IP
IndiaPulse

ITC Hotels Limited (ITCHOTELS)

Large Cap

Consumer stocks · Large cap · NSE

ITC Hotels Limited is a leading Indian hospitality company focused on luxury and upscale segments. It operates an 'Asset-Right' growth strategy, expanding its owned and managed portfolio while emphasizing Responsible Luxury and Sustainability credentials, including numerous LEED certifications.

₹161.23
+0.98 · +0.61%
Quote04 Sept, 03:59 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Consumer P/E 23.3 (n=433)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
OVERVALUED
31

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
69

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Bearish
31

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
consistent
87

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Good · 70/100

Rev +15% YoY · PAT +36% YoY · margin expansion · operating leverage

Filed 16 Jul 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹936 Cr+14.7%-25.4%
EBITDA₹292 Cr+19.2%-37.3%
Operating margin31.0%+100 bps-600 bps
PAT₹182 Cr+35.8%-42.6%
PAT margin19.4%+302 bps-584 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-07-17T07:15:01.216Z
Management commentary snapshot

ITC Hotels reports sustained growth in Q1 FY27 with consolidated revenue up 15% and PAT up 36%, driven by strong RevPAR and management fees, alongside accelerated 'Asset-Right' expansion.

Despite geopolitical headwinds and initial demand softness, the company demonstrated resilience with robust financial performance and continued strategic execution. Strong RevPAR growth, margin expansion, and aggressive 'Asset-Right' expansion, including key acquisitions and new signings, support the long-term growth thesis. Focus on sustainability and digital transformation are positive differentiators.

Current business mix

Q1 FY27: Revenue from Operations (Consolidated, Ex-Branded Residences)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 4 reported categories.

Businessmix
Rooms47.9%
F&B40.2%
Management Fees5.5%
Others6.4%
Growth engines

Asset-Right Expansion

Managed Portfolio surpasses 200 Hotels with ~16,000 keys. 8 new signings in Q1 FY27, including the 25th Storii property.

Inorganic Expansion & Asset Enhancement

Kumarakom Resort & Spa acquisition completed, undergoing renovation to open as an 'ITC Hotels' branded luxury resort & spa by Q3 FY27.

Digital First Ecosystem

Scaling Data & AI Capabilities, strengthening governance & security, driving revenue & profitability through CRM personalization and loyalty programs.

Sustainability Leadership

Commissioned 1.5 MWp Solar Power Plant at ITC Grand Bharat, taking total renewable energy capacity to 52.4 MW, reducing carbon footprint and enhancing cost efficiency.

Capacity and execution

Kumarakom Resort & Spa Acquisition

Acquisition completed in Q1 FY27; comprehensive renovation underway; property to open as an 'ITC Hotels' branded luxury resort & spa by Q3 FY27 (72 keys).

New Hotel Signings

8 new signings in Q1 FY27 across Jaipur, Manesar, Bhubaneswar, Sonipat, Shirdi, Shahjahanpur and Zirakpur. Managed Portfolio reaches 74 hotels with over 7200 keys in pipeline.

Fortune Bhimtal Opening

Fortune Bhimtal (63 Rooms & Suites) opened, strengthening presence in the fast-growing leisure segment.

Welcomhotel Ahmedabad Acquisition (Planned)

Acquisition of GHK Hospitality (Welcomhotel Ahmedabad, 130 keys) planned for Q2 FY27, a value-accretive acquisition of an existing managed hotel.

Tailwinds

Strong Indian Economic Growth

India remains the world’s fastest-growing major economy; IMF estimates FY28 Real GDP growth revised upward to 6.7%.

Rising Discretionary Spending

India's strong consumption fundamentals, rising urban affluence, and increasing discretionary spending provide a favourable long-term foundation for travel.

Infrastructure & Connectivity Improvement

Government thrust on infrastructure and connectivity improvement supports the hospitality sector outlook.

Favourable Supply-Demand Dynamics

Favourable supply-demand dynamics in the hospitality segment, particularly in Tier I cities, underpin a positive industry outlook.

Headwinds

Geopolitical Conflict & Air Travel Disruption

Operating environment marked by heightened uncertainty and volatility due to West Asia conflict, disrupting air travel and causing demand softness in April'26.

Inflationary Pressures

West Asia conflict added to inflationary pressures; RBI raised FY27 inflation forecast to 5.1% amid emerging food and fuel price pressures.

Sri Lanka Tourism Moderation

Sri Lanka's tourism sector witnessed moderation in foreign tourist arrivals during the quarter, reflecting geopolitical developments and softer travel demand.

Indian Rupee Depreciation

Depreciation of the Indian Rupee is identified as a key monitorable, potentially impacting costs.

Risk radar

Geopolitical Developments

Developments in West Asia are a key monitorable, given their impact on air travel and demand.

Higher Input Costs

Higher input costs for energy, food & fuel are identified as a key monitorable.

Normalization of Air Traffic & Inbound Travel

Normalization of air traffic and inbound travel is a key monitorable for demand recovery.

Monsoon Spread

Monsoon spread is listed as a key monitorable, which can impact travel and agricultural output.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is essential for assessing overall growth against the previous year, especially given the seasonal nature of the hospitality business. However, QoQ momentum is also relevant as the document highlights a swift recovery in occupancy and room rates in May & June'26 after April's softness, indicating sequential improvement in demand.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Consolidated Revenue from Operations

Consolidated Revenue from Operations at ₹ 936 cr. up 15% YoY.

