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IndiaPulse

TVS Supply Chain Solutions Limited (TVSSCS)

Micro Cap

Services stocks · Micro cap · NSE

TVS Supply Chain Solutions is a tech-driven, end-to-end supply chain solutions provider. It offers Integrated Supply Chain Solutions (ISCS) and Global Forwarding Solutions (GFS) across 26 countries, managing 25.1 Mn Sq. Ft. of warehouse space. Serves diverse sectors including Industrial, Automotive, and Tech.

₹130.41
+0.88 · +0.68%
Quote04 Sept, 03:59 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Services P/E 17.5 (n=141)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
WATCHLIST
32

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
68

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
54

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
mixed
61

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Bad · 2/100

PAT -69% YoY · margin compression · Rev +29% YoY · +10% QoQ

Filed 30 Jun 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹3,335 Cr+28.7%+10.0%
EBITDA₹225 Cr+27.1%+3.2%
Operating margin7.0%+0 bps+0 bps
PAT₹22 Cr-69.0%+22.2%
PAT margin0.7%-208 bps+7 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-03T14:38:37.083Z
Management commentary snapshot

TVSSCS reported strong Q4 FY26 results with revenue up 21.3% YoY and Adj. EBITDA up 37.5% YoY, driven by robust new business wins and margin expansion. FY26 saw 10.1% YoY revenue growth and 14.5% YoY Adj. EBITDA growth, with PBT increasing 166%.

The company's Q4 and FY26 performance demonstrates significant operational improvement and growth momentum. Double-digit revenue and Adj. EBITDA growth, coupled with substantial PBT increase and margin expansion, validate the investment thesis. Strategic initiatives and strong new business wins position TVSSCS for continued sustainable growth.

Current business mix

End Customer Industries (FY26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 7 reported categories.

Businessmix
Industrial32.0%
Automotive25.0%
Tech and Tech Infra14.0%
Consumer12.0%
Rail and Utilities8.0%
Healthcare5.0%
Others1.0%
Growth engines

New Business Wins

Record new business wins of INR 524 Cr in Q4 FY26 and INR 1,207 Cr in FY26, translating to 21.0% of Q4 FY25 and 12.1% of FY25 revenue.

ISCS India Momentum

Strong YoY growth of 17.3% in ISCS India, supported by new business wins, expected to continue into FY27.

Acquisition of Swamy & Sons

Transaction concluded in May 2026, expected to accelerate India’s growth trajectory and be margin accretive.

Technology Adoption

Early adoption of AI and robotics; patent accepted for "Unified Logistics Platform".

Tailwinds

Recovery in GFS Volumes

GFS segment posted robust growth of 34.8% YoY driven by recovery in volumes in Q4, led by a sharp rebound in India freight volumes.

Project One Initiatives

Disciplined cost actions through Project One initiatives supported profitability inflection and strong margin expansion in ISCS Europe.

Robust BD Pipeline

Business Development Pipeline stands at INR 6,100 Crore, backing future growth.

Headwinds

Geopolitical Developments

GFS segment faced strong headwinds from geopolitical developments, causing turbulence in freight rates.

Pricing Pressure in GFS

Pricing continued to be under pressure in the GFS segment despite volume recovery.

Risk radar

Geopolitical Environment

Management continues to keep a watch on the geo-political environment given its impact on GFS.

Freight Rate Volatility

Turbulence in freight rates caused by the conflict in West Asia.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison assesses overall growth and structural changes across global operations. QoQ tracks sequential momentum, new business execution, and immediate impact of cost actions and volume recovery.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Revenue from operations

Q4 FY26: INR 3,032.2 Cr (+21.3% YoY, +11.7% QoQ). FY26: INR 11,003.0 Cr (+10.1% YoY).

Adjusted EBITDA

Q4 FY26: INR 222.0 Cr (+37.5% YoY, +11.4% QoQ). FY26: INR 773.0 Cr (+14.5% YoY).

Adjusted EBITDA Margins

Q4 FY26: 7.3% (+80 bps YoY). FY26: 7.0% (+20 bps YoY).

Adjusted PBT

Q4 FY26: INR 30.9 Cr (+72.2% YoY, +23.0% QoQ). FY26: INR 99.3 Cr (+166.4% YoY).

Management forward view

FY26 as Turnaround Year

FY26 established a strong foundation, positioning the Company for sustainable growth from FY27 onwards.

Operational Focus

Management's operational focus remains on improving margin trajectory and steady improvement in cash generation.

Commitment to Growth & Profitability

Committed to sustainable growth in revenue and profitability with large wins and improved execution discipline.

