IP
IndiaPulse

NCC Limited (NCC)

Large Cap

Infra stocks · Large cap · NSE

NCC Limited, with 48+ years of experience, is an Indian infrastructure company with a pan-India presence. It operates across 7 business verticals including Buildings, Transportation, Water & Environment, Electrical (T&D), Mining, Railways, and Irrigation, holding an ~₹83k Cr order book.

₹149.7
+2.46 · +1.67%
Quote04 Sept, 03:59 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Infra P/E 16.9 (n=83)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Mixed fundamentals, management trust needs verification, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Check latest quarters
Result consistency is weak; verify whether the thesis is improving or deteriorating.
U-Score
FAIR VALUE
46

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
57

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
58

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
weak
42

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Average · 32/100

margin compression · Rev +12% YoY · PAT +12% YoY

Filed 06 Aug 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹5,812 Cr+12.2%-6.8%
EBITDA₹545 Cr+19.5%-0.9%
Operating margin9.0%+0 bps+0 bps
PAT₹229 Cr+11.7%+5.5%
PAT margin3.9%-2 bps+46 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-06-03T18:15:42.565Z
Management commentary snapshot

NCC reported a 6% YoY consolidated revenue decline to ₹20,823 Cr in FY26, with PAT down 12% to ₹724 Cr. Consolidated order book grew 16% YoY to ₹83,004 Cr, providing 4x book-to-bill visibility, despite execution challenges in water and state-funded projects.

While NCC's consolidated order book grew 16% YoY to ₹83,004 Cr, FY26 revenue and PAT declined due to funding-cycle stress in water and state-funded segments, and project approval delays. Working capital days expanded, impacting finance costs. Management indicates execution capabilities remain intact, with Q4 showing some normalization.

Current business mix

Group Revenue Composition – FY26

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 5 reported categories.

Businessmix
Construction79.0%
Coal Mining12.0%
Smart Meters6.0%
Tunnels2.0%
Real Estate1.0%
Growth engines

Diversified Order Book

₹83,004 Cr order book provides multi-year visibility (4x book-to-bill) across 7 diverse verticals.

Mining Segment Contribution

Mining contributed 36% to FY26 order inflow and 18% to the total order book, indicating strong segment performance.

Underlying Execution Capabilities

Management states underlying execution capabilities and project-level economics remain intact through the cycle.

Tailwinds

Diversified Order Book

Order book of ₹83,004 Cr is diversified across Buildings, Transportation, Water, Electrical (T&D), Railways, Mining, and Irrigation.

Strong Execution Headroom

The ~₹83k Cr order book provides strong execution headroom and multi-year visibility with a 4x book-to-bill ratio.

Headwinds

Funding-Cycle Stress

FY26 revenue moderation is consistent with broader sector trends due to funding-cycle stress in water and select state-funded segments.

Project Approval Delays

A subset of projects awaiting ROW handover or environmental clearance progressed slowly through Q1-Q3 FY26.

Elevated Finance Costs

EBITDA margin compression reflects operating de-leverage on lower revenue and elevated finance costs on peak working-capital debt.

Risk radar

Working Capital Management

Standalone NWC days expanded through H1 FY26 reflecting JJM and water-sector receivable cycles, though Q4 showed normalization.

Receivable Cycles

Water-vertical execution was paced in line with collection visibility through Q1-Q3 FY26 against extended JJM payment cycles.

Macroeconomic & Regulatory Risks

Forward-looking statements are subject to macroeconomic and market conditions, regulatory and policy developments, and geopolitical dynamics.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is essential for full-year performance and overall trends in a project-based business. QoQ comparison is useful to track sequential momentum, especially given management commentary on Q4 normalization and working capital cycles.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Consolidated Order Book

₹83,004 Cr in FY26, up 16% Y-o-Y.

Consolidated Order Inflow

₹31,884 Cr in FY26, down 3% Y-o-Y.

Consolidated Revenue

₹20,823 Cr in FY26, down 6% Y-o-Y.

Consolidated EBITDA Margin

8.82% of Turnover in FY26.

Management forward view

Execution Capabilities Intact

Management states underlying execution capabilities and project-level economics remain intact through the cycle.

Working Capital Normalization Expected

Management expects working capital days and debt to reverse as payment cycles normalize and revenue scales.

