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Paramount Speciality Forgings Ltd. (PSFL)

SME Cap

Industrials stocks · SME cap · NSE

Paramount Speciality Forgings Ltd. (PSFL) manufactures forgings for oil & gas, petrochemicals, heavy engineering, and infrastructure sectors. Products include flanges, nozzles, rings, and gear blanks. Operates two plants, with an ongoing expansion at Kalapur facility.

₹31
-0.50 · -1.59%
Market cap ₹62 Cr
Data qualityFresh enough for analysisQuote updated 21 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Details
Quote21 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Base fundamentals20 Oct 2026 · screener
Latest result01 Jun, 08:25 pm IST
Score21 Oct, 04:30 am IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags24 Apr 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Industrials P/E 26.2 (n=537)
Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

54Neutral

SMA20 +6.4% / mo · MACD −

Stock trend: 60
Sector RS: 46
Sector 3M: -7.1% vs Nifty 500 -5.6%

Latest mapped FPI equity flow was not positive. View sector evidence

Technical chart

PSFLD candles · FIT view+0.0%
Latest close ₹31.00 on 2026-10-21
Bar
-0.5%
RSI
45
MACD hist
-0.29
52W pos
56%
Visible chart range
Candle interval
2026-10-21O ₹31.15H ₹31.15L ₹31.00C ₹31.00Vol 54,000 sh
₹27.62₹30.53₹33.45₹36.37₹39.2852H₹31.00VolRSIMACD2026-042026-062026-072026-092026-11
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal
Market context

Relative performance and chart statistics

Adjusted completed-session prices, rebased to 100

PSFLNifty India ManufacturingNifty 500
-10%+3%+16%+29%22 Jul1 Sept21 Oct21 Oct 2026PSFL +1.3%Nifty India Manufactu… -7.1%Nifty 500 -5.6%
PSFL
+1.3%
Nifty 500
-5.6%
Nifty India Manufacturing
-7.1%
Vs Nifty 500
+6.9 pp
Chart stats
21 Oct 2026
From 52W high
-28.0%
₹43.1
52W range position
45%
₹21.2 - ₹43.1
ATR (14)
4.5%
₹1.4
Volume vs 20D
4.95x
Latest completed session
Avg traded value
₹0 Cr
20-session average
20D price channel
₹31 - ₹38.8
101.3% annualized volatility
Research snapshot

What the evidence says now

Mixed fundamentals, management evidence is still limited to a financial-only Trust Lite signal, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Check latest quarters
Result consistency is weak; verify whether the thesis is improving or deteriorating.
U-Score
Legacy · FAIR VALUE
47

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Latest result
Bad
2

Revenue +19.2% · PAT +0.0% YoY

Technical
Neutral
54

Price trend and sector-relative-strength timing.

Valuation
Legacy model
+63.5%

Legacy margin-of-safety estimate; the revised evidence label remains in shadow validation.

Trust
Limited evidence
61

Financial-only signal; management claim evidence is not sufficient yet.

Financials

Fundamentals, quarterly history, margins, returns and balance-sheet evidence

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Bad · 2/100

PAT 0% YoY · margin compression · Rev +19% YoY · +7% QoQ

Filed 31 Mar 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹62 Cr+19.2%+6.9%
EBITDA₹4 CrNDF+0.0%
Operating margin6.0%NDF-100 bps
PAT₹2 Cr+0.0%+0.0%
PAT margin3.2%NDF-22 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
14.80
P/B
1.10
EV/EBITDA
9.00
Market Cap
62.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
7.76%
ROCE
9.40%
ROA
3.13%
Dividend Y
—

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
18.00%
EPS 5Y
77.00%
Revenue 3Y
3.00%
EPS 3Y
15.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.49
Interest Coverage
4.00×
Altman Z
2.23
Book Value
28.60

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
—
FCF Positive Y
2/5
OCF
6.00 Cr
EPS TTM
2.16

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
72.29%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
59%

Financial History

Updated 19/10/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 120+9.1% vs prev
0120.0Mar 2021: 52.0Mar 2022: 88.0Mar 2023: 110Mar 2024: 113Mar 2025: 110Mar 2026: 120FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 4.0+0.0% vs prev
07.0Mar 2021: 0.0Mar 2022: 3.0Mar 2023: 3.0Mar 2024: 7.0Mar 2025: 4.0Mar 2026: 4.0FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 7.0-8.7% vs prev
030.4Mar 2021: 0.0%Mar 2022: 15.0%Mar 2023: 18.7%Mar 2024: 30.4%Mar 2025: 7.7%Mar 2026: 7.0%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Technicals

