IP
IndiaPulse

Gokaldas Exports Limited (GOKEX)

Micro Cap

Textiles stocks · Micro cap · NSE

Gokaldas Exports Limited is an Indian apparel manufacturer with operations in India and Africa, primarily serving global export markets. The company navigated significant tariff disruptions and raw material cost pressures in FY26, demonstrating resilience and strategic customer relationships.

₹789.2
+21.55 · +2.81%
Quote04 Sept, 03:54 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags15 Aug 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Textiles P/E 44.4 (n=11)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust needs verification, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Check latest quarters
Result consistency is weak; verify whether the thesis is improving or deteriorating.
U-Score
OVERVALUED
31

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Weak Trust
51

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
48

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
weak
47

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Average · 42/100

margin compression · Rev +21% YoY · PAT +7% YoY · +8% QoQ

Filed 11 Aug 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,154 Cr+20.7%+8.0%
EBITDA₹112 Cr+15.5%-4.3%
Operating margin10.0%+0 bps-100 bps
PAT₹44 Cr+7.3%+22.2%
PAT margin3.8%-48 bps+44 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-02T20:26:02.668Z
Management commentary snapshot

Gokaldas Exports delivered 4% FY26 revenue growth to INR4,065 crores, sustaining EBITDA margins despite severe US reciprocal tariffs and AGOA uncertainties. India operations grew 10% YoY, while Africa saw a Q4 rebound with 17% YoY growth, signaling improved FY27 outlook post-tariff normalization.

The company demonstrated strong resilience in FY26, absorbing substantial tariff burdens and maintaining customer relationships. With tariff normalization and AGOA renewal, the FY27 outlook for revenue and margins has improved. However, input cost inflation and potential new US tariffs post-July 2026 remain key monitoring points for sustained profitability.

Growth engines

Tariff Normalization

Withdrawal of penal 25% tariff in February and subsequent U.S. Supreme Court ruling led to 10% tariff until July 24, 2026, restoring competitiveness for India.

New Customer Acquisition

Signed two new premium customers in FY26 for India operations (one American, one European) and two for Africa operations (one American, one European), yielding revenue from FY27.

Retailer Diversification from China

Most U.S. retailers and many EU retailers continue to diversify away from China-based suppliers, helping growth of other regions like India.

AGOA Renewal/Extension

AGOA got restored till December 2026, supporting Africa business growth momentum in FY27. Management expects further extensions.

Capacity and execution

FY26 Capex Investment

Company spent about INR170 crores towards new capacity creation during FY26, which will pay out in the years ahead.

Karnataka Facility Ramp-up

Half of the Kolar Gold Fields facility in Karnataka is yet to ramp up and will reach full capacity utilization in Q1 and Q2 FY27.

Madhya Pradesh Unit Commissioning

Second unit in Madhya Pradesh is getting commissioned, expanding lines, and will reach full capacity utilization by Q3 FY27 (1,000 machines).

Africa Capacity & Utilization

Capacity expansion in Africa happened last year, targeting $115-120 million revenue in FY27. Started 2-shift operations in one factory (20-25% capacity).

Tailwinds

US Tariff Normalization

Withdrawal of penal 25% tariff in February and subsequent U.S. Supreme Court ruling against tariffs led to a 10% tariff until July 24, 2026, restoring competitiveness.

AGOA Restoration

AGOA got restored till December 2026, providing comfort and supporting Africa business growth momentum in FY27.

Strong US & UK Retail Sales

U.S. and U.K. retail sales witnessed strong growth of 8% and 6% respectively for CY '25. U.S. sales continue to remain strong in early 2026.

Diversification from China

Most U.S. retailers and many EU retailers continue to diversify away from China-based suppliers, which helps growth of other regions like India.

Headwinds

Reciprocal Tariffs

FY '26 began with reciprocal tariffs, remaining at a staggering 50% for a significant part of the year, impacting India and Africa operations.

Geopolitical Conflicts

War in the Middle East imposed upward pressure on cost of raw materials. War in Ukraine continued to keep pressure on EU markets.

Increased Raw Material Costs

U.S./Iran war impacted textile value chain with increased cost of raw materials like fuel, packaging, polyester, and trims. Cotton prices also rose.

Inflationary Pressures

Shipping costs have increased. Inflation across economies on account of higher fuel prices could impact consumer spending.

Risk radar

Potential Section 301 Tariff Re-imposition

Even if tariff is re-imposed under Section 301 post-July 24, 2026, there is a strong likelihood it will be similar to most competing nations from Asia (20%-odd range).

AGOA Renewal Uncertainty

AGOA got restored till December 2026. The belief is it may get further extended by 1-2 years, but long-term certainty beyond 2026 is not guaranteed.

Input Cost Pass-through Challenges

Endeavor to push back price increases to customers in H2 FY27 may only partially succeed due to customer resistance and competitive pricing from Southeast Asian/Chinese players.

