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IndiaPulse

Adani Energy Solutions Limited (ADANIENSOL)

Large Cap

Power stocks · Large cap · NSE

Adani Energy Solutions Limited (AESL) is India's largest private-sector transmission company, a top-rated distribution company in Mumbai & Mundra, and a leading smart metering player. It offers integrated energy solutions, driving India's energy transition with a focus on infrastructure and utility.

₹1,409.6
+23.90 · +1.72%
Quote04 Sept, 03:57 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Power P/E 16.6 (n=92)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
OVERVALUED
24

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
69

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
44

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
stable
68

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Excellent · 100/100

Rev +42% YoY · PAT +130% YoY · margin expansion · +30% QoQ · operating leverage

Filed 21 Jul 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹9,711 Cr+42.4%+30.5%
EBITDA₹3,008 Cr+66.1%+40.2%
Operating margin31.0%+400 bps+200 bps
PAT₹1,237 Cr+129.5%+71.1%
PAT margin12.7%+484 bps+303 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-07-22T03:40:49.340Z
Management commentary snapshot

AESL reports robust Q1FY27 with operational revenue up 54% YoY to Rs 7,117 Cr and PAT soaring 130% YoY to Rs 1,237 Cr, driven by new transmission projects, Energy Solutions Platform, and smart meter rollout. Capex increased 1.57x YoY to Rs 3,498 Cr.

AESL's Q1FY27 results demonstrate strong execution across its integrated utility platform. Significant growth in revenue and PAT, coupled with aggressive capex and a substantial smart metering orderbook, supports the growth thesis. However, increased distribution loss and consumer complaints due to heatwave conditions warrant monitoring.

Growth engines

Transmission Business Expansion

Recently commissioned transmission projects and near-term tendering opportunity at ~Rs 1.1 lakh crore.

Smart Metering Rollout

Ongoing smart meter rollout, combined portfolio with IntelliSmart to exceed 47+ million smart meters, establishing AESL as India’s largest smart metering platform.

Energy Solutions Platform

Significant contribution from Energy Solutions Platform segment, with 13,181 MUs assured in Q1FY27 and 7.5 GW+ market potential.

Distribution Business Growth

Total units sold in Mumbai circle increased by 11% YoY, with consumer base growing due to new customer additions.

Capacity and execution

Transmission Network

Transmission network length increased to 27,949 ckms in Q1FY27 from 26,696 ckms in Q1FY26.

Power Transformation Capacity

Increased to 1,23,175 MVA in Q1FY27 from 93,236 MVA in Q1FY26.

Smart Metering Portfolio

Acquisition of IntelliSmart Infrastructure Private Limited (22.3 Mn meters) will combine with AESL's 24.6 Mn orderbook for 47+ Mn meters.

Tailwinds

Strong Tendering Opportunity

Near-term transmission tendering opportunity at ~Rs 1.1 lakh crore remains solid.

Digital Initiatives

E-payment share increased due to digital initiatives centered around ease of payments for consumers.

Energy Transition Demand

AI Data Centers & RE-RTC Solutions identified as key demand drivers for Energy Solutions Platform.

Headwinds

Extreme Heatwave Conditions

Distribution loss, SAIDI, SAIFI, and CAIDI were impacted by extreme heatwave conditions resulting in higher energy consumption and network loading.

Increased Consumer Complaints

Consumer complaints increased due to higher load on account of strong and extended summer.

Risk radar

Regulatory Compliance

Distribution loss increased to 5.16% but remained within the regulatory permissible limit of 5.31%.

Operational Reliability

Reliability metrics (SAIDI, SAIFI, CAIDI) were impacted by extreme heatwave conditions and higher network loading.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare YOY

The investor presentation explicitly highlights 'Q1FY27 Financial Highlights (YoY)' and 'Q1FY27 Operational Highlights (YoY)', indicating a primary focus on year-over-year comparison for performance assessment.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Operational Revenue

Rs 7,117 crore in Q1FY27, up 54% YoY.

EBITDA

Rs 3,178 crore in Q1FY27, up 58% YoY.

PAT

Rs 1,237 crore in Q1FY27, up 130% YoY.

Transmission Network Length

27,949 ckms in Q1FY27 vs 26,696 ckms in Q1FY26.

Management forward view

Largest Smart Metering Platform

AESL will emerge as the largest sector player with industry-leading meter installation rate and huge untapped opportunity.

