IP
IndiaPulse

Rubicon Research Limited (RUBICON)

Micro Cap

Pharma stocks · Micro cap · NSE

Rubicon Research is an R&D driven, formulations manufacturing and marketing company focused on regulated markets. It specializes in specialty products, drug-device combinations, and complex generics, holding 76 active ANDAs and 8 active NDAs. The company operates 3 manufacturing sites and 2 USFDA inspected R&D facilities.

₹1,768.3
-7.40 · -0.42%
Quote04 Sept, 03:57 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Pharma P/E 34.6 (n=184)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Mixed fundamentals, management trust is supportive, price trend supports entry, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
FAIR VALUE
57

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
83

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Bullish
70

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
consistent
95

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Excellent · 90/100

Rev +52% YoY · PAT +98% YoY · margin expansion · operating leverage

Filed 30 Jun 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹534 Cr+51.7%+3.9%
EBITDA₹129 Cr+63.3%+8.4%
Operating margin24.0%+200 bps+100 bps
PAT₹85 Cr+97.7%+10.4%
PAT margin15.9%+370 bps+94 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-11T07:08:04.811Z
Management commentary snapshot

Q4 FY26 Revenue from Operations surged 43.5% YoY to INR 5,139 Mn. EBITDA grew 67.2% YoY to INR 1,213 Mn, and PAT more than doubled, up 111.8% YoY to INR 768 Mn, driven by strong product performance and stable pricing.

Rubicon delivered robust Q4 FY26 results with strong revenue and profit growth, underpinned by its specialty product focus and high R&D productivity. The Arinna acquisition provides a strategic entry into the India CNS market. Key to sustaining momentum will be the successful ramp-up of the Pithampur site and reducing reliance on outsourced manufacturing to improve gross margins.

Growth engines

Specialty/Differentiated Products

Focus on specialty/differentiated products drives stable pricing and contributed 32.8% to gross profit in Q4 FY26.

R&D Productivity

Incremental revenue multiple on lagging R&D spend increased to 5.9x in FY26, providing strong future revenue visibility.

US Market Expansion

Scaled US revenue 32x in 10 years, with a wide basket of 76 active ANDAs and 8 active NDAs.

Drug-Device Combinations

Achieved early mover advantage in intra-nasal drug delivery with 5 products approved and commissioned one of the largest single-site nasal spray capacities.

Capacity and execution

Pithampur Site Production Ramp-up

Pithampur site qualified and product filed with USFDA; inspection date awaited. Expect to ramp up production in Q1 CY27, which would be GM% accretive.

Nasal Spray Capacity

Commissioned one of the largest single-site nasal spray capacities globally with state-of-the-art, fully automated European filling lines for unit dose and multi dose sprays.

Tailwinds

Strong Revenue Visibility

Management continues to see strong revenue visibility in coming quarters.

Benign Macro Environment for India

Comparatively benign macro environment for India scale-up post Arinna acquisition, supported by proven R&D and larger balance sheet.

US FDA's Quality Management Maturity (QMM) Program

Rubicon is one of only 9 sites globally selected to participate in the US FDA's QMM program in 2024, indicating strong quality management practices.

Headwinds

Increased Reliance on Outsourced Manufacturing

Stronger than anticipated revenue traction requires commensurate increase in outsourced manufacturing, potentially contracting GM% in the near term.

Risk radar

Regulatory Delays for Pithampur

USFDA inspection date for the Pithampur site is awaited, which could delay the expected production ramp-up in Q1 CY27.

Gross Margin Pressure

Continued larger than anticipated reliance on outsourced manufacturing could further contract gross margins in the near term.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is crucial for assessing overall growth and long-term trends in a seasonal business. QoQ is important for tracking sequential momentum, margin stability, and the impact of operational changes like outsourced manufacturing reliance.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Revenue from Operations

Q4 FY26: INR 5,139 Mn (43.5% YoY, 8.1% QoQ); FY26: INR 17,540 Mn (36.6% YoY)

EBITDA

Q4 FY26: INR 1,213 Mn (67.2% YoY, 8.4% QoQ); FY26: INR 4,080 Mn (52.3% YoY)

PAT

Q4 FY26: INR 768 Mn (111.8% YoY, 5.5% QoQ); FY26: INR 2,467 Mn (83.6% YoY)

Gross Profit Margin

Q4 FY26: 66.3% (vs 66.5% in Q3 FY26)

Management forward view

R&D Spend Commitment

Company remains on track for its guided INR 5,000 Mn+ R&D spend over 9 quarters (FY26, FY27, & Q1 FY28), fully expensed through P&L.

