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Electrosteel Castings Limited (ELECTCAST)

Micro Cap

Industrials stocks · Micro cap · NSE

Electrosteel Castings Limited manufactures Ductile Iron (DI) pipes, fittings, and Cast Iron (CI) pipes, primarily serving the water infrastructure sector. The company has an international valves manufacturing wing (T.I.S. Italy) and is diversifying into industrial paints. It operates with integrated manufacturing and a strong distribution network for domestic and overseas markets.

₹70.69
-3.92 · -5.25%
Market cap ₹4,743 Cr
Data qualityFresh enough for analysisQuote updated 21 Oct, 05:57 pm IST
Details
Quote21 Oct, 05:57 pm IST
Base fundamentals17 Oct 2026 · screener
Latest result16 Aug, 12:31 am IST
Score21 Oct, 04:30 am IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Industrials P/E 26.2 (n=537)
Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

36Bearish

SMA20 -4.7% / mo · MACD −

Stock trend: 29
Sector RS: 46
Sector 3M: -7.1% vs Nifty 500 -5.6%

Latest mapped FPI equity flow was not positive. View sector evidence

Technical chart

ELECTCASTD candles · FIT view-17.6%
Latest close ₹70.69 on 2026-10-21
Bar
-4.6%
RSI
38
MACD hist
-0.28
52W pos
28%
Visible chart range
Candle interval
2026-10-21O ₹74.11H ₹74.94L ₹70.11C ₹70.69Vol 21.9L sh
₹67.66₹75.05₹82.45₹89.85₹97.25₹70.692026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-042026-062026-082026-092026-11
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal
Market context

Relative performance and chart statistics

Adjusted completed-session prices, rebased to 100

ELECTCASTNifty India ManufacturingNifty 500
-10%-0%+10%+19%21 Jul2 Sept21 Oct21 Oct 2026ELECTCAST -3.1%Nifty India Manufactu… -7.7%Nifty 500 -6.5%
ELECTCAST
-3.1%
Nifty 500
-6.5%
Nifty India Manufacturing
-7.7%
Vs Nifty 500
+3.4 pp
Chart stats
21 Oct 2026
From 52W high
-28.6%
₹99
52W range position
27%
₹60.2 - ₹99
ATR (14)
4.7%
₹3.3
Volume vs 20D
0.49x
Latest completed session
Avg traded value
₹34 Cr
20-session average
20D price channel
₹70.1 - ₹81
46.4% annualized volatility
Research snapshot

What the evidence says now

Weak fundamentals, management evidence is still limited to a financial-only Trust Lite signal, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Check latest quarters
Result consistency is weak; verify whether the thesis is improving or deteriorating.
U-Score
Legacy · OVERVALUED
29

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Latest result
Bad
0

Revenue -8.5% · PAT -46.1% YoY

Technical
Bearish
36

Price trend and sector-relative-strength timing.

Valuation
Legacy model
-514.5%

Legacy margin-of-safety estimate; the revised evidence label remains in shadow validation.

Trust
Limited evidence
62

Financial-only signal; management claim evidence is not sufficient yet.

Financials

Fundamentals, quarterly history, margins, returns and balance-sheet evidence

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Bad · 0/100

Rev -8% YoY · PAT -46% YoY · margin compression

Filed 30 Jun 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,426 Cr-8.5%-4.5%
EBITDA₹100 Cr-41.2%+61.3%
Operating margin7.0%-400 bps+290 bps
PAT₹48 Cr-46.1%+200.0%
PAT margin3.4%-234 bps+230 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
29.80
P/B
0.80
EV/EBITDA
13.59
Market Cap
4743.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
3.04%
ROCE
5.00%
ROA
1.28%
Dividend Y
1.17%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
11.00%
EPS 5Y
-3.00%
Revenue 3Y
-7.00%
EPS 3Y
-18.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.26
Interest Coverage
2.14×
Altman Z
2.61
Book Value
95.80

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
21.67%
FCF Positive Y
10/5
OCF
1147.00 Cr
EPS TTM
1.96

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
50.14%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
43%

