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IndiaPulse

Adani Green Energy Limited (ADANIGREEN)

Large Cap

Power stocks · Large cap · NSE

Adani Green Energy Limited (AGEL) is India's largest renewable energy and storage portfolio, deploying solar, wind, and hybrid projects at scale. Its 20,142 MW operational portfolio powers over 9 million homes and avoids 37 million tonnes of CO2e annually, focusing on sustainable value creation and industry-leading de-risked growth.

₹1,301.3
+17.90 · +1.39%
Quote04 Sept, 03:53 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Power P/E 16.6 (n=92)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust needs verification, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
OVERVALUED
22

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Weak Trust
50

low confidence · 0/8 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
52

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
mixed
62

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Excellent · 75/100

Rev +17% YoY · PAT +19% YoY · margin expansion · +27% QoQ

Filed 22 Jul 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹4,431 Cr+16.6%+26.5%
EBITDA₹3,985 Cr+31.0%+38.3%
Operating margin90.0%+1000 bps+800 bps
PAT₹983 Cr+19.3%+91.3%
PAT margin22.2%+50 bps+750 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-07-23T07:12:36.188Z
Management commentary snapshot

Adani Green Energy reported robust Q1 FY27 results with Revenue from Power Supply up 29% YoY to 4,280 Cr and EBITDA up 33% YoY to 4,122 Cr, achieving a 94% margin. Operational capacity grew 27% YoY to 20,142 MW, driving a 30% YoY increase in energy sales to 13,657 mn units.

AGEL continues to demonstrate strong operational and financial growth, driven by significant capacity additions and high plant availability. The industry-leading EBITDA margin and consistent energy generation above PPA commitments reinforce the company's execution capabilities and de-risked growth path, despite some grid curtailment issues.

Current business mix

Operational RE Capacity Resource Mix (as of June 30, 2026)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 3 reported categories.

Businessmix
Solar71.0%
Wind13.0%
Hybrid16.0%
Growth engines

Capacity Expansion Target

Secured growth path to 50 GW by 2030 with focus on higher returns.

Khavda Renewable Park

Developing Khavda as the world's largest single-location RE site, targeting 30 GW by 2029.

Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS)

Targeting 10+ GWhr of Front-of-the-Meter (FTM) BESS capacity by FY27.

Diversified Market Opportunities

Increased focus on merchant, C&I, CFD, and mid-duration hybrid opportunities.

Capacity and execution

Total Operational Capacity

Operational capacity increased by 27% YoY to 20,142 MW with greenfield addition of 4,327 MW.

Q1 FY27 Capacity Addition

Capacity addition during Q1 FY27 was 848 MW, including 2,662 MW solar, 684 MW wind, and 592 MW hybrid in Khavda.

BESS Operationalization

Operationalized 1,972 MWh BESS capacity in Khavda during Q1 FY27, taking total installed capacity to 3,551 MWh.

Tailwinds

Must Run Status

100% Must Run Portfolio as per Electricity Act, 2003, ensuring priority dispatch.

Efficient Capital Management

Access to international markets, diversified funding sources, and elongated maturities up to 20 years.

Funding for Growth

Promoter's USD 1.125 Bn warrants and FCFE to fully fund 50 GW equity requirement.

Evacuation Infrastructure

Evacuation infrastructure readiness and detailed design planning for grid connectivity, including simulations.

Headwinds

Grid Curtailment

Lower grid availability is due to transmission curtailment during day-time peak hours only, impacting CUF.

Risk radar

Grid Availability & Transmission

Grid availability for solar was 80.6% in Q1 FY27, impacted by transmission curtailment and delayed transmission lines.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is crucial for assessing the impact of significant capacity additions and long-term growth trends in a capital-intensive business. QoQ comparison provides insight into sequential momentum, project commissioning, and operational efficiency improvements.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Energy Sales Volume

Sale of Energy increased by 30% YoY at 13,657 mn units in Q1 FY27.

Solar CUF

Solar portfolio CUF at 25.3% backed by 99.5% plant availability in Q1 FY27.

Wind CUF

Wind portfolio CUF at 44.4% backed by 95.3% plant availability in Q1 FY27.

Hybrid CUF

Hybrid portfolio CUF at 49.0% backed by 98.8% plant availability in Q1 FY27.

Management forward view

De-risked Growth Path

Well-positioned for industry-leading de-risked growth, aiming for 50 GW by 2030 with stable cashflows.

Focus on Storage Solutions

Focused on delivering renewable power and storage solutions, including significant BESS capacity.

ESG Leadership

Setting new benchmarks in ESG practices, maintaining highest CRISIL ESG score in Indian power sector.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Operational Capacity (MW)20,142 MW (Q1 FY27)Progress towards 50 GW by 2030 target, especially Khavda's 30 GW by 2029.
EBITDA Margin from Power Supply (%)94% (Q1 FY27)Sustained industry-leading margins, indicating efficient O&M and cost control.
Solar Grid Availability (%)80.6% (Q1 FY27)Improvement in grid availability, especially for solar, and resolution of transmission curtailment issues.
Receivables Days2 days (as of June 30, 2026)Maintenance of low receivables days, indicating strong payment discipline from counterparties.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Show extracted source claims
operational efficiencynot yet verifiablequantified

AGEL targets to be among the Top 10 companies globally in ESG benchmarking within the electric utility sector.

Timeframe: By FY25Direction: ImproveConfidence: Target

"To be in Top 10 companies of the world in ESG benchmarking of electric utility sector by FY25"

operational efficiencynot yet verifiablequantified

AGEL targets to be among the Top 10 companies globally in ESG benchmarking within the electric utility sector.

