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IndiaPulse

Blue Dart Express Limited (BLUEDART)

Large Cap

Services stocks · Large cap · NSE

Blue Dart Express is India's market leader in express air and integrated transportation and distribution. It operates an unparalleled integrated air and ground network, including 6 Boeing 757-200 and 2 Boeing 737-800 aircraft, covering 56,400+ locations. DHL Group holds 75% shares.

₹4,991.7
-37.10 · -0.74%
Quote04 Sept, 03:58 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Services P/E 17.5 (n=141)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Mixed fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
FAIR VALUE
46

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
74

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
46

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
stable
75

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Excellent · 90/100

Rev +15% YoY · PAT +80% YoY · margin expansion · +8% QoQ · operating leverage

Filed 30 Jun 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,658 Cr+15.0%+8.2%
EBITDA₹261 Cr+33.2%+17.6%
Operating margin16.0%+200 bps+200 bps
PAT₹88 Cr+79.6%+79.6%
PAT margin5.3%+191 bps+211 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-06-03T16:40:32.614Z
Management commentary snapshot

Consolidated Revenue from operations for FY2025-26 grew to INR 61,409 mn (YoY +7.35%). Consolidated EBITDA margin was 16.05% for FY2025-26, up from 15.87% YoY. Q4 FY2025-26 consolidated EBITDA margin was 15.14%, down from 15.77% YoY and 17.92% QoQ.

The company maintains market leadership and consistent annual growth. Strategic investments in network and technology are ongoing. However, Q4 FY2025-26 consolidated EBITDA margin declined YoY and QoQ, and an exceptional item impacted EBT, warranting close monitoring of profitability trends.

Growth engines

Market Leadership in B2B Express & eCommerce

Sustainable growth momentum, unique position for B2B express & eCommerce.

Investments in Infrastructure & Technology

Investments in building a robust infrastructure to meet increasing demands. AI/ML solutions, automation, digital solutions, and drone-based last-mile deliveries.

Focus on SME & MSME Segments

Increasing customer count and business from the SME's & MSME's base with a dedicated customer-centric team.

Enhanced Ground Product for eCommerce

Blue Line competitive pricing & transit time, real-time tracking, slotted deliveries, extended reach, reverse pickup/exchange, COD/POS capabilities.

Tailwinds

Government Focus on Logistics

Gati Shakti Master Plan, National Logistics Policy, eCommerce Policy, Dedicated Freight Corridors, and improved road infrastructure.

Make in India Initiative

Government initiative to promote manufacturing and assembly in India, potentially increasing logistics demand.

Digital Commerce Expansion

Acceleration of eCommerce and more demand for last-mile solutions, supported by Open Network for Digital Commerce (ONDC).

Technology Adoption

Accelerating impact of process technology and automation, including AI/ML, digital solutions, and drone deliveries.

Headwinds

West Asia Crisis Impact

Disrupted energy supply chains (crude oil, natural gas, fertilisers) due to production, storage, and transport constraints, causing supply shortages and higher prices.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is crucial for assessing underlying growth and performance against similar periods, given potential seasonality in express logistics. QoQ is important to track sequential momentum, utilization, and the immediate impact of operational changes or market shifts.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Total Shipments (FY2025-26)

404 Million shipments.

Total Tonnage (FY2025-26)

1,439 thousand tonnes.

Locations Covered

56,400+ Locations covered.

EBITDA Margin (Consolidated FY2025-26)

16.05% for FY2025-26, up from 15.87% in FY2024-25.

Management forward view

Maintain Market Leadership

Aim to achieve and maintain leadership status and pole position in both Air and Ground express segments.

Expand Pin Code Coverage

Increase pin code coverage and footprint to cover 98% of Country's GDP.

Enhance Digital Interface & Automation

Improve digital interface with all stakeholders and increase automation levels across processes.