Financial History

Updated 20/10/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 5,786-2.2% vs prev
07478Mar 2017: 2,263Mar 2018: 2,699Mar 2019: 2,711Mar 2020: 3,474Mar 2021: 5,281Mar 2022: 7,276Mar 2023: 7,478Mar 2024: 7,320Mar 2025: 5,918Mar 2026: 5,786FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 161-77.3% vs prev
-91.00740.0Mar 2017: 144Mar 2018: 124Mar 2019: 39.0Mar 2020: 161Mar 2021: -91.0Mar 2022: 348Mar 2023: 316Mar 2024: 740Mar 2025: 710Mar 2026: 161FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 260+2065.8% vs prev
-2.20259.7Mar 2017: 5.8%Mar 2018: 4.7%Mar 2019: 1.4%Mar 2020: 4.3%Mar 2021: -2.2%Mar 2022: 7.9%Mar 2023: 6.2%Mar 2024: 12.8%Mar 2025: 12.0%Mar 2026: 260%FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Technicals

Trend interpretation, Stage 2, relative strength, volume and indicator evidence

Daily technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend down. RSI 38.

  • Price below SMA200 (long-term downtrend) — short-term bounces likely countertrend.
  • Recent golden cross (SMA50 crossed above SMA200).
  • SMA20 falling (~5.0% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 38 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • 28% off 52W high · 18% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

46
RS percentile
Stage 1 Base / Transition
1M return
+1.7%
3M return
+1.1%
6M return
-6.5%
1Y return
-18.1%
RS 1D
-3
RS 20D
+17
Sector rank
#2
Industry rank
#24
Stage evidence
  • Price is within 3.9% of the 30-week proxy.
  • The 30-week proxy changed +1.1% over 20 sessions.
  • The moving-average structure does not confirm Stage 2 or Stage 4.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price below
Sector
leading
Industry
improving
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
262 observations
21 Oct 2026Value 80.02-4.36%
67768696106Sept 25Feb 26Jun 26Oct 2680
RS vs Nifty 50080

Valuation & peers

U-Score 29 · legacy U-Score band OVERVALUED · valuation evidence and comparable companies

29U-SCORE
OVERVALUED

Fundamental score breakdown

U band · OVERVALUED
Valuation3/30
Growth3/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet10/15
Cash Flow10/10
Piotroski
5/9 (+3)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
29

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

29/100 · legacy band OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 21.7%.
  • Cash flow contributes 10/10 to the score.
  • Balance sheet contributes 10/15 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -514.5%.
  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Valuation is weaker at 3/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
29.8
PB
0.8
EV/EBITDA
13.6
ROE
3.0%
ROCE
5.0%
FCF Yield
21.7%
Debt/Equity
0.3
MoS
-514.5%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 21 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
29
Previous: 29
Legacy U-Score band
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-514.5%
Previous: -548.5%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

21 Oct 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹65
-8.8% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
5.9
Growth-justified Value
₹11.51
-514.5% MoS
PEG
—

Comparable companies

Peers

Business-comparable peers in Industrials — ranked by industry, sub-sector, theme-tag overlap, market cap, and U-Score similarity. Green cells mark the best available peer metric in this table.

Compare all ↗
Ticker
Name
Why peer
Score
PE
ROE
MoS
Verdict
FOSECOIND
Small
Foseco India Limited
Industrial Products
match 55
35
45.6
12.6%
-23%
WATCHLIST
LUMINO
Micro
Lumino Industries Limited
Industrial Products
match 55
67
17.8
24.6%
+61%
UNDERVALUED
HTEL
Micro
Hy-Tech Engineers Limited
Industrial Products
match 52
46
29.7
20.2%
-98%
FAIR VALUE
MONOLITH
SME
Monolithisch India Ltd.
Industrial Products
match 50
52
95.0
27.8%
-142%
FAIR VALUE
AEROFLEX
Small
Aeroflex Industries Limited
Industrial Products
match 50
44
107.0
14.1%
-151%
WATCHLIST

Business, management & trust

Growth engines, risks, management commitments and evidence-backed delivery

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-06-02T20:24:08.302Z
Management commentary snapshot

Q4 FY26 sales volume of DI/CI pipes and fittings declined 21% YoY; full-year volume down 25%. Consolidated Q4 revenue was INR 1,530 cr with 6.5% EBITDA margin, PAT INR 15.9 cr. Full-year EBITDA margin was 9.4%, PAT INR 161.5 cr. Standalone Q4 reported a PAT loss of INR 10.7 cr. Dividend reduced to 90%.

