IP
IndiaPulse

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited (DRREDDY)

Large Cap

Pharma stocks · Large cap · NSE

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories is an integrated pharmaceutical company. This call focuses on a temporary supply delay for its Semaglutide injection, a key metabolic therapy, due to an impurity issue identified during the scale-up of its synthetic API manufacturing process.

₹1,151
-4.00 · -0.35%
Quote04 Sept, 03:59 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Pharma P/E 34.6 (n=184)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Check latest quarters
Result consistency is weak; verify whether the thesis is improving or deteriorating.
U-Score
WATCHLIST
41

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
60

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Bearish
37

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
weak
17

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Bad · 0/100

Rev -6% YoY · PAT -69% YoY · margin compression · +7% QoQ

Filed 22 Jul 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹8,100 Cr-5.5%+7.3%
EBITDA₹860 Cr-60.4%+125.1%
Operating margin11.0%-1400 bps+600 bps
PAT₹436 Cr-69.1%+97.3%
PAT margin5.4%-1107 bps+245 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-07-16T00:41:45.221Z
Management commentary snapshot

Semaglutide Injection Supply Halted Due to API Scale-Up Impurity; Commercial Supplies Expected to Resume Late October/Early November.

A critical product's supply is temporarily halted, impacting near-term revenue expectations for Semaglutide injection. While management is confident in resolving the issue by September and resuming supply, the delay and potential inventory write-down introduce uncertainty. The long-term demand and regulatory filings remain unaffected.

Growth engines

Semaglutide Injection

To support the growing demand for Semaglutide injection globally, we scaled up the synthetic API manufacturing process.

Semaglutide Oral Tablets

There is no impact on the supply of Semaglutide oral tablets, which utilizes a different API source.

Capacity and execution

Synthetic API Manufacturing Scale-up

We scaled up the synthetic API manufacturing process at our API facility, with the intent of increasing the API output.

New Injectable Facility

We are building our facility, and we also use that for our product. It will be used for semaglutide as well as for other products.

Tailwinds

Strong Demand for Semaglutide

Nothing has changed. Unfortunately, if we had 15 million, we could supply that also. So, there is no shortage of demand, and I don't see shortage of demand also going forward.

Headwinds

API Impurity Issue

One of the impurities were found to be out of specifications upon testing of the finished drug product. It means that it was degrading while we made the formulation.

Temporary Supply Halt

There will be a halt of supply between now and September. This will result in a temporary delay to commercial supplies.

Risk radar

Further Delay in Resolution

Is there a risk that we can fail again? Always. There is confidence, but naturally there is a risk of a further delay.

Inventory Write-down

We may need to write down the batches that were associated with that. Probably, yes. These details you'll see in two weeks-time.

Partner Relationships

Some of our partners have alternatives, some of them don't. If they will choose to do to a different partnership or to go elsewhere, we'll obviously respect it.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare QOQ

This call is not a financial results update but an operational update on a specific product. The impact is on sequential supply momentum for future quarters (Q3 and Q4 FY27), making QoQ the relevant comparison for tracking the resumption and ramp-up of commercial supplies.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

USFDA Observations/Compliance

INTACT

Our manufacturing facilities continue to operate in compliance with applicable cGMP and global regulatory requirements.

Regulatory Filings

INTACT

There is no impact on the product's existing global regulatory filings, whether approved or currently under review.

EBITDA Margin

UNDER_STRESS

We will miss to sell certain quantities in this period of time, so obviously this will be a downside of what we have discussed. All the stuff that we have discussed during our NDR, as well as with you guys remain the same.

Semaglutide Injection Supply Target (FY27)

UNDER_STRESS

Subject to a successful validation, we will be on track to supply 6-7 million pens between Q3 and Q4 of FY27. This is a reduction from earlier annual targets due to the delay.

Management forward view

Commitment to Quality and Transparency

We believe we have taken the right course of action to ensure consistent product quality as we scale. It was important for us to communicate a development related to semaglutide, as early as possible.

Urgency in Resolution

We remain committed to resolving the issue with urgency and to supporting our partners and patients through a reliable long-term supply.