Timeframe: By FY25Direction: ImproveConfidence: Target

"To be in Top 10 companies of the world in ESG benchmarking of electric utility sector by FY25"

project executionnot yet verifiablequantified

AGEL's entire project pipeline will be fully funded by the USD 1.64 billion revolving facility.

Confidence: Ensured

"will fully fund its entire project pipeline"

project executionnot yet verifiablequantified

AGEL's entire project pipeline will be fully funded by the USD 1.64 billion revolving facility.

Confidence: Ensured

"will fully fund its entire project pipeline"

project executionnot yet verifiablequantified

AGEL's portfolio is expected to reach over 40 GW, including operational, under construction, near construction, and future project potential.

Direction: IncreaseConfidence: Potential

"Executing projects at above sites would take AGEL portfolio to >40 GW"

project executionnot yet verifiablequantified

AGEL's portfolio is expected to reach over 40 GW, including operational, under construction, near construction, and future project potential.

Direction: IncreaseConfidence: Potential

"Executing projects at above sites would take AGEL portfolio to >40 GW"

project executionnot yet verifiablequantified

Adani Green Energy Limited (AGEL) aims to develop and operate renewable energy capacity of 45 GW.

Timeframe: By 2030Direction: IncreaseConfidence: Target

"To develop and operate renewable energy capacity of 45 GW by 2030"

project executionnot yet verifiablequantified

Adani Green Energy Limited (AGEL) aims to develop and operate renewable energy capacity of 45 GW.

Timeframe: By 2030Direction: IncreaseConfidence: Target

"To develop and operate renewable energy capacity of 45 GW by 2030"

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

52Neutral

SMA20 -9.2% / mo · MACD +

Stock trend: 52
Sector RS:

Technical chart

ADANIGREENdaily · 1Y · AUTO+47.1%
Latest close ₹1301.30 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+1.0%
RSI
45
MACD hist
3.27
52W pos
62%
2026-09-04O ₹1288.00H ₹1304.50L ₹1278.20C ₹1301.30Vol 7.7L sh
₹759.89₹988.17₹1.22k₹1.44k₹1.67k52H52L1301.302026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 45. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price above SMA200 (long-term uptrend) but mid-term MAs not aligned.
  • SMA20 falling (~10.1% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 45 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal, histogram expanding — bullish momentum building.
  • 20% off 52W high · 70% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

82
RS percentile
Stage 2 Uptrend
1M return
-5.2%
3M return
-15.2%
6M return
+50.2%
1Y return
+31.7%
RS 1D
0
RS 20D
-6
Sector rank
#17
Industry rank
-
Stage evidence
  • Price is 4.6% above the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is above the 30-week proxy and its slope is rising +4.7%.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price above
Sector
lagging
Industry
unranked
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 135.67+1.40%
78102125149172Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 26136
RS vs Nifty 500136

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 22 · OVERVALUED · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

22U-SCORE
Distress Watch

Fundamental score breakdown

OVERVALUED
Valuation0/30
Growth17/25
Quality1/20
Balance Sheet0/15
Cash Flow1/10
Piotroski
6/9 (+3)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
22

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

22/100 · OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Growth contributes 17/25 to the score.
  • Cash flow contributes 1/10 to the score.
  • Quality contributes 1/20 to the score.

Main drags

  • Altman Z is 1.6, in distress territory.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -383.9%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Execution business valuation: EV/EBITDA plus order and working-capital risk

Capital-intensive execution stories need cash-flow and balance-sheet checks alongside valuation.

Execution EV/EBITDA
Primary lens
EV/EBITDA and PE against execution quality and margin stability.
Secondary checks
Order book, receivables, working capital, debt, operating cash flow.
Main risk check
Order wins matter only if they convert into cash and margins.
PE
111.0
PB
10.8
EV/EBITDA
20.7
ROE
11.4%
ROCE
7.4%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
5.2
MoS
-383.9%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
22
Previous: 22
Verdict
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-383.9%
Previous: -383.9%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
21
21
22
22
22
22
22
22
22
22
22
22

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹171.71
-657.8% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
24.8
Growth-justified Value
₹268.91
-383.9% MoS
PEG
3.34

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
50Weak Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Weak Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 7th percentile of the scored universe and 9th percentile within Power. Main check: balance sheet trust is weak at 8/100.

Mixed Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 62.4%. Key concern: Debt/equity is 5.19.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
104 docs text-extracted · 25 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Weak Trust

Management or financial behaviour needs caution. Demand stronger valuation compensation.

Relative rank
7th percentile

overall median 67 · Power: 9th pctile, median 65 · Large: 3rd pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

104 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

8 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Weak Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Needs extra due diligence; demand valuation comfort and recent improvement.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
43
weak · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
8
weak · leverage and solvency
Discipline
56
watch · capital discipline
Results
62
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 62.4%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.
  • 3/4 latest quarters had positive YoY PAT growth.

Trust risks

  • Debt/equity is 5.19.
  • Altman Z is 1.64.
  • Only 1 years of positive FCF.
  • Interest coverage is 1.7x.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
111.00
P/B
10.75
EV/EBITDA
20.72
Market Cap
214347.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
11.40%
ROCE
7.39%
ROA
1.50%
Dividend Y

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
33.00%
EPS 5Y
44.00%
Revenue 3Y
18.00%
EPS 3Y
17.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
5.19
Interest Coverage
1.68×
Altman Z
1.64
Book Value
121.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
1/5
OCF
10135.00 Cr
EPS TTM
10.83

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
62.43%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
62%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Power, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.