IP
IndiaPulse

Saregama India Limited (SAREGAMA)

Large Cap

Media stocks · Large cap · NSE

Saregama India Ltd., part of the RPSG Group, is India’s leading Entertainment IP company with a legacy dating back to 1902. Its diverse portfolio includes film and non-film music, digital series, television content, film production, short-format content, artiste and influencer management, live events, and retail products like Carvaan.

₹492.75
-0.90 · -0.18%
Quote04 Sept, 03:58 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Media P/E 14.2 (n=57)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is supportive, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Check latest quarters
Result consistency is weak; verify whether the thesis is improving or deteriorating.
U-Score
WATCHLIST
37

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
77

medium confidence · 4/10 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
46

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
weak
45

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Excellent · 90/100

Rev +28% YoY · PAT +41% YoY · margin expansion · operating leverage

Filed 04 Aug 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹264 Cr+27.5%-8.0%
EBITDA₹92 Cr+67.3%-24.0%
Operating margin35.0%+800 bps-700 bps
PAT₹52 Cr+40.5%-29.7%
PAT margin19.7%+183 bps-608 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-13T08:11:56.552Z
Management commentary snapshot

Saregama posts highest ever quarterly EBITDA of Rs. 1,327 Mn in Q4 FY26, recording a YoY growth of 31%, with quarterly Revenue from Operations growing at 19%

Core music licensing and artiste management segments show robust growth and profitability, supported by strategic IP investments and digital expansion. However, overall revenue growth is masked by significant de-growth in Live Events and Video, raising questions about portfolio diversification efficacy.

Current business mix

Revenue by Segment (FY26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 3 reported categories.

Businessmix
Music83.0%
Video11.0%
Live Events6.0%
Growth engines

Music Licensing & Artiste Management

Music annual revenue grew 17% YoY and EBITDA 22% YoY in FY26, indicating strong core business performance.

New Content Investment

Combined investment in New Music (Rs. 2,354 Mn) and Catalogue Purchase (Rs. 1,047 Mn) was the highest ever in FY26.

Digital Growth Story

Management expects 20-23% p.a. music revenue growth, driven by increasing digital users, consumption, and advertising.

AI for Content Creation

Leveraging Generative AI to transform video content creation with ~70% cost savings and up to 80% faster execution.

Capacity and execution

Artiste Roster Expansion

Added 33 artistes in Q4 FY26, taking the total count to 300+ with an aggregate digital reach of over 410 million.

New Music Releases

Released 1,200+ films & non-films tracks spanning across Hindi, Bhojpuri, Punjabi, Tamil, Telugu, Malayalam, Kannada languages in Q4 FY26.

Strategic Investment in IP

Invested in Bhansali Productions for exclusive access to marquee Hindi film music, ensuring a predictable, high-quality new music pipeline.

Tailwinds

Untapped Music Subscription Potential

India’s music subscription penetration is among the lowest globally (~3%), with significant growth headroom compared to developed markets.

Indian M&E Sector Growth

The Indian Media & Entertainment sector is expected to grow at 6% p.a., with Live Events growing by 44% to reach INR 145 Bn in 2025.

Digital Payments & Data Affordability

Expanding digital payments, affordable data, and premium content adoption are expected to drive a subscription-led monetization boom.

Headwinds

Live Events De-growth

Live Events annual Revenue registered de-growth of 78% in FY26, primarily due to FY25 having revenue from Diljit Dosanjh’s India tour.

Video Business Scale-down

Company consciously scaled down its Films Production business, impacting overall Video annual Revenue.

Carvaan Sales Decline

Carvaan sales volumes and topline shrunk due to transition to e-commerce/modern retail and reduction in SKUs, despite improved profitability margins.

Risk radar

Dependence on large event cycles

Live Events revenue is highly volatile, significantly impacted by specific large tours, as seen with the 78% de-growth post Diljit Dosanjh's tour.

Execution risk in new ventures

Scaling down film production and investing in Bhansali Productions shifts the risk profile, requiring effective financial oversight.