Long-term Partnership with OneSource

We plan to enter into a long-term relationship with OneSource on semaglutide injection. We are committed to be with OneSource actually for long term.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Resolution of API Impurity IssueInvestigation underway to determine root cause and implement process improvements.Successful completion of validation of the revised manufacturing process, expected around September.
Resumption of Commercial SupplyHalted until validation is complete.Commercial API scale to OneSource during October, actual supply to market resuming late October/early November.
Semaglutide Injection Supply (FY27)6-7 million pens targeted between Q3 and Q4 FY27.Confirmation of supply volumes and any further revisions to the target.
Inventory Write-down ImpactLikely write-down of affected batches.Specific financial details regarding the write-down in Q1FY27 results.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

37Bearish

full bear SMA stack · MACD − · near 52W low · sector +2.2pp vs Nifty (3M)

Stock trend: 22
Sector RS: 60
Sector 3M: +0.7% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

DRREDDYdaily · 1Y · AUTO-12.4%
Latest close ₹1151.00 on 2026-09-04
Bar
-0.5%
RSI
39
MACD hist
-1.03
52W pos
16%
2026-09-04O ₹1157.00H ₹1166.80L ₹1151.00C ₹1151.00Vol 5.7L sh
₹1.09k₹1.17k₹1.26k₹1.34k₹1.43k52H52L1151.002026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend down. RSI 39.

  • Price < SMA20 < SMA50 < SMA200 — full bearish stack.
  • SMA20 roughly flat — short-term momentum stalled.
  • RSI(14) at 39 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • Within 5% of 52-week low — testing support.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

25
RS percentile
Stage 1 Base / Transition
1M return
-1.8%
3M return
-9.3%
6M return
-12.7%
1Y return
-12.2%
RS 1D
0
RS 20D
-5
Sector rank
#1
Industry rank
#2
Stage evidence
  • Price is 8.6% below the 30-week proxy without full trend alignment.
  • The 30-week proxy changed -0.3% over 20 sessions.
  • The moving-average structure does not confirm Stage 2 or Stage 4.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price below
Sector
leading
Industry
leading
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 91.54-0.35%
8995102108114Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 2692
RS vs Nifty 50092

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 41 · WATCHLIST · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

41U-SCORE
WATCHLIST

Fundamental score breakdown

WATCHLIST
Valuation11/30
Growth13/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet8/15
Cash Flow4/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
41

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

41/100 · WATCHLIST

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 33.8%.
  • Balance sheet contributes 8/15 to the score.

Main drags

  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Valuation is weaker at 11/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Cash flow is weaker at 4/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Healthcare valuation: PE/EVEBITDA with regulatory and pipeline checks

Healthcare valuation needs both earnings quality and regulatory/pipeline context.

Pharma PE/EVEBITDA
Primary lens
PE and EV/EBITDA adjusted for product mix and R&D/pipeline quality.
Secondary checks
USFDA risk, launch pipeline, margin trend, domestic vs export mix.
Main risk check
Regulatory setbacks or one-off product cycles can distort valuation.
PE
29.8
PB
2.5
EV/EBITDA
14.3
ROE
11.2%
ROCE
13.0%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.2
MoS
+33.8%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
41
Previous: 41
Verdict
WATCHLIST
Previous: WATCHLIST
Margin of safety
+33.8%
Previous: +33.8%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +2 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
41
40
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
41

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹628.01
-83.3% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
45.0
Growth-justified Value
₹1,737.45
+33.8% MoS
PEG
1.99

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
60Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 28th percentile of the scored universe and 19th percentile within Pharma. Main check: results consistency is weak at 17/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: 2 latest quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
70 docs text-extracted · 42 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
28th percentile

overall median 67 · Pharma: 19th pctile, median 70 · Large: 17th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

70 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
67
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
89
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
38
weak · capital discipline
Results
17
weak · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • 10 years of positive FCF.

Trust risks

  • 2 latest quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.
  • ROCE trend is -8%.
  • Revenue CAGR is 11% but EPS CAGR is -4%.
  • 0/4 latest quarters had positive YoY PAT growth.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
29.80
P/B
2.54
EV/EBITDA
14.30
Market Cap
96072.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
11.20%
ROCE
13.00%
ROA
5.63%
Dividend Y
0.70%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
12.00%
EPS 5Y
15.00%
Revenue 3Y
11.00%
EPS 3Y
-4.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.20
Interest Coverage
12.36×
Altman Z
5.15
Book Value
454.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
10/5
OCF
5674.00 Cr
EPS TTM
38.61

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
26.63%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
21%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Pharma, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.