IP
IndiaPulse

CMS Info Systems Limited (CMSINFO)

Micro Cap

Services stocks · Micro cap · NSE

CMS Info Systems manages cash logistics, ATM operations, and technology solutions across India. It services 70,000+ ATMs, 65,000+ retail touchpoints, and 20,000 bank branches, processing ₹14 lakh crore annually. The company leverages its extensive network and AI platform (HAWKAI) to offer complex business services.

₹243.46
-1.40 · -0.57%
Quote04 Sept, 03:58 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags15 Aug 2026
Coverage13/14 · 93%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Services P/E 17.5 (n=141)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Mixed fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
FAIR VALUE
56

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
72

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Bearish
35

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
mixed
54

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Bad · 0/100

PAT -11% YoY · Rev +1% YoY · margin expansion

Filed 30 Jun 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹635 Cr+1.3%+0.3%
EBITDA₹169 Cr+7.0%+5.0%
Operating margin27.0%+200 bps+200 bps
PAT₹84 Cr-10.6%+6.3%
PAT margin13.2%-176 bps+75 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-06-03T03:42:11.884Z
Management commentary snapshot

CMS Info Systems reported a difficult FY26 with services revenue up 6% YoY to ₹2,312 Cr, but EBITDA margin declined to 24.1%. Q4FY26 marked a recovery, with services revenue growing 6% QoQ to ₹609 Cr and EBITDA margin improving 280 bps QoQ to 25.6%, signaling an inflection point.

The investment thesis was under stress in FY26 due to consumption slowdown, contract delays, and competitor exit. However, management claims Q3 was the bottom, with Q4 showing a clear recovery in revenue and margins. The long-term FY30 trajectory remains intact, supported by strategic shifts and new contract wins.

Current business mix

Revenue Mix by Customer Type (FY26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 4 reported categories.

Businessmix
SBI20.0%
Private Sector Banks/Retail30.0%
Managed Service Providers28.0%
PSU Banks22.0%
Growth engines

ATM Management Solutions

Business doubled in the last five years, positioned to compound at ~11% CAGR through FY30, driven by new contract wins like SBI and ICICI Bank.

Retail Solutions and Currency Logistics

Market share in retail cash management grew 400 bps to 38% over two years, positioned to compound at 11%+ CAGR through FY30.

Technology & Payment Solutions (T&PS)

Reached ₹370 crore in FY26, compounding at 25%+ CAGR over five years, expected to continue at 20%+ CAGR through FY30.

Strategic Acquisitions

Acquired Securens (Vision AI) for ₹75 Cr and FSS’s Managed Services for ₹115 Cr, consolidating market share and expanding direct bank relationships.

Capacity and execution

HAWKAI Monitoring Sites

HAWKAI platform scaled to monitor 50,000+ sites, up from 2,000 at acquisition, expanding its Vision AI capabilities.

ALGO MVS Deployment

ALGO MVS software powers 68,000 ATMs on the SBI network; ICICI Bank goes live across 10,000+ ATMs in FY27.

Network Capacity Investment

Invested ahead in network capacity for SBI’s cash outsourcing contract, which was executed completely in Q4FY26.

Tailwinds

GST 2.0 Reforms

Drove a strong rebound in same-store cash collection volumes in December 2025 across all served segments.

Structural Cash Usage in SURU

Cash usage in semi-urban and rural India remains strong, with currency throughput matching metro/urban markets, now over half the base.

Physical Footprint Expansion

Banks, NBFCs, and retail are expanding physical footprints, requiring infrastructure for cash movement and management.

Industry Consolidation

Rational valuations and industry consolidation around scale create M&A opportunities for a self-funded acquirer.

Headwinds

H1 Consumption Slowdown (FY26)

Tepid consumption in H1FY26 hit ATM transaction volumes and retail cash collections, creating operating deleverage.

SBI Contract Delay (FY26)

SBI’s cash outsourcing contract, for which capacity was invested, was delayed significantly.

Competitor Exit Disruption (FY26)

The exit of a key competitor led to short-term industry disruption, though CMS absorbed and stabilized networks.

Risk radar

Operating Pressures

Fuel prices, wage inflation, currency movement, and geopolitical volatility in the Middle East remain live operating pressures.

Digital Substitution

Risk of digital substitution, though management believes cash and digital payments remain complementary in India.

Vision AI Commoditization

Risk of commoditization in Vision AI, where CMS's moat is its proprietary incident dataset.

Competitive Intensity

Competitive intensity is an active risk, for which the company has a proven cyclical playbook.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

Q4FY26 results are best read QoQ to assess the sequential recovery from a stated Q3 bottom. Full-year FY26 results are compared YoY to provide context on annual performance against the previous fiscal year.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Services Revenue Growth

FY26 services revenue grew 6% YoY to ₹2,312 crore. Q4FY26 services revenue grew 6% QoQ to ₹609 crore.

EBITDA Margin

FY26 EBITDA margin was 24.1% (down 230 bps YoY from 26.1% in FY25). Q4FY26 EBITDA margin recovered 280 bps QoQ to 25.6%.