Retail segment restructuring

The decline in Carvaan sales volumes indicates challenges in adapting the distribution strategy to e-commerce and modern retail.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Dec 2025
Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

Quarterly results show sequential momentum (QoQ) in core music and overall revenue, while annual (YoY) comparisons highlight sustained growth in the music segment and profitability, but also significant de-growth in other segments.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Music annual Revenue

Rs. 8,144 Mn registered 17% YoY growth in FY26.

Music annual EBITDA

Rs. 5,167 Mn registered 22% YoY growth in FY26.

Music annual Net Margin

Rs. 3,768 Mn registered 28% YoY growth in FY26.

Q4 FY26 Revenue from Operations

Rs. 2,874 Mn with YoY growth of 19%.

Management forward view

Highest Ever EBITDA

Vice Chairperson Avarna Jain stated FY26 was 'another path breaking year for Saregama with highest ever EBITDA, driven by clear strategy of aggressive investments and diversification of IP monetization'.

Balanced Outlook

Avarna Jain noted, 'The company stands in a strong position with its balanced outlook towards investment and profitability'.

Music Net Margin Improvement

Management expects Music Net Margins to improve by 3-5% in the next 3-5 years.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Music Revenue Growth17% YoY (FY26)Sustained 20-23% p.a. growth as per management's base case, driven by digital monetization.
Live Events RevenueRs. 618 Mn (78% de-growth YoY in FY26)Stabilization and growth from new IPs like UN40 and expansion in comedy/devotional verticals.
Music Net Margin55% (Q4 FY26)Improvement by 3-5% as per management's target in the next 3-5 years.
Content Investment EfficiencyRs. 3,401 Mn (FY26)Demonstrated return on investment from new music and strategic stakes like Bhansali Productions.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Show extracted source claims
cash flow improvementnot yet verifiablequantified

Saregama plans to completely exit its own produced films over the next 3 to 5 quarters, releasing Rs. 150-175 crores of working capital.

Timeframe: Next 3-5 quartersDirection: upConfidence: high

"over the next three to five quarters we will completely get out of our own produced films"

margin outlookdeliveredquantified

The investment in Bhansali Productions is expected to be EPS accretive for Saregama by FY27, improving margins in both video and music segments.

Timeframe: By FY27Direction: upConfidence: medium

"expected to be EPS accretive for Saregama by FY27"

Outcome check: OPM moved from 35.0% to average 42.0% (+7.0 pp).

order inflowdeliveredquantified

Saregama anticipates that around 30% to 40% of all its Hindi film music content will come from the Bhansali Productions deal.

Timeframe: FutureDirection: upConfidence: medium

"around 30% of all its Hindi film music content is now going to be coming"

Outcome check: PAT YoY averaged 23.3% across 1 later quarter(s).

project executionnot yet verifiablequantified

Bhansali Productions' pipeline of 10 movies is expected to be released over the next 3 to 4 years.

Timeframe: Next 3-4 yearsDirection: neutralConfidence: medium

"These 10 movies are expected to be released over next 3-4 years"

project executionnot yet verifiablequantified

Saregama retains the right to increase its stake in Bhansali Productions to 51% after March 2030.

Timeframe: After March 2030Direction: upConfidence: high

"right to increase the stake to 51% after March 2030"

project executionnot yet verifiablequantified

CCPS investment in Bhansali Productions will convert into equity in October 2028, resulting in a 28% to 49.9% stake based on performance over the next 3 years.

Timeframe: October 2028Direction: neutralConfidence: high

"convert into equity in October ‘28"

project executionnot yet verifiablequantified

Bhansali Productions is targeting a minimum of five films to be released over a two-year period.

Timeframe: Next 2 yearsDirection: upConfidence: medium

"We are looking at minimum five films in two years"

order inflownot yet verifiable

Bhansali Productions will exclusively sell all its future film music to Saregama based on a pre-agreed formula, eliminating competitive bidding.

