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NELCO Limited (NELCO)

Small Cap

Industrials stocks · Small cap · NSE

NELCO Limited operates in Defence Electronics, within the Industrials sector. Use the latest filing and company disclosures below to verify its revenue mix and current business drivers.

₹788.45
-36.10 · -4.38%
Market cap ₹1,799 Cr
Data qualityFresh enough for analysisQuote updated 19 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Details
Quote19 Oct, 03:31 pm IST
Base fundamentals06 Oct 2026 · screener
Official result overlay30 Sept 2026 · nse-xbrl
Latest result19 Oct, 05:35 pm IST
Score20 Oct, 04:30 am IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Industrials P/E 26.2 (n=537)
Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

48Neutral

SMA20 -4.1% / mo · RSI oversold · MACD −

Stock trend: 46
Sector RS: 50
Sector 3M: -6.3% vs Nifty 500 -5.6%

Latest mapped FPI equity flow was not positive. View sector evidence

Technical chart

NELCOD candles · FIT view+18.2%
Latest close ₹788.45 on 2026-10-19
Bar
-4.3%
RSI
29
MACD hist
-11.19
52W pos
47%
Visible chart range
Candle interval
2026-10-19O ₹824.00H ₹830.50L ₹675.10C ₹788.45Vol 1.3L sh
₹613.82₹746.39₹878.96₹1.01k₹1.14k52H₹788.452026-06VolRSIMACD2026-042026-062026-082026-092026-11
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal
Market context

Relative performance and chart statistics

Adjusted completed-session prices, rebased to 100

NELCONifty India ManufacturingNifty 500
-15%-1%+12%+25%20 Jul1 Sept19 Oct19 Oct 2026NELCO -11.4%Nifty India Manufactu… -5.8%Nifty 500 -5.6%
NELCO
-11.4%
Nifty 500
-5.6%
Nifty India Manufacturing
-5.8%
Vs Nifty 500
-5.8 pp
Chart stats
19 Oct 2026
From 52W high
-29.6%
₹1,120
52W range position
47%
₹500.1 - ₹1,120
ATR (14)
5.8%
₹45.5
Volume vs 20D
0.58x
Latest completed session
Avg traded value
₹17.6 Cr
20-session average
20D price channel
₹675.1 - ₹1,058.8
40.0% annualized volatility
Research snapshot

What the evidence says now

Weak fundamentals, management evidence is still limited to a financial-only Trust Lite signal, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Check latest quarters
Result consistency is weak; verify whether the thesis is improving or deteriorating.
U-Score
Legacy · OVERVALUED
16

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Latest result
Average
35

Revenue +5.1% · PAT +6.8% YoY

Technical
Neutral
48

Price trend and sector-relative-strength timing.

Valuation
Legacy model
-48105.3%

Legacy margin-of-safety estimate; the revised evidence label remains in shadow validation.

Trust
Limited evidence
59

Financial-only signal; management claim evidence is not sufficient yet.

Financials

Fundamentals, quarterly history, margins, returns and balance-sheet evidence

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Sept 2026

Average · 35/100

Rev +5% YoY · PAT +7% YoY · margin expansion

Filed 19 Oct 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹78.1 Cr+5.1%-2.4%
EBITDA₹9.1 Cr+22.1%+9.6%
Operating margin11.7%+162 bps+127 bps
PAT₹1.7 Cr+6.8%-26.1%
PAT margin2.2%+3 bps-71 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
453.21
P/B
15.66
EV/EBITDA
42.71
Market Cap
1799.24Cr

Profitability

ROE
0.46%
ROCE
7.21%
ROA
1.15%
Dividend Y
0.11%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
6.00%
EPS 5Y
-45.00%
Revenue 3Y
-1.00%
EPS 3Y
-69.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.57
Interest Coverage
5.80×
Altman Z
7.30
Book Value
56.50

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
—
FCF Positive Y
8/5
OCF
15.00 Cr
EPS TTM
1.74

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
50.09%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
62%

Financial History

Updated 20/10/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 78.1-2.4% vs prev
083.2Dec 2023: 83.2Mar 2024: 81.6Jun 2024: 74.1Sep 2024: 82.5Dec 2024: 80.7Mar 2025: 67.5Jun 2025: 74.8Sep 2025: 74.3Dec 2025: 78.3Mar 2026: 79.2Jun 2026: 80.0Sep 2026: 78.1Q3 23FY24Q1 24Q2 24Q3 24FY25Q1 25Q2 25Q3 25FY26Q1 26Q2 26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 1.7-26.1% vs prev
-4.106.2Dec 2023: 6.2Mar 2024: 6.1Jun 2024: 4.6Sep 2024: 4.1Dec 2024: 5.0Mar 2025: -4.1Jun 2025: 1.8Sep 2025: 1.6Dec 2025: -1.2Mar 2026: 1.1Jun 2026: 2.3Sep 2026: 1.7Q3 23FY24Q1 24Q2 24Q3 24FY25Q1 25Q2 25Q3 25FY26Q1 26Q2 26
ROE is shown only in the Annual view — quarterly equity data isn't published.

