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IndiaPulse

Newmalayalam Steel Ltd. (NMSTEEL)

SME Cap

Metals stocks · SME cap · NSE

Newmalayalam Steel Ltd. (NMSTEEL) is a fast-growing manufacturer of Galvanised pipes, tubes, and sheets in Thrissur, Kerala. It caters to the construction and roofing sectors with a 72,000 MTPA capacity, operating under the 'Demac Steel' brand. Products are known for durability and corrosion resistance, ideal for Kerala's humid climate.

₹23.85
-0.05 · -0.21%
Quote04 Sept, 03:32 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags24 Apr 2026
Coverage11/14 · 79%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Metals P/E 20.4 (n=89)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
WATCHLIST
37

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
68

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
53

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
mixed
63

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Average · 30/100

YoY data unavailable — classification deferred

Filed 31 Mar 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹158 CrNDFNDF
EBITDA₹6 Cr+500.0%+0.0%
Operating margin3.5%+250 bps-50 bps
PAT₹3 CrNDFNDF
PAT margin1.9%+257 bps-57 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-08-21T07:18:31.450Z
Management commentary snapshot

H1 FY26 revenue grew 8.20% H-o-H to INR 16,224.2 Lacs, with EBITDA up 583.17% H-o-H to INR 609.7 Lacs. PAT surged 638.39% H-o-H to INR 421.7 Lacs, driven by significant margin recovery from H2 FY25 lows.

The company demonstrated strong sequential recovery in profitability in H1 FY26, with EBITDA and PAT margins significantly improving from H2 FY25. While YoY performance shows a decline in margins, the H-o-H rebound suggests operational improvements. Strategic focus on capacity utilization, market expansion, and higher-margin products like PEB could drive future growth.

Growth engines

Brand & Market Expansion

Investing in brand visibility and awareness to strengthen recall and capture greater market share.

Marketing Network Expansion

Widening dealer base and geographic reach through stronger marketing teams and strategic outreach.

Entry into Higher-Margin Products

Foray into Pre-Fabricated Steel Buildings (PEB) to move up the value chain and provide higher margins.

Higher Capacity Utilization

Ramp up production from existing capacity without major capex to improve operating efficiency.

Capacity and execution

Existing Manufacturing Capacity

Operates a modern facility with 3 ERW tube mills and a total capacity of 72,000 MTPA.

Capacity Utilization Strategy

Plan to ramp up production from existing capacity without major capex to improve operating efficiency.

Tailwinds

Expanding Indian Steel Market

India is the second-largest steel producer globally, with expanding demand driven by construction and infrastructure.

Growing Galvanised Steel Demand

Indian Galvanised steel market size FY25: ~₹52,000 crore; CAGR 8–9%, driven by roofing, prefabricated structures, solar, and water infra.

Regional Demand Drivers

Kerala's high humidity & coastal climate create preference for GI products; urbanization drives demand for roofing and structural steel.

ESG Edge

Government's focus on green steel aligns with NMSL's solar-powered operations (23% of electricity met via in-house solar).

Risk radar

Raw Material Cost Fluctuations

Company employs a flexible sourcing strategy with access to competitive international suppliers to manage raw material cost fluctuations.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

H1 FY26 results are presented with both H1 FY25 (YoY) and H2 FY25 (QoQ) comparisons. The significant sequential recovery in margins (EBITDA +316 bps H-o-H, PAT +312 bps H-o-H) is crucial for assessing momentum and operational turnaround, especially in the cyclical metals sector. YoY comparison provides a longer-term perspective but QoQ highlights recent performance trends.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Manufacturing Capacity

72,000 MTPA

Capacity Utilization

67%

EBITDA Margin

3.76% in H1 FY26, up 316 bps H-o-H from 0.60% in H2 FY25.

PAT Margin

2.60% in H1 FY26, up 312 bps H-o-H from -0.52% in H2 FY25.

Management forward view

Geographic Expansion

Deepen penetration across Kerala and expand into Tamil Nadu, Karnataka & AP.

Value Chain Upgradation

Foray into Pre-Fabricated Steel Buildings (PEB) to move up the value chain, targeting higher margins and industrial/infrastructure customers.

Operational Efficiency

Ramp up production from existing capacity without major capex to improve operating efficiency and enhance margins.