Working Capital Management

Net debt increased by INR395 crores, primarily driven by capex, BTPL investments, and increased working capital on account of volume increase.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

FY26 results are annual, making YoY comparisons essential for overall performance. Q4 results, particularly for Africa and standalone India, show sequential recovery and momentum post-tariff changes, making QoQ relevant for understanding recent trends and future outlook.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Total Income Growth

Company delivered a total income of INR4,065 crores, a 4% growth over the previous year (FY26).

India Operations Revenue Growth

India business operations grew by 2% in Q4 FY26 and 10% Y-o-Y in FY26, despite U.S. tariff-related uncertainties.

Africa Business Revenue Growth

Africa business expanded by 17% Y-o-Y in Q4 FY26, supported by AGOA extension. For FY26, Africa business declined by 19% due to AGOA uncertainties up to Q3.

EBITDA Margin

EBITDA margin was sustained at previous year's level in FY26, absorbing a severe financial setback in terms of tariff burden share. Q4 standalone EBITDA margin was 16% (adjusted for statutory reversals).

Management forward view

Worst is Behind Us

Management believes the worst is behind the company regarding tariff disruptions, with competitiveness of main production centers restored.

Strong FY27 Revenue Growth

Management reckons FY27 revenue growth will be "much more than 10% to 12%" due to improved conditions in Africa and stable standalone business.

FY27 Margin Improvement

EBITDA margin should improve by "a couple of percentage points" Y-o-Y in FY27, assuming no new significant disruptions.

BTPL Merger & Profitability

Merger of BTPL expected to conclude in Q3 FY27. BTPL is expected to turn in operating profits in H2 FY27, aiming for 6-7% EBITDA margin in H2.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Section 301 Tariff Outcome10% tariff until July 24, 2026.Any re-imposition of tariffs post-July 24, 2026, and its magnitude relative to competing nations.
AGOA Renewal/ExtensionRestored until December 2026.Further extension of AGOA beyond December 2026 or progress on country-by-country FTAs, especially with Kenya.
BTPL Operational ProfitabilityQ4 FY26 EBITDA loss of 4-5%.Achievement of EBITDA breakeven in H1 FY27 and 6-7% EBITDA margin in H2 FY27 post-merger.
Working Capital ReductionIncreased by INR200 crores in FY26.Reduction of working capital by INR75-100 crores in Gokaldas and Atraco operations during FY27.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

48Neutral

SMA20 -4.1% / mo · MACD −

Stock trend: 46
Sector RS: 51
Sector 3M: -1.2% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

GOKEXdaily · 1Y · AUTO+26.2%
Latest close ₹789.20 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+2.7%
RSI
50
MACD hist
-0.62
52W pos
61%
2026-09-04O ₹768.50H ₹802.50L ₹768.50C ₹789.20Vol 4.7L sh
₹523.63₹620.82₹718.00₹815.18₹912.3752L789.202026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 50. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price above SMA200 (long-term uptrend) but mid-term MAs not aligned.
  • SMA20 falling (~4.3% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 50 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 17% off 52W high · 49% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 31 · OVERVALUED · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

31U-SCORE
OVERVALUED

Fundamental score breakdown

OVERVALUED
Valuation3/30
Growth17/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet2/15
Cash Flow4/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
31

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

31/100 · OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Growth contributes 17/25 to the score.
  • Cash flow contributes 4/10 to the score.

Main drags

  • Promoter pledge is 96.3%.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -24.8%.
  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
56.2
PB
2.7
EV/EBITDA
13.0
ROE
4.7%
ROCE
8.4%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.6
MoS
-24.8%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
31
Previous: 31
Verdict
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-24.8%
Previous: -24.8%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +1 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
40
27
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
31

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹305.38
-158.4% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
45.0
Growth-justified Value
₹632.25
-24.8% MoS
PEG
1.76

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
51Weak Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Weak Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 9th percentile of the scored universe and 8th percentile within Textiles. Main check: promoter alignment is weak at 23/100.

Mixed Trust Lite: 8 years of positive FCF. Key concern: Promoters have pledged 96.3% of holding.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
43 docs text-extracted · 30 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Weak Trust

Management or financial behaviour needs caution. Demand stronger valuation compensation.

Relative rank
9th percentile

overall median 67 · Textiles: 8th pctile, median 70 · Micro: 6th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

43 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Weak Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Needs extra due diligence; demand valuation comfort and recent improvement.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
23
weak · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
67
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
73
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
40
weak · capital discipline
Results
47
watch · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • 8 years of positive FCF.
  • 3/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.
  • OPM spread across recent quarters is 5%.

Trust risks

  • Promoters have pledged 96.3% of holding.
  • 3 latest quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.
  • Promoter holding is only 9.2%.
  • ROE is low at 4.7%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
56.20
P/B
2.67
EV/EBITDA
12.97
Market Cap
5783.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
4.72%
ROCE
8.39%
ROA
2.37%
Dividend Y

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
27.00%
EPS 5Y
32.00%
Revenue 3Y
22.00%
EPS 3Y
-14.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.59
Interest Coverage
3.60×
Altman Z
3.69
Book Value
295.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
8/5
OCF
52.00 Cr
EPS TTM
14.05

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
9.15%
Promoter Pledge
96.30%
Momentum 52W
61%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Textiles, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.