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IndiaPulse

Balrampur Chini Mills Limited (BALRAMCHIN)

Large Cap

FMCG stocks · Large cap · NSE

Balrampur Chini Mills Limited is an integrated sugar manufacturer in Uttar Pradesh, India, with units for sugar, ethanol, and co-generation. The company is diversifying into bioplastics with India's first industrial bio-polymer plant for Poly Lactic Acid (PLA) production, leveraging sugar as a raw material.

₹690.6
-13.75 · -1.95%
Quote04 Sept, 03:59 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags15 Aug 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · FMCG P/E 36.0 (n=42)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Check latest quarters
Result consistency is weak; verify whether the thesis is improving or deteriorating.
U-Score
OVERVALUED
23

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
66

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Bullish
62

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
weak
36

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Bad · 0/100

PAT -15% YoY · margin compression · Rev +6% YoY

Filed 30 Jun 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,637 Cr+6.2%+2.1%
EBITDA₹114 Cr-14.9%-60.0%
Operating margin7.0%-200 bps-1100 bps
PAT₹44 Cr-15.4%-72.5%
PAT margin2.7%-68 bps-729 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-22T07:13:31.883Z
Management commentary snapshot

FY26 revenue grew to Rs. 5,507.2 crore, with PBIT at Rs. 514.7 crore. Sugar sales volume increased to 100.6 lac quintals, and average blended sugar realization rose to Rs. 40.7/kg. PBIT margin saw a slight dip to 9.3% from 9.5% in FY25.

The company demonstrated revenue and PBIT growth in FY26, supported by higher sugar realizations and sales volumes. The strategic diversification into PLA bioplastics, backed by government policy and cost-effectiveness claims, presents a new growth avenue, though its implementation and ramp-up are key.

Growth engines

Bioplastic (PLA) Diversification

Establishing India’s first industrial bio-polymer plant for Poly Lactic Acid (PLA) production, promoting eco-friendly alternatives to plastics.

Cost-effectiveness of Bio-based Carbon

Bio-based carbon is inherently more cost-effective than fossil-based carbon for plastics, making it a promising and sustainable solution for the future.

Growing PLA Market

The global PLA market is projected to grow 11.8% from 2024 to 2034, with a value of USD 1.46 Bn in 2025.

Increasing Sugar Realizations

Average blended realization of sugar consistently increased to Rs. 40.7/kg in FY26 from Rs. 34.7/kg in FY22.

Capacity and execution

Poly Lactic Acid (PLA) Plant

A 250 TPD (80,000 TPA) PLA plant was announced in Feb-24 and is currently under implementation at the Kumbhi unit.

Tailwinds

Government BioE3 Policy

Government introduced BioE3 Policy in August 2024 to promote bio-manufacturing and support the shift to a sustainable, bio-based economy.

Policy Maker Mindset Shift

Interventions by Central and State Governments reflect a clear shift in policy makers' mindset, which augurs well for the industry.

Sugar as Efficient Bio-raw Material

Sugar is highlighted as the most efficient raw material for the bio-based transition, offering the best yield per hectare and lower environmental footprint.

Headwinds

Ban on Sugar Exports

Government imposed a ban on exports of sugar from the country on May 13, 2026.

Need for MSP and Ethanol Price Revision

Management expects an increase in the minimum selling price (MSP) of sugar and revision in ethanol prices in line with FRP hike.

Risk radar

Government Policy Changes

Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties like government actions and agricultural policies. The recent export ban highlights this.

Raw Material Price Volatility

FRP and SAP for sugarcane are subject to government revisions, impacting input costs. Management expects ethanol prices to align with FRP.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare YOY

The provided financial and operational data are annual figures spanning five fiscal years, making year-over-year comparison appropriate to assess long-term trends and annual performance. The document also notes "Quantity variance due to seasonality" for sugar, reinforcing annual comparisons.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Revenue

FY26 Revenue was Rs. 5,507.2 crore, up from Rs. 4,897.4 crore in FY25.

PBIT Margin

PBIT Margin for FY26 was 9.3%, a slight decrease from 9.5% in FY25.

Sugar Sales Volume

Sugar Sales increased to 100.6 lac quintals in FY26 from 94.2 lac quintals in FY25.

