IP
IndiaPulse

VA Tech Wabag Limited (WABAG)

Micro Cap

Infra stocks · Micro cap · NSE

VA TECH WABAG LIMITED is a technology-first global water solutions provider with 100 years of heritage. It offers sustainable solutions across desalination, wastewater treatment, recycle & reuse, effluent treatment, drinking water, ZLD, sludge treatment & energy recovery, operating in 25+ countries with an asset-light model.

₹2,005.3
-5.80 · -0.29%
Quote04 Sept, 03:59 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags15 Aug 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Infra P/E 16.9 (n=83)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Mixed fundamentals, management trust is supportive, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
FAIR VALUE
49

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
81

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
57

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
consistent
95

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Good · 57/100

Rev +21% YoY · PAT +36% YoY · operating leverage · margin compression

Filed 12 Aug 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹887 Cr+20.8%-37.3%
EBITDA₹80 Cr-16.7%-48.7%
Operating margin9.0%-400 bps-200 bps
PAT₹90 Cr+36.4%-29.7%
PAT margin10.2%+116 bps+110 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-03T14:53:40.268Z
Management commentary snapshot

WABAG reported strong FY26 results with PAT up ~26% YoY to ₹371 Cr and revenue growth of 19.7% to ₹3,944 Cr. Order book grew 26% to ₹172 Bn+, providing over 4x revenue visibility, supported by ₹75 Bn order intake. EBITDA margin was 13.3%, and net cash reached ₹950 Cr.

WABAG delivered robust FY26 performance, driven by strong order intake and execution. The healthy order book provides significant revenue visibility, supported by a growing global water market and strategic focus on O&M and Future Energy Solutions. Management's asset-light model and cash generation are positives.

Growth engines

Core Market Growth

Desalination, Reuse, Municipal, Industrial. ~$75 Bn 5-7 Year addressable market. GCC Vision 2030 commits $80 Bn+ to water infra. India treats only 37% of sewage, JJM 2.0 commits ₹8.69 lakh Crores.

Future Energy Solutions

Solar, Semicon, Green H₂, Data Centres, AI. $4–6 Bn 5 Year emerging addressable opportunity. Single semiconductor fab uses 10M gallons UPW/day. Green H₂ needs 15–25 litres ultrapure water/kg.

Operations & Maintenance (O&M)

The annuity engine — predictable & cash accretive. ~$10 Bn 5–7 Year addressable market. O&M now 38% of order book (₹63.5 Bn). Pioneered One City One Operator model.

Tailwinds

Global Water Market Growth

$75–100 Bn global water market. Rising scarcity, urbanisation and climate stress driving unprecedented infrastructure investment.

India's Water Infrastructure Build

JJM 2.0 (₹8.69L Cr), AMRUT 2.0 (₹2.99L Cr), Namami Gange II (₹3,100 Cr FY27) — largest domestic water pipeline in history.

GCC & Africa Infrastructure Boom

KSA Vision 2030 ($80 Bn+ water spend), Kuwait desalination expansion, AfDB/JICA-funded programmes accelerating.

New Economy Water Demand

Semiconductors, solar, green hydrogen, data centres and AI creating structural demand for UPW, desalination and ZLD.

Headwinds

Geopolitical Tensions in Middle East

Management states 'Zero execution disruption. Water is non-discretionary'. Diversified across 25+ countries.

Government Spending Pace in India

Massive allocations, but ordering and execution delays possible. Company tracks closely and maintains balanced India-international mix (48:52).

Currency & Input Cost Volatility

Natural hedging via multi-currency revenue. Contractual escalation clauses protect margins on input costs.

Growing Competition

125+ proprietary IPRs, Top 3 global desalination, 100-year track record. Competes on technology, not price.

Risk radar

Geopolitical Tensions

Geopolitical tensions in Middle East. Management states 'Zero execution disruption. Water is non-discretionary'. Diversified across 25+ countries.

Execution Delays

Government spending pace in India: ordering and execution delays possible. Company tracks closely and maintains balanced India-international mix (48:52).

Input Cost Volatility

Currency & input cost volatility. Natural hedging via multi-currency revenue. Contractual escalation clauses protect margins on input costs.

