IP
IndiaPulse

Radico Khaitan Limited (RADICO)

Mid Cap

FMCG stocks · Mid cap · NSE

Radico Khaitan is an Indian spirits manufacturer with over 80 years of experience, operating 10 distilleries and 44 bottling units. It boasts a strong distribution network reaching over 100,000 retailers and a portfolio focused on premium IMFL brands, including luxury offerings like Rampur Single Malt and Jaisalmer Gin.

₹4,494
-65.00 · -1.43%
Quote04 Sept, 03:55 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags15 Aug 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · FMCG P/E 36.0 (n=42)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Mixed fundamentals, management trust is supportive, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
FAIR VALUE
48

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
High Trust
85

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
55

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
consistent
87

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Excellent · 90/100

Rev +12% YoY · PAT +76% YoY · margin expansion · +12% QoQ · operating leverage

Filed 28 Jul 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,684 Cr+11.8%+12.0%
EBITDA₹349 Cr+50.4%+22.9%
Operating margin21.0%+600 bps+200 bps
PAT₹230 Cr+75.6%+28.5%
PAT margin13.7%+496 bps+176 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-15T07:41:56.985Z
Management commentary snapshot

Radico Khaitan reported robust FY2026 performance with Net Revenue up 24.7% YoY to Rs. 6,050 Cr and Total Volume up 22.2% to 38.33 mn cases. EBITDA margin expanded to 16.8%, driving Net Comprehensive Income growth of 75.9% YoY to Rs. 600 Cr.

The company delivered strong FY2026 results, driven by significant premiumization and volume growth. Expansion of the luxury portfolio and improved profitability metrics indicate continued execution on strategic priorities. The focus on high-margin segments and global reach supports the long-term growth narrative.

Current business mix

IMFL Sales Value by Geography (FY2026)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 2 reported categories.

Businessmix
Domestic92.0%
Exports8.0%
Growth engines

Premium Product Portfolio

A strong and growing premium product portfolio driven by consumer preferences.

Luxury Brand Launches

Successful launches in the luxury space with Indian single malt (Rampur) and Indian craft gin (Jaisalmer).

Pan-India Distribution

Pan-India sales and distribution network with an efficient supply chain management system.

Global Exports

Exports to over 100 countries, which provides access to a global scale.

Tailwinds

Premiumization Trend

Strong premiumization trend expected to continue, driven by favorable demographics and evolving consumer attitudes.

Favorable Macroeconomics

India remains one of the fastest growing economies with strong demographic dividend, income growth, and rapid urbanization.

Raw Material Benefits

Raw materials tailwinds contributed to higher profitability and stronger return ratios in FY2026.

Progressive State Policies

Progressive state excise policy framework and increasing importance of liquor towards state revenues.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

Both YoY and QoQ comparisons are relevant. YoY provides a clear view of annual growth and performance trends for a consumer business. QoQ highlights sequential momentum in sales, profitability, and premiumization efforts.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Volume Growth

Total Own Volume grew 29.8% YoY to 36.62 mn cases in FY2026. Prestige & Above volume grew 28.5% YoY to 16.70 mn cases.

Premiumization

Prestige & Above brands contributed 70.3% to total IMFL revenue in FY2026, up from 69.4% in FY2025. These brands grew at a 21% CAGR since FY2021.

Gross Margin

Full year Gross Margin expanded to 45.3% in FY2026 from 42.8% in FY2025. Q4 FY2026 Gross Margin was 48.0% vs 43.5% in Q4 FY2025.

Market Share

Magic Moments Vodka holds ~60% market share in premium vodka. Morpheus XO Brandy has ~60% market share. Jaisalmer Gin holds 50% of the luxury gin market.

Management forward view

Profitable Growth Focus

Focus on developing brands, building scale, and driving a profitable growth.

Luxury Portfolio Expansion

Continued strengthening of the Indi-lux portfolio after the success of Rampur and Jaisalmer.

Global Brand Equity

Significant progress in building brand equity in overseas markets, with exports to over 100 countries.

