Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation 15 Sep
Source: Bse
Energy stocks · Small cap · NSE
Indraprastha Gas Limited (IGL) is a leading City Gas Distribution (CGD) company in India, operating across 12 geographical areas in 4 states. It supplies natural gas to over 3.27 million households, 5,400 industrial, and 7,400 commercial establishments, alongside a robust CNG network for vehicular customers.
full bear SMA stack · SMA20 -4.0% / mo · MACD + · near 52W low · sector -3.5pp vs Nifty 500 (3M)
Latest mapped FPI equity flow was not positive. View sector evidence
Adjusted completed-session prices, rebased to 100
Weak fundamentals, management evidence is still limited to a financial-only Trust Lite signal, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is weak.
Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.
Revenue +17.2% · PAT -44.4% YoY
Price trend and sector-relative-strength timing.
Legacy margin-of-safety estimate; the revised evidence label remains in shadow validation.
Financial-only signal; management claim evidence is not sufficient yet.
Fundamentals, quarterly history, margins, returns and balance-sheet evidence
PAT -44% YoY · margin compression · Rev +17% YoY · +10% QoQ
| Metric | This quarter | YoY | QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₹4,587 Cr | +17.2% | +10.2% |
| EBITDA | ₹294 Cr | -42.5% | -30.2% |
| Operating margin | 6.0% | -700 bps | -400 bps |
| PAT | ₹238 Cr | -44.4% | -29.8% |
| PAT margin | 5.2% | -575 bps | -295 bps |
NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.
Updated 19/10/2026
Trend interpretation, Stage 2, relative strength, volume and indicator evidence
Trend is weak — long-term trend down. RSI 43.
Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.
U-Score 43 · legacy U-Score band WATCHLIST · valuation evidence and comparable companies
Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.
Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.
This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.
12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.
Business-comparable peers in Energy — ranked by industry, sub-sector, theme-tag overlap, market cap, and U-Score similarity. Green cells mark the best available peer metric in this table.
Growth engines, risks, management commitments and evidence-backed delivery
Q3 FY'26 saw total sales volume grow 3% YoY, with CNG up 3% (10% ex-institutional) and PNG up 5%. Revenue increased 8% YoY to INR4,465 crores. EBITDA surged 31% YoY to INR473 crores (INR500 crores adjusted), and PAT rose 25% YoY to INR358 crores, despite gas cost volatility and forex impact.
The thesis remains intact, supported by strong underlying volume growth, particularly in new GAs and non-institutional CNG. Positive regulatory changes are expected to significantly boost EBITDA margins, offsetting past headwinds from gas costs and forex. Management's confidence in future volume additions and margin expansion is a key positive.
Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 4 reported categories.
New GAs are contributing significantly, with incremental volume almost 57% from outside Delhi and NCR, and growing at around 17%.
Reduction of GST on CNG vehicles from 28% to 18% has increased vehicle conversions from an average of 21,000 to 26,000 per month.
Domestic PNG sales grew 8% and commercial PNG sales also grew 8%, indicating steady traction and consistent customer additions.
Excise duty exemption for Compressed Biogas (CVG) is expected to have a material impact, with management aiming to ramp up CVG in the network.
45 CNG stations have been added and commissioned during the year. The company targets adding 80 to 100 CNG stations per year for the next 3 to 5 years.
The steel pipeline network now extends over 2,500 kilometers, and the MDP network has reached approximately 29,200 kilometers.
Planned core business capex is around INR1,250 crores for FY'26, with INR847 crores already spent in 9 months. Similar levels of INR1,200-1,500 crores are expected for FY'27.
An additional INR500-800 crores capex is planned from FY'27 onwards for diversification into renewables, CPG, and LNG infrastructure.
Replacement of 15% VAT with 2% CST on domestic gas from Gujarat, effective December 2025, is expected to have a positive impact on gas costs.
Introduction of a 2-zone tariff regime (replacing 3 zones) effective January 1, 2026, will classify IGL's GAs under Zone 1 for CNG/PNG domestic, providing a net benefit of INR0.75/SCM.