Focus on E-tailing Profitability

Strengthen the e-tailing segment's profitability.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Consolidated EBITDA Margin15.14% (Q4 FY2025-26)Sustained improvement in sequential and YoY margins, especially after the Q4 decline.
Consolidated EBT Margin4.69% (Q4 FY2025-26, after exceptional item)Recovery in EBT margins, monitoring the impact of any future exceptional items or labor code adjustments.
Revenue Growth7.35% YoY (FY2025-26)Continued healthy revenue growth, particularly from SME/MSME and e-tailing segments.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

46Neutral

MACD −

Stock trend: 42
Sector RS: 51
Sector 3M: -1.2% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

BLUEDARTdaily · 1Y · AUTO-8.5%
Latest close ₹4991.70 on 2026-09-04
Bar
-0.8%
RSI
46
MACD hist
-10.45
52W pos
15%
2026-09-04O ₹5034.00H ₹5048.90L ₹4968.10C ₹4991.70Vol 5,838 sh
₹4.57k₹4.89k₹5.20k₹5.52k₹5.83k52L4991.702026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 46. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price below SMA200 (long-term downtrend) — short-term bounces likely countertrend.
  • SMA20 roughly flat — short-term momentum stalled.
  • RSI(14) at 46 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 29% off 52W high · 8% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

34
RS percentile
Stage 4 Downtrend
1M return
-1.9%
3M return
+6.4%
6M return
-5.9%
1Y return
-12.9%
RS 1D
-1
RS 20D
+10
Sector rank
#7
Industry rank
#11
Stage evidence
  • Price is 2.7% below the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is below the 30-week proxy and its slope is falling -1.1%.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price below
Sector
weakening
Industry
weakening
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 81.59-0.73%
778593100108Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 2682
RS vs Nifty 50082

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 46 · FAIR VALUE · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

46U-SCORE
Financial Turnaround

Fundamental score breakdown

FAIR VALUE
Valuation1/30
Growth14/25
Quality11/20
Balance Sheet6/15
Cash Flow8/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
1
Raw sum
46

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

46/100 · FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 4.2%.
  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Cash flow contributes 8/10 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -57.2%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 1/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 6/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Blended valuation: PE, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and balance-sheet checks

For this sector, IndiaPulse uses a blended lens rather than relying on a single valuation ratio.

Blended relative
Primary lens
PE, EV/EBITDA, margin of safety, and FCF yield together.
Secondary checks
ROE/ROCE, growth, cash conversion, leverage, promoter risk.
Main risk check
One cheap metric is not enough if quality or cash flow is weak.
PE
36.5
PB
6.7
EV/EBITDA
8.3
ROE
15.7%
ROCE
15.8%
FCF Yield
4.2%
Debt/Equity
0.6
MoS
-57.2%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
46
Previous: 46
Verdict
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
-57.2%
Previous: -57.2%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: -1 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
45
45
46
46
46
46
47
47
47
47
47
46

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹1,427.87
-249.6% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
26.3
Growth-justified Value
₹3,175.73
-57.2% MoS
PEG
2.03

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
74Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 75th percentile of the scored universe and 81st percentile within Services. No major sub-score weakness stands out.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
95 docs text-extracted · 21 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
75th percentile

overall median 67 · Services: 81st pctile, median 66 · Large: 56th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

95 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
81
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
60
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
75
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 4.2%.
  • 10 years of positive FCF.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • No major Trust Lite risk flags.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
36.50
P/B
6.66
EV/EBITDA
8.28
Market Cap
11845.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
15.70%
ROCE
15.80%
ROA
6.95%
Dividend Y
0.50%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
13.00%
EPS 5Y
18.00%
Revenue 3Y
6.00%
EPS 3Y
-10.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.64
Interest Coverage
11.55×
Altman Z
6.13
Book Value
749.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
4.18%
FCF Positive Y
10/5
OCF
810.00 Cr
EPS TTM
120.98

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
15%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Services, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.