Pithampur Production Ramp-up

Expect to ramp up production from the Pithampur site in Q1 CY27, which is anticipated to be GM% accretive.

Arinna Lifesciences Integration Roadmap

Roadmap for Arinna involves putting growth drivers in place, focusing on revenue growth that outperforms IPM, and then profitability.

Tactical Measures for Own Manufacturing

Company continues to evaluate tactical measures to reduce reliance on outsourced manufacturing from a 2-3 quarter perspective, aiming for GM accretion.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Pithampur Production Ramp-upUSFDA inspection date awaited for the qualified Pithampur site.Timely USFDA inspection and successful production ramp-up in Q1 CY27.
Gross Margin TrendSlight sequential drop to 66.3% due to increased outsourced manufacturing.Improvement in GM% as own manufacturing capacity, especially Pithampur, comes online and reduces outsourcing reliance.
R&D ProductivityIncremental revenue multiple on lagging R&D spend at 5.9x in FY26.Sustained R&D productivity at similar levels to ensure strong future revenue visibility for FY29/30 & beyond.
Arinna Integration & PerformancePhase 1 (putting growth drivers in place) is underway.Evidence of revenue growth outperforming the Indian Pharma Market (IPM) and progress towards profitability in subsequent phases.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

70Bullish

full bull SMA stack · SMA20 +16.4% / mo · MACD − · near 52W high · sector +2.2pp vs Nifty (3M)

Stock trend: 78
Sector RS: 60
Sector 3M: +0.7% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

RUBICONdaily · 1Y · AUTO+135.3%
Latest close ₹1768.30 on 2026-09-04

Daily history is available from 2025-10-16; the requested 1Y window is partially covered.

Bar
-1.1%
RSI
58
MACD hist
-9.46
52W pos
90%
2026-09-04O ₹1788.80H ₹1792.00L ₹1752.20C ₹1768.30Vol 1.1L sh
₹670.98₹992.60₹1.31k₹1.64k₹1.96k52H1768.302026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 58. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price > SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200 — full bullish stack.
  • SMA20 rising (~14.1% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 58 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • 7% off 52W high · 210% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 57 · FAIR VALUE · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

57U-SCORE
Premium Compounder

Fundamental score breakdown

FAIR VALUE
Valuation0/30
Growth23/25
Quality19/20
Balance Sheet9/15
Cash Flow2/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
-1
Raw sum
57

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

57/100 · FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Quality contributes 19/20 to the score.
  • Growth contributes 23/25 to the score.

Main drags

  • Penalty bucket subtracts 1 points.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -122.1%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Healthcare valuation: PE/EVEBITDA with regulatory and pipeline checks

Healthcare valuation needs both earnings quality and regulatory/pipeline context.

Pharma PE/EVEBITDA
Primary lens
PE and EV/EBITDA adjusted for product mix and R&D/pipeline quality.
Secondary checks
USFDA risk, launch pipeline, margin trend, domestic vs export mix.
Main risk check
Regulatory setbacks or one-off product cycles can distort valuation.
PE
102.0
PB
22.6
EV/EBITDA
59.0
ROE
27.0%
ROCE
28.4%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.2
MoS
-122.1%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
57
Previous: 57
Verdict
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
-122.1%
Previous: -122.1%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
56
56
57
57
57
57
57
57
57
57
57
57

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹176.31
-902.9% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
45.0
Growth-justified Value
₹796.05
-122.1% MoS
PEG
1.23

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
83Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 95th percentile of the scored universe and 92nd percentile within Pharma. Main check: cash conversion is weak at 55/100.

High Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 59.8%.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
21 docs text-extracted · 6 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
95th percentile

overall median 67 · Pharma: 92nd pctile, median 70 · Micro: 92nd pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

21 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Can support position sizing if valuation and trend also agree.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
55
watch · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
89
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
98
strong · capital discipline
Results
95
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 59.8%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • ROCE is 28.4%.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • No major Trust Lite risk flags.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
102.00
P/B
22.64
EV/EBITDA
59.05
Market Cap
29271.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
27.00%
ROCE
28.40%
ROA
12.38%
Dividend Y
0.08%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
41.00%
EPS 5Y
52.00%
Revenue 3Y
65.00%
EPS 3Y
130.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.24
Interest Coverage
10.98×
Altman Z
8.36
Book Value
78.10

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
2/5
OCF
205.00 Cr
EPS TTM
17.69

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
59.76%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
90%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Pharma, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.