Technicals

Trend interpretation, Stage 2, relative strength, volume and indicator evidence

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 29. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price above SMA200 (long-term uptrend) but mid-term MAs not aligned.
  • SMA20 falling (~4.3% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 29 — oversold zone; bounce conditions.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • 30% off 52W high · 58% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

60
RS percentile
Stage 1 Base / Transition
1M return
-22.1%
3M return
-11.4%
6M return
+12.0%
1Y return
-7.0%
RS 1D
-4
RS 20D
-22
Sector rank
#2
Industry rank
#27
Stage evidence
  • Price is within 3.2% of the 30-week proxy.
  • The 30-week proxy changed +5.1% over 20 sessions.
  • The moving-average structure does not confirm Stage 2 or Stage 4.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price above
Sector
leading
Industry
improving
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
262 observations
19 Oct 2026Value 94.61-3.39%
627893109124Sept 25Feb 26Jun 26Oct 2695
RS vs Nifty 50095

Valuation & peers

U-Score 16 · legacy U-Score band OVERVALUED · valuation evidence and comparable companies

16U-SCORE
OVERVALUED

Fundamental score breakdown

U band · OVERVALUED
Valuation0/30
Growth2/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet7/15
Cash Flow4/10
Piotroski
6/9 (+3)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
16

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

16/100 · legacy band OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Balance sheet contributes 7/15 to the score.
  • Cash flow contributes 4/10 to the score.
  • Growth contributes 2/25 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -48105.3%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Execution business valuation: EV/EBITDA plus order and working-capital risk

Capital-intensive execution stories need cash-flow and balance-sheet checks alongside valuation.

Execution EV/EBITDA
Primary lens
EV/EBITDA and PE against execution quality and margin stability.
Secondary checks
Order book, receivables, working capital, debt, operating cash flow.
Main risk check
Order wins matter only if they convert into cash and margins.
PE
453.2
PB
15.7
EV/EBITDA
42.7
ROE
0.5%
ROCE
7.2%
FCF Yield
—
Debt/Equity
0.6
MoS
-48105.3%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 20 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
16
Previous: 16
Legacy U-Score band
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-48105.3%
Previous: -48105.3%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

20 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
16
16

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹47.03
-1576.4% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
0.9
Growth-justified Value
₹1.64
-48105.3% MoS
PEG
—

Comparable companies

Peers

Business-comparable peers in Industrials — ranked by industry, sub-sector, theme-tag overlap, market cap, and U-Score similarity. Green cells mark the best available peer metric in this table.

Compare all ↗
Ticker
Name
Why peer
Score
PE
ROE
MoS
Verdict
DCXINDIA
Small
DCX Systems Limited
Defence Electronics
match 167
25
—
-0.5%
—
OVERVALUED
ONIDA
Small
Onida Electronics Limited
Defence Electronics
match 160
14
—
-26.4%
—
OVERVALUED
MICEL
Small
MIC Electronics Limited
Defence Electronics
match 159
27
—
-5.8%
—
OVERVALUED
MBEL
Small
M & B Engineering Limited
Defence Electronics
match 157
69
14.5
19.4%
+57%
UNDERVALUED
SALZERELEC
Small
Salzer Electronics Limited
Defence Electronics
match 157
39
21.2
9.4%
+50%
WATCHLIST

Business, management & trust

Growth engines, risks, management commitments and evidence-backed delivery

Business and thesis

Issuer presentation review pending

NELCO Limited operates in Defence Electronics, within the Industrials sector. Use the latest filing and company disclosures below to verify its revenue mix and current business drivers. The structured result feed currently covers the quarter ended 30 Sept 2026. Investor presentations and earnings-call PDFs will be added as issuer-backed evidence before management claims appear here.

Trust Score
59Limited evidence · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Limited evidence: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 25th percentile of the scored universe and 20th percentile within Industrials. Main check: results consistency is weak at 27/100.

This is a financial-behaviour screen, not a claim-tested management reliability verdict.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
10 docs text-extracted · 0 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Limited evidence

Financial behaviour is scored, but management claims do not yet have enough outcome checks.

Relative rank
25th percentile

overall median 67 · Industrials: 20th pctile, median 68 · Small: 28th pctile, median 66

Evidence depth
Financial-only

10 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Limited evidence · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Needs extra due diligence; demand valuation comfort and recent improvement.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
67
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
81
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
30
weak · capital discipline
Results
27
weak · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • ▸Promoter pledge is zero.
  • ▸8 years of positive FCF.

Trust risks

  • ▸3 latest quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.
  • ▸ROCE is low at 7.2%.
  • ▸ROE is low at 0.5%.
  • ▸ROCE trend is -7.5%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Important announcements & filings

Latest exchange and company disclosures found within the past two years.

7 shown
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication 27 Aug

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Credit rating

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Credit Rating 26 Aug - CRISIL revised Nelco’s ratings outlook to Watch Developing on Rs218.3 crore facilities after $20 million Lunar investment.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication 18 Jul

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication 30 Jun

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication 2 Jun

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.