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IndiaPulse

KRBL Limited (KRBL)

Micro Cap

FMCG stocks · Micro cap · NSE

Leading rice company with highest-ever total income in FY26 (INR 6,098 cr). Holds significant market share in packaged basmati rice in India (GT 36.9%, MT 38.7%) and exports to 90+ countries. Operates a large contact farming network and processing capacity in Punjab.

₹421.95
-2.95 · -0.69%
Quote04 Sept, 03:58 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags15 Aug 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · FMCG P/E 36.0 (n=42)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Mixed fundamentals, management trust is supportive, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
FAIR VALUE
53

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
82

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Bullish
62

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
stable
75

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Average · 40/100

Rev -6% YoY · PAT +73% YoY · margin expansion · operating leverage

Filed 13 Aug 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,496 Cr-5.6%-2.0%
EBITDA₹308 Cr+59.6%+34.5%
Operating margin21.0%+900 bps+600 bps
PAT₹261 Cr+72.8%+68.4%
PAT margin17.4%+792 bps+729 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-10T07:09:43.782Z
Management commentary snapshot

KRBL reported highest-ever Total Income of INR 6,098 cr in FY26, up 9% YoY. Q4 FY26 revenue grew 6% YoY to INR 1,526 cr, driven by 22% YoY domestic growth, but exports declined 33% YoY due to lower Middle East sales. FY26 PAT grew 36% YoY to INR 648 cr.

KRBL demonstrated robust FY26 performance with record income and strong domestic growth, driven by volume and realization. Market leadership in packaged basmati is maintained across channels. However, Q4 export weakness, particularly to the Middle East, warrants monitoring. Gross margin decline in Q4 is also a concern.

Current business mix

Revenue by Segment (FY26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 3 reported categories.

Businessmix
Domestic72.9%
Exports25.5%
Power1.6%
Growth engines

Domestic Distribution Expansion

Positive

Democratizing distribution with 3.4 Lakh retail outlets and reaching 1.2 Crore Indian households.

Supply Chain Remodelling

Positive

Establishing direct distribution in underpenetrated towns, moving towards 'FOR' model, and building 16 C&Fs & 8 SS for wider supply.

Brand Investment

Positive

Driving brand narratives by leveraging cultural moments (Women's Day, New Year's, Eid) and strategic partnerships.

New Product & Category Foray

Positive

Launching India Gate Classic Masala Meal mixes to extend the elevated experience promise.

Capacity and execution

Largest Rice Milling Plant

Positive

Unparalleled processing capacity with the Largest Rice Milling Plant in Punjab.

Tailwinds

Strong Brand & Pricing Power

Positive

KRBL enjoys significant premium, reflecting strong brand and superior product.

Robust Financial Position

Positive

Substantial internal accruals and minimal debt reliance, with strong credit ratings (ICRA AA(Stable), A1+; CARE A1+).

India's Export Leadership

Positive

India is the #1 exporter of rice, holds 85% of basmati market exports and expects to further rise.

Global Demand for Basmati

Positive

Growing US demand for PUSA basmati and increased demand from locals in Middle East due to quality standards.

Headwinds

Lower Exports to Middle East

Negative

Q4 FY26 exports were lower YoY due to lower sales to the Middle East region.

Q4 Gross Margin Contraction

Negative

Gross margin decreased primarily due to higher COGS and lower other income in Q4 FY26.

Risk radar

General Market & Macro-economic Trends

Neutral

Risks include general market, macro-economic, governmental and regulatory trends.

Currency & Interest Rate Movements

Neutral

Movements in currency exchange and interest rates could cause actual developments to differ from expectations.

Competitive Pressures

Neutral

Competitive pressures are identified as a factor that could affect business and financial performance.

Legislative Developments

Neutral

Legislative developments are among the key factors that could affect business and financial performance.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

Both YoY and QoQ comparisons are relevant. YoY provides a view of annual growth and overall business trends, especially for a consumer staple. QoQ is useful for assessing sequential momentum, particularly in domestic sales and the impact of export fluctuations.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

FY26 Total Income

Positive

INR 6,098 cr (highest-ever)

FY26 Domestic Revenue Growth

Positive

10% YoY

Q4 FY26 Domestic Revenue Growth

Positive

22% YoY, driven by 16% rice volume growth and 5% rice realization growth.