Approval Flow Easing

Approval flow eased into Q4 FY26 with execution pace picking up.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Consolidated Order Book Growth₹83,004 Cr (16% YoY)Sustained growth and diversification across verticals to maintain multi-year visibility.
Consolidated Revenue Execution₹20,823 Cr (-6% YoY)Reversal of revenue decline and improved execution pace, especially in water and state-funded projects.
Standalone Net Working Capital Days97 days (Q4 FY26)Continued normalization and reduction in NWC days, indicating improved collection cycles.
Consolidated EBITDA Margin8.82% (FY26)Improvement in margins as revenue scales and finance costs normalize.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

58Neutral

SMA20 +2.9% / mo · MACD + · sector +2.3pp vs Nifty (3M)

Stock trend: 56
Sector RS: 61
Sector 3M: +0.8% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

NCCdaily · 1Y · AUTO+4.7%
Latest close ₹149.70 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+2.1%
RSI
57
MACD hist
0.31
52W pos
21%
2026-09-04O ₹146.60H ₹150.45L ₹145.87C ₹149.70Vol 21.7L sh
₹127.91₹139.40₹150.89₹162.37₹173.8652L149.702026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 57. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price below SMA200 (long-term downtrend) — short-term bounces likely countertrend.
  • SMA20 rising (~2.8% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 57 — sideways, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal but histogram contracting — bullish momentum cooling.
  • 33% off 52W high · 15% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

20
RS percentile
Stage 1 Base / Transition
1M return
+2.8%
3M return
+4.2%
6M return
+0.1%
1Y return
-30.7%
RS 1D
+1
RS 20D
+10
Sector rank
#15
Industry rank
#22
Stage evidence
  • Price is within 0.5% of the 30-week proxy.
  • The 30-week proxy changed -0.2% over 20 sessions.
  • The moving-average structure does not confirm Stage 2 or Stage 4.
50-DMA
price above
200-DMA
price below
Sector
improving
Industry
lagging
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 65.19+1.67%
58698091102Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 2665
RS vs Nifty 50065

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 46 · FAIR VALUE · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

46U-SCORE
FAIR_VALUE

Fundamental score breakdown

FAIR VALUE
Valuation19/30
Growth15/25
Quality1/20
Balance Sheet5/15
Cash Flow3/10
Piotroski
5/9 (+3)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
46

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

46/100 · FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 47.0%.
  • Valuation contributes 19/30 to the score.
  • Growth contributes 15/25 to the score.

Main drags

  • Quality is weaker at 1/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Cash flow is weaker at 3/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 5/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Execution business valuation: EV/EBITDA plus order and working-capital risk

Capital-intensive execution stories need cash-flow and balance-sheet checks alongside valuation.

Execution EV/EBITDA
Primary lens
EV/EBITDA and PE against execution quality and margin stability.
Secondary checks
Order book, receivables, working capital, debt, operating cash flow.
Main risk check
Order wins matter only if they convert into cash and margins.
PE
13.0
PB
1.2
EV/EBITDA
6.2
ROE
9.2%
ROCE
16.8%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.4
MoS
+47.0%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
46
Previous: 46
Verdict
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
+47.0%
Previous: +47.0%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: -4 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
59
59
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
50
50
46

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹177.01
+15.4% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
25.4
Growth-justified Value
₹282.4
+47.0% MoS
PEG
0.83

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
57Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 20th percentile of the scored universe and 32nd percentile within Infra. Main check: results consistency is weak at 42/100.

Mixed Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-459 Cr.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
101 docs text-extracted · 71 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
20th percentile

overall median 67 · Infra: 32nd pctile, median 64 · Large: 11th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

101 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Needs extra due diligence; demand valuation comfort and recent improvement.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
66
acceptable · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
52
watch · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
73
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
50
watch · capital discipline
Results
42
weak · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • 11 years of positive FCF.
  • OPM spread across recent quarters is 1%.

Trust risks

  • Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-459 Cr.
  • Promoter holding is only 23.1%.
  • ROCE trend is -3.5%.
  • 1/4 latest quarters had positive YoY PAT growth.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
13.00
P/B
1.20
EV/EBITDA
6.17
Market Cap
9399.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
9.19%
ROCE
16.80%
ROA
2.88%
Dividend Y
1.47%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
21.00%
EPS 5Y
22.00%
Revenue 3Y
10.00%
EPS 3Y
6.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.44
Interest Coverage
2.35×
Altman Z
1.90
Book Value
125.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
11/5
OCF
-459.00 Cr
EPS TTM
11.14

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
23.09%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
22%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Infra, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.