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Hilton Metal Forging Limited (HILTON)

Small Cap

Auto stocks · Small cap · NSE

Hilton Metal Forging Limited operates in Forgings, within the Auto sector. Use the latest filing and company disclosures below to verify its revenue mix and current business drivers.

₹15.65
-0.41 · -2.55%
Market cap ₹86.3 Cr
Data qualityFresh enough for analysisQuote updated 21 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Details
Quote21 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Base fundamentals06 Oct 2026 · screener
Latest result14 Aug, 05:52 pm IST
Score21 Oct, 04:30 am IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Auto P/E 25.7 (n=127)
Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

32Bearish

full bear SMA stack · SMA20 -11.7% / mo · MACD + · near 52W low · sector -2.2pp vs Nifty 500 (3M)

Stock trend: 24
Sector RS: 44
Sector 3M: -7.8% vs Nifty 500 -5.6%
Auto FPI tailwindNot confirmed

Latest mapped FPI equity flow was not positive. View sector evidence

Technical chart

HILTOND candles · FIT view-35.8%TODAY · PROVISIONAL
Latest price ₹15.65 on 2026-10-21

Today's candle is provisional from the latest intraday quote; completed-candle scans remain unchanged.

Bar
-5.7%
RSI
30
MACD hist
0.04
52W pos
8%
Visible chart range
Candle interval
2026-10-21O ₹16.60H ₹16.60L ₹15.55C ₹15.65Vol 63,894 shIntraday candle
₹14.80₹17.57₹20.35₹23.13₹25.90₹15.652026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-042026-062026-082026-092026-11
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal
Market context

Relative performance and chart statistics

Adjusted completed-session prices, rebased to 100

HILTONNifty AutoNifty 500
-34%-18%-2%+14%20 Jul1 Sept19 Oct19 Oct 2026HILTON -30.0%Nifty Auto -5.4%Nifty 500 -5.6%
HILTON
-30.0%
Nifty 500
-5.6%
Nifty Auto
-5.4%
Vs Nifty 500
-24.4 pp
Chart stats
19 Oct 2026
From 52W high
-61.9%
₹42.2
52W range position
9%
₹13.4 - ₹42.2
ATR (14)
5.6%
₹0.9
Volume vs 20D
0.77x
Latest completed session
Avg traded value
₹0.2 Cr
20-session average
20D price channel
₹15.3 - ₹17.5
23.7% annualized volatility
Research snapshot

What the evidence says now

Weak fundamentals, management evidence is still limited to a financial-only Trust Lite signal, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The evidence is not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
Legacy · WATCHLIST
44

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Latest result
Excellent
77

Revenue +167.4% · PAT +1106.7% YoY

Technical
Bearish
32

Price trend and sector-relative-strength timing.

Valuation
Legacy model
+59.4%

Legacy margin-of-safety estimate; the revised evidence label remains in shadow validation.

Trust
Limited evidence
63

Financial-only signal; management claim evidence is not sufficient yet.

Financials

Fundamentals, quarterly history, margins, returns and balance-sheet evidence

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Excellent · 77/100

Rev +167% YoY · PAT +1107% YoY · +16% QoQ · operating leverage · margin compression

Filed 14 Aug 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹59 Cr+167.4%+16.0%
EBITDA₹4.1 Cr+117.6%+60.4%
Operating margin6.9%-159 bps+192 bps
PAT₹1.8 Cr+1106.7%+1192.9%
PAT margin3.1%+239 bps+279 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
16.90
P/B
0.57
EV/EBITDA
8.89
Market Cap
86.30Cr

Profitability

ROE
2.59%
ROCE
5.55%
ROA
2.12%
Dividend Y
—

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
37.00%
EPS 5Y
17.00%
Revenue 3Y
30.00%
EPS 3Y
-16.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.37
Interest Coverage
2.00×
Altman Z
2.85
Book Value
29.40

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
6.95%
FCF Positive Y
8/5
OCF
-27.00 Cr
EPS TTM
1.00

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
18.56%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
12%

Financial History

Updated 21/10/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 59.0+16.0% vs prev
087.6Sep 2023: 34.8Dec 2023: 41.7Mar 2024: 33.8Jun 2024: 34.0Sep 2024: 43.8Dec 2024: 40.3Mar 2025: 45.0Jun 2025: 22.1Sep 2025: 87.6Dec 2025: 69.8Mar 2026: 50.8Jun 2026: 59.0Q2 23Q3 23FY24Q1 24Q2 24Q3 24FY25Q1 25Q2 25Q3 25FY26Q1 26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 1.8+1192.9% vs prev
04.5Sep 2023: 2.3Dec 2023: 2.1Mar 2024: 0.6Jun 2024: 0.6Sep 2024: 0.6Dec 2024: 0.5Mar 2025: 4.5Jun 2025: 0.1Sep 2025: 1.7Dec 2025: 1.4Mar 2026: 0.1Jun 2026: 1.8Q2 23Q3 23FY24Q1 24Q2 24Q3 24FY25Q1 25Q2 25Q3 25FY26Q1 26
ROE is shown only in the Annual view — quarterly equity data isn't published.

