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IndiaPulse

Indraprastha Gas Limited (IGL)

Small Cap

Energy stocks · Small cap · NSE

Indraprastha Gas Limited (IGL) is a leading City Gas Distribution (CGD) company in India, operating across 12 geographical areas in 4 states. It supplies natural gas to over 3.27 million households, 5,400 industrial, and 7,400 commercial establishments, alongside a robust CNG network for vehicular customers.

₹158.04
+8.62 · +5.77%
Quote04 Sept, 03:58 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags15 Aug 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Energy P/E 13.0 (n=19)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Check latest quarters
Result consistency is weak; verify whether the thesis is improving or deteriorating.
U-Score
WATCHLIST
41

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
70

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
49

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
weak
39

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Bad · 2/100

PAT -44% YoY · margin compression · Rev +17% YoY · +10% QoQ

Filed 13 Aug 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹4,587 Cr+17.2%+10.2%
EBITDA₹294 Cr-42.5%-30.2%
Operating margin6.0%-700 bps-400 bps
PAT₹238 Cr-44.4%-29.8%
PAT margin5.2%-575 bps-295 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-06T07:42:23.252Z
Management commentary snapshot

Q3 FY'26 saw total sales volume grow 3% YoY, with CNG up 3% (10% ex-institutional) and PNG up 5%. Revenue increased 8% YoY to INR4,465 crores. EBITDA surged 31% YoY to INR473 crores (INR500 crores adjusted), and PAT rose 25% YoY to INR358 crores, despite gas cost volatility and forex impact.

The thesis remains intact, supported by strong underlying volume growth, particularly in new GAs and non-institutional CNG. Positive regulatory changes are expected to significantly boost EBITDA margins, offsetting past headwinds from gas costs and forex. Management's confidence in future volume additions and margin expansion is a key positive.

Current business mix

Gas Sourcing by Type

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 4 reported categories.

Businessmix
Domestic43.0%
NWG7.0%
HPST6.0%
RLNG42.0%
Growth engines

New Geographical Areas (GAs)

New GAs are contributing significantly, with incremental volume almost 57% from outside Delhi and NCR, and growing at around 17%.

CNG Vehicle Conversions

Reduction of GST on CNG vehicles from 28% to 18% has increased vehicle conversions from an average of 21,000 to 26,000 per month.

Domestic & Commercial PNG

Domestic PNG sales grew 8% and commercial PNG sales also grew 8%, indicating steady traction and consistent customer additions.

CVG Excise Duty Exemption

Excise duty exemption for Compressed Biogas (CVG) is expected to have a material impact, with management aiming to ramp up CVG in the network.

Capacity and execution

CNG Stations

45 CNG stations have been added and commissioned during the year. The company targets adding 80 to 100 CNG stations per year for the next 3 to 5 years.

Pipeline Network

The steel pipeline network now extends over 2,500 kilometers, and the MDP network has reached approximately 29,200 kilometers.

Core Business Capex

Planned core business capex is around INR1,250 crores for FY'26, with INR847 crores already spent in 9 months. Similar levels of INR1,200-1,500 crores are expected for FY'27.

Diversification Capex

An additional INR500-800 crores capex is planned from FY'27 onwards for diversification into renewables, CPG, and LNG infrastructure.

Tailwinds

VAT Reduction on Domestic Gas

Replacement of 15% VAT with 2% CST on domestic gas from Gujarat, effective December 2025, is expected to have a positive impact on gas costs.

Rationalized Gas Transmission Tariff

Introduction of a 2-zone tariff regime (replacing 3 zones) effective January 1, 2026, will classify IGL's GAs under Zone 1 for CNG/PNG domestic, providing a net benefit of INR0.75/SCM.

GST Reduction on CNG Vehicles

The reduction of GST on CNG vehicles from 28% to 18% has led to a 'phenomenal increased vehicle conversions'.

Lower LNG Prices

Anticipated lower international LNG prices are expected to increase demand from industrial and commercial segments and positively affect margins.

Headwinds

DTC/DIMTS Fleet Migration

Lower offtake from DTC and DIMTS fleets due to phased migration towards electric mobility. DTC volumes are expected to be almost zero by March '26.

Gas Cost Volatility & Adverse Forex

Experienced volatility in gas costs and adverse forex impacts on procurement expenses, with rupee devaluation increasing gas costs by INR2-2.5/SCM.

New Labour Code Provision

A one-time provision of INR28 crores was made in Q3 FY'26 due to the New Labour Code becoming effective, impacting reported EBITDA.

Pollution-Related Restrictions

GRAP implementation and pollution issues in Delhi/NCR led to schools being shut and buses off roads, causing a slight dip in Q3 volumes.

Risk radar

Institutional Volume Decline

While DTC volumes are phasing out, DIMTS volumes are expected to decline gradually over the next 2-3 years, continuing to be a drag on headline growth.

Gas Sourcing & Price Volatility

Ongoing volatility in gas costs and forex rates could impact margins, despite efforts to diversify sourcing and target specific landed prices.

M&A Challenges in CGD Sector

Consolidation in the CGD industry is difficult due to huge penalties carried by GAs, deterring potential buyers and making valuations negative for smaller entities.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY provides a clear picture of overall growth against a comparable period, while QoQ highlights sequential momentum and the immediate impact of recent regulatory changes and one-time provisions.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Total Sales Volume

Total sales volume grew 3% YoY to 867 million SCM. Average daily sales volume was 9.43 million SCM/day in Q3 FY'26, up from 9.11 million SCM/day in Q3 FY'25.

