Solar Module Manufacturing
ALMM + Rs. 24,000 cr PLI reshoring the solar supply chain
Solar Module Manufacturing vs Nifty 500
Weekly basket performance over the latest 52 observations. Green is ahead of Nifty 500; red is behind.
- Theme return
- -26.9%
- Nifty 500
- -7.9%
- Vs Nifty 500
- -20.6%
- Latest coverage
- 3/3
Fewer than five constituents have adequate aligned history, so treat this plot as preliminary evidence.
How this plot is calculated
The theme line is green when its cumulative rebased performance is above Nifty 500 and red when it is below. The chart callout shows the latest relative performance as the theme level divided by the benchmark level, minus one.
The basket uses the theme's current reviewed companies. For each available week, we calculate every valid constituent's close-to-close return and give each company the same weight. If a weekly rollup is missing or lags the daily series, the final available daily close in that week is used.
For baskets with at least 10 valid stocks, the highest and lowest 5% of weekly returns are trimmed to reduce split, corporate-action, and single-stock distortions. Weekly basket returns are then compounded and rebased to 100 beside the Nifty 500.
Breadth is the share of valid constituents that rose that week. Coverage is the number with usable aligned prices divided by current membership. Weekly moves above 80% are excluded as likely data or corporate-action outliers.
Limitation: this is a current-membership historical reconstruction, not a point-in-time investable index. It can contain survivorship bias and excludes costs, liquidity impact, dividends, and rebalancing turnover.
Model note: Current-member weekly equal-weight returns (5% tails trimmed for baskets of 10+), compounded and rebased to 100 against Nifty 500; lagging weekly rollups are patched with the final available daily close, and rotation uses 13-week excess return with four-week acceleration.
Theme scorecard
Measures whether this idea is investable today by blending cohort quality, valuation cushion, and price momentum. It is a research filter, not advice.
Capital Goods
A focused investor view: high-conviction names first, then small/micro exposure only as controlled satellite risk. Live U-Score and MoS still come from the current database.
High-conviction shortlist
Curated company map
Names from the curated theme note. Solid chips are present in the live eligible cohort; dashed chips need membership review, ticker verification, or may be indirect/unlisted exposure.
Investment thesis
India is in an infrastructure and manufacturing capex cycle. Government spending, private industrial capex, power transmission, defence, automation, and data-centre demand create long order books for high-quality capital goods companies.
Key triggers
- Government infra and power capex
- Private-sector capex revival
- Strong order books across T&D and industrial automation
- PLI-linked manufacturing expansion
Major risks
- High valuations in quality names
- Project execution delays
- Commodity cost volatility
- Export slowdown risk
Thesis
The Approved List of Models and Manufacturers (ALMM) excludes Chinese-made modules from utility-scale projects. Paired with Rs. 24,000 crore of PLI for integrated solar manufacturing, this is rebuilding a supply chain that was 80% Chinese. Pure-plays are thin — most listed names are at the module / glass layer, with polysilicon + wafer capacity still being built.
- ▸ALMM excludes Chinese modules from utility tenders
- ▸Rs. 24,000 cr PLI anchors integrated manufacturing
- ▸Vertical integration (poly → wafer → cell → module) still building
- ▸Expensive on trailing — valuation depends on ramp quality
Top picks · ranked by U-Score within this cohort
PLI winner — India's largest solar module manufacturer at 12 GW+
Integrated cell + module manufacturer with TOPCon technology
Pure-play solar glass for modules — key upstream supplier