Happy Forgings Limited (HAPPYFORGE)
Small CapAuto stocks · Small cap · NSE
Happy Forgings Limited operates in Forgings, within the Auto sector. Use the latest filing and company disclosures below to verify its revenue mix and current business drivers.
One read, four checks
75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.
Weak fundamentals, management trust is supportive, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is consistent.
Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.
low confidence · 0/0 claims checked
Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.
Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.
Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026
Excellent · 90/100Rev +27% YoY · PAT +38% YoY · margin expansion · +6% QoQ · operating leverage
| Metric | This quarter | YoY | QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₹449 Cr | +26.8% | +5.9% |
| EBITDA | ₹141 Cr | +39.6% | +6.0% |
| Operating margin | 31.0% | +200 bps | +0 bps |
| PAT | ₹91 Cr | +37.9% | +8.3% |
| PAT margin | 20.3% | +163 bps | +46 bps |
NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.
Business & thesis
Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary
Business & thesis
Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary
Issuer presentation review pending
Happy Forgings Limited operates in Forgings, within the Auto sector. Use the latest filing and company disclosures below to verify its revenue mix and current business drivers. The structured result feed currently covers the quarter ended 30 Jun 2026. Investor presentations and earnings-call PDFs will be added as issuer-backed evidence before management claims appear here.
Management accountability
What management said, and what results must prove
Management accountability
What management said, and what results must prove
Trend score and candlestick chart
59Neutralfull bull SMA stack · SMA20 +32.6% / mo · MACD − · near 52W high · sector -3.3pp vs Nifty (3M)
Technical chart
HAPPYFORGEdaily · 1Y · AUTO+75.8%Daily technical trend read
Mixed signalsSignals are conflicting — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 60. Wait for confirmation.
- Price > SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200 — full bullish stack.
- SMA20 rising (~24.6% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
- RSI(14) at 60 — falling, no extreme reading.
- MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
- 9% off 52W high · 158% above 52W low.
Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.
Valuation & score drivers
U-Score 43 · WATCHLIST · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor
Valuation & score drivers
U-Score 43 · WATCHLIST · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor
Fundamental score breakdown
WATCHLISTWhy this score?
Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.
Positive drivers
- Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
- Balance sheet contributes 10/15 to the score.
- Growth contributes 15/25 to the score.
Main drags
- Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -62.2%.
- Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
- Cash flow is weaker at 2/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Consumer valuation: PE/PEG and brand-quality premium
Consumer franchises can deserve higher multiples, but only when growth quality supports them.
Stored run vs live recompute
This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.
Score history
12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +1 points.
Factor attribution
Modelled fair value
Trust score
Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth
Trust score
Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth
Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.
Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 78th percentile of the scored universe and 55th percentile within Auto. Main check: cash conversion is weak at 55/100.
High Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 78.5%.
Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.
overall median 67 · Auto: 55th pctile, median 74 · Small: 80th pctile, median 66
53 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.
0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet
How to read this Trust Score
Healthy Trust · low confidenceRead Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.
Forensic breakdown
Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.
Trust positives
- ▸Promoter holding is 78.5%.
- ▸Promoter pledge is zero.
- ▸4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.
- ▸4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY PAT growth.
Trust risks
- ▸No major Trust Lite risk flags.
Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.
Financials
Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history
Financials
Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history
Fundamentals
Valuation
- P/E
- 64.50
- P/B
- 9.90
- EV/EBITDA
- 35.47
- Market Cap
- 21127.00Cr
Profitability
- ROE
- 15.00%
- ROCE
- 18.00%
- ROA
- 12.42%
- Dividend Y
- 0.18%
Growth (CAGR)
- Revenue 5Y
- 21.00%
- EPS 5Y
- 28.00%
- Revenue 3Y
- 9.00%
- EPS 3Y
- 13.00%
Balance Sheet
- Debt/Equity
- 0.16
- Interest Coverage
- 46.36×
- Altman Z
- 8.68
- Book Value
- 226.00
Cash Flow
- FCF Yield
- —
- FCF Positive Y
- 2/5
- OCF
- 445.00 Cr
- EPS TTM
- 34.71
Shareholding
- Promoter Hold
- 78.46%
- Promoter Pledge
- 0.00%
- Momentum 52W
- 85%
Financial History
Updated 5/9/2026
Revenue
₹ CrNet Profit
₹ CrReturn on Equity
%Peers
Business-comparable names in Auto, ranked by similarity
Peers
Business-comparable names in Auto, ranked by similarity
Peers
Business-comparable peers in Auto — ranked by industry, sub-sector, theme-tag overlap, market cap, and U-Score similarity. Green cells mark the best available peer metric in this table.