Sep 2026 · Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation 23 Sep - MGL will attend PL Capital Mid & Small Cap Conference 2026 on September 29, 2026, in-person.
Source: Bse
Energy stocks · Large cap · NSE
Mahanagar Gas Limited (MGL) is one of India's largest City Gas Distribution (CGD) companies, operating over 8,320 Kms of pipeline and 518 CNG stations. It serves 1.28mn CNG vehicles and 3.21mn+ PNG households across Mumbai, Thane, Raigarh, Ratnagiri, Latur, Osmanabad, Chitradurga & Davanagere.
full bear SMA stack · SMA20 -3.5% / mo · MACD + · sector -3.5pp vs Nifty 500 (3M)
Latest mapped FPI equity flow was not positive. View sector evidence
Adjusted completed-session prices, rebased to 100
Weak fundamentals, management evidence is still limited to a financial-only Trust Lite signal, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is weak.
Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.
Revenue +13.9% · PAT -39.5% YoY
Price trend and sector-relative-strength timing.
Legacy margin-of-safety estimate; the revised evidence label remains in shadow validation.
Financial-only signal; management claim evidence is not sufficient yet.
Fundamentals, quarterly history, margins, returns and balance-sheet evidence
PAT -40% YoY · margin compression · Rev +14% YoY · +16% QoQ
| Metric | This quarter | YoY | QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₹2,373 Cr | +13.9% | +15.6% |
| EBITDA | ₹342 Cr | -31.6% | +32.6% |
| Operating margin | 14.0% | -1000 bps | +100 bps |
| PAT | ₹193 Cr | -39.5% | +48.5% |
| PAT margin | 8.1% | -718 bps | +179 bps |
NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.
Updated 20/10/2026
Trend interpretation, Stage 2, relative strength, volume and indicator evidence
Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 44. Wait for confirmation.
Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.
U-Score 30 · legacy U-Score band OVERVALUED · valuation evidence and comparable companies
Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.
Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.
This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.
12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.
Business-comparable peers in Energy — ranked by industry, sub-sector, theme-tag overlap, market cap, and U-Score similarity. Green cells mark the best available peer metric in this table.
Growth engines, risks, management commitments and evidence-backed delivery
MGL reported a significant decline in Q4 FY26 profitability with PAT down 45.56% YoY and 34.68% QoQ, and EBITDA down 34.09% YoY and 26.05% QoQ. Full-year FY26 PAT fell 18.67% YoY despite a 13.48% increase in net revenue, impacted by higher gas costs.
While MGL achieved revenue growth for FY26, the substantial decline in Q4 and full-year PAT and EBITDA, driven by rising gas costs and potentially stagnant realizations, puts the profitability thesis under stress. The company's ability to pass on costs and maintain margins will be key.
Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 4 reported categories.
Over 8,320 Kms Pipeline with 518 CNG filing stations provides a strong network advantage.
Serving 1.28mn CNG vehicles and 3.21mn+ PNG households provides a large, captive market.
The company has demonstrated >30 years of consistent growth.
Cumulative pipeline length includes 737 Km of Steel and 7,584 Km of PE pipeline.
The company operates a cumulative total of 518 CNG stations.
MGL has 3,213,904 cumulative PNG household connections.
The company serves 5,924 cumulative industrial and commercial customers.
CNG and Commercial PNG are price competitive compared to alternative liquid fuels like petrol, diesel, and commercial LPG.
MGL has a diversified sourcing strategy including APM, HPHT, and Term RLNG.
Majority of sales are from CNG and D-PNG, with 100% APM allocation available for D-PNG.
Management identifies general economic conditions as a potential risk that could cause actual results to differ materially.
Management identifies competitive product and pricing pressures as a potential risk.
Management identifies regulatory developments as a potential risk.
Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.
The presentation provides both full-year (FY25 vs FY26) and quarterly (Q4 FY25, Q3 FY26, Q4 FY26) data. Full-year provides an annual overview of growth, while quarterly data highlights recent momentum and the sharp decline in Q4 profitability.
Total sales volume for FY26 was 4.585 MMSCMD, up from 4.235 MMSCMD in FY25.
CNG sales volume for FY26 was 3.267 MMSCMD, up from 3.047 MMSCMD in FY25.
DPNG sales volume for FY26 was 0.590 MMSCMD, up from 0.556 MMSCMD in FY25.
Industrial & Commercial sales volume for FY26 was 0.727 MMSCMD, up from 0.632 MMSCMD in FY25.
| Checkpoint | Current evidence | What to verify next |
|---|---|---|
| EBITDA Margins | 17.61% (FY26), 12.69% (Q4 FY26) | Stabilization or improvement in margins, indicating effective cost pass-through or lower gas costs. |
| Total Sales Volume Growth | 4.585 MMSCMD (FY26) | Sustained growth across CNG, DPNG, and Industrial & Commercial segments. |
| Customer Additions | 3.21mn+ PNG households, 1.28mn CNG vehicles | Continued expansion in new PNG connections and CNG vehicle conversions. |
Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.
EBITDA per SCM for Q3 FY26 can be considered around INR8.5.
"My guess is at least for Q3, you can hold on or you can consider INR8.5"
Outcome check: OPM moved from 16.0% to average 15.0% (-1.0 pp).
A long-term HPHT contract of almost 12 million is likely to be available in January 2026.
"likely availability of HPHT, almost 12 million, I think, long-term contract is likely to come up in the month of January 2026."
MGL will certainly have margin improvement in Q4 FY26 once long-term HPHT contracts come.
"long-term contracts, once it comes, Q4, certainly, we will have improvement."
Outcome check: OPM moved from 16.0% to average 15.0% (-1.0 pp).
MGL will soon convert spot HPHT/RLNG purchases into term contracts.
"we will be soon converting into term contract."
Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.
Limited evidence: Management has 0% delivered/partly-delivered outcomes on 2 checked claims, with 2 adverse claim outcomes. It ranks around the 63rd percentile of the scored universe and 32nd percentile within Energy. Main check: results consistency is weak at 39/100.
This is a financial-behaviour screen, not a claim-tested management reliability verdict.
Financial behaviour is scored, but management claims do not yet have enough outcome checks.
overall median 67 · Energy: 32nd pctile, median 73 · Large: 40th pctile, median 73
113 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.
2/4 claims checked · 2 contradicted/failed claims
Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.
Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.
Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.
Latest exchange and company disclosures found within the past two years.
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