Domestic DI pipe demand was significantly impacted by delays in Jal Jeevan Mission (JJM) fund disbursements, leading to substantial volume and margin pressure. Exports provided a partial offset. While management is optimistic about JJM 2.0 and diversification into valves and paints, near-term challenges from project execution timelines and geopolitical stresses persist, affecting profitability.

Current business mix

Revenue by Geography

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 2 reported categories.

Businessmix
Exports23.0%
Domestic77.0%
Growth engines

Jal Jeevan Mission 2.0

Approval of JJM 2.0 extends budget outlay to INR 8.69 lakh crores up to December 2028, with Central Government contribution enhanced to INR 3.59 lakh crores.

Valves Business (T.I.S. Italy & India)

Acquisition of T.I.S. Italy (manufacturing wing) performed well, with a vision to double revenue in the next four years. Development work for Valvecastings in India has started.

Diversification into Industrial Paints

Company is getting into industrial paint segment with a five-year roadmap to achieve a business revenue topline of around INR 600 crores.

Urban Infrastructure & River Linking

Continued investments in urban infrastructure, sewage networks, irrigation, and the river linking project will create substantial medium to long-term demand.

Capacity and execution

Valvecastings Plant in India

We have already started the development work for Valvecastings in India and look forward to production soon.

Industrial Paint Plant

We are also setting up a Paint plant. Some money will be invested there. Initial outlay of INR 200-250 crores is expected to be spent over 1.5 to 2 years.

Tailwinds

Government Focus on Water Infrastructure

JJM 2.0 reaffirms the Government's continued focus on providing safe drinking water connectivity and strengthening water transmission/distribution.

Integrated Operations & Distribution

Our integrated manufacturing operations and strong distribution network continue to provide us with strategic advantages in serving both domestic and overseas markets.

Improved Industry Visibility

Overall industry visibility has improved meaningfully compared to earlier quarters, with demand momentum expected to strengthen gradually.

Headwinds

Domestic Market Slowdown

The domestic Ductile Iron Pipe industry operated in a relatively subdued environment due to slower execution of water infrastructure projects and delayed fund disbursement under JJM 1.0.

Geopolitical Impact on Exports

There will be an impact on sales to the Middle East starting from March '26 onwards due to the US-Iran conflict. Middle East contributed approximately 50% of our exports.

Rising Input Costs

Cost front is impacted by increased freight, coking coal from overseas, and energy costs in India (up almost 70%-80%). Diesel and petrol prices are also rising.

Supply Chain Disruptions

Movement of ships are getting delayed, disturbing the whole cycle of movement and having an adverse impact on cost and supply chain continuity.

Risk radar

JJM Execution & Fund Disbursement

The main cause for the sudden drop in demand was the complete blocking off of central funds over the last 1.5 years due to issues around JJM implementation.

Geopolitical Conflicts & Energy Disruption

Escalation of the Iran conflict could impact demand, supply chain, and input costs, with a higher impact expected on cost and supply chain.

Demand Volatility & Overcapacity

The industry is running at 50% capacity, and realization for pipes is lower due to overcapacity in the system and lesser demand.

Drought Conditions & Government Spending Reallocation

Severe drought conditions could lead to reallocation of government spending away from existing infrastructure programs towards emergency relief, causing temporary delays.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare YOY

The management explicitly states year-on-year declines for sales volumes and attributes the subdued environment to factors impacting the full fiscal year, making YoY comparison more relevant for assessing performance trends.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Sales Volume (DI Pipe, Fittings, CI Pipe)

Q4 FY26 stood to 1.48 lakh tons, down by 21% year-on-year basis. In 2025-26 full year, the sales volume was 5.84 lakh tons, 25% decline from the previous year.

Export Pipe Volume Growth

Export pipe volume grew by 7% in FY2025-26, partially offsetting the weakness in domestic market.

Consolidated EBITDA Margin

EBITDA including other income for the 4th Quarter FY26 stood to INR 99.3 crores with EBITDA margin of 6.5%. For the full year, EBITDA stood to INR 573.6 crores with EBITDA margin of 9.4%.

Standalone Gross Debt

Gross debt as on 31st March 2026 stood to INR 1,202 crores, which decreased by INR 598 crores from the previous year.

Management forward view

Demand Restoration Timeline

We are hopeful and expect some demand to restore by early 2nd Quarter of this financial year, with steady increment over 3 to 6 months.

