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Paradeep Phosphates Limited (PARADEEP)

Large Cap

Chemicals stocks · Large cap · NSE

Paradeep Phosphates Limited (PPL) is India's leading private sector phosphatic fertilizer company with 3.7 MMTPA capacity across three plants. It produces DAP, NPK grades, and Urea, serving over 15 million farmers across 18 states. PPL also has an industrial portfolio of chemicals and other products.

₹144.26
-2.90 · -1.97%
Market cap ₹14,998 Cr
IndicesNifty 500
Data qualityFresh enough for analysisQuote updated 19 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Details
Quote19 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Base fundamentals14 Oct 2026 · screener
Latest result28 Jul, 11:27 pm IST
Score20 Oct, 04:30 am IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags15 Aug 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Chemicals P/E 33.1 (n=45)
Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

44Neutral

SMA20 -3.4% / mo · MACD − · sector -4.2pp vs Nifty 500 (3M)

Stock trend: 43
Sector RS: 46
Sector 3M: -9.8% vs Nifty 500 -5.6%

Latest mapped FPI equity flow was not positive. View sector evidence

Technical chart

PARADEEPD candles · FIT view+7.9%
Latest close ₹144.26 on 2026-10-19
Bar
-2.2%
RSI
40
MACD hist
-0.89
52W pos
55%
Visible chart range
Candle interval
2026-10-19O ₹147.56H ₹147.70L ₹143.48C ₹144.26Vol 7.8L sh
₹112.72₹127.20₹141.68₹156.15₹170.63₹144.262026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-042026-062026-082026-092026-11
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal
Market context

Relative performance and chart statistics

Adjusted completed-session prices, rebased to 100

PARADEEPNifty ChemicalsNifty 500
-12%-0%+11%+23%20 Jul1 Sept19 Oct19 Oct 2026PARADEEP +4.4%Nifty Chemicals -8.5%Nifty 500 -5.6%
PARADEEP
+4.4%
Nifty 500
-5.6%
Nifty Chemicals
-8.5%
Vs Nifty 500
+9.9 pp
Chart stats
19 Oct 2026
From 52W high
-20.7%
₹181.9
52W range position
54%
₹99.7 - ₹181.9
ATR (14)
3.5%
₹5
Volume vs 20D
0.41x
Latest completed session
Avg traded value
₹27.8 Cr
20-session average
20D price channel
₹136.6 - ₹158.4
23.9% annualized volatility
Research snapshot

What the evidence says now

Investable fundamentals, management evidence is still limited to a financial-only Trust Lite signal, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Add to watchlist
Fundamental setup is interesting, but technical confirmation is weak.
U-Score
Legacy · UNDERVALUED
72

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Latest result
Good
62

Revenue +36.0% · PAT +24.0% YoY

Technical
Neutral
44

Price trend and sector-relative-strength timing.

Valuation
Legacy model
+71.4%

Legacy margin-of-safety estimate; the revised evidence label remains in shadow validation.

Trust
Limited evidence
69

Financial-only signal; management claim evidence is not sufficient yet.

Financials

Fundamentals, quarterly history, margins, returns and balance-sheet evidence

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Good · 62/100

Rev +36% YoY · PAT +24% YoY · +30% QoQ · margin compression

Filed 28 Jul 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹6,124 Cr+36.0%+30.2%
EBITDA₹720 Cr+24.1%+62.9%
Operating margin12.0%-100 bps+300 bps
PAT₹393 Cr+24.0%+151.9%
PAT margin6.4%-62 bps+310 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
13.80
P/B
2.21
EV/EBITDA
8.07
Market Cap
14998.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
16.20%
ROCE
15.40%
ROA
5.98%
Dividend Y
1.04%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
33.00%
EPS 5Y
35.00%
Revenue 3Y
18.00%
EPS 3Y
48.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
1.02
Interest Coverage
4.13×
Altman Z
3.12
Book Value
65.30

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
—
FCF Positive Y
4/5
OCF
-1012.00 Cr
EPS TTM
11.22

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
57.85%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
54%

Financial History

Updated 20/10/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 21.8k+28.7% vs prev
022kMar 2019: 4,358Mar 2020: 4,193Mar 2021: 5,165Mar 2022: 7,859Mar 2023: 13.3kMar 2024: 11.6kMar 2025: 17.0kMar 2026: 21.8kFY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 996+50.5% vs prev
0996.0Mar 2019: 159Mar 2020: 193Mar 2021: 223Mar 2022: 398Mar 2023: 304Mar 2024: 100Mar 2025: 662Mar 2026: 996FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 14.7+30.3% vs prev
017.9Mar 2019: 10.7%Mar 2020: 12.0%Mar 2021: 12.2%Mar 2022: 17.9%Mar 2023: 8.7%Mar 2024: 2.8%Mar 2025: 11.3%Mar 2026: 14.7%FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Technicals