Technicals

Trend interpretation, Stage 2, relative strength, volume and indicator evidence

Daily technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend down. RSI 30.

  • Price < SMA20 < SMA50 < SMA200 — full bearish stack.
  • SMA20 falling (~12.3% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 30 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal but histogram contracting — bullish momentum cooling.
  • 63% off 52W high · 17% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

4
RS percentile
Stage 4 Downtrend
1M return
-2.0%
3M return
-30.0%
6M return
-35.8%
1Y return
-57.6%
RS 1D
0
RS 20D
0
Sector rank
#3
Industry rank
#30
Stage evidence
  • Price is 22.7% below the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is below the 30-week proxy and its slope is falling -0.5%.
  • Both 3-month and 6-month returns are negative.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price below
Sector
leading
Industry
neutral
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
261 observations
19 Oct 2026Value 41.88+0.24%
36537086103Sept 25Feb 26Jun 26Oct 2642
RS vs Nifty 50042

Valuation & peers

U-Score 44 · legacy U-Score band WATCHLIST · valuation evidence and comparable companies

44U-SCORE
Deep Value

Fundamental score breakdown

U band · WATCHLIST
Valuation22/30
Growth15/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet7/15
Cash Flow6/10
Piotroski
4/9 (+1)
Penalties
-7
Raw sum
44

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

44/100 · legacy band WATCHLIST

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 7.0%.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 59.4%.
  • Valuation contributes 22/30 to the score.

Main drags

  • Penalty bucket subtracts 7 points.
  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 7/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
16.9
PB
0.6
EV/EBITDA
8.9
ROE
2.6%
ROCE
5.5%
FCF Yield
7.0%
Debt/Equity
0.4
MoS
+59.4%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 21 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
44
Previous: 44
Legacy U-Score band
WATCHLIST
Previous: WATCHLIST
Margin of safety
+59.4%
Previous: +58.3%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

21 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
44
44
44
44
44
44
44
44
44
44
44
44

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹25.72
+39.2% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
38.5
Growth-justified Value
₹38.55
+59.4% MoS
PEG
0.99

Comparable companies

Peers

Business-comparable peers in Auto — ranked by industry, sub-sector, theme-tag overlap, market cap, and U-Score similarity. Green cells mark the best available peer metric in this table.

Compare all ↗
Ticker
Name
Why peer
Score
PE
ROE
MoS
Verdict
GANGAFORGE
Small
Ganga Forging Limited
Auto Components
match 165
9
—
-13.2%
—
OVERVALUED
FORGEAUTO
SME
Forge Auto International Ltd.
Auto Components
match 159
37
8.9
17.7%
-15%
WATCHLIST
HAPPYFORGE
Small
Happy Forgings Limited
Auto Components
match 154
43
58.0
15.0%
-40%
WATCHLIST
BALUFORGE
Small
Balu Forge Industries Limited
Auto Components
match 153
61
22.0
19.6%
+46%
UNDERVALUED
MUNISH
SME
Munish Forge Ltd.
Auto Components
match 148
40
20.6
10.4%
+47%
WATCHLIST

Business, management & trust

Growth engines, risks, management commitments and evidence-backed delivery

Business and thesis

Issuer presentation review pending

Hilton Metal Forging Limited operates in Forgings, within the Auto sector. Use the latest filing and company disclosures below to verify its revenue mix and current business drivers. The structured result feed currently covers the quarter ended 30 Jun 2026. Investor presentations and earnings-call PDFs will be added as issuer-backed evidence before management claims appear here.

Trust Score
63Limited evidence · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Limited evidence: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 38th percentile of the scored universe and 24th percentile within Auto. Main check: financial discipline is weak at 18/100.

This is a financial-behaviour screen, not a claim-tested management reliability verdict.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
2 docs text-extracted · 0 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Limited evidence

Financial behaviour is scored, but management claims do not yet have enough outcome checks.

Relative rank
38th percentile

overall median 67 · Auto: 24th pctile, median 74 · Small: 43rd pctile, median 66

Evidence depth
Financial-only

2 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Limited evidence · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
70
acceptable · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
74
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
73
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
18
weak · capital discipline
Results
80
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • ▸Promoter pledge is zero.
  • ▸Promoter holding increased 10.9%.
  • ▸FCF yield is 6.3%.
  • ▸8 years of positive FCF.

Trust risks

  • ▸Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-27 Cr.
  • ▸Promoter holding is only 18.6%.
  • ▸ROCE is low at 5.6%.
  • ▸ROE is low at 2.6%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Important announcements & filings

Latest exchange and company disclosures found within the past two years.

5 shown
AnnouncementMar 2026

Mar 2026 · Voting Results On EGM Held On 26Th March 2026 26 Mar

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Award_of_Order_Receipt_of_Order 26 Mar - Contract to supply 360,000 155mm M107 empty artillery shells, ~Rs.720 crore over 24 months, 15,000/month.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Press Release / Media Release 26 Mar - Interim sales agreement for 360,000 155mm M107 shells (~Rs720 Cr), delivery over 24 months.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.