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TCPL Packaging Limited (TCPLPACK)

Small Cap

Industrials stocks · Small cap · NSE

TCPL Packaging Limited operates in Paper, within the Industrials sector. Use the latest filing and company disclosures below to verify its revenue mix and current business drivers.

₹4,184.9
-131.90 · -3.06%
Market cap ₹3,580 Cr
Data qualityFresh enough for analysisQuote updated 19 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Details
Quote19 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Base fundamentals06 Oct 2026 · screener
Latest result16 Aug, 01:25 am IST
Score20 Oct, 04:30 am IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Industrials P/E 26.2 (n=537)
Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

70Bullish

full bull SMA stack · SMA20 +5.8% / mo · MACD + · near 52W high

Stock trend: 84
Sector RS: 50
Sector 3M: -6.3% vs Nifty 500 -5.6%

Latest mapped FPI equity flow was not positive. View sector evidence

Technical chart

TCPLPACKD candles · FIT view+60.4%
Latest close ₹4184.90 on 2026-10-19
Bar
-3.1%
RSI
54
MACD hist
13.27
52W pos
83%
Visible chart range
Candle interval
2026-10-19O ₹4320.90H ₹4444.00L ₹4111.40C ₹4184.90Vol 12,092 sh
₹2.32k₹2.91k₹3.50k₹4.10k₹4.69k52H₹4184.902026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-042026-062026-082026-092026-11
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal
Market context

Relative performance and chart statistics

Adjusted completed-session prices, rebased to 100

TCPLPACKNifty India ManufacturingNifty 500
-12%+8%+28%+48%20 Jul1 Sept19 Oct19 Oct 2026TCPLPACK +33.1%Nifty India Manufactu… -5.8%Nifty 500 -5.6%
TCPLPACK
+33.1%
Nifty 500
-5.6%
Nifty India Manufacturing
-5.8%
Vs Nifty 500
+38.7 pp
Chart stats
19 Oct 2026
From 52W high
-8.6%
₹4,580
52W range position
83%
₹2,200 - ₹4,580
ATR (14)
4.9%
₹203.1
Volume vs 20D
0.92x
Latest completed session
Avg traded value
₹5.8 Cr
20-session average
20D price channel
₹3,802.6 - ₹4,580
44.9% annualized volatility
Research snapshot

What the evidence says now

Mixed fundamentals, while price trend supports entry. This looks more like momentum/speculation than a clean fundamental investment setup.

Weak U-Score but strong trend: momentum may be ahead of fundamentals.

Suggested next step
Check latest quarters
Result consistency is weak; verify whether the thesis is improving or deteriorating.
U-Score
Legacy · FAIR VALUE
48

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Latest result
Excellent
77

Revenue +16.0% · PAT +81.8% YoY

Technical
Bullish
70

Price trend and sector-relative-strength timing.

Valuation
Legacy model
+16.1%

Legacy margin-of-safety estimate; the revised evidence label remains in shadow validation.

Trust
Limited evidence
68

Financial-only signal; management claim evidence is not sufficient yet.

Financials

Fundamentals, quarterly history, margins, returns and balance-sheet evidence

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Excellent · 77/100

Rev +16% YoY · PAT +82% YoY · +9% QoQ · operating leverage · margin compression

Filed 30 Jun 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹493 Cr+16.0%+8.6%
EBITDA₹86 Cr+17.8%+24.6%
Operating margin17.0%+0 bps+200 bps
PAT₹40 Cr+81.8%+81.8%
PAT margin8.1%+293 bps+326 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
28.80
P/B
4.98
EV/EBITDA
10.72
Market Cap
3580.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
15.70%
ROCE
17.70%
ROA
6.70%
Dividend Y
0.64%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
15.00%
EPS 5Y
26.00%
Revenue 3Y
7.00%
EPS 3Y
3.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.88
Interest Coverage
4.71×
Altman Z
4.57
Book Value
790.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
3.63%
FCF Positive Y
4/5
OCF
271.00 Cr
EPS TTM
126.92

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
55.73%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
78%

Financial History

Updated 20/10/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 1,810+2.3% vs prev
01810Mar 2020: 890Mar 2021: 904Mar 2022: 1,086Mar 2023: 1,475Mar 2024: 1,541Mar 2025: 1,770Mar 2026: 1,810FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 98.0-31.5% vs prev
0143.0Mar 2020: 37.0Mar 2021: 33.0Mar 2022: 47.0Mar 2023: 110Mar 2024: 99.0Mar 2025: 143Mar 2026: 98.0FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 19.9+29.4% vs prev
021.0Mar 2020: 12.3%Mar 2021: 9.7%Mar 2022: 10.6%Mar 2023: 21.0%Mar 2024: 15.4%Mar 2025: 19.9%FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Technicals

