IP
IndiaPulse

Hilton Metal Forging Limited (HILTON)

Small Cap

Auto stocks · Small cap · NSE

Hilton Metal Forging Limited operates in Forgings, within the Auto sector. Use the latest filing and company disclosures below to verify its revenue mix and current business drivers.

₹18.63
-0.08 · -0.43%
Quote04 Sept, 03:58 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Auto P/E 26.5 (n=128)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
WATCHLIST
38

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
63

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Bearish
25

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
consistent
80

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Excellent · 77/100

Rev +167% YoY · PAT +1107% YoY · +16% QoQ · operating leverage · margin compression

Filed 14 Aug 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹59 Cr+167.4%+16.0%
EBITDA₹4.1 Cr+117.6%+60.4%
Operating margin6.9%-159 bps+192 bps
PAT₹1.8 Cr+1106.7%+1192.9%
PAT margin3.1%+239 bps+279 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Issuer presentation review pending

Hilton Metal Forging Limited operates in Forgings, within the Auto sector. Use the latest filing and company disclosures below to verify its revenue mix and current business drivers. The structured result feed currently covers the quarter ended 30 Jun 2026. Investor presentations and earnings-call PDFs will be added as issuer-backed evidence before management claims appear here.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

25Bearish

full bear SMA stack · SMA20 -9.5% / mo · RSI oversold · MACD − · near 52W low · sector -3.3pp vs Nifty (3M)

Stock trend: 22
Sector RS: 31
Sector 3M: -4.8% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

HILTONdaily · 1Y · AUTO+9.8%
Latest close ₹18.63 on 2026-09-04
Bar
-1.9%
RSI
30
MACD hist
-0.07
52W pos
12%
2026-09-04O ₹18.99H ₹18.99L ₹18.50C ₹18.63Vol 83,646 sh
₹12.64₹16.97₹21.30₹25.62₹29.9552L18.632026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend down. RSI 30.

  • Price < SMA20 < SMA50 < SMA200 — full bearish stack.
  • SMA20 falling (~10.4% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 30 — oversold zone; bounce conditions.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • 67% off 52W high · 39% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 38 · WATCHLIST · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

38U-SCORE
WATCHLIST

Fundamental score breakdown

WATCHLIST
Valuation18/30
Growth13/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet7/15
Cash Flow6/10
Piotroski
4/9 (+1)
Penalties
-7
Raw sum
38

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

38/100 · WATCHLIST

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 6.3%.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 53.1%.
  • Valuation contributes 18/30 to the score.

Main drags

  • Penalty bucket subtracts 7 points.
  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 7/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
18.8
PB
0.6
EV/EBITDA
9.1
ROE
2.6%
ROCE
5.6%
FCF Yield
6.3%
Debt/Equity
0.3
MoS
+53.1%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
38
Previous: 38
Verdict
WATCHLIST
Previous: WATCHLIST
Margin of safety
+53.1%
Previous: +53.1%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
24
24
38
38
38
38
38
37
38
38
38
38

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹25.72
+27.6% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
39.8
Growth-justified Value
₹39.75
+53.1% MoS
PEG
1.11

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
63Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 38th percentile of the scored universe and 23rd percentile within Auto. Main check: financial discipline is weak at 18/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-27 Cr.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
2 docs text-extracted · 0 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
38th percentile

overall median 67 · Auto: 23rd pctile, median 74 · Small: 43rd pctile, median 66

Evidence depth
Financial-only

2 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
70
acceptable · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
74
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
73
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
18
weak · capital discipline
Results
80
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • Promoter holding increased 10.9%.
  • FCF yield is 6.3%.
  • 8 years of positive FCF.

Trust risks

  • Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-27 Cr.
  • Promoter holding is only 18.6%.
  • ROCE is low at 5.6%.
  • ROE is low at 2.6%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
18.80
P/B
0.63
EV/EBITDA
9.12
Market Cap
95.90Cr

Profitability

ROE
2.59%
ROCE
5.64%
ROA
2.12%
Dividend Y

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
37.00%
EPS 5Y
17.00%
Revenue 3Y
30.00%
EPS 3Y
-16.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.33
Interest Coverage
2.00×
Altman Z
2.92
Book Value
29.40

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
6.26%
FCF Positive Y
8/5
OCF
-27.00 Cr
EPS TTM
1.00

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
18.56%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
15%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 230+41.1% vs prev
0230.0Mar 2017: 80.0Mar 2018: 95.0Mar 2019: 101Mar 2020: 103Mar 2021: 48.0Mar 2022: 84.0Mar 2023: 105Mar 2024: 138Mar 2025: 163Mar 2026: 230FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 3.0-50.0% vs prev
-20.007.0Mar 2017: 0.0Mar 2018: 0.0Mar 2019: 2.0Mar 2020: 2.0Mar 2021: -20.0Mar 2022: 2.0Mar 2023: 6.0Mar 2024: 7.0Mar 2025: 6.0Mar 2026: 3.0FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 2.0-61.9% vs prev
-46.507.0Mar 2017: 0.0%Mar 2018: 0.0%Mar 2019: 3.3%Mar 2020: 3.2%Mar 2021: -46.5%Mar 2022: 4.5%Mar 2023: 6.7%Mar 2024: 7.0%Mar 2025: 5.2%Mar 2026: 2.0%FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Peers

Business-comparable names in Auto, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.