IP
IndiaPulse

JSW Cement Limited (JSWCEMENT)

Small Cap

Materials stocks · Small cap · NSE

JSW Cement is among India's fastest-growing cement companies, part of the US$23 Bn JSW Group. It operates 24.1 MTPA grinding and 9.74 MTPA clinker capacity across multi-regional footprints. The company claims the lowest CO2 emission intensity in the industry and is India's largest manufacturer of GGBS.

₹124.07
+0.70 · +0.57%
Quote04 Sept, 03:59 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags15 Aug 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Materials P/E 30.3 (n=19)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Mixed fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
FAIR VALUE
53

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
68

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
41

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
stable
67

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Bad · 22/100

margin compression · Rev +22% YoY

Filed 13 Aug 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,896 Cr+21.5%+0.1%
EBITDA₹299 Cr-7.4%-18.1%
Operating margin16.0%-500 bps-300 bps
PAT₹153 CrNDF-57.7%
PAT margin8.1%+9563 bps-1103 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-06T07:55:56.324Z
Management commentary snapshot

Q4 FY26 saw robust YoY growth: Total Volume Sold +6.8%, Revenue +10.9%, Operating EBITDA +45.9% to ₹365 crore, and Operating EBITDA per ton +₹245 to ₹916/MT. FY26 also delivered strong growth across key metrics, driven by new capacity commissioning and improved realizations.

JSW Cement delivered strong Q4 and FY26 results, driven by volume growth, improved realizations, and operating leverage. The commissioning of new capacities in North and East India marks significant strategic expansion. While macro headwinds like rising input costs and potential demand slowdowns persist, the company's aggressive capacity expansion and focus on green products position it for continued growth, albeit with execution risks.

Current business mix

Diversified Product Mix (FY26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 3 reported categories.

Businessmix
Cement55.0%
GGBS41.0%
Clinker3.0%
Growth engines

Capacity Expansion

Targeting ~46.0 MTPA grinding capacity by CY2028+, up from 24.1 MTPA in FY26, through greenfield and brownfield projects.

Pan-India Presence

Entry into North India with the commissioning of the Nagaur Integrated Unit in March 2026 and a brand launch in Jaipur.

Green Cementitious Products

77% of total volume sold in FY26, with GGBS volume sold increasing 11.6% YoY in FY26.

Premium Product Launch

Launched super-premium cement in the southern and eastern regions in July 2025.

Capacity and execution

Nagaur Integrated Unit (North India)

Commissioned in March 2026, with 3.3 MTPA clinker capacity and 2.5 MTPA grinding capacity. Kiln light-up on Feb 17, 2026.

Shiva Cement Sambalpur Grinding Unit (East India)

1.0 MTPA grinding unit commissioned in October 2025, strengthening presence in Eastern India.

Nagaur Grinding Capacity Expansion

New project approved in Q4 FY26 for an additional 2.5 MTPA grinding capacity at Nagaur, Rajasthan, at a capital cost of ₹430 crore.

Mansa Grinding Unit (Punjab)

2.75 MTPA grinding unit, with CLU obtained, EC approval ongoing, and detailed engineering in progress.

Tailwinds

Government Capex

Sustained central and state government infrastructure spending (Central +14.5% YoY, State +12% YoY in 11mFY26) supports cement demand.

Strong Medium-Term Demand Potential

CRISIL projects cement demand growth to outpace capacity additions (7.5-8.5% CAGR FY26-30), with broad-based demand across segments.

GGBS Demand Growth

GGBS demand is expected to grow faster than cement (9-10% CAGR FY26-30), driven by infrastructure and RMC industries.

Headwinds

Crude Oil & Energy Prices

Brent crude crossed $110/barrel, raising prices of pet coke, imported coal, diesel, and polypropylene packaging costs.

Rupee Depreciation

INR declined ~11% against the US dollar (to ~₹94.5/$ as of Apr’26), amplifying imported raw material costs.

RBI Interest Rates

A rate pause or potential hike curbs home loan affordability, slowing new housing launches and real estate demand.

Below-Normal Monsoon

IMD forecast for south-west monsoon is 'below normal' for 2026, which will impact construction activity across rural India.

Risk radar

Raw Material and Energy Price Volatility

Higher crude oil prices and rupee depreciation directly increase input costs for pet coke, coal, and logistics.

Interest Rate Sensitivity

RBI's monetary policy actions can directly impact housing demand, which accounts for ~60% of cement demand.

Monsoon Impact on Demand

A below-normal monsoon could significantly slow construction activity, particularly in rural areas.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is crucial for assessing annual growth and overall business trajectory. QoQ comparison is important for tracking sequential momentum, especially with new capacities like Nagaur and Sambalpur coming online, and for monitoring cost and realization trends in a dynamic market.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Total Volume Sold

Q4 FY26: 3.99 mn MT (+6.8% YoY, +12.1% QoQ). FY26: 13.96 mn MT (+10.6% YoY).