Average Blended Sugar Realization

Average blended realization of sugar rose to Rs. 40.7/kg in FY26 from Rs. 39.1/kg in FY25.

Management forward view

Diversification to Bioplastics

Management is establishing India’s first industrial bio-polymer plant for PLA production, promoting eco-friendly alternatives to plastics.

Commitment to Environment and Shareholders

The company has enhanced commitment towards environment and shareholders, including share buybacks and dividend payouts.

Strategic Alignment

Diversifying goals align with the Make in India Initiative and Swachh Bharat Abhiyan, aiming to meet eco-friendly standards.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
PLA Plant Commissioning250 TPD PLA plant under implementation, announced Feb-24.Timely commissioning and ramp-up of the PLA plant, and initial revenue contribution from bioplastics.
Sugar Export PolicyBan on sugar exports imposed on May 13, 2026.Any changes or lifting of the sugar export ban, which could impact domestic supply and pricing.
Ethanol and Sugar MSP RevisionsManagement expects upward revision in sugar MSP and ethanol prices.Government decisions on increasing the minimum selling price of sugar and aligning ethanol prices with FRP hikes.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

62Bullish

full bull SMA stack · SMA20 +9.1% / mo · MACD −

Stock trend: 77
Sector RS: 40
Sector 3M: -3.3% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

BALRAMCHINdaily · 1Y · AUTO+40.8%
Latest close ₹690.60 on 2026-09-04
Bar
-0.9%
RSI
56
MACD hist
-1.24
52W pos
77%
2026-09-04O ₹697.00H ₹702.00L ₹682.50C ₹690.60Vol 22.3L sh
₹426.10₹519.04₹611.98₹704.91₹797.8552H690.602026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Bullish setup

Trend is constructive — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 56.

  • Price > SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200 — full bullish stack.
  • SMA20 rising (~8.3% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 56 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 12% off 52W high · 75% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

85
RS percentile
Stage 2 Uptrend
1M return
+9.0%
3M return
+28.6%
6M return
+35.6%
1Y return
+33.4%
RS 1D
-1
RS 20D
+7
Sector rank
#16
Industry rank
-
Stage evidence
  • Price is 26.6% above the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is above the 30-week proxy and its slope is rising +6.4%.
  • Both 3-month and 6-month returns are positive.
50-DMA
price above
200-DMA
price above
Sector
lagging
Industry
unranked
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 119.5-1.95%
6784101118134Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 26120
RS vs Nifty 500120

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 23 · OVERVALUED · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

23U-SCORE
OVERVALUED

Fundamental score breakdown

OVERVALUED
Valuation3/30
Growth3/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet8/15
Cash Flow4/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
23

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

23/100 · OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Balance sheet contributes 8/15 to the score.
  • Cash flow contributes 4/10 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -589.4%.
  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Valuation is weaker at 3/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
39.4
PB
3.4
EV/EBITDA
19.8
ROE
9.5%
ROCE
9.3%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.8
MoS
-589.4%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
23
Previous: 23
Verdict
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-589.4%
Previous: -589.4%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +1 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
29
29
25
25
25
24
24
24
22
22
22
23

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹290.37
-137.8% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
5.5
Growth-justified Value
₹100.17
-589.4% MoS
PEG

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
66Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 49th percentile of the scored universe and 11th percentile within FMCG. Main check: results consistency is weak at 36/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: 1/4 latest quarters had positive YoY PAT growth.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
119 docs text-extracted · 36 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
49th percentile

overall median 67 · FMCG: 11th pctile, median 78 · Large: 26th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

119 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
67
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
81
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
60
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
36
weak · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • 5 years of positive FCF.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • 1/4 latest quarters had positive YoY PAT growth.
  • 1 of the latest 4 quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.
  • OPM spread across recent quarters is 20.2%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
39.40
P/B
3.37
EV/EBITDA
19.78
Market Cap
14613.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
9.54%
ROCE
9.28%
ROA
4.41%
Dividend Y
0.51%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
5.00%
EPS 5Y
-4.00%
Revenue 3Y
10.00%
EPS 3Y
10.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.77
Interest Coverage
9.49×
Altman Z
3.96
Book Value
205.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
5/5
OCF
599.00 Cr
EPS TTM
18.28

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
42.86%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
77%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in FMCG, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.