IP
IndiaPulse

Indian Railway Catering And Tourism Corporation Limited (IRCTC)

Mid Cap

Consumer stocks · Mid cap · NSE

IRCTC is a public sector undertaking under the Ministry of Railways, offering catering, tourism, online railway ticketing, and packaged drinking water (Rail Neer) services. It operates an asset-light model, focusing on digital platforms and service delivery across India's vast railway network.

₹476.05
+1.45 · +0.31%
Quote04 Sept, 03:59 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Consumer P/E 23.3 (n=433)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Mixed fundamentals, management trust is supportive, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
FAIR VALUE
49

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
82

low confidence · 2/4 claims checked

Technical
Bearish
29

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
stable
67

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Bad · 0/100

PAT -0% YoY · margin compression · Rev +18% YoY

Filed 12 Aug 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,370 Cr+18.1%-6.2%
EBITDA₹387 Cr-2.5%-3.0%
Operating margin28.0%-600 bps+100 bps
PAT₹330 Cr-0.3%+1.2%
PAT margin24.1%-444 bps+176 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-14T07:54:48.576Z
Management commentary snapshot

IRCTC reported highest-ever FY26 revenue from operations at Rs. 5,215 crores, up 11.55% YoY, with PAT growing 6% to Rs. 1,393 crores. Q4 FY26 revenue grew 15.05% YoY to Rs. 1,460 crores, but Q4 PAT dipped due to exceptional items and revenue mix changes.

IRCTC delivered robust FY26 performance with strong growth across all segments, achieving record revenue and profitability. The Q4 profit dip was attributed to specific exceptional items and a shift in revenue mix, rather than core operational weakness. Management's focus on platform investment and segment diversification supports the long-term thesis.

Current business mix

Revenue by Segment (FY26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 4 reported categories.

Businessmix
Catering46.0%
Internet Ticketing29.5%
Tourism17.1%
Rail Neer7.5%
Growth engines

Catering Segment Growth

Recorded 12.89% YoY revenue growth in FY26 and 26.84% YoY in Q4 FY26, supported by increasing passenger volumes and service enhancement efforts.

Tourism Segment Expansion

Achieved 19.46% YoY revenue growth in FY26 and 10.95% YoY in Q4 FY26, driven by better product mix and cost rationalization.

Non-Convenience Fee Revenue

Management aims to increase non-convenience fee revenue in the IT business through a unified portal and iPay, targeting 10% growth.

Rail Neer Capacity Expansion

Planning four additional Rail Neer plants and expanding two existing ones to meet demand and improve margins.

Capacity and execution

Rail Neer Plant Expansion

Tendered expansion for Ambernath (2 lakh to 3 lakh bottles/day) and Danapur (1 lakh to 2 lakh bottles/day) plants; work is ongoing.

New Rail Neer Plants

Land secured for new plants at Mysore and Prayagraj. Represented for better land at Bhagalpur and awaiting formal communication for Ranchi/Barpali.

Tailwinds

Strong Digital Capabilities

Company highlights strong digital capabilities and unwavering commitment to operational excellence as key business fundamentals.

Domestic Tourism Demand

Management is 'very hopeful' about increased activity in domestic tourism in the April-June quarter, potentially driven by higher airfares.

Headwinds

Geopolitical Turmoil

Management noted ongoing geopolitical turmoil as a macro environmental factor impacting performance.

Catering Margin Impact

Margins were impacted by higher sales contribution from train catering operations and pilot initiatives like branded catering projects.

Risk radar

Administered Pricing

Catering prices are administered items decided by the Ministry of Railways, limiting IRCTC's ability to adjust for input cost inflation.

Shareholder Reward Policy

Decisions on methods to reward shareholders, such as buybacks, are made by DIPAM, Ministry of Finance, despite the company meeting criteria.

Litigation Risk

Enhancement of license fee for prepaid and postpaid trains (CC-60) is currently under litigation, preventing management from commenting on potential revenue.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Nov 2025
Analyst reading lens
Compare YOY

The company's business segments, particularly tourism and catering, can experience seasonal fluctuations. Therefore, year-on-year comparisons provide a more accurate reflection of underlying growth trends and operational performance, mitigating short-term sequential volatility.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Revenue from Operations

FY26: Rs. 5,215 crores (11.55% YoY growth); Q4 FY26: Rs. 1,460 crores (15.05% YoY growth).

PAT

FY26: Rs. 1,393 crores (6% YoY growth); Q4 FY26: Rs. 447 crores (vs Rs. 472 crores in Q4 FY25).

EBITDA

FY26: Rs. 1,666 crores (7.48% YoY growth); Q4 FY26: Rs. 399 crores (EBITDA margin 27.33%).

Internet Ticketing Market Share

89% share of reserved railway tickets.

Management forward view

EBITDA Margin Target

Management aspires to maintain an overall EBITDA margin of 30%, noting FY26 margin was 31.95% and Q4 dip to 27% was due to exceptional items.

Platform Infrastructure Investment

Key capital allocation priority is improving e-ticketing infrastructure for passenger convenience and security.

Diversification into Hotel Business

The company is planning to explore opportunities in the hotel business.

