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IndiaPulse

Paradeep Phosphates Limited (PARADEEP)

Large Cap

Chemicals stocks · Large cap · NSE

Paradeep Phosphates Limited (PPL) is India's leading private sector phosphatic fertilizer company with 3.7 MMTPA capacity across three plants. It produces DAP, NPK grades, and Urea, serving over 15 million farmers across 18 states. PPL also has an industrial portfolio of chemicals and other products.

₹157
+3.47 · +2.26%
Quote04 Sept, 03:59 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags15 Aug 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Chemicals P/E 34.2 (n=45)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Investable fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend supports entry, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
UNDERVALUED
68

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
69

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Bullish
68

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
stable
75

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Good · 62/100

Rev +36% YoY · PAT +24% YoY · +30% QoQ · margin compression

Filed 28 Jul 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹6,124 Cr+36.0%+30.2%
EBITDA₹720 Cr+24.1%+62.9%
Operating margin12.0%-100 bps+300 bps
PAT₹393 Cr+24.0%+151.9%
PAT margin6.4%-62 bps+310 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-13T07:54:26.023Z
Management commentary snapshot

PPL reported robust FY26 performance with Revenue from Operations up 28.7% YoY to Rs. 218,263 Mn and EBITDA up 33.0% YoY to Rs. 22,594 Mn, driven by improved economies of scale and NPK category growth. Q4 FY26 saw revenue up 12.1% YoY but Net Profit declined 4.7% YoY.

PPL delivered strong full-year financial and operational growth, achieving 100% production capacity and expanding Sulphuric Acid capacity. Management's strategic focus on backward integration and value-added NPK products supports future growth, despite a Q4 PAT decline. The plan to reach 5.0 MMTPA total capacity by FY29 is a key positive.

Growth engines

Value-added NPK category growth

NPK as a category (including TSP) grew by 22% in FY26.

Deepened market penetration

Extensive pan-India distribution network across 18 states, 7,000 dealers, 100,000 retailers, and 15 million farmers.

Strategic capacity expansion

Targeting 5.0 MMTPA total capacity by FY29, up from 3.7 MMTPA in FY26.

Backward integration

Plan to double Phosphoric Acid capacity from 0.5 MMTPA to 1 MMTPA is on track; endeavor to make all sites 100% backward integrated in Phos acid.

Capacity and execution

Sulphuric Acid Capacity

Commissioned Sulphuric Acid Plants at Paradeep (500,000 MTPA) and Mangalore (100,000 MTPA) in FY26, increasing company-level capacity by 0.6 MMTPA (45%).

Phosphoric Acid Capacity

Plan to double Phos Acid capacity from 0.5 MMTPA to 1 MMTPA is on track.

Tailwinds

Integrated manufacturing operations

Reflecting the strength of its integrated manufacturing operations, diversified product portfolio, and efficient sourcing capabilities.

Strong farmer engagement and brand recognition

Extensive pan-India distribution network supported by strong farmer engagement and brand recognition (Jai Kisaan Navratna, Mangala).

Competitive raw material sourcing

Competitive edge in sourcing raw materials via long-term agreements and close proximity to ports, enhancing inbound logistics.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

Full-year (FY26) results are crucial for assessing overall performance and strategic direction, best compared YoY. Q4 results, also compared YoY, provide recent performance context. QoQ comparisons are available for financials and show sequential momentum.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Total Fertilizers Production

FY26: 3,666,291 MT, 7.7% Y-o-Y.

Total Fertilizers Sales

FY26: 4,209,890 MT, 10.2% Y-o-Y.

EBITDA Margin

FY26: 10.3%.

Capacity Utilization

PPL achieved production of 37 lakh tonnes in FY26, achieving 100% capacity.

Management forward view

Focus on operational excellence

We remain focused on operational excellence, disciplined execution and sustainable growth.

Serving farming community

Continuing to serve India’s farming community through a diversified product portfolio and strong distribution network.