Timeframe: FutureDirection: upConfidence: high

"exclusively sell all its future film music to Saregama only"

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

46Neutral

MACD −

Stock trend: 51
Sector RS: 40
Sector 3M: -3.4% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

SAREGAMAdaily · 1Y · AUTO+50.2%
Latest close ₹492.75 on 2026-09-04
Bar
-1.1%
RSI
47
MACD hist
-3.17
52W pos
69%
2026-09-04O ₹498.40H ₹500.00L ₹488.10C ₹492.75Vol 3.5L sh
₹293.68₹367.23₹440.77₹514.32₹587.8752H52L492.752026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Neutral

Trend is undirectional — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 47.

  • Price above SMA200 (long-term uptrend) but mid-term MAs not aligned.
  • SMA20 roughly flat — short-term momentum stalled.
  • RSI(14) at 47 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 14% off 52W high · 60% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

70
RS percentile
Stage 2 Uptrend
1M return
-5.1%
3M return
+9.7%
6M return
+41.8%
1Y return
-0.5%
RS 1D
-2
RS 20D
-14
Sector rank
-
Industry rank
-
Stage evidence
  • Price is 18.7% above the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is above the 30-week proxy and its slope is rising +5.8%.
  • Both 3-month and 6-month returns are positive.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price above
Sector
unranked
Industry
unranked
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 99.89-0.18%
637688100113Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 26100
RS vs Nifty 500100

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 37 · WATCHLIST · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

37U-SCORE
WATCHLIST

Fundamental score breakdown

WATCHLIST
Valuation0/30
Growth11/25
Quality6/20
Balance Sheet11/15
Cash Flow4/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
37

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

37/100 · WATCHLIST

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Balance sheet contributes 11/15 to the score.
  • Growth contributes 11/25 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -67.5%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Quality is weaker at 6/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Blended valuation: PE, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and balance-sheet checks

For this sector, IndiaPulse uses a blended lens rather than relying on a single valuation ratio.

Blended relative
Primary lens
PE, EV/EBITDA, margin of safety, and FCF yield together.
Secondary checks
ROE/ROCE, growth, cash conversion, leverage, promoter risk.
Main risk check
One cheap metric is not enough if quality or cash flow is weak.
PE
41.6
PB
5.6
EV/EBITDA
20.7
ROE
12.7%
ROCE
17.3%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.0
MoS
-67.5%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
37
Previous: 37
Verdict
WATCHLIST
Previous: WATCHLIST
Margin of safety
-67.5%
Previous: -67.5%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: -1 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
36
36
38
38
38
38
38
38
38
38
38
37

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹150.79
-226.8% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
25.6
Growth-justified Value
₹294.2
-67.5% MoS
PEG
4.43

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
77Healthy Trust · medium confidenceClaim-tested Trust

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Management has 75% delivered/partly-delivered outcomes on 4 checked claims, with 1 adverse claim outcome. It ranks around the 83rd percentile of the scored universe and 94th percentile within Media. Main check: results consistency is weak at 45/100.

High Trust: 4/10 extracted management claims have outcome checks; 75% were fully delivered and 0 were partially delivered. 1 claim(s) were contradicted or failed.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
54 extracted concalls · 4/10 claims matched
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
83rd percentile

overall median 67 · Media: 94th pctile, median 62 · Large: 65th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Early sample

4/10 claims checked. Use as directional, not final.

Claim delivery
75% delivered or partly delivered

4/10 claims checked · 1 contradicted/failed claim

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · medium confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using management claims matched with later outcomes.
Confidence
Useful directional evidence exists, but still verify the latest filings.
Investor use
Can support position sizing if valuation and trend also agree.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
90
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
67
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
96
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
60
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
45
watch · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 60.8%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • Promoter holding increased 1.2%.
  • 6 years of positive FCF.

Trust risks

  • OPM spread across recent quarters is 25%.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
41.60
P/B
5.62
EV/EBITDA
20.72
Market Cap
9501.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
12.70%
ROCE
17.30%
ROA
9.53%
Dividend Y
0.91%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
17.00%
EPS 5Y
13.00%
Revenue 3Y
10.00%
EPS 3Y
4.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.04
Interest Coverage
53.43×
Altman Z
8.25
Book Value
87.80

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
6/5
OCF
100.00 Cr
EPS TTM
11.51

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
60.84%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
70%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Media, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.