Strategic Positioning

Aim to transition from a product-focused manufacturer to a steel solutions provider.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Capacity Utilization67%Increase in utilization rate towards 72,000 MTPA capacity.
EBITDA Margin3.76% (H1 FY26)Sustained improvement in margins, especially with new product segments like PEB.
Geographic ExpansionPrimarily KeralaConcrete steps and revenue contribution from new markets like Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, and Andhra Pradesh.
Debt-to-Equity0.23Continued prudent financial management and deleveraging trends.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

53Neutral

SMA20 -1.6% / mo · MACD + · sector +2.7pp vs Nifty (3M)

Stock trend: 45
Sector RS: 64
Sector 3M: +1.2% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

NMSTEELdaily · 1Y · AUTO-0.6%
Latest close ₹23.85 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+0.2%
RSI
52
MACD hist
0.05
52W pos
30%
2026-09-04O ₹23.80H ₹24.00L ₹23.70C ₹23.85Vol 8,000 sh
₹16.89₹19.70₹22.50₹25.30₹28.1152L23.852026-03VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend unclear. RSI 52. Wait for confirmation.

  • SMA20 falling (~1.6% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 52 — sideways, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal, histogram expanding — bullish momentum building.
  • 39% off 52W high · 37% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 37 · WATCHLIST · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

37U-SCORE
Deep Value

Fundamental score breakdown

WATCHLIST
Valuation28/30
Growth0/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet11/15
Cash Flow3/10
Piotroski
5/9 (+3)
Penalties
-8
Raw sum
37

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

37/100 · WATCHLIST

Positive drivers

  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 20.7%.
  • Valuation contributes 28/30 to the score.
  • Balance sheet contributes 11/15 to the score.

Main drags

  • Penalty bucket subtracts 8 points.
  • Growth is weaker at 0/25; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
5.9
PB
0.5
EV/EBITDA
4.1
ROE
8.2%
ROCE
FCF Yield
2.4%
Debt/Equity
0.2
MoS
+20.7%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE. Current PE is low at 5.9, so peak-cycle earnings risk should be checked.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
37
Previous: 37
Verdict
WATCHLIST
Previous: WATCHLIST
Margin of safety
+20.7%
Previous: +20.7%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
39
39
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹67.26
+64.5% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
7.4
Growth-justified Value
₹30.08
+20.7% MoS
PEG

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
68Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 56th percentile of the scored universe and 46th percentile within Metals. Main check: cash conversion is weak at 53/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 73%. Key concern: Only 1 years of positive FCF.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
1 docs text-extracted · 0 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
56th percentile

overall median 67 · Metals: 46th pctile, median 70 · SME: 70th pctile, median 64

Evidence depth
Financial-only

1 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
53
watch · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
81
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
60
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
63
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 73%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 2.4%.
  • OPM spread across recent quarters is 4%.

Trust risks

  • Only 1 years of positive FCF.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
5.86
P/B
0.48
EV/EBITDA
4.09
Market Cap
41.20Cr

Profitability

ROE
8.22%
ROCE
ROA
5.83%
Dividend Y

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
EPS 5Y
Revenue 3Y
EPS 3Y

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.19
Interest Coverage
4.00×
Altman Z
4.75
Book Value
49.40

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
2.43%
FCF Positive Y
1/5
OCF
4.00 Cr
EPS TTM
4.07

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
73.02%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
29%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Metals, ranked by similarity

Peers

Business-comparable peers in Metals — ranked by industry, sub-sector, theme-tag overlap, market cap, and U-Score similarity. Green cells mark the best available peer metric in this table.

Compare all ↗
Ticker
Name
Why peer
Score
PE
ROE
MoS
Verdict
AUSL
SME
Aditya Ultra Steel Ltd.
Steel
match 88
19
15.2
4.0%
-158%
OVERVALUED
KALANA
SME
Kalana Ispat Ltd.
Steel
match 87
30
31.1
2.2%
+18%
OVERVALUED
ASHOKAMET
Small
Ashoka Metcast Limited
Steel
match 85
50
2.6
9.3%
+92%
FAIR VALUE
PSRAJ
SME
P S Raj Steels Ltd.
Steel
match 76
31
36.9
12.4%
-19%
OVERVALUED
CMNL
SME
Chaman Metallics Ltd.
Steel
match 74
15
-1.8%
OVERVALUED
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.