Trend interpretation, Stage 2, relative strength, volume and indicator evidence

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 45. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price above SMA200 (long-term uptrend) but mid-term MAs not aligned.
  • SMA20 rising (~6.0% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 45 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • 20% off 52W high · 47% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

53
RS percentile
Stage 2 UptrendEstablished S2
1M return
-4.5%
3M return
+5.0%
6M return
+13.1%
1Y return
-23.3%
RS 1D
-5
RS 20D
+5
Sector rank
#2
Industry rank
#24
Stage evidence
  • Price is 2.9% above the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is above the 30-week proxy and its slope is rising +2.9%.
  • Both 3-month and 6-month returns are positive.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price above
S2 entered
13 Jul 2026
S2 age
46 trading sessions
Sector
leading
Industry
improving
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
229 observations
21 Oct 2026Value 88.92-0.67%
67778797106Sept 25Feb 26Jun 26Oct 2689
RS vs Nifty 50089

Valuation & peers

U-Score 47 · legacy U-Score band FAIR VALUE · valuation evidence and comparable companies

47U-SCORE
Growth at Value

Fundamental score breakdown

U band · FAIR VALUE
Valuation21/30
Growth18/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet9/15
Cash Flow2/10
Piotroski
7/9 (+5)
Penalties
-8
Raw sum
47

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

47/100 · legacy band FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 7/9.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 63.5%.
  • Growth contributes 18/25 to the score.

Main drags

  • Penalty bucket subtracts 8 points.
  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Cash flow is weaker at 2/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Blended valuation: PE, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and balance-sheet checks

For this sector, IndiaPulse uses a blended lens rather than relying on a single valuation ratio.

Blended relative
Primary lens
PE, EV/EBITDA, margin of safety, and FCF yield together.
Secondary checks
ROE/ROCE, growth, cash conversion, leverage, promoter risk.
Main risk check
One cheap metric is not enough if quality or cash flow is weak.
PE
14.8
PB
1.1
EV/EBITDA
9.0
ROE
7.8%
ROCE
9.4%
FCF Yield
—
Debt/Equity
0.5
MoS
+63.5%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 21 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
47
Previous: 47
Legacy U-Score band
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
+63.5%
Previous: +62.9%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

21 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
46
46
46
46
46
46
46
46
46
46
47
47

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹37.28
+16.9% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
39.3
Growth-justified Value
₹84.89
+63.5% MoS
PEG
0.28

Comparable companies

Peers

Business-comparable peers in Industrials — ranked by industry, sub-sector, theme-tag overlap, market cap, and U-Score similarity. Green cells mark the best available peer metric in this table.

Compare all ↗
Ticker
Name
Why peer
Score
PE
ROE
MoS
Verdict
AUROIMPEX
SME
Auro Impex & Chemicals Ltd.
Industrial Products
match 60
49
11.7
8.4%
+71%
FAIR VALUE
ARCIIL
SME
ARC Insulation & Insulators Ltd.
Industrial Products
match 56
58
17.2
4.4%
+57%
FAIR VALUE
CLASSICEIL
SME
Classic Electrodes (India) Ltd.
Industrial Products
match 55
81
7.1
17.9%
+82%
DEEP VALUE
JIWANRAM
SME
Jiwanram Sheoduttrai Industries Ltd.
Industrial Products
match 53
51
9.9
1.6%
+75%
FAIR VALUE
AGUL
SME
A G Universal Ltd.
Industrial Products
match 53
14
—
-12.2%
-3568%
OVERVALUED

Business, management & trust

Growth engines, risks, management commitments and evidence-backed delivery

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-08-21T11:42:56.965Z
Management commentary snapshot

PSFL reports H2 & FY26 revenue up 10-12% YoY, but past revenue growth has been flat and EBITDA margins dipped. Management targets significant revenue growth by FY28 driven by new capacity and market diversification.

Despite reported revenue growth for FY26, the company acknowledges flat revenue over the last 4 years and dipping EBITDA margins. The thesis relies heavily on successful commissioning and ramp-up of new capacity, effective market diversification, and improved operational efficiency to achieve ambitious FY27/28 targets.

Current business mix

Sales by geography

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 2 reported categories.

Businessmix
Domestic75.0%
Exports25.0%
Growth engines

New Capacity

10-ton forging hammer and 2,000-ton forging press will increase output to around 6,000 to 8,000 tons per annum.

Market Diversification

Increasing the sectoral performance from various industries, reducing our entire focus only not only towards the oil and gas.

New Registrations

Registering our manufacturing processes with certain foreign companies (e.g., Adnoc) and for aerospace as well as defense areas.