ISCS India Outlook

Expect strong growth trend to continue into FY27 driven by operational improvements and new business wins.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
New Business WinsINR 524 Cr in Q4 FY26Continued strong new business wins to sustain revenue growth.
Adjusted EBITDA Margins7.3% in Q4 FY26Sustained margin expansion across segments, especially in GFS and ISCS Europe.
Operating Cash FlowINR 243 Cr in FY26Steady improvement in cash generation.
GFS Volume & PricingStrong volume recovery in Q4, pricing under pressureContinued volume recovery and stabilization/improvement in freight pricing.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

54Neutral

SMA20 -6.3% / mo · MACD +

Stock trend: 55
Sector RS: 51
Sector 3M: -1.2% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

TVSSCSdaily · 1Y · AUTO+16.5%
Latest close ₹130.41 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+0.6%
RSI
52
MACD hist
0.40
52W pos
71%
2026-09-04O ₹129.60H ₹132.53L ₹126.96C ₹130.41Vol 9.3L sh
₹87.51₹102.96₹118.41₹133.86₹149.3152H52L130.412026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 52. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price above SMA200 (long-term uptrend) but mid-term MAs not aligned.
  • SMA20 falling (~6.8% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 52 — sideways, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal, histogram expanding — bullish momentum building.
  • 11% off 52W high · 44% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 32 · WATCHLIST · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

32U-SCORE
WATCHLIST

Fundamental score breakdown

WATCHLIST
Valuation1/30
Growth17/25
Quality3/20
Balance Sheet0/15
Cash Flow8/10
Piotroski
6/9 (+3)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
32

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

32/100 · WATCHLIST

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 9.0%.
  • Cash flow contributes 8/10 to the score.
  • Growth contributes 17/25 to the score.

Main drags

  • Promoter pledge is 31.9%.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -240.3%.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 0/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Blended valuation: PE, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and balance-sheet checks

For this sector, IndiaPulse uses a blended lens rather than relying on a single valuation ratio.

Blended relative
Primary lens
PE, EV/EBITDA, margin of safety, and FCF yield together.
Secondary checks
ROE/ROCE, growth, cash conversion, leverage, promoter risk.
Main risk check
One cheap metric is not enough if quality or cash flow is weak.
PE
81.2
PB
2.8
EV/EBITDA
6.0
ROE
9.7%
ROCE
10.1%
FCF Yield
9.0%
Debt/Equity
1.5
MoS
-240.3%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
32
Previous: 32
Verdict
WATCHLIST
Previous: WATCHLIST
Margin of safety
-240.3%
Previous: -240.3%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: -1 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
38
37
33
33
33
33
33
33
33
33
33
32

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹38.92
-235.1% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
26.3
Growth-justified Value
₹38.32
-240.3% MoS
PEG
1.77

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
68Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 56th percentile of the scored universe and 64th percentile within Services. Main check: promoter alignment is weak at 46/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: FCF yield is 9%. Key concern: Promoter pledge is elevated at 31.9%.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
65 docs text-extracted · 24 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
56th percentile

overall median 67 · Services: 64th pctile, median 66 · Micro: 34th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

65 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
46
watch · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
89
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
69
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
68
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
61
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • FCF yield is 9%.
  • 7 years of positive FCF.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.
  • OPM spread across recent quarters is 2%.

Trust risks

  • Promoter pledge is elevated at 31.9%.
  • 2 latest quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.
  • Debt/equity is 1.53.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
81.20
P/B
2.82
EV/EBITDA
5.95
Market Cap
5754.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
9.70%
ROCE
10.10%
ROA
0.95%
Dividend Y

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
10.00%
EPS 5Y
29.00%
Revenue 3Y
3.00%
EPS 3Y
71.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
1.53
Interest Coverage
5.03×
Altman Z
3.11
Book Value
46.10

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
8.99%
FCF Positive Y
7/5
OCF
746.00 Cr
EPS TTM
1.46

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
43.03%
Promoter Pledge
31.90%
Momentum 52W
71%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 11.0k+10.1% vs prev
011kMar 2019: 6,780Mar 2020: 6,605Mar 2021: 6,934Mar 2022: 9,250Mar 2023: 9,994Mar 2024: 9,200Mar 2025: 9,996Mar 2026: 11.0kFY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 117+1270.0% vs prev
-248.00117.0Mar 2019: -33.0Mar 2020: -248Mar 2021: -76.0Mar 2022: -46.0Mar 2023: 42.0Mar 2024: -90.0Mar 2025: -10.0Mar 2026: 117FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 266+48447.3% vs prev
-48.50265.9Mar 2019: -5.3%Mar 2020: -48.5%Mar 2021: -15.5%Mar 2022: -6.4%Mar 2023: 5.8%Mar 2024: -5.0%Mar 2025: -0.6%Mar 2026: 266%FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Peers

Business-comparable names in Services, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.