Payment Aggregator License

Management is confident of submitting the final application for a payment aggregator license by the August '26 deadline and has engaged a partner.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Overall EBITDA MarginFY26: 31.95%; Q4 FY26: 27.33% (impacted by exceptional items).Sustained achievement of the 30% target margin, excluding one-off items.
Rail Neer Capacity ExpansionTenders out for two expansions, land secured for two new plants, others pending.Commissioning timelines and utilization ramp-up of expanded and new Rail Neer plants.
Payment Aggregator License & Unified PortalApplication deadline August '26; partner engaged.Approval of the license and subsequent launch and monetization roadmap for the unified portal and iPay.
Catering Segment MarginsQ4 FY26 margins impacted by revenue mix and pilot initiatives.Stabilization and recovery of catering margins, and any potential pricing adjustments by the Ministry of Railways.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Show extracted source claims
market share expansionnot yet verifiable

IRCTC plans to launch a unified travel portal to cross-sell products to existing and additional customers.

Direction: expansionConfidence: high
project executionnot yet verifiable

IRCTC will submit its proposal application for acquiring the payment aggregator license by the end of January.

Timeframe: by the end of JanuaryConfidence: high
revenue outlookcontradicted

IRCTC is confident of sustaining its business growth trajectory in the coming quarters.

Timeframe: coming quartersDirection: growthConfidence: confident

Outcome check: Revenue YoY averaged 18.3% across 1 later quarter(s).

revenue outlookdelivered

The payment aggregator business is expected to be one of the future leading businesses for IRCTC.

Timeframe: futureDirection: leadingConfidence: high

Outcome check: Revenue YoY averaged 18.3% across 1 later quarter(s).

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

29Bearish

full bear SMA stack · SMA20 -2.1% / mo · MACD − · near 52W low

Stock trend: 18
Sector RS: 45
Sector 3M: -2.3% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

IRCTCdaily · 1Y · AUTO-15.3%
Latest close ₹476.05 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+0.3%
RSI
36
MACD hist
-1.41
52W pos
2%
2026-09-04O ₹474.80H ₹479.00L ₹474.05C ₹476.05Vol 6.0L sh
₹462.84₹506.07₹549.29₹592.52₹635.7452L476.052026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend down. RSI 36.

  • Price < SMA20 < SMA50 < SMA200 — full bearish stack.
  • SMA20 falling (~2.1% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 36 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • Within 5% of 52-week low — testing support.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

9
RS percentile
Stage 4 Downtrend
1M return
-8.4%
3M return
-8.1%
6M return
-11.3%
1Y return
-34.5%
RS 1D
0
RS 20D
-2
Sector rank
#12
Industry rank
#19
Stage evidence
  • Price is 10.2% below the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is below the 30-week proxy and its slope is falling -3.2%.
  • Both 3-month and 6-month returns are negative.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price below
Sector
neutral
Industry
neutral
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 64.12+0.31%
62728292102Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 2664
RS vs Nifty 50064

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 49 · FAIR VALUE · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

49U-SCORE
Premium Compounder

Fundamental score breakdown

FAIR VALUE
Valuation0/30
Growth3/25
Quality20/20
Balance Sheet12/15
Cash Flow8/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
1
Raw sum
49

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

49/100 · FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Quality contributes 20/20 to the score.
  • Balance sheet contributes 12/15 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -432.8%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Growth is weaker at 3/25; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Execution business valuation: EV/EBITDA plus order and working-capital risk

Capital-intensive execution stories need cash-flow and balance-sheet checks alongside valuation.

Execution EV/EBITDA
Primary lens
EV/EBITDA and PE against execution quality and margin stability.
Secondary checks
Order book, receivables, working capital, debt, operating cash flow.
Main risk check
Order wins matter only if they convert into cash and margins.
PE
27.6
PB
8.8
EV/EBITDA
22.4
ROE
34.6%
ROCE
46.1%
FCF Yield
2.2%
Debt/Equity
0.0
MoS
-432.8%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
49
Previous: 49
Verdict
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
-432.8%
Previous: -432.8%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +1 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
56
57
49
49
49
49
49
49
48
48
48
49

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹145.35
-227.5% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
5.1
Growth-justified Value
₹89.36
-432.8% MoS
PEG

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
82Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Management has 50% delivered/partly-delivered outcomes on 2 checked claims, with 1 adverse claim outcome. It ranks around the 94th percentile of the scored universe and 97th percentile within Consumer. No major sub-score weakness stands out.

High Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 62.4%. Key concern: ROCE trend is -3.6%.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
63 docs text-extracted · 47 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
94th percentile

overall median 67 · Consumer: 97th pctile, median 66 · Mid: 83rd pctile, median 76

Evidence depth
Financial-only

63 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
50% delivered or partly delivered

2/4 claims checked · 1 contradicted/failed claim

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Can support position sizing if valuation and trend also agree.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
96
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
80
strong · capital discipline
Results
67
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 62.4%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 2.2%.
  • 4 years of positive FCF.

Trust risks

  • ROCE trend is -3.6%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
27.60
P/B
8.83
EV/EBITDA
22.38
Market Cap
38084.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
34.60%
ROCE
46.10%
ROA
18.38%
Dividend Y
1.79%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
-5.00%
EPS 5Y
-5.00%
Revenue 3Y
14.00%
EPS 3Y
12.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.02
Interest Coverage
91.94×
Altman Z
8.41
Book Value
53.90

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
2.17%
FCF Positive Y
4/5
OCF
1273.00 Cr
EPS TTM
17.42

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
62.40%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
2%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Consumer, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.