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IndiaPulse

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited (ABFRL)

Large Cap

Consumer stocks · Large cap · NSE

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited (ABFRL) is a diversified Indian fashion retailer operating across Masstige & Value, Ethnic, Luxury, and Digital-First brands. The company focuses on expanding its retail footprint and enhancing its omni-channel presence, catering to evolving consumer demands across various segments.

₹52.97
+2.56 · +5.08%
Quote04 Sept, 03:59 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage12/14 · 86%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Consumer P/E 23.3 (n=433)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust needs verification, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
OVERVALUED
18

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Weak Trust
53

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Bearish
30

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
stable
67

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Bad · 12/100

margin compression · Rev +11% YoY

Filed 30 Jun 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹2,026 Cr+10.7%+1.8%
EBITDA₹111 Cr+4.7%-41.0%
Operating margin5.0%-100 bps-400 bps
PAT₹-249 CrNDFNDF
PAT margin-12.3%+49 bps-405 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-12T07:11:57.034Z
Management commentary snapshot

ABFRL reports strong Q4FY26 with 16% revenue growth and 29% normalized EBITDA growth YoY, driven by Pantaloons' 19% growth and improved operating margins across segments. FY26 saw 11% revenue and 23% normalized EBITDA growth, with significant store expansion.

While Q4FY26 shows robust top-line and normalized EBITDA growth, the full-year Pantaloons revenue growth of 4% is modest. Ethnic business profitability improved significantly, but TMRW still incurs cash losses despite strong revenue growth. Sustained margin expansion and profitable scaling of newer ventures are key to thesis validation.

Current business mix

Pantaloons Category Mix (Q4 FY26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 5 reported categories.

Businessmix
Non-Apps11.0%
Women’s Western21.0%
Men35.0%
Women’s Ethnic16.0%
Kids17.0%
Growth engines

Pantaloons Strategic Shift

Strategic shift in consumer proposition driving business momentum for Pantaloons, focusing on superior product and elevated store experience.

Ethnic Portfolio Expansion

Scaling platform spanning well-known premium and designer-led brands, with 80+ new stores added this fiscal and 14% overall growth in FY26.

TMRW Digital-First Brands

Consistent high growth momentum, with portfolio growing 45% YoY in Q4FY26, led by new category extensions and marketing campaigns.

Luxury Retail Traction

Luxury grew 13% YoY in Q4FY26 and 15% YoY in FY26, with Galeries Lafayette seeing strong early traction and The Collective performing well.

Capacity and execution

Overall Store Additions

Added 70 new stores across businesses in Q4FY26 and 180+ new stores in FY26, resulting in ~120k sq.ft. net addition in Q4 and ~600k sq.ft. net added in FY26.

Pantaloons & OWND Expansion

16 new stores added across Pantaloons (4) and OWND (12) in Q4FY26. OWND is now available at 79 stores, with 34 new stores added in FY26.

Ethnic Brands Network Growth

Tasva added 30+ new stores in FY26 (now 94 stores). Jaypore added 15+ new stores in FY26 (now 44 stores). W opened 23 new stores in FY26, with 17 in H2.

Tailwinds

Shift to Organized Retail

Sustained positive momentum in un-organized to organized shift, particularly driving growth in Value Retail.

Omni-channel Adoption

Omni-channel is central to fashion retail, with D2C brands deepening offline presence and hyperlocal fulfilment gaining focus.

Headwinds

Seasonal Demand Impact

Low wedding dates in Q4FY26 compared to last year, with no wedding dates in January and clustered dates in Feb–Mar.

Geopolitical Factors

Geopolitical factors are emerging, posing a risk to input costs and consumer sentiment.

Risk radar

Input Costs & Consumer Sentiment

Geopolitical factors are emerging, which management identifies as a risk to input costs and consumer sentiment.

Wage Code Impact

The wage code impact resulted in an Rs. 11 Cr hit to PBT in Q4FY26 and Rs. 40 Cr in FY26.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare YOY

The fashion retail business often experiences seasonal demand fluctuations. Comparing performance year-over-year provides a more accurate view of underlying business trends and growth, as presented in the document for both Q4 and FY26.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Consolidated Revenue Growth

Q4FY26 revenue grew 16% YoY to Rs. 1990 Cr. FY26 revenue grew 11% YoY to Rs. 8177 Cr.

Normalized EBITDA Growth

Q4FY26 normalized EBITDA grew 29% YoY to Rs. 229 Cr. FY26 normalized EBITDA grew 23% YoY to Rs. 903 Cr.

Normalized EBITDA Margin

Q4FY26 normalized EBITDA margin expanded 120 bps YoY to 11.5%. FY26 normalized EBITDA margin expanded ~100 bps YoY to 11.0%.

Pantaloons LTL Growth

Pantaloons format retail LTL was 14% in Q4FY26 and 2% in FY26.

Management forward view

Premiumization Focus

Pantaloons is driving a premium brand experience through superior product and elevated store experience.

Profitable Ethnic Growth

Ethnic portfolio continued on its profitable growth trajectory, with EBITDA margin up 560 bps in FY26.

TMRW Unit Economics

Strengthening unit economics for TMRW via premiumization and disciplined execution, with cash losses reduced YoY by >50% in Q4.