Consolidated PAT

PAT at ₹ 182 cr. up 36% YoY.

Consolidated EBITDA Margin (ex-Branded Residences)

EBITDA margin (ex-Branded Residences) expanded by 125 bps to 31% YoY.

RevPAR Growth (ex-Branded Residences)

Overall RevPAR grew 8% YoY, driven by ADRs up 4% and Occupancy expanded by 290 bps YoY.

Management forward view

Accelerated 'Asset-Right' Growth

Company is committed to accelerating scale through a capital-efficient growth model while deepening its market reach and network strength, targeting 22,000+ keys by 2031.

Continued Investment in Brand Equity

Strategic pillars include continued investment to enhance brand equity through quality, operating efficiencies, and superior competitive performance.

Digital First Strategy

Focus on a 'Digital First' ecosystem to enhance guest experience, drive revenue & profitability, and strengthen governance & security.

Leadership in Responsible Luxury & Sustainability

Sustained investments in renewable energy and environmental stewardship, aiming for all owned hotels to be LEED Zero Carbon and Zero Water by 2030.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
RevPAR Premium over Industry33% over industry (Luxury, Upper Upscale & Upscale) YTD May'26.Sustained or expanding premium, indicating continued brand strength and guest preference.
Managed Portfolio GrowthManaged Portfolio surpasses 200 Hotels with ~16,000 keys; 74 hotels in pipeline with 7,200+ keys.Continued acceleration in new signings and operationalization of managed hotels, aligning with the 'Asset-Right' strategy.
EBITDA Margin ExpansionEBITDA margin (ex-Branded Residences) expanded by 125 bps to 31% YoY.Further margin expansion driven by higher management fees, cost management, and stabilization of new properties.
Input Cost TrendsHigher input costs (energy, food & fuel) are a key monitorable.Impact of inflation and crude oil prices on operating costs and profitability.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

31Bearish

full bear SMA stack · SMA20 -2.4% / mo · MACD −

Stock trend: 21
Sector RS: 45
Sector 3M: -2.3% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

ITCHOTELSdaily · 1Y · AUTO-3.1%
Latest close ₹161.23 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+0.1%
RSI
43
MACD hist
-0.40
52W pos
21%
2026-09-04O ₹161.00H ₹164.50L ₹160.01C ₹161.23Vol 20.5L sh
₹134.77₹148.71₹162.65₹176.59₹190.5352L161.232026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend down. RSI 43.

  • Price < SMA20 < SMA50 < SMA200 — full bearish stack.
  • SMA20 falling (~2.5% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 43 — sideways, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • 36% off 52W high · 17% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

19
RS percentile
Stage 1 Base / Transition
1M return
-5.5%
3M return
+6.9%
6M return
+2.1%
1Y return
-34.2%
RS 1D
+2
RS 20D
-1
Sector rank
#12
Industry rank
#19
Stage evidence
  • Price is within 1.5% of the 30-week proxy.
  • The 30-week proxy changed -1.6% over 20 sessions.
  • The moving-average structure does not confirm Stage 2 or Stage 4.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price below
Sector
neutral
Industry
neutral
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 68.69+0.62%
64768899111Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 2669
RS vs Nifty 50069

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 31 · OVERVALUED · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

31U-SCORE
OVERVALUED

Fundamental score breakdown

OVERVALUED
Valuation0/30
Growth15/25
Quality1/20
Balance Sheet9/15
Cash Flow1/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
31

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

31/100 · OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Growth contributes 15/25 to the score.
  • Balance sheet contributes 9/15 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -10.9%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Quality is weaker at 1/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Consumer valuation: PE/PEG and brand-quality premium

Consumer franchises can deserve higher multiples, but only when growth quality supports them.

Consumer PE/PEG
Primary lens
PE and PEG relative to growth, ROE, margins, and brand strength.
Secondary checks
Volume growth, pricing power, distribution, same-store or category growth.
Main risk check
Premium valuation needs durable growth and margin resilience.
PE
36.4
PB
2.9
EV/EBITDA
17.8
ROE
7.9%
ROCE
11.2%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.0
MoS
-10.9%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
31
Previous: 31
Verdict
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-10.9%
Previous: -10.9%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
47
47
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹72.4
-122.7% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
35.0
Growth-justified Value
₹145.39
-10.9% MoS
PEG
1.91

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
69Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 59th percentile of the scored universe and 64th percentile within Consumer. Main check: cash conversion is weak at 43/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: Only 0 years of positive FCF.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
19 docs text-extracted · 0 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
59th percentile

overall median 67 · Consumer: 64th pctile, median 66 · Large: 35th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

19 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
43
weak · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
96
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
52
watch · capital discipline
Results
87
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • Debt/equity is 0.01.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY PAT growth.

Trust risks

  • Only 0 years of positive FCF.
  • ROE is low at 7.9%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
36.40
P/B
2.88
EV/EBITDA
17.82
Market Cap
33584.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
7.89%
ROCE
11.20%
ROA
6.45%
Dividend Y
0.62%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
24.19%
EPS 5Y
27.02%
Revenue 3Y
7.00%
EPS 3Y
7.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.01
Interest Coverage
183.88×
Altman Z
8.18
Book Value
56.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
0/5
OCF
1110.00 Cr
EPS TTM
4.16

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
39.85%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
21%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Consumer, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.