Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation 18 Sep
Source: Bse
Industrials stocks · Small cap · NSE
Kaynes Technology is an Indian electronics manufacturing services (EMS) provider, expanding into semiconductor packaging (OSAT), PCB manufacturing, and space technology. It serves diverse sectors including automotive, aerospace, defense, and railways, with a focus on product-led solutions and operational excellence.
full bear SMA stack · SMA20 -7.1% / mo · MACD − · near 52W low
Latest mapped FPI equity flow was not positive. View sector evidence
Adjusted completed-session prices, rebased to 100
Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is mixed.
Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.
Revenue +40.6% · PAT -25.3% YoY
Price trend and sector-relative-strength timing.
Legacy margin-of-safety estimate; the revised evidence label remains in shadow validation.
medium confidence · 6/16 claims checked
Fundamentals, quarterly history, margins, returns and balance-sheet evidence
PAT -25% YoY · margin compression · Rev +41% YoY
| Metric | This quarter | YoY | QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₹946 Cr | +40.6% | -23.9% |
| EBITDA | ₹148 Cr | +31.0% | -23.7% |
| Operating margin | 16.0% | -100 bps | +0 bps |
| PAT | ₹56 Cr | -25.3% | -38.5% |
| PAT margin | 5.9% | -522 bps | -140 bps |
NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.
Updated 19/10/2026
Trend interpretation, Stage 2, relative strength, volume and indicator evidence
Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 38. Wait for confirmation.
Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.
U-Score 35 · legacy U-Score band WATCHLIST · valuation evidence and comparable companies
Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.
Asset-light IT companies deserve valuation support only when growth, margins, and cash conversion hold up.
This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.
12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.
Business-comparable peers in Industrials — ranked by industry, sub-sector, theme-tag overlap, market cap, and U-Score similarity. Green cells mark the best available peer metric in this table.
Growth engines, risks, management commitments and evidence-backed delivery
Q1 FY27 revenue grew 40% YoY to INR 946 crores, driven by EMS. EBITDA grew 31% YoY to INR 147.6 crores, with margins at 15.6%. Order book robust at INR 9,000 crores, but working capital remains a concern.
While core EMS showed strong growth, overall profitability was impacted by smart metering's working capital drain and global supply chain cost escalation. New ventures (OSAT, PCB) face minor timing slippages but are on track for Q3 FY27 commercialization. Management is focused on balance sheet clean-up, but challenges persist.
Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 2 reported categories.
Partnership between Mitsui and Kaynes Semicon provides access to the significant market opportunity in Japan.
Strong traction and interest from global players, with a recent engagement with a large global EV manufacturer.
Acquisition has given good inroads into the North American market, shaping up nicely with good EBITDA margins.
Entry into satellite electronics domain with a 3U satellite prototype and titanium gas bottle manufacturing for ISRO and DRDO.
Kaynes Semicon Unit 2 and Kaynes Circuit Chennai remain on track to be operational by Q3 FY27.
Commercial production for PCB is set to start from the next quarter, with last-minute finishing of capital in progress.
First 3U satellite prototype expected to be ready to launch in middle of next year, awaiting ISRO confirmation.
Plan to increase consumption of renewable energy to 3 gigawatts in solar, with installation in progress.
Added India's second largest two-wheeler EV manufacturer, global brands from Germany and France, and India's leading wireless communication company.
Received government subsidy to the tune of INR 170 crores in OSAT business till July 26.
Customer off-take is pretty good, and demand has not softened across domestic and global markets despite inflation.
Disruption from escalation in West Asia affecting equipment imports and component logistics globally, causing minor timing slippage.
Impact on margins due to cost escalation driven by global supply chain issues, rise in energy, crude prices, commodity prices, and forex movement.
Sharp increase in supply chain lead times to more than 6 to 8 months in some categories, and PCB is facing a global shortage.
Growth in smart metering was flat to negative due to impact on installation from flood situation and conscious decision to reduce supplies due to collection issues.