Value-Added Products

Developed capacities into complex metallurgy components (nickel alloy metals) for higher value addition.

Capacity and execution

Kalapur Expansion

Setting up a 10-ton forging hammer and a 2,000-ton forging press.

Commercial Production Timeline

We envisage to start commercial production in this H1, towards the H1.

Internal Testing Laboratory

Successfully set up our internal testing laboratory, commissioned in Feb 2026, applied for NABL accreditation.

Solar Power Plant

Approximately 750 kilowatts successfully commissioned, intend to complete 1MW by June end, further expansion to 1.3-1.4 megawatts planned.

Tailwinds

Robust Industry Growth

We see robust growth over the next 2 to 3 years across oil and gas, petrochemicals, power, and infra.

Government Capex

Indian government announcements in terms of capex in oil and gas, and also in nuclear energy, present a good opportunity.

Defense Sector Demand

We also foresee a lot of demand from the defense and other sectors also. Everybody wants to know slowly, you know, start working towards their, defense budgets also.

Headwinds

Raw Material Price Volatility

Manufacturing costs and everything rising high, so we foresee that there may be certain impact on certain margins at certain places.

Geopolitical Tensions

In very, very adverse case scenarios, there can be, you know, escalations as far as, Like, a war situation or something, which is beyond control with anybody.

Risk radar

Execution Risk

Revenue has remained almost flat for the last 4 years due to certain breakages, outages, and disruptions in various aspects.

Margin Pressure

The operating margins over the last couple of years, they've consistently been dipping from March 24 to 25 to 26.

Customer Concentration

The top 5 customers would yield anything between 30-40% of our business revenues, with Reliance being the biggest.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare YOY

The company discusses full fiscal year (FY26) performance and provides targets for future fiscal years (FY27, FY28), making year-over-year comparison most relevant for assessing strategic progress and growth.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Revenue Growth (FY26)

Revenue-wise, we have performed around 10-12% better.

Revenue Target (FY27)

So, 27, we are looking somewhere between 150 to 160 crores.

Revenue Target (FY28)

And 28 post-expansions, we should be targeting approximately 200 crores plus.

Current Order Book

The current order book position is something between 45 to 50 crores.

Management forward view

Long-Term Contracts

Already in tie-ups with certain companies who are looking forward to give long-term contracts as far as the new equipment are being installed.

International Expansion

Signed an agreement with a UAE company for Adnoc registration; hope to complete the process in another 3 to 5 months.

Aerospace & Defense Entry

Towards end of H2, we should be looking forward to working towards more niche and critical areas for registrations for aerospace as well as defense areas.

Cost Savings from Solar

Solar plant will enable us to not only reduce our carbon footprint, but also help reduce our manufacturing expenses and save on electricity by 25-30%.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
New Capacity Commercial ProductionErection and installation ongoing, targeting H1 FY27.Successful commissioning and ramp-up of the 10-ton hammer and 2,000-ton forging press.
NABL AccreditationApplied for NABL accreditation for internal testing laboratory.Successful acquisition of NABL accreditation in the next couple of months.
Order Book Growth45-50 crores.Increase to 60-70 crores over the next 3-4 months and conversion into revenue.
EBITDA Margin ImprovementApproximately 6% in FY26.Achievement of 8-10% EBITDA margin in H2 FY27 and progress towards the 14-15% sustainable target.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Trust Score
61Limited evidence · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Limited evidence: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 32nd percentile of the scored universe and 28th percentile within Industrials. Main check: financial discipline is weak at 42/100.

This is a financial-behaviour screen, not a claim-tested management reliability verdict.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
2 docs text-extracted · 2 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Limited evidence

Financial behaviour is scored, but management claims do not yet have enough outcome checks.

Relative rank
32nd percentile

overall median 67 · Industrials: 28th pctile, median 68 · SME: 36th pctile, median 64

Evidence depth
Financial-only

2 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Limited evidence · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
55
watch · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
73
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
42
weak · capital discipline
Results
48
watch · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • ▸Promoter holding is 72.3%.
  • ▸Promoter pledge is zero.

Trust risks

  • ▸ROE is low at 7.9%.
  • ▸ROCE trend is -7.3%.
  • ▸1 of the latest 4 quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Important announcements & filings

Latest exchange and company disclosures found within the past two years.

5 shown
Investor presentationJun 2026

Jun 2026 · PPT

Source: Nse

Open source ↗
Concall transcriptJun 2026

Jun 2026 · Transcript

Source: Nse

Open source ↗
Concall transcriptJan 2026

Jan 2026 · Transcript

Source: Nse

Open source ↗
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.