Competition

Growing competition. 125+ proprietary IPRs, Top 3 global desalination, 100-year track record. Competes on technology, not price.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare YOY

For an industrials/infrastructure company like WABAG, annual comparisons (YoY) are more relevant to assess project execution cycles, order book growth, and overall financial health, as projects often span multiple quarters and can have seasonal variations.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Order Book

₹172 Bn+ Order Book, 26% backlog growth

Order Intake FY26

₹75 Bn in FY26, +31% over FY25

Revenue Growth

19.7% Revenue Growth, ₹3,944 Cr

EBITDA Margin

13.3% EBITDA Margin, improved 20 bps YoY, Within 13–15% guidance

Management forward view

EBITDA Margin Guidance

Guided 13–15% EBITDA Margin.

O&M Revenue Target

Target: 20% of revenue from O&M annuity income.

Net Cash & Dividend Policy

Perpetual net cash positive; progressive dividend policy.

Emission Reduction Target

Achieve a 20% reduction of emissions under direct control (scope 1 & scope 2) by 2035.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Order Book Growth₹172 Bn+, 26% YoY growthSustained growth in order book and conversion to revenue.
EBITDA Margin13.3%Adherence to 13-15% guidance amidst input cost volatility.
O&M Revenue ShareO&M is 38% of order bookProgress towards the 20% revenue target from O&M.
Net Cash Position₹950 CrContinued positive net cash generation and effective deployment.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

57Neutral

SMA20 -1.1% / mo · MACD − · sector +2.3pp vs Nifty (3M)

Stock trend: 54
Sector RS: 61
Sector 3M: +0.8% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

WABAGdaily · 1Y · AUTO+64.7%
Latest close ₹2005.30 on 2026-09-04
Bar
-0.6%
RSI
50
MACD hist
-2.85
52W pos
80%
2026-09-04O ₹2017.00H ₹2031.20L ₹1996.00C ₹2005.30Vol 1.9L sh
₹1.10k₹1.40k₹1.70k₹2.01k₹2.31k52H2005.302026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 50.

  • Price above SMA200 (long-term uptrend) but mid-term MAs not aligned.
  • SMA20 falling (~1.2% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 50 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 11% off 52W high · 94% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 49 · FAIR VALUE · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

49U-SCORE
Financial Turnaround

Fundamental score breakdown

FAIR VALUE
Valuation0/30
Growth18/25
Quality12/20
Balance Sheet7/15
Cash Flow7/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
49

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

49/100 · FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Growth contributes 18/25 to the score.
  • Cash flow contributes 7/10 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -24.8%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 7/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Execution business valuation: EV/EBITDA plus order and working-capital risk

Capital-intensive execution stories need cash-flow and balance-sheet checks alongside valuation.

Execution EV/EBITDA
Primary lens
EV/EBITDA and PE against execution quality and margin stability.
Secondary checks
Order book, receivables, working capital, debt, operating cash flow.
Main risk check
Order wins matter only if they convert into cash and margins.
PE
31.4
PB
4.9
EV/EBITDA
28.2
ROE
15.9%
ROCE
21.3%
FCF Yield
2.0%
Debt/Equity
0.1
MoS
-24.8%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
49
Previous: 49
Verdict
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
-24.8%
Previous: -24.8%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
52
52
49
49
49
49
49
49
48
49
49
49

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹766.51
-161.6% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
25.4
Growth-justified Value
₹1,606.68
-24.8% MoS
PEG
0.70

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
81Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 93rd percentile of the scored universe and 95th percentile within Infra. No major sub-score weakness stands out.

High Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: Promoter holding is only 19.1%.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
121 docs text-extracted · 36 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
93rd percentile

overall median 67 · Infra: 95th pctile, median 64 · Micro: 86th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

121 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Can support position sizing if valuation and trend also agree.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
66
acceptable · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
96
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
74
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
95
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 2%.
  • 7 years of positive FCF.
  • Debt/equity is 0.09.

Trust risks

  • Promoter holding is only 19.1%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
31.40
P/B
4.87
EV/EBITDA
28.23
Market Cap
12531.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
15.90%
ROCE
21.30%
ROA
6.44%
Dividend Y
0.25%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
7.00%
EPS 5Y
28.00%
Revenue 3Y
10.00%
EPS 3Y
93.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.09
Interest Coverage
6.28×
Altman Z
3.76
Book Value
412.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
2.02%
FCF Positive Y
7/5
OCF
207.00 Cr
EPS TTM
63.38

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
19.08%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
80%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Infra, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.