Trend interpretation, Stage 2, relative strength, volume and indicator evidence

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 40. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price above SMA200 (long-term uptrend) but mid-term MAs not aligned.
  • SMA20 falling (~3.5% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 40 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 20% off 52W high · 45% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

56
RS percentile
Stage 2 UptrendEstablished S2
1M return
-7.3%
3M return
+4.4%
6M return
+5.9%
1Y return
-14.7%
RS 1D
-3
RS 20D
+3
Sector rank
#13
Industry rank
-
Stage evidence
  • Price is 5.0% above the 30-week proxy.
  • The 50-DMA is above the 30-week proxy and its slope is rising +3.8%.
  • Both 3-month and 6-month returns are positive.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price above
S2 entered
26 Aug 2026
S2 age
37 trading sessions
Sector
neutral
Industry
unranked
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
262 observations
19 Oct 2026Value 81.48-0.95%
56698396110Sept 25Feb 26Jun 26Oct 2681
RS vs Nifty 50081

Valuation & peers

U-Score 72 · legacy U-Score band UNDERVALUED · valuation evidence and comparable companies

72U-SCORE
Top Setup

Fundamental score breakdown

U band · UNDERVALUED
Valuation22/30
Growth23/25
Quality13/20
Balance Sheet8/15
Cash Flow3/10
Piotroski
5/9 (+3)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
72

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

72/100 · legacy band UNDERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 71.4%.
  • Growth contributes 23/25 to the score.
  • Valuation contributes 22/30 to the score.

Main drags

  • Cash flow is weaker at 3/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 8/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Quality is weaker at 13/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
13.8
PB
2.2
EV/EBITDA
8.1
ROE
16.2%
ROCE
15.4%
FCF Yield
—
Debt/Equity
1.0
MoS
+71.4%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE. Debt/equity is 1.0, so downturn resilience matters.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 20 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
72
Previous: 72
Legacy U-Score band
UNDERVALUED
Previous: UNDERVALUED
Margin of safety
+71.4%
Previous: +71.4%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

20 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
70
70
70
70
70
72
72
72
72
72
72
72

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹128.39
-12.4% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
45.0
Growth-justified Value
₹504.9
+71.4% MoS
PEG
0.34

Comparable companies

Peers

Business-comparable peers in Chemicals — ranked by industry, sub-sector, theme-tag overlap, market cap, and U-Score similarity. Green cells mark the best available peer metric in this table.

Compare all ↗
Ticker
Name
Why peer
Score
PE
ROE
MoS
Verdict
CHAMBLFERT
Small
Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited
Fertilizers & Chemicals
match 165
81
8.1
20.0%
+44%
DEEP VALUE
DEEPAKFERT
Small
Deepak Fertilizers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited
Fertilizers & Chemicals
match 163
47
17.2
10.9%
+64%
FAIR VALUE
GNFC
Micro
Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers and Chemicals Limited
Fertilizers & Chemicals
match 161
59
8.2
9.1%
+21%
FAIR VALUE
RCF
Micro
Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Limited
Fertilizers & Chemicals
match 157
40
14.0
7.8%
-41%
WATCHLIST
NFL
Micro
National Fertilizers Limited
Fertilizers & Chemicals
match 155
38
8.5
7.5%
-42%
WATCHLIST

Business, management & trust

Growth engines, risks, management commitments and evidence-backed delivery

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-13T07:54:26.023Z
Management commentary snapshot

PPL reported robust FY26 performance with Revenue from Operations up 28.7% YoY to Rs. 218,263 Mn and EBITDA up 33.0% YoY to Rs. 22,594 Mn, driven by improved economies of scale and NPK category growth. Q4 FY26 saw revenue up 12.1% YoY but Net Profit declined 4.7% YoY.

PPL delivered strong full-year financial and operational growth, achieving 100% production capacity and expanding Sulphuric Acid capacity. Management's strategic focus on backward integration and value-added NPK products supports future growth, despite a Q4 PAT decline. The plan to reach 5.0 MMTPA total capacity by FY29 is a key positive.

Growth engines

Value-added NPK category growth

NPK as a category (including TSP) grew by 22% in FY26.

Deepened market penetration

Extensive pan-India distribution network across 18 states, 7,000 dealers, 100,000 retailers, and 15 million farmers.

Strategic capacity expansion

Targeting 5.0 MMTPA total capacity by FY29, up from 3.7 MMTPA in FY26.