FY27 Dispatch & EBITDA Margin Target

We are expecting a dispatch of around 7.4 lakh tons of pipes this financial year, with approximately 13%-14% consolidated EBITDA margin achievable.

T.I.S. Italy Growth & Margins

T.I.S. Italy's revenue is projected to double in the next four years (20% growth rate). For FY27, it should hit a 14%-15% growth rate, reaching around INR 450 crores with 14%-15% margins.

Paint Business Outlook

The industrial paint segment has a five-year roadmap to achieve INR 600 crores in revenue, with a positive impact on the bottom-line expected from FY2028-2029.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
JJM 2.0 Fund Disbursement & Project ExecutionCabinet approved, MOUs signed with states, INR 1,500 cr disbursed last year. Inquiries from customers have started coming in.Steady increment of demand from Q2 FY27 onwards, new tenders being opened and allocated to EPC contractors.
Export Contribution to Revenue23% of Q4 FY26 revenue.Decline to 17%-18% due to the impact of the Middle East crisis and expected pickup in the Indian market.
Consolidated EBITDA MarginQ4 FY26: 6.5%; FY26: 9.4%.Stabilization at 14%-16% (management's long-term expectation) as demand picks up and cost pass-through occurs with a lag.
T.I.S. Italy Revenue GrowthCalendar Year 25 revenue grew by 15% to EUR 41 million.Achieving 14%-15% growth in FY27 (to ~INR 450 cr) and progress towards doubling revenue in four years.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Trust Score
62Limited evidence · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Limited evidence: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 35th percentile of the scored universe and 32nd percentile within Industrials. Main check: results consistency is weak at 15/100.

This is a financial-behaviour screen, not a claim-tested management reliability verdict.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
73 docs text-extracted · 35 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Limited evidence

Financial behaviour is scored, but management claims do not yet have enough outcome checks.

Relative rank
35th percentile

overall median 67 · Industrials: 32nd pctile, median 68 · Micro: 19th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

73 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Limited evidence · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
82
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
89
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
73
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
30
weak · capital discipline
Results
15
weak · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • ▸Promoter pledge is zero.
  • ▸Promoter holding increased 3.9%.
  • ▸FCF yield is 19.9%.
  • ▸10 years of positive FCF.

Trust risks

  • ▸4 latest quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.
  • ▸ROCE is low at 5%.
  • ▸ROE is low at 3%.
  • ▸ROCE trend is -6.3%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Important announcements & filings

Latest exchange and company disclosures found within the past two years.

12 shown
AnnouncementSep 2026

Sep 2026 · Announcement Under Regulation 30 Of SEBI LODR - Update 19 Sep - Paid OMR 21,000 for 70% stake in Arabian Water Tech LLC; it became a subsidiary on 19 September 2026.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Investor presentationSep 2026

Sep 2026 · Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation 23 Sep - Electrosteel Castings schedules virtual investor meeting on 29 September 2026, using Q1 FY27 presentation.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
AnnouncementSep 2026

Sep 2026 · Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation 27 Aug - Pursuant to Regulation 30 of SEBI (LODR) Reg, 2015, Intimation w.r.t. Investors Meeting to be held on 03 September 2026.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Concall transcriptAug 2026

Aug 2026 · Transcript

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Investor presentationAug 2026

Aug 2026 · PPT

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
AnnouncementAug 2026

Aug 2026 · Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Change in Management 12 Aug - Manoj Kumar Thakur, President-Growth, Business Control and Coal, resigned effective 12 August 2026.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
AnnouncementAug 2026

Aug 2026 · Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Resignation of Chief Financial Officer (CFO) 11 Jun - Ashutosh Agarwal resigns as Whole-Time Director and CFO; cessation effective 10 August 2026.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
AnnouncementAug 2026

Aug 2026 · Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Resignation of Director 11 Jun - Ashutosh Agarwal resigns as Whole-Time Director and CFO, effective 10 August 2026.

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Announcement

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication 15 Jul - Newspaper Publication - Notice of Postal Ballot

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
AnnouncementJun 2026

Jun 2026 · Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication 8 Aug - Newspaper Publication of Financial Result for the quarter ended 30 June, 2026

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Concall transcriptMay 2026

May 2026 · Transcript

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Investor presentationMay 2026

May 2026 · PPT

Source: Bse

Open source ↗
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.