Galeries Lafayette Ramp-up

Galeries Lafayette is seeing strong early traction, setting new benchmarks in luxury retail with curated in-store experiences.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Pantaloons LTL Growth14% in Q4FY26, 2% in FY26Sustained double-digit LTL growth, indicating continued success of strategic shifts and premiumization efforts.
Ethnic Business EBITDA Margin13.9% in Q4FY26, 10.8% in FY26Further margin expansion, especially from TCNS and designer brands, to demonstrate profitable scaling.
TMRW Cash LossesReduced >50% YoY in Q4FY26Continued reduction in cash losses and progress towards profitability, validating the D2C engine's unit economics.
Overall E-commerce Growth>30% YoY in Q4FY26, >20% YoY in FY26Maintenance of strong e-commerce growth and increasing share of revenue, indicating effective omni-channel strategy.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

30Bearish

full bear SMA stack · SMA20 -7.9% / mo · MACD − · near 52W low

Stock trend: 20
Sector RS: 45
Sector 3M: -2.3% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

ABFRLdaily · 1Y · AUTO-17.6%
Latest close ₹52.97 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+4.4%
RSI
41
MACD hist
-0.22
52W pos
6%
2026-09-04O ₹50.76H ₹53.50L ₹50.45C ₹52.97Vol 81.6L sh
₹49.16₹54.86₹60.56₹66.26₹71.9652L52.972026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 41. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price < SMA20 < SMA50 < SMA200 — full bearish stack.
  • SMA20 falling (~8.5% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 41 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 44% off 52W high · 6% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

6
RS percentile
Stage 4 Downtrend
1M return
-16.4%
3M return
-12.4%
6M return
-14.7%
1Y return
-38.9%
RS 1D
+2
RS 20D
-18
Sector rank
#12
Industry rank
#23
Stage evidence
  • Price is 13.4% below the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is below the 30-week proxy and its slope is falling -2.8%.
  • Both 3-month and 6-month returns are negative.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price below
Sector
neutral
Industry
lagging
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 69.45+5.07%
637994109125Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 2669
RS vs Nifty 50069

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 18 · OVERVALUED · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

18U-SCORE
Distress Watch

Fundamental score breakdown

OVERVALUED
Valuation6/30
Growth4/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet2/15
Cash Flow4/10
Piotroski
4/9 (+1)
Penalties
1
Raw sum
18

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

18/100 · OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Cash flow contributes 4/10 to the score.
  • Valuation contributes 6/30 to the score.
  • Growth contributes 4/25 to the score.

Main drags

  • Altman Z is 1.4, in distress territory.
  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 2/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Consumer valuation: PE/PEG and brand-quality premium

Consumer franchises can deserve higher multiples, but only when growth quality supports them.

Consumer PE/PEG
Primary lens
PE and PEG relative to growth, ROE, margins, and brand strength.
Secondary checks
Volume growth, pricing power, distribution, same-store or category growth.
Main risk check
Premium valuation needs durable growth and margin resilience.
PE
PB
1.1
EV/EBITDA
6.2
ROE
-13.6%
ROCE
-3.8%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
1.1
MoS
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
18
Previous: 18
Verdict
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
No stored baseline yet

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
19
19
18
18
17
18
18
18
18
18
18
18

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
Growth-justified P/E
4.8
Growth-justified Value
— MoS
PEG

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
53Weak Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Weak Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 12th percentile of the scored universe and 14th percentile within Consumer. Main check: balance sheet trust is weak at 21/100.

Mixed Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: Altman Z is 1.44.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
113 docs text-extracted · 40 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Weak Trust

Management or financial behaviour needs caution. Demand stronger valuation compensation.

Relative rank
12th percentile

overall median 67 · Consumer: 14th pctile, median 66 · Large: 6th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

113 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Weak Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Needs extra due diligence; demand valuation comfort and recent improvement.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
67
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
21
weak · leverage and solvency
Discipline
30
weak · capital discipline
Results
67
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • 6 years of positive FCF.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • Altman Z is 1.44.
  • Debt/equity is 1.06.
  • Interest coverage is 1.2x.
  • ROCE is low at -3.8%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
P/B
1.11
EV/EBITDA
6.22
Market Cap
6465.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
-13.60%
ROCE
-3.76%
ROA
-4.86%
Dividend Y

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
9.00%
EPS 5Y
-6.00%
Revenue 3Y
-13.00%
EPS 3Y
-13.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
1.06
Interest Coverage
1.23×
Altman Z
1.44
Book Value
47.80

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
6/5
OCF
161.00 Cr
EPS TTM
-6.39

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
46.61%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
6%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 5,906+5.3% vs prev
012kMar 2017: 6,603Mar 2018: 7,172Mar 2019: 8,118Mar 2020: 8,743Mar 2021: 5,181Mar 2022: 7,824Mar 2023: 11.7kMar 2024: 5,202Mar 2025: 5,609Mar 2026: 5,906FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: -351-174.2% vs prev
-650.00321.0Mar 2017: 54.0Mar 2018: 118Mar 2019: 321Mar 2020: -145Mar 2021: -650Mar 2022: -81.0Mar 2023: 133Mar 2024: -312Mar 2025: -128Mar 2026: -351FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Return on Equity

%
Latest: -28.8-1685.7% vs prev
-28.8022.5Mar 2017: 5.6%Mar 2018: 10.8%Mar 2019: 22.5%Mar 2020: -13.3%Mar 2021: -24.2%Mar 2022: -2.1%Mar 2023: 2.4%Mar 2024: -3.9%Mar 2025: -1.6%Mar 2026: -28.8%FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Peers

Business-comparable names in Consumer, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.