Revenue from Operations

Q4 FY26: ₹1,895 crore (+10.9% YoY, +16.9% QoQ). FY26: ₹6,512 crore (+12.0% YoY).

Operating EBITDA

Q4 FY26: ₹365.0 crore (+45.9% YoY, +28.1% QoQ). FY26: ₹1,240 crore (+43.6% YoY).

Operating EBITDA per ton

Q4 FY26: ₹916/MT (+₹245 YoY, +₹114 QoQ). FY26: ₹888/MT (+₹204 YoY).

Management forward view

Strategic Market Entry

Management reinforced the strategic importance of the North market with the Nagaur unit and Jaipur brand launch, articulating ambition and future roadmap.

Sustainability Focus

Company continues initiatives in resource efficiency, circular economy, and safety, receiving multiple awards for performance.

Dividend Recommendation

Board recommended a dividend of ₹0.50 per equity share of ₹10 each for FY26, subject to shareholder approval.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Operating EBITDA per ton₹916/MT (Q4 FY26)Sustained improvement from operating leverage and pricing power, especially with new capacities ramping up.
Net Debt to TTM EBITDA2.72x (Mar 31, 2026)Further deleveraging trend amidst ongoing significant capacity expansion capex.
Capacity Utilization & Ramp-upNagaur (3.3 MTPA clinker, 2.5 MTPA grinding) and Sambalpur (1.0 MTPA grinding) commissioned.Timely ramp-up of utilization rates for new capacities and their contribution to overall volumes and profitability.
Logistics Cost per ton₹1,115/MT (Q4 FY26)Efficiency improvements to mitigate cost increases driven by rising lead distances and fuel prices.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

41Neutral

SMA20 -6.4% / mo · MACD −

Stock trend: 29
Sector RS: 57
Sector 3M: +0.0% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

JSWCEMENTdaily · 1Y · AUTO-0.3%
Latest close ₹124.07 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+0.5%
RSI
38
MACD hist
-0.08
52W pos
37%
2026-09-04O ₹123.50H ₹125.17L ₹123.02C ₹124.07Vol 12.0L sh
₹107.91₹117.20₹126.50₹135.80₹145.09124.072026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend down. RSI 38.

  • Price below SMA200 (long-term downtrend) — short-term bounces likely countertrend.
  • SMA20 falling (~6.9% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 38 — sideways, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 19% off 52W high · 16% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

32
RS percentile
Stage 1 Base / Transition
1M return
-7.6%
3M return
-2.1%
6M return
+3.5%
1Y return
-16.6%
RS 1D
+3
RS 20D
-14
Sector rank
#18
Industry rank
#25
Stage evidence
  • Price is within 2.0% of the 30-week proxy.
  • The 30-week proxy changed +0.9% over 20 sessions.
  • The moving-average structure does not confirm Stage 2 or Stage 4.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price below
Sector
lagging
Industry
lagging
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
262 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 82.84+0.56%
697989100110Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 2683
RS vs Nifty 50083

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 53 · FAIR VALUE · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

53U-SCORE
Financial Turnaround

Fundamental score breakdown

FAIR VALUE
Valuation10/30
Growth20/25
Quality9/20
Balance Sheet6/15
Cash Flow3/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
53

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

53/100 · FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 50.5%.
  • Growth contributes 20/25 to the score.

Main drags

  • Cash flow is weaker at 3/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Valuation is weaker at 10/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 6/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
21.4
PB
2.6
EV/EBITDA
13.7
ROE
14.7%
ROCE
11.1%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.7
MoS
+50.5%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
53
Previous: 53
Verdict
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
+50.5%
Previous: +50.5%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
54
53
53
53
53

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹77.56
-60.0% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
45.0
Growth-justified Value
₹250.65
+50.5% MoS
PEG
0.70

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
68Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 56th percentile of the scored universe and 32nd percentile within Materials. Main check: cash conversion is weak at 55/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 72%.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
25 docs text-extracted · 3 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
56th percentile

overall median 67 · Materials: 32nd pctile, median 70 · Small: 60th pctile, median 66

Evidence depth
Financial-only

25 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
55
watch · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
65
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
68
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
67
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 72%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • No major Trust Lite risk flags.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
21.40
P/B
2.58
EV/EBITDA
13.72
Market Cap
16915.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
14.70%
ROCE
11.10%
ROA
5.01%
Dividend Y
0.40%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
11.00%
EPS 5Y
19.00%
Revenue 3Y
4.00%
EPS 3Y
68.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.68
Interest Coverage
3.26×
Altman Z
2.72
Book Value
48.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
3/5
OCF
1170.00 Cr
EPS TTM
5.57

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
72.02%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
37%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Materials, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.