Backward integration goal

Directionally we endeavour to make all our sites 100% backward integrated in Phos acid.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Phosphoric Acid Capacity ExpansionPlan to double from 0.5 MMTPA to 1 MMTPA is on track.Progress and commissioning timelines for the Phos Acid capacity doubling.
Total Capacity UtilizationAchieved 100% capacity utilization in FY26.Sustained high utilization rates as new capacities come online.
Value-added NPK GrowthNPK (including TSP) grew by 22% in FY26.Continued strong growth in value-added fertilizer categories.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

68Bullish

full bull SMA stack · SMA20 +7.2% / mo · MACD −

Stock trend: 75
Sector RS: 57
Sector 3M: +0.0% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

PARADEEPdaily · 1Y · AUTO+42.8%
Latest close ₹157.00 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+1.9%
RSI
56
MACD hist
-0.30
52W pos
56%
2026-09-04O ₹154.00H ₹157.68L ₹152.50C ₹157.00Vol 37.8L sh
₹96.28₹115.07₹133.85₹152.63₹171.4152L157.002026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 56. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price > SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200 — full bullish stack.
  • SMA20 rising (~6.7% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 56 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 22% off 52W high · 57% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

69
RS percentile
Stage 2 Uptrend
1M return
+5.1%
3M return
+24.3%
6M return
+39.4%
1Y return
-6.9%
RS 1D
+4
RS 20D
+28
Sector rank
#11
Industry rank
-
Stage evidence
  • Price is 20.4% above the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is above the 30-week proxy and its slope is rising +2.0%.
  • Both 3-month and 6-month returns are positive.
50-DMA
price above
200-DMA
price above
Sector
neutral
Industry
unranked
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 72.27+2.25%
47637995110Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 2672
RS vs Nifty 50072

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 68 · UNDERVALUED · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

68U-SCORE
Growth at Value

Fundamental score breakdown

UNDERVALUED
Valuation19/30
Growth23/25
Quality13/20
Balance Sheet7/15
Cash Flow3/10
Piotroski
5/9 (+3)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
68

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

68/100 · UNDERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 68.9%.
  • Growth contributes 23/25 to the score.
  • Quality contributes 13/20 to the score.

Main drags

  • Cash flow is weaker at 3/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 7/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Valuation is weaker at 19/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
15.0
PB
2.4
EV/EBITDA
8.6
ROE
16.2%
ROCE
15.4%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
1.0
MoS
+68.9%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE. Debt/equity is 1.0, so downturn resilience matters.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
68
Previous: 68
Verdict
UNDERVALUED
Previous: UNDERVALUED
Margin of safety
+68.9%
Previous: +68.9%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: -6 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
70
70
73
73
73
73
73
73
74
74
74
68

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹128.39
-22.3% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
45.0
Growth-justified Value
₹504.9
+68.9% MoS
PEG
0.37

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
69Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 59th percentile of the scored universe and 34th percentile within Chemicals. Main check: cash conversion is weak at 52/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 57.9%. Key concern: Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-1012 Cr.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
58 docs text-extracted · 17 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
59th percentile

overall median 67 · Chemicals: 34th pctile, median 73 · Large: 35th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

58 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
52
watch · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
61
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
76
strong · capital discipline
Results
75
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 57.9%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • 4 years of positive FCF.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-1012 Cr.
  • Debt/equity is 1.02.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
15.00
P/B
2.40
EV/EBITDA
8.55
Market Cap
16305.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
16.20%
ROCE
15.40%
ROA
5.98%
Dividend Y
0.96%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
33.00%
EPS 5Y
35.00%
Revenue 3Y
18.00%
EPS 3Y
48.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
1.02
Interest Coverage
4.13×
Altman Z
3.19
Book Value
65.30

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
4/5
OCF
-1012.00 Cr
EPS TTM
11.22

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
57.86%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
56%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Chemicals, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.