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IndiaPulse

GHCL Limited (GHCL)

Micro Cap

Chemicals stocks · Micro cap · NSE

GHCL Limited manufactures Soda Ash, Sodium Bicarbonate, Bulk Bromine, and Vacuum Salt. It also has a consumer products segment with edible salt, industrial grade salt, and jujube honey under the I-Flo brand. Sustainability is a core element of its business strategy.

₹436.6
-0.95 · -0.22%
Quote04 Sept, 03:58 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags15 Aug 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Chemicals P/E 34.2 (n=45)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Investable fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Add to watchlist
Fundamental setup is interesting, but technical confirmation is weak.
Good U-Score but weak results consistency: verify latest quarters.
U-Score
UNDERVALUED
71

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
67

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
44

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
weak
15

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Average · 30/100

Rev -3% YoY · PAT +32% YoY · margin expansion · operating leverage

Filed 01 Aug 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹774 Cr-2.8%-2.1%
EBITDA₹209 Cr+6.1%+18.8%
Operating margin27.0%+200 bps+500 bps
PAT₹191 Cr+31.7%+59.2%
PAT margin24.7%+646 bps+951 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-03T07:39:34.916Z
Management commentary snapshot

GHCL reports flat Q4 FY26 revenue YoY, but 5% QoQ growth, with EBITDA up 10% QoQ, driven by improving domestic market dynamics and cost optimization despite global volatility.

The company demonstrated operational resilience in Q4 FY26, benefiting from healthy domestic demand and stable-to-improving realizations. Strategic capital allocation via buyback and dividends, alongside diversification projects, supports the long-term thesis, though greenfield soda ash project progress is slow.

Current business mix

Soda Ash Demand by User Segment (India)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 4 reported categories.

Businessmix
Glass31.0%
Detergent34.0%
Bi-Carbonate10.0%
Other25.0%
Growth engines

Domestic Soda Ash Demand

Domestic Soda Ash demand is projected to grow at 6% CAGR from FY25-30.

Glass Manufacturing

Glass demand in India is expected to grow at ~8%, driven by infrastructure, automotive, and sustainable packaging.

Solar Glass

India aims for 300 GW of solar glass by 2030, supported by mega solar parks and PLI schemes.

New Applications

The booming EV market and push for domestic battery manufacturing are strong new vectors for soda ash.

Capacity and execution

Bromine Project

Bromine project with 10,000 MT capacity is in advanced stages and shall be commissioned in Q1 of current financial year.

Vacuum Salt Project

Vacuum Salt project with 1.7L MT capacity is in advanced stages and shall be commissioned in Q1 of current financial year.

Greenfield Soda Ash Project

Progress on our greenfield soda ash project is slow compared to our expectations.

New Salt Works

New Salt works with production of ~17L MT at Zara Zumara, Kutch, for captive consumption.

Tailwinds

Improving Domestic Market Dynamics

Performance reflects improving domestic market dynamics and healthy domestic demand.

Moderation in Import Flows

A moderation in import flows has provided relief to domestic manufacturers.

Stable-to-Improving Realizations

Witnessing a more supportive demand environment in India, with stable-to-improving realizations.

Shift to Local Sourcing

Domestic demand supported by a shift towards local sourcing due to global supply chain disruptions and currency pressures.

Headwinds

Global Soda Ash Volatility

The global soda ash landscape continues to experience underlying volatility.

Supply Chain Uncertainties

Global markets have been driven by ongoing supply chain uncertainties, including disruptions in key shipping routes.

Geopolitical Tensions

Geopolitical tensions in Western Asia are impacting global markets.

Depreciating Rupee

The impact of a depreciating rupee on import economics affects the company.

Risk radar

Global Supply & Pricing Pressures

While domestic tailwinds help, global supply and pricing pressures persist.

Greenfield Project Delays

Progress on the greenfield soda ash project is slow compared to expectations, potentially delaying future capacity.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

The presentation provides both YoY and QoQ comparisons. QoQ is relevant to show sequential momentum and improving domestic market dynamics, while YoY provides a longer-term perspective on performance.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Revenue

Q4 FY26 Revenue was Rs. 808 crore, 0% YoY and 5% QoQ.

EBITDA

Q4 FY26 EBITDA was Rs. 194 crore, down 21% YoY but up 10% QoQ.