Value Engineering

Focus on value engineering, including more sustainable alternative packaging options.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Prestige & Above Volume16.70 million cases (FY2026)Monitor continued outperformance of Prestige & Above segment volume growth relative to overall volume.
EBITDA Margin16.8% (FY2026)Watch for sustained or further expansion of EBITDA margin, driven by premiumization and cost management.
Luxury Portfolio LaunchesMultiple luxury brands launched (Rampur 1943 Virasat, Spirit of Kashmyr, Morpheus Rare Luxury Whisky)Track new luxury product launches and market share gains in this high-value segment.
Export Growth8% of IMFL sales value (FY2026)Observe growth in export sales and expansion into new international markets.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

55Neutral

SMA20 +8.4% / mo · MACD − · near 52W high

Stock trend: 65
Sector RS: 40
Sector 3M: -3.3% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

RADICOdaily · 1Y · AUTO+75.1%
Latest close ₹4494.00 on 2026-09-04
Bar
-0.9%
RSI
50
MACD hist
-38.80
52W pos
89%
2026-09-04O ₹4536.40H ₹4559.80L ₹4444.00C ₹4494.00Vol 2.1L sh
₹2.42k₹3.03k₹3.64k₹4.25k₹4.86k52H52L4494.002026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 50. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price above SMA200 (long-term uptrend) but mid-term MAs not aligned.
  • SMA20 rising (~7.7% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 50 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 5% off 52W high · 80% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

94
RS percentile
Stage 2 Uptrend
1M return
-0.1%
3M return
+28.4%
6M return
+57.3%
1Y return
+50.1%
RS 1D
0
RS 20D
0
Sector rank
#16
Industry rank
#4
Stage evidence
  • Price is 27.5% above the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is above the 30-week proxy and its slope is rising +7.1%.
  • Both 3-month and 6-month returns are positive.
50-DMA
price above
200-DMA
price above
Sector
lagging
Industry
leading
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 150.63-1.43%
85104123142161Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 26151
RS vs Nifty 500151

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 48 · FAIR VALUE · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

48U-SCORE
Premium Compounder

Fundamental score breakdown

FAIR VALUE
Valuation0/30
Growth14/25
Quality16/20
Balance Sheet8/15
Cash Flow6/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
-1
Raw sum
48

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

48/100 · FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Quality contributes 16/20 to the score.
  • Cash flow contributes 6/10 to the score.

Main drags

  • Penalty bucket subtracts 1 points.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -90.1%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Consumer valuation: PE/PEG and brand-quality premium

Consumer franchises can deserve higher multiples, but only when growth quality supports them.

Consumer PE/PEG
Primary lens
PE and PEG relative to growth, ROE, margins, and brand strength.
Secondary checks
Volume growth, pricing power, distribution, same-store or category growth.
Main risk check
Premium valuation needs durable growth and margin resilience.
PE
84.7
PB
18.1
EV/EBITDA
46.8
ROE
20.3%
ROCE
24.2%
FCF Yield
0.8%
Debt/Equity
0.1
MoS
-90.1%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
48
Previous: 48
Verdict
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
-90.1%
Previous: -90.1%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹541.4
-730.1% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
45.0
Growth-justified Value
₹2,363.85
-90.1% MoS
PEG
3.18

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
85High Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

High Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 98th percentile of the scored universe and 93rd percentile within FMCG. No major sub-score weakness stands out.

High Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
143 docs text-extracted · 49 concalls text-extracted
Score band
High Trust

Management behaviour ranks as unusually reliable. Still verify valuation and cycle risk.

Relative rank
98th percentile

overall median 67 · FMCG: 93rd pctile, median 78 · Mid: 95th pctile, median 76

Evidence depth
Financial-only

143 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

High Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Can support position sizing if valuation and trend also agree.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
89
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
98
strong · capital discipline
Results
87
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 0.8%.
  • 8 years of positive FCF.
  • ROCE is 24.2%.

Trust risks

  • No major Trust Lite risk flags.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
84.70
P/B
18.12
EV/EBITDA
46.84
Market Cap
60212.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
20.30%
ROCE
24.20%
ROA
14.09%
Dividend Y
0.20%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
21.00%
EPS 5Y
17.00%
Revenue 3Y
24.00%
EPS 3Y
41.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.15
Interest Coverage
18.97×
Altman Z
9.16
Book Value
248.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
0.79%
FCF Positive Y
8/5
OCF
743.00 Cr
EPS TTM
52.53

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
40.19%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
89%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in FMCG, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.