low leverage, ensuring financial flexibility for future growth initiatives.
Capacity Utilization90%+ (FY26)Continued high utilization levels, validating the asset-light model's efficiency and scalability.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

44Neutral

SMA20 -1.6% / mo · MACD + · near 52W low

Stock trend: 44
Sector RS: 45
Sector 3M: -2.3% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

KARNIKAdaily · 1Y · AUTO+7.4%
Latest close ₹118.30 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+2.1%
RSI
55
MACD hist
0.43
52W pos
26%
2026-09-04O ₹115.85H ₹120.00L ₹115.00C ₹118.30Vol 46,000 sh
₹87.26₹103.69₹120.13₹136.56₹152.9952L118.302026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 55. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price below SMA200 (long-term downtrend) — short-term bounces likely countertrend.
  • SMA20 falling (~1.7% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 55 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal, histogram expanding — bullish momentum building.
  • 41% off 52W high · 31% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 27 · OVERVALUED · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

27U-SCORE
OVERVALUED

Fundamental score breakdown

OVERVALUED
Valuation0/30
Growth2/25
Quality13/20
Balance Sheet8/15
Cash Flow1/10
Piotroski
6/9 (+3)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
27

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

27/100 · OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Quality contributes 13/20 to the score.
  • Balance sheet contributes 8/15 to the score.
  • Cash flow contributes 1/10 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -254.9%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Growth is weaker at 2/25; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
26.2
PB
7.6
EV/EBITDA
20.7
ROE
29.0%
ROCE
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.8
MoS
-254.9%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
27
Previous: 27
Verdict
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-254.9%
Previous: -254.9%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: -2 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
31
34
27
27
27
28
28
28
28
29
29
27

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹39.79
-197.3% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
7.4
Growth-justified Value
₹33.33
-254.9% MoS
PEG

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
66Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 49th percentile of the scored universe and 52nd percentile within Consumer. Main check: cash conversion is weak at 43/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 73.4%. Key concern: Only 0 years of positive FCF.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
4 docs text-extracted · 2 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
49th percentile

overall median 67 · Consumer: 52nd pctile, median 66 · SME: 60th pctile, median 64

Evidence depth
Financial-only

4 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
43
weak · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
81
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
68
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
55
watch · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 73.4%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.

Trust risks

  • Only 0 years of positive FCF.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
26.20
P/B
7.56
EV/EBITDA
20.74
Market Cap
733.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
29.00%
ROCE
ROA
13.02%
Dividend Y
0.08%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
EPS 5Y
Revenue 3Y
EPS 3Y

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.79
Interest Coverage
7.40×
Altman Z
5.80
Book Value
15.60

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
0/5
OCF
16.00 Cr
EPS TTM
4.51

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
73.39%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
26%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Consumer, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.