Backward integration

Plan to double Phosphoric Acid capacity from 0.5 MMTPA to 1 MMTPA is on track; endeavor to make all sites 100% backward integrated in Phos acid.

Capacity and execution

Sulphuric Acid Capacity

Commissioned Sulphuric Acid Plants at Paradeep (500,000 MTPA) and Mangalore (100,000 MTPA) in FY26, increasing company-level capacity by 0.6 MMTPA (45%).

Phosphoric Acid Capacity

Plan to double Phos Acid capacity from 0.5 MMTPA to 1 MMTPA is on track.

Tailwinds

Integrated manufacturing operations

Reflecting the strength of its integrated manufacturing operations, diversified product portfolio, and efficient sourcing capabilities.

Strong farmer engagement and brand recognition

Extensive pan-India distribution network supported by strong farmer engagement and brand recognition (Jai Kisaan Navratna, Mangala).

Competitive raw material sourcing

Competitive edge in sourcing raw materials via long-term agreements and close proximity to ports, enhancing inbound logistics.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

Full-year (FY26) results are crucial for assessing overall performance and strategic direction, best compared YoY. Q4 results, also compared YoY, provide recent performance context. QoQ comparisons are available for financials and show sequential momentum.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Total Fertilizers Production

FY26: 3,666,291 MT, 7.7% Y-o-Y.

Total Fertilizers Sales

FY26: 4,209,890 MT, 10.2% Y-o-Y.

EBITDA Margin

FY26: 10.3%.

Capacity Utilization

PPL achieved production of 37 lakh tonnes in FY26, achieving 100% capacity.

Management forward view

Focus on operational excellence

We remain focused on operational excellence, disciplined execution and sustainable growth.

Serving farming community

Continuing to serve India’s farming community through a diversified product portfolio and strong distribution network.

Backward integration goal

Directionally we endeavour to make all our sites 100% backward integrated in Phos acid.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Phosphoric Acid Capacity ExpansionPlan to double from 0.5 MMTPA to 1 MMTPA is on track.Progress and commissioning timelines for the Phos Acid capacity doubling.
Total Capacity UtilizationAchieved 100% capacity utilization in FY26.Sustained high utilization rates as new capacities come online.
Value-added NPK GrowthNPK (including TSP) grew by 22% in FY26.Continued strong growth in value-added fertilizer categories.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Trust Score
69Limited evidence · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Limited evidence: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 59th percentile of the scored universe and 36th percentile within Chemicals. Main check: cash conversion is weak at 52/100.

This is a financial-behaviour screen, not a claim-tested management reliability verdict.

Computed 20 Oct 2026
management-trust-v1
60 docs text-extracted · 17 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Limited evidence

Financial behaviour is scored, but management claims do not yet have enough outcome checks.

Relative rank
59th percentile

overall median 67 · Chemicals: 36th pctile, median 73 · Large: 35th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

60 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Limited evidence · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
52
watch · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
61
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
76
strong · capital discipline
Results
75
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • ▸Promoter holding is 57.9%.
  • ▸Promoter pledge is zero.
  • ▸4 years of positive FCF.
  • ▸4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • ▸Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-1012 Cr.
  • ▸Debt/equity is 1.02.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Important announcements & filings

Latest exchange and company disclosures found within the past two years.

12 shown
AnnouncementSep 2026

Sep 2026 · Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation 27 Aug - Paradeep Phosphates to attend Elara Capital investor conference on September 1, 2026 in Mumbai.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation 16 Sep

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
AnnouncementAug 2026

Aug 2026 · Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Press Release / Media Release 20 Aug - On 20 Aug 2026, PPL launched JAI KISAAN NAVRATNA CROPFIT for Karnataka sugarcane cultivation.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
AnnouncementAug 2026

Aug 2026 · Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Updates on Acquisition 12 Aug - Paradeep Phosphates incorporated WOS Fertilizer Innovation Foundation–India on August 11, 2026.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication 26 Aug - Publication of Notice of 44th AGM and E-voting information

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation 21 Aug

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication 18 Aug - Newspaper publication in respect of 44th AGM of the Company

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Allotment of ESOP / ESPS 14 Aug - Intimation of allotment of 349656 number of equity shares pursuant to exercise of options under PPL- ESOP 2021

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Concall transcript

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Earnings Call Transcript 6 Aug - Transcript of conference call has been uploaded on the website of the Company

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Acquisition 5 Aug - Board approved incorporation of WOS Fertilizer Innovation Foundation–India, a Section 8 not-for-profit entity.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Concall transcriptJul 2026

Jul 2026 · Transcript

Source: Company Ir

Open source ↗
Investor presentationJul 2026

Jul 2026 · PPT

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.