The reduction of GST on CNG vehicles from 28% to 18% has led to a 'phenomenal increased vehicle conversions'.
Anticipated lower international LNG prices are expected to increase demand from industrial and commercial segments and positively affect margins.
Lower offtake from DTC and DIMTS fleets due to phased migration towards electric mobility. DTC volumes are expected to be almost zero by March '26.
Experienced volatility in gas costs and adverse forex impacts on procurement expenses, with rupee devaluation increasing gas costs by INR2-2.5/SCM.
A one-time provision of INR28 crores was made in Q3 FY'26 due to the New Labour Code becoming effective, impacting reported EBITDA.
GRAP implementation and pollution issues in Delhi/NCR led to schools being shut and buses off roads, causing a slight dip in Q3 volumes.
While DTC volumes are phasing out, DIMTS volumes are expected to decline gradually over the next 2-3 years, continuing to be a drag on headline growth.
Ongoing volatility in gas costs and forex rates could impact margins, despite efforts to diversify sourcing and target specific landed prices.
Consolidation in the CGD industry is difficult due to huge penalties carried by GAs, deterring potential buyers and making valuations negative for smaller entities.
Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.
YoY provides a clear picture of overall growth against a comparable period, while QoQ highlights sequential momentum and the immediate impact of recent regulatory changes and one-time provisions.
Total sales volume grew 3% YoY to 867 million SCM. Average daily sales volume was 9.43 million SCM/day in Q3 FY'26, up from 9.11 million SCM/day in Q3 FY'25.
CNG segment grew 3% YoY in SCM terms (5% in kg terms), with average daily sales exceeding 50 lakh kgs/day. Excluding institutional volumes (DTC/DIMTS), CNG sales grew approximately 10%.
PNG segment volumes increased 5% YoY to 2.5 million SCM/day. Domestic and commercial PNG sales grew 8% each, while industrial demand was subdued.
EBITDA stood at INR473 crores, reflecting 31% YoY growth and 7% sequential growth. Excluding a one-time provision of INR28 crores for the New Labour Code, EBITDA would have been around INR500 crores.
Management maintains guidance to exit FY'26 at an average of 10 MMSCMD for the month of March and expects to add 1 MMSCMD per year for the next two years.
Management expects EBITDA margins to be near INR7/SCM going forward, driven by the full impact of transmission tariff rationalization and Gujarat VAT reduction, and the one-time nature of the Labour Code provision.
The company anticipates a 50-50 split between RLNG and domestic sources (APM, NWG, HPHT) for future procurement, with RLNG contracts being 60% Henry Hub and 40% Brent-linked.
IGL has qualified for Stage 1 of a tender process in the Middle East, with bid submission by April 23, 2026, seeing it as a 'very good opportunity' with a long-term sales potential of 6 million SCM.
| Checkpoint | Current evidence | What to verify next |
|---|---|---|
| EBITDA per SCM | INR5.4 (Q3 FY'26) | Improvement towards the INR7/SCM target, reflecting the full benefits of regulatory changes. |
| Total Sales Volume | 9.43 MMSCMD (Q3 FY'26 average) | Achieving the 10 MMSCMD exit rate by March '26 and sustained annual addition of 1 MMSCMD. |
| New GA Growth Rate | 17% | Continued aggressive growth in new geographical areas, contributing significantly to overall volume expansion. |
| Diversification Capex Deployment | INR847 crores (9M FY'26 core capex) | Commencement and progress of INR500-800 crores diversification capex from FY'27 in renewables, CPG, and LNG Infra. |
Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.
Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.
Limited evidence: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 63rd percentile of the scored universe and 32nd percentile within Energy. Main check: results consistency is weak at 39/100.
This is a financial-behaviour screen, not a claim-tested management reliability verdict.
Financial behaviour is scored, but management claims do not yet have enough outcome checks.
overall median 67 · Energy: 32nd pctile, median 73 · Small: 65th pctile, median 66
33 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.
0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet
Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.
Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.
Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.
Latest exchange and company disclosures found within the past two years.
Source: Bse
Source: Bse
Source: Bse
Source: Bse
Source: Bse