Integrated Utility Platform

India’s only Fully Integrated Utility Infrastructure Platform addressing huge unmet demand.

ESG Commitments

Target to increase renewable power procurement to 60% by FY2027 and maintain GHG emission intensity reduction.

Zero Harm Goal

Target Zero harm Zero Injury for work-related incidents.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Net Debt to EBITDA4.5x (Q1FY27)Trend relative to FY25 (3.2x) and impact of ongoing capex and acquisitions on leverage.
Distribution Loss5.16% (Q1FY27)Sustained performance within regulatory limits and mitigation efforts against extreme weather impacts.
Smart Meter Installation Rate>23k daily average (Q1FY27)Continued industry-leading deployment rate and conversion of orderbook into installed meters.
Transmission Tendering WinsUC Orderbook Rs 71,779 CrConversion of ~Rs 1.1 lakh crore near-term tendering opportunity into new project wins and orderbook growth.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

44Neutral

SMA20 -8.1% / mo · MACD −

Stock trend: 44
Sector RS:

Technical chart

ADANIENSOLdaily · 1Y · AUTO+42.7%
Latest close ₹1409.60 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+1.7%
RSI
34
MACD hist
-20.08
52W pos
63%
2026-09-04O ₹1385.60H ₹1412.70L ₹1376.70C ₹1409.60Vol 13.9L sh
₹858.86₹1.10k₹1.35k₹1.59k₹1.83k52H1409.602026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 34.

  • Price above SMA200 (long-term uptrend) but mid-term MAs not aligned.
  • SMA20 falling (~8.9% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 34 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • 21% off 52W high · 86% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

92
RS percentile
Stage 2 Uptrend
1M return
-13.5%
3M return
-10.7%
6M return
+40.3%
1Y return
+68.5%
RS 1D
+1
RS 20D
-5
Sector rank
#17
Industry rank
-
Stage evidence
  • Price is 4.3% above the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is above the 30-week proxy and its slope is rising +6.6%.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price above
Sector
lagging
Industry
unranked
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 173.89+1.73%
89122154187220Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 26174
RS vs Nifty 500174

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 24 · OVERVALUED · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

24U-SCORE
OVERVALUED

Fundamental score breakdown

OVERVALUED
Valuation0/30
Growth14/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet3/15
Cash Flow4/10
Piotroski
6/9 (+3)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
24

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

24/100 · OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Growth contributes 14/25 to the score.
  • Cash flow contributes 4/10 to the score.
  • Balance sheet contributes 3/15 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -94.7%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Execution business valuation: EV/EBITDA plus order and working-capital risk

Capital-intensive execution stories need cash-flow and balance-sheet checks alongside valuation.

Execution EV/EBITDA
Primary lens
EV/EBITDA and PE against execution quality and margin stability.
Secondary checks
Order book, receivables, working capital, debt, operating cash flow.
Main risk check
Order wins matter only if they convert into cash and margins.
PE
59.0
PB
6.7
EV/EBITDA
20.4
ROE
9.4%
ROCE
9.7%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
1.9
MoS
-94.7%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
24
Previous: 24
Verdict
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-94.7%
Previous: -94.7%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
23
23
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹340.46
-314.0% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
29.8
Growth-justified Value
₹723.9
-94.7% MoS
PEG
3.64

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
69Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 59th percentile of the scored universe and 70th percentile within Power. Main check: balance sheet trust is weak at 53/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 73.4%. Key concern: Debt/equity is 1.93.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
87 docs text-extracted · 22 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
59th percentile

overall median 67 · Power: 70th pctile, median 65 · Large: 35th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

87 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
90
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
67
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
53
watch · leverage and solvency
Discipline
68
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
68
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 73.4%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • Promoter holding increased 2.2%.
  • 4 years of positive FCF.

Trust risks

  • Debt/equity is 1.93.
  • 1 of the latest 4 quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
59.00
P/B
6.65
EV/EBITDA
20.36
Market Cap
172388.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
9.44%
ROCE
9.65%
ROA
3.33%
Dividend Y

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
23.00%
EPS 5Y
13.00%
Revenue 3Y
28.00%
EPS 3Y
21.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
1.93
Interest Coverage
2.34×
Altman Z
2.65
Book Value
212.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
4/5
OCF
10997.00 Cr
EPS TTM
24.30

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
73.39%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
63%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Power, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.