PAT

Q4 FY26 PAT was Rs. 120 crore, down 21% YoY but up 12% QoQ.

EBITDA Margins

Q4 FY26 EBITDA Margin was 23.9%, down 630 bps YoY but up 120 bps QoQ.

Management forward view

Operational Discipline

GHCL has continued to demonstrate strong operational discipline, focusing on cost optimization, energy efficiency, and process improvements.

Capital Deployment

The company is committed towards aligning capital deployment with evolving market conditions.

Constructive Outlook

Stable domestic demand environment, while remaining attentive to global geopolitical developments, should provide a constructive outlook for the sector.

Strategic Positioning

Backed by a strong balance sheet and focus on cost optimization, GHCL is well-positioned to navigate near-term uncertainties.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Bromine & Vacuum Salt CommissioningScheduled for Q1 FY27Successful commissioning and ramp-up of new projects to contribute to revenue and margins.
Greenfield Soda Ash ProjectProgress is slow compared to expectationsUpdates on progress and revised timelines for the greenfield soda ash project.
Domestic RealizationsStable-to-improvingSustained improvement in domestic realizations amidst global volatility.
EBITDA Margin23.9% (Q4 FY26)Maintenance or improvement of EBITDA margins through continued cost management and efficiency gains.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

44Neutral

MACD − · near 52W low

Stock trend: 35
Sector RS: 57
Sector 3M: +0.0% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

GHCLdaily · 1Y · AUTO-6.9%
Latest close ₹436.60 on 2026-09-04
Bar
-1.3%
RSI
48
MACD hist
-0.31
52W pos
8%
2026-09-04O ₹442.50H ₹442.50L ₹436.10C ₹436.60Vol 84,548 sh
₹409.98₹446.39₹482.80₹519.21₹555.6252L436.602026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend down. RSI 48.

  • Price below SMA200 (long-term downtrend) — short-term bounces likely countertrend.
  • SMA20 roughly flat — short-term momentum stalled.
  • RSI(14) at 48 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • Within 5% of 52-week low — testing support.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 71 · UNDERVALUED · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

71U-SCORE
Top Setup

Fundamental score breakdown

UNDERVALUED
Valuation29/30
Growth10/25
Quality5/20
Balance Sheet11/15
Cash Flow10/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
1
Raw sum
71

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

71/100 · UNDERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 9.9%.
  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 60.5%.

Main drags

  • Quality is weaker at 5/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Growth is weaker at 10/25; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 11/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
8.3
PB
1.1
EV/EBITDA
5.1
ROE
13.2%
ROCE
17.6%
FCF Yield
9.9%
Debt/Equity
0.0
MoS
+60.5%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE. Current PE is low at 8.3, so peak-cycle earnings risk should be checked.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
71
Previous: 71
Verdict
UNDERVALUED
Previous: UNDERVALUED
Margin of safety
+60.5%
Previous: +60.5%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
70
71
71
71
71
71
71
71
71
71
71
71

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹701
+37.7% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
19.6
Growth-justified Value
₹1,106.14
+60.5% MoS
PEG
1.04

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
67Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 52nd percentile of the scored universe and 32nd percentile within Chemicals. Main check: results consistency is weak at 15/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: 2 latest quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
167 docs text-extracted · 86 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
52nd percentile

overall median 67 · Chemicals: 32nd pctile, median 73 · Micro: 32nd pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

167 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
66
acceptable · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
89
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
96
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
50
watch · capital discipline
Results
15
weak · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is 9.9%.
  • 12 years of positive FCF.
  • Debt/equity is 0.02.

Trust risks

  • 2 latest quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.
  • Promoter holding is only 19.8%.
  • ROCE trend is -3.4%.
  • 1/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
8.29
P/B
1.13
EV/EBITDA
5.06
Market Cap
4022.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
13.20%
ROCE
17.60%
ROA
12.21%
Dividend Y
2.75%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
2.00%
EPS 5Y
8.00%
Revenue 3Y
-12.00%
EPS 3Y
-25.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.02
Interest Coverage
87.50×
Altman Z
5.89
Book Value
386.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
9.87%
FCF Positive Y
12/5
OCF
681.00 Cr
EPS TTM
56.58

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
19.83%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
8%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Chemicals, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.