Smart metering business collections are significantly lower than sales (INR 88 crores collected vs INR 240 crores sales), impacting overall balance sheet.
Expects a couple of quarters for profitability to normalize and return to earlier committed levels due to cost escalation.
New domains like semiconductor packaging, PCB manufacturing, and space technology come with a learning curve.
Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.
YoY comparison is primary for revenue and EBITDA as stated by management. QoQ is also relevant for sequential momentum in working capital normalization, project execution, and the ramp-up of new businesses like OSAT and PCB.
Robust order book of around INR 9,000 crores.
Total revenue stood at INR 946 crores, reflecting an year-on-year growth of 40%.
Standalone EMS business grew 53% YoY, from INR 480 crores last year to INR 639 crores this year.
EBITDA for the quarter was INR 147.6 crores, translating into an EBITDA margin of 15.6%.
Balance sheet remains a priority; management is committed to making it clean and improving cash flow by year-end.
Took a strategic decision in February to build inventory (INR 150 crores increase) to manage global market volatility and ensure business commitments.
Management is seriously looking at options and opportunities to de-risk the receivables portion of the metering business by February.
Committed to achieving twice the market growth, leveraging strategic initiatives like inventory and manufacturing flexibility.
| Checkpoint | Current evidence | What to verify next |
|---|---|---|
| OSAT & PCB Commercial Revenue | On track for Q3 FY27 revenue booking. | Actual revenue generation and ramp-up from new businesses in Q3 and Q4 FY27. |
| Smart Metering Receivables | INR 1,311 crores (Q1 FY27). | Significant reduction in receivables and improved cash flow from the metering business by year-end. |
| Overall EBITDA Margins | 15.6% (Q1 FY27). | Normalization of margins to earlier committed levels, overcoming cost escalation pressures. |
| Cash Flow from Operations | Negative INR 259 crores (Q1 FY27). | Improvement towards positive cash flow from operations by the end of the financial year. |
Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.
The balance capex requirement for OSAT of INR 10.3 billion will be spread over five years.
"capex spread over five years"
The company will endeavor to ensure that smart meter receivables do not cross collection periods of 90 days.
"do not cross collection periods of 90 days"
Management plans to discount approximately INR 240 crores of smart meter receivables to reduce the outstanding amount before the fiscal year ends.
"approximately INR240 crores of such receivables will anyway get discounted"
Smart metering business execution in the second half is planned to be of the nature of about INR 300-odd crores.
"execution, which will be of the nature of about INR300-odd crores"
Outcome check: Revenue YoY averaged 26.3% across 1 later quarter(s).
Working capital normalization measures are expected to show visible improvement going forward.
"expected to show visible improvement going forward"
The company does not expect free cash flow from the EMS business in the near term as cash will be reinvested for growth.
"FCF, I'm not sure in the near-term that will happen"
Outcome check: Revenue YoY averaged 26.3% across 1 later quarter(s).
Kaynes plans to transition away from being an AMISP company to solely being a device company to various AMISPs.
"We will no longer be an AMISP company"
Approval from three OSAT customers is expected to help the company generate good revenues starting from FY 2027 onwards.
"help us to do good revenues, starting from FY '27 onwards"
Outcome check: Revenue YoY averaged 26.3% across 1 later quarter(s).
Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.
Healthy Trust: Management has 83% delivered/partly-delivered outcomes on 6 checked claims, with 1 adverse claim outcome. It ranks around the 63rd percentile of the scored universe and 60th percentile within Industrials. Main check: cash conversion is weak at 40/100.
Healthy Trust: 6/16 extracted management claims have outcome checks; 83% were fully delivered and 0 were partially delivered. 1 claim(s) were contradicted or failed. Key concern: Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-600 Cr.
Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.
overall median 67 · Industrials: 60th pctile, median 68 · Small: 65th pctile, median 66
6/16 claims have outcome checks.
6/16 claims checked · 1 contradicted/failed claim
Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.
Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.
Latest exchange and company disclosures found within the past two years.
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