Trend interpretation, Stage 2, relative strength, volume and indicator evidence

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 54. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price > SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200 — full bullish stack.
  • SMA20 rising (~5.5% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 54 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal but histogram contracting — bullish momentum cooling.
  • 9% off 52W high · 90% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

87
RS percentile
Stage 2 UptrendEstablished S2
1M return
+8.9%
3M return
+33.1%
6M return
+56.7%
1Y return
+25.6%
RS 1D
0
RS 20D
+6
Sector rank
#2
Industry rank
#42
Stage evidence
  • Price is 32.2% above the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is above the 30-week proxy and its slope is rising +6.9%.
  • Both 3-month and 6-month returns are positive.
50-DMA
price above
200-DMA
price above
S2 entered
28 Jul 2026
S2 age
58 trading sessions
Sector
leading
Industry
weakening
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
262 observations
19 Oct 2026Value 130.18-2.05%
7088106124142Sept 25Feb 26Jun 26Oct 26130
RS vs Nifty 500130

Valuation & peers

U-Score 48 · legacy U-Score band FAIR VALUE · valuation evidence and comparable companies

48U-SCORE
Financial Turnaround

Fundamental score breakdown

U band · FAIR VALUE
Valuation5/30
Growth15/25
Quality11/20
Balance Sheet6/15
Cash Flow6/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
48

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

48/100 · legacy band FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 3.6%.
  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 16.1%.

Main drags

  • Valuation is weaker at 5/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 6/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Quality is weaker at 11/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
28.8
PB
5.0
EV/EBITDA
10.7
ROE
15.7%
ROCE
17.7%
FCF Yield
3.6%
Debt/Equity
0.9
MoS
+16.1%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 20 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
48
Previous: 48
Legacy U-Score band
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
+16.1%
Previous: +16.1%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

20 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
48
48
48
48
46
48
48
48
48
48
48
48

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹1,502
-178.6% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
39.3
Growth-justified Value
₹4,987.96
+16.1% MoS
PEG
1.71

Comparable companies

Peers

Business-comparable peers in Industrials — ranked by industry, sub-sector, theme-tag overlap, market cap, and U-Score similarity. Green cells mark the best available peer metric in this table.

Compare all ↗
Ticker
Name
Why peer
Score
PE
ROE
MoS
Verdict
WSTCSTPAPR
Small
West Coast Paper Mills Limited
Paper & Packaging
match 98
55
20.6
4.3%
+40%
FAIR VALUE
MOLDTKPAC
Small
Mold-Tek Packaging Limited
Paper & Packaging
match 97
61
35.6
17.8%
+62%
UNDERVALUED
SESHAPAPER
Small
Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited
Paper & Packaging
match 96
43
15.0
4.1%
-161%
WATCHLIST
SEJALLTD
Small
Sejal Glass Limited
Paper & Packaging
match 94
61
26.3
31.1%
+34%
UNDERVALUED
TNPL
Small
Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers Limited
Paper & Packaging
match 93
69
3.9
11.2%
+91%
UNDERVALUED

Business, management & trust

Growth engines, risks, management commitments and evidence-backed delivery

Business and thesis

Issuer presentation review pending

TCPL Packaging Limited operates in Paper, within the Industrials sector. Use the latest filing and company disclosures below to verify its revenue mix and current business drivers. The structured result feed currently covers the quarter ended 30 Jun 2026. Investor presentations and earnings-call PDFs will be added as issuer-backed evidence before management claims appear here.

Trust Score
68Limited evidence · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Limited evidence: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 56th percentile of the scored universe and 52nd percentile within Industrials. Main check: results consistency is weak at 35/100.

This is a financial-behaviour screen, not a claim-tested management reliability verdict.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
101 docs text-extracted · 51 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Limited evidence

Financial behaviour is scored, but management claims do not yet have enough outcome checks.

Relative rank
56th percentile

overall median 67 · Industrials: 52nd pctile, median 68 · Small: 60th pctile, median 66

Evidence depth
Financial-only

101 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Limited evidence · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
73
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
60
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
35
weak · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • ▸Promoter holding is 55.7%.
  • ▸Promoter pledge is zero.
  • ▸FCF yield is positive at 3.5%.
  • ▸4 years of positive FCF.

Trust risks

  • ▸2 latest quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.
  • ▸1/4 latest quarters had positive YoY PAT growth.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Important announcements & filings

Latest exchange and company disclosures found within the past two years.

7 shown
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication 12 Aug

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Investor presentation

Presentation On New Line Of Business 11 Aug - Board approves lithium-ion battery separator film venture via subsidiary; ₹125 crore investment, commercial production targeted early 2028.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication 18 Jul

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Annual report

Reg. 34 (1) Annual Report. 17 Jul

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Annual report

Business Responsibility and Sustainability Reporting (BRSR) 17 Jul - TCPL Packaging filed FY 2025-26 BRSR as part of its Integrated Annual Report.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.