FY26 Export Revenue Growth

Positive

6% YoY

Management forward view

Deepening Distribution

Positive

Establishing direct distribution in non-covered/underpenetrated towns and driving servicing & cost efficiency in MT & E-COMM.

Strengthening GTM Practice

Positive

Building a robust & healthier Go-To-Market practice, safeguarding against infiltration, and stronger governance on GTM.

Export Strategy

Positive

Focus on existing markets, new products, channel deepening & diversification, and direct marketing to locals with Arabic TVC.

New Product Development

Positive

Foraying into new products and categories, exemplified by the launch of India Gate Classic Masala Meal mixes.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Domestic Revenue Growth22% YoY in Q4 FY26 (16% volume, 5% realization)Sustained volume and realization growth in domestic market, indicating continued premiumization and distribution success.
Export Performance-33% YoY in Q4 FY26 (due to Middle East)Recovery in export volumes and realization, especially to the Middle East, and success in new/seeded markets.
Gross Profit Margin29.6% in Q4 FY26 (down from 31.5% YoY)Stabilization or improvement in gross margins, managing COGS and other income.
Net Bank BorrowingsINR (789) cr (net cash position)Maintenance of low debt dependence and strong cash flow generation.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

62Bullish

full bull SMA stack · SMA20 +14.0% / mo · MACD −

Stock trend: 77
Sector RS: 40
Sector 3M: -3.3% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

KRBLdaily · 1Y · AUTO+26.5%
Latest close ₹421.95 on 2026-09-04
Bar
-0.8%
RSI
59
MACD hist
-0.42
52W pos
72%
2026-09-04O ₹425.50H ₹429.65L ₹416.85C ₹421.95Vol 3.1L sh
₹265.74₹314.73₹363.73₹412.72₹461.7152L421.952026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term uptrend intact. RSI 59. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price > SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200 — full bullish stack.
  • SMA20 rising (~12.3% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 59 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 12% off 52W high · 54% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 53 · FAIR VALUE · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

53U-SCORE
Financial Turnaround

Fundamental score breakdown

FAIR VALUE
Valuation16/30
Growth6/25
Quality3/20
Balance Sheet14/15
Cash Flow9/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
53

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

53/100 · FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 6.6%.
  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Balance sheet contributes 14/15 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -30.1%.
  • Quality is weaker at 3/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Growth is weaker at 6/25; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Consumer valuation: PE/PEG and brand-quality premium

Consumer franchises can deserve higher multiples, but only when growth quality supports them.

Consumer PE/PEG
Primary lens
PE and PEG relative to growth, ROE, margins, and brand strength.
Secondary checks
Volume growth, pricing power, distribution, same-store or category growth.
Main risk check
Premium valuation needs durable growth and margin resilience.
PE
12.7
PB
1.7
EV/EBITDA
9.1
ROE
11.7%
ROCE
15.2%
FCF Yield
6.6%
Debt/Equity
0.0
MoS
-30.1%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
53
Previous: 53
Verdict
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
-30.1%
Previous: -30.1%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: -2 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
56
56
55
55
55
55
56
55
55
55
55
53

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹435.13
+3.0% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
9.8
Growth-justified Value
₹324.34
-30.1% MoS
PEG
4.23

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
82Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 94th percentile of the scored universe and 77th percentile within FMCG. No major sub-score weakness stands out.

High Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 60.2%.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
126 docs text-extracted · 52 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
94th percentile

overall median 67 · FMCG: 77th pctile, median 78 · Micro: 90th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

126 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Can support position sizing if valuation and trend also agree.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
89
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
96
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
60
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
75
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 60.2%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is 6.6%.
  • 10 years of positive FCF.

Trust risks

  • No major Trust Lite risk flags.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
12.70
P/B
1.66
EV/EBITDA
9.06
Market Cap
9658.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
11.70%
ROCE
15.20%
ROA
11.49%
Dividend Y
1.07%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
9.00%
EPS 5Y
3.00%
Revenue 3Y
4.00%
EPS 3Y
-3.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.03
Interest Coverage
124.00×
Altman Z
8.95
Book Value
254.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
6.57%
FCF Positive Y
10/5
OCF
933.00 Cr
EPS TTM
33.13

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
60.17%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
72%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in FMCG, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.