CNG Sales Volume

CNG segment grew 3% YoY in SCM terms (5% in kg terms), with average daily sales exceeding 50 lakh kgs/day. Excluding institutional volumes (DTC/DIMTS), CNG sales grew approximately 10%.

PNG Sales Volume

PNG segment volumes increased 5% YoY to 2.5 million SCM/day. Domestic and commercial PNG sales grew 8% each, while industrial demand was subdued.

EBITDA

EBITDA stood at INR473 crores, reflecting 31% YoY growth and 7% sequential growth. Excluding a one-time provision of INR28 crores for the New Labour Code, EBITDA would have been around INR500 crores.

Management forward view

Volume Growth Guidance

Management maintains guidance to exit FY'26 at an average of 10 MMSCMD for the month of March and expects to add 1 MMSCMD per year for the next two years.

EBITDA Margin Improvement

Management expects EBITDA margins to be near INR7/SCM going forward, driven by the full impact of transmission tariff rationalization and Gujarat VAT reduction, and the one-time nature of the Labour Code provision.

Diversified Sourcing Strategy

The company anticipates a 50-50 split between RLNG and domestic sources (APM, NWG, HPHT) for future procurement, with RLNG contracts being 60% Henry Hub and 40% Brent-linked.

Middle East Expansion Opportunity

IGL has qualified for Stage 1 of a tender process in the Middle East, with bid submission by April 23, 2026, seeing it as a 'very good opportunity' with a long-term sales potential of 6 million SCM.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
EBITDA per SCMINR5.4 (Q3 FY'26)Improvement towards the INR7/SCM target, reflecting the full benefits of regulatory changes.
Total Sales Volume9.43 MMSCMD (Q3 FY'26 average)Achieving the 10 MMSCMD exit rate by March '26 and sustained annual addition of 1 MMSCMD.
New GA Growth Rate17%Continued aggressive growth in new geographical areas, contributing significantly to overall volume expansion.
Diversification Capex DeploymentINR847 crores (9M FY'26 core capex)Commencement and progress of INR500-800 crores diversification capex from FY'27 in renewables, CPG, and LNG Infra.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

49Neutral

SMA20 -1.3% / mo · MACD +

Stock trend: 47
Sector RS: 54
Sector 3M: -0.8% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

IGLdaily · 1Y · AUTO-1.3%
Latest close ₹158.04 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+5.0%
RSI
63
MACD hist
0.73
52W pos
20%
2026-09-04O ₹150.50H ₹159.50L ₹150.50C ₹158.04Vol 81.7L sh
₹139.96₹149.75₹159.54₹169.33₹179.1252L158.042026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 63. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price below SMA200 (long-term downtrend) — short-term bounces likely countertrend.
  • SMA20 falling (~1.3% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 63 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal, histogram expanding — bullish momentum building.
  • 29% off 52W high · 11% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

19
RS percentile
Stage 1 Base / Transition
1M return
+4.0%
3M return
-2.7%
6M return
-2.4%
1Y return
-26.7%
RS 1D
+6
RS 20D
+3
Sector rank
#8
Industry rank
-
Stage evidence
  • Price is within 0.5% of the 30-week proxy.
  • The 30-week proxy changed -2.2% over 20 sessions.
  • The moving-average structure does not confirm Stage 2 or Stage 4.
50-DMA
price above
200-DMA
price below
Sector
neutral
Industry
unranked
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 74.45+5.77%
67778797107Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 2674
RS vs Nifty 50074

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 41 · WATCHLIST · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

41U-SCORE
WATCHLIST

Fundamental score breakdown

WATCHLIST
Valuation4/30
Growth9/25
Quality4/20
Balance Sheet11/15
Cash Flow8/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
41

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

41/100 · WATCHLIST

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 3.1%.
  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Cash flow contributes 8/10 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -32.0%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 4/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Quality is weaker at 4/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
16.3
PB
1.9
EV/EBITDA
10.3
ROE
13.3%
ROCE
17.5%
FCF Yield
3.1%
Debt/Equity
0.0
MoS
-32.0%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
41
Previous: 41
Verdict
WATCHLIST
Previous: WATCHLIST
Margin of safety
-32.0%
Previous: -32.0%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: -5 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
59
59
45
45
45
46
46
46
46
46
46
41

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹134.08
-17.9% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
12.3
Growth-justified Value
₹119.75
-32.0% MoS
PEG
3.26

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
70Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 63rd percentile of the scored universe and 37th percentile within Energy. Main check: results consistency is weak at 39/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: 2 latest quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
31 docs text-extracted · 13 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
63rd percentile

overall median 67 · Energy: 37th pctile, median 74 · Small: 66th pctile, median 66

Evidence depth
Financial-only

31 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
96
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
50
watch · capital discipline
Results
39
weak · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 3.1%.
  • 9 years of positive FCF.
  • Debt/equity is 0.01.

Trust risks

  • 2 latest quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.
  • ROCE trend is -4.8%.
  • 1/4 latest quarters had positive YoY PAT growth.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
16.30
P/B
1.92
EV/EBITDA
10.30
Market Cap
22126.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
13.30%
ROCE
17.50%
ROA
7.95%
Dividend Y
2.06%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
27.00%
EPS 5Y
5.00%
Revenue 3Y
5.00%
EPS 3Y
-3.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.01
Interest Coverage
101.69×
Altman Z
4.87
Book Value
82.20

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
3.07%
FCF Positive Y
9/5
OCF
2184.00 Cr
EPS TTM
9.72

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
45.00%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
20%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Energy, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.