Order Wins (FY26 Cumulative)

Secured ₹2,000 Cr+ of high-quality wins in FY26, including a ₹500 Cr incremental SBI contract and a ₹400 Cr ICICI Bank contract.

Revenue Cover (FY27)

Approximately 85% of FY27 services revenue is already contracted.

Management forward view

FY26 Bottom and Q4 Recovery

Management stated Q3FY26 marked the bottom, with recovery beginning in Q4 and inflection now visible in numbers.

FY27 Outlook

Expects total revenue of ₹2,800-2,900 Cr (13-17% growth) and services revenue of ₹2,700-2,800 Cr (17-21% growth), with EBITDA margin trending towards 25%+.

FY30 Trajectory Intact

FY30 trajectory remains intact, with services revenue expected to compound at 13-14% to ₹3,750-3,950 Cr, driven by mix shift to higher-margin T&PS.

Capital Allocation Strategy

Approved a ₹168 Cr share buyback, believing it clears a 20% post-tax IRR hurdle, while retaining ₹477 Cr for organic investment and M&A.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
FY27 Services Revenue GrowthFY26: +6% YoYManagement guidance of 17-21% growth (₹2,700-2,800 Cr).
FY27 EBITDA MarginFY26: 24.1%; Q4FY26: 25.6%Management guidance of trending towards 25%+.
T&PS Revenue Contribution16% of services revenue in FY26Continued mix shift towards higher-margin Technology & Payment Solutions revenue.
Order Book ExecutionSBI contract executed, ICICI 90% live, HDFC won Q1FY27Conversion of the ₹2,000 Cr+ ATM pipeline and timely execution of new mandates.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

35Bearish

full bear SMA stack · SMA20 -7.9% / mo · MACD + · near 52W low

Stock trend: 24
Sector RS: 51
Sector 3M: -1.2% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

CMSINFOdaily · 1Y · AUTO-19.1%
Latest close ₹243.46 on 2026-09-04
Bar
-0.8%
RSI
39
MACD hist
0.42
52W pos
3%
2026-09-04O ₹245.45H ₹246.94L ₹241.00C ₹243.46Vol 5.3L sh
₹233.97₹257.76₹281.55₹305.34₹329.1352L243.462026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 39. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price < SMA20 < SMA50 < SMA200 — full bearish stack.
  • SMA20 falling (~8.6% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 39 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal, histogram expanding — bullish momentum building.
  • Within 5% of 52-week low — testing support.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 56 · FAIR VALUE · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

56U-SCORE
Financial Turnaround

Fundamental score breakdown

FAIR VALUE
Valuation17/30
Growth14/25
Quality3/20
Balance Sheet10/15
Cash Flow6/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
1
Raw sum
56

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

56/100 · FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 3.1%.
  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 57.0%.

Main drags

  • Quality is weaker at 3/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Growth is weaker at 14/25; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Valuation is weaker at 17/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Blended valuation: PE, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and balance-sheet checks

For this sector, IndiaPulse uses a blended lens rather than relying on a single valuation ratio.

Blended relative
Primary lens
PE, EV/EBITDA, margin of safety, and FCF yield together.
Secondary checks
ROE/ROCE, growth, cash conversion, leverage, promoter risk.
Main risk check
One cheap metric is not enough if quality or cash flow is weak.
PE
13.0
PB
1.6
EV/EBITDA
4.6
ROE
12.7%
ROCE
17.9%
FCF Yield
3.1%
Debt/Equity
0.0
MoS
+57.0%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
56
Previous: 56
Verdict
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
+57.0%
Previous: +57.0%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +4 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
56
54
51
51
51
52
51
52
52
52
52
56

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹244.69
+0.5% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
31.5
Growth-justified Value
₹566.37
+57.0% MoS
PEG
1.08

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
72Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 69th percentile of the scored universe and 79th percentile within Services. Main check: financial discipline is weak at 50/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: ROCE trend is -5.1%.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
79 docs text-extracted · 36 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
69th percentile

overall median 67 · Services: 79th pctile, median 66 · Micro: 50th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

79 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
96
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
50
watch · capital discipline
Results
54
watch · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 3.1%.
  • 8 years of positive FCF.
  • Debt/equity is 0.00.

Trust risks

  • ROCE trend is -5.1%.
  • 0/4 latest quarters had positive YoY PAT growth.
  • 1 of the latest 4 quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
13.00
P/B
1.64
EV/EBITDA
4.62
Market Cap
3897.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
12.70%
ROCE
17.90%
ROA
9.05%
Dividend Y
2.16%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
14.00%
EPS 5Y
12.00%
Revenue 3Y
9.00%
EPS 3Y
-5.54%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.00
Interest Coverage
27.59×
Altman Z
5.54
Book Value
148.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
3.13%
FCF Positive Y
8/5
OCF
390.00 Cr
EPS TTM
17.98

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
3%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Services, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.