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IndiaPulse

CESC Limited (CESC)

Small Cap

Power stocks · Small cap · NSE

CESC Limited is India's first fully integrated utility company, operating across power generation (thermal and renewable) and distribution. It serves millions of Indian homes and businesses, with a strategic vision to expand its clean energy portfolio and achieve 10 GW renewable capacity by FY32.

₹146.5
-1.46 · -0.99%
Quote04 Sept, 03:59 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Power P/E 16.6 (n=92)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
WATCHLIST
33

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
71

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Strong Bear
18

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
consistent
95

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Bad · 22/100

margin compression · Rev +5% YoY · PAT +4% YoY · +34% QoQ

Filed 13 Aug 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹5,485 Cr+5.4%+33.9%
EBITDA₹895 Cr+3.6%+20.5%
Operating margin16.0%-100 bps-200 bps
PAT₹419 Cr+3.7%-8.7%
PAT margin7.6%-13 bps-357 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-15T22:24:25.453Z
Management commentary snapshot

CESC reports strong FY26 consolidated performance with 9% YoY revenue growth to Rs 18,570 Cr and 13% YoY PAT increase to Rs 1,618 Cr. Q4FY26 also saw robust growth in revenue and PAT.

The company demonstrated solid financial results for FY26 and Q4FY26, driven by operational efficiencies, including significant T&D loss reduction across distribution franchisees and strong thermal plant performance. Aggressive renewable capacity expansion and a foray into solar manufacturing provide clear growth visibility.

Growth engines

Renewable Capacity Expansion

Purvah Green won 300 MW hybrid project with CESC Kolkata and 250 MW wind project with SECI. Aiming for 10 GW by FY32.

Solar Cell & Module Manufacturing

Setting up 3 GW solar cell & module manufacturing ecosystem, with cell lines scheduled for commissioning in 2027.

Distribution Loss Reduction

Continued T&D loss reduction across CESC Kolkata (6.11%), NPCL (6.9%), Rajasthan DF (11.4%), and Malegaon DF (36.3%) in FY26.

Strong Thermal Operating Performance

Major generating stations like Haldia TPP achieved 94.9% PLF in FY26, demonstrating strong operational efficiency.

Capacity and execution

CESC Kolkata Solar Project

300 MW solar project is under commissioning stage.

Purvah Green Hybrid Project (CESC Kolkata)

300 MW hybrid project with PPA signed, expected COD Q3 FY28.

Purvah Green Wind Project (SECI)

250 MW wind project with PPA signed, expected COD Q1 FY29.

Solar Cell & Module Manufacturing

Setting up 3 GW capacity in Greater Noida, with cell lines scheduled for commissioning in 2027.

Tailwinds

Variable Cost Optimization

Significant savings achieved in variable cost on both fuel and power procurement.

Renewable Resource Access

Access to best-in-class solar & wind resource clusters supports growth vision.

Government Incentives for Manufacturing

Secured LOC from UP Govt. for 100 acres, offering attractive incentives for solar cell manufacturing.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

Year-over-year (YoY) comparison is essential for assessing annual performance and seasonal trends in the power sector. Quarterly (QoQ) data is also provided and useful for tracking sequential momentum and project execution progress.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Consolidated Revenue

FY26: Rs 18,570 Cr (+9% YoY); Q4FY26: Rs 4,096 Cr (+4% YoY)

Consolidated PAT

FY26: Rs 1,618 Cr (+13% YoY); Q4FY26: Rs 459 Cr (+19% YoY)

Haldia TPP PLF

94.9% in FY26 vs 91% in FY25

CESC Kolkata T&D Loss

Reduced to an all-time low of 6.11% in FY26

Management forward view

Conglomerate Vision

To be a responsive conglomerate driven by sustainable growth, efficiency and innovation.

Renewable Capacity Target

Aiming to scale up renewable capacity to 10 GW by FY32.

Clean Energy Mix Target

Targeting a significant clean energy mix by 2030.

Solar Manufacturing Timeline

Cell lines for solar manufacturing are scheduled for commissioning in 2027.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Renewable Capacity300 MW operationalRamp-up to 3,200 MW by FY29 and 10,000 MW by FY32, including projects under implementation.
Solar Cell & Module ManufacturingTechnology selection and vendor finalization underwayCommissioning of cell lines in 2027 and progress towards 3 GW capacity.
T&D Loss ReductionCESC Kolkata at 6.11% in FY26Continued reduction across all distribution franchisees, especially in higher loss areas like Malegaon.
Variable Cost SavingsSignificant savings achievedSustained cost optimization in fuel and power procurement.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

18Strong Bear

full bear SMA stack · SMA20 -4.7% / mo · MACD − · near 52W low

Stock trend: 18
Sector RS:

Technical chart

CESCdaily · 1Y · AUTO-5.8%
Latest close ₹146.50 on 2026-09-04
Bar
-1.2%
RSI
30
MACD hist
-0.96
52W pos
13%
2026-09-04O ₹148.29H ₹149.14L ₹145.91C ₹146.50Vol 14.5L sh
₹140.50₹157.26₹174.03₹190.79₹207.5552H146.502026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 30. Wait for confirmation.

  • Price < SMA20 < SMA50 < SMA200 — full bearish stack.
  • SMA20 falling (~4.9% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 30 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 28% off 52W high · 6% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Nifty 500 leadership

Relative Strength & Trend Stage

25
RS percentile
Stage 1 Base / Transition
1M return
-10.6%
3M return
-14.7%
6M return
-8.1%
1Y return
-12.9%
RS 1D
-2
RS 20D
-20
Sector rank
#17
Industry rank
#26
Stage evidence
  • Price is 11.4% below the 30-week proxy without full trend alignment.
  • The 30-week proxy changed +0.5% over 20 sessions.
  • The moving-average structure does not confirm Stage 2 or Stage 4.
50-DMA
price below
200-DMA
price below
Sector
lagging
Industry
lagging
Relative-strength line vs Nifty 500 (base 100)
264 observations
04 Sept 2026Value 86.27-0.99%
8392102111121Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Sept 2686
RS vs Nifty 50086

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 33 · WATCHLIST · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

33U-SCORE
Distress Watch

Fundamental score breakdown

WATCHLIST
Valuation13/30
Growth6/25
Quality2/20
Balance Sheet1/15
Cash Flow7/10
Piotroski
6/9 (+3)
Penalties
1
Raw sum
33

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

33/100 · WATCHLIST

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 5.4%.
  • Cash flow contributes 7/10 to the score.
  • Valuation contributes 13/30 to the score.

Main drags

  • Altman Z is 1.5, in distress territory.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -41.2%.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 1/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Execution business valuation: EV/EBITDA plus order and working-capital risk

Capital-intensive execution stories need cash-flow and balance-sheet checks alongside valuation.

Execution EV/EBITDA
Primary lens
EV/EBITDA and PE against execution quality and margin stability.
Secondary checks
Order book, receivables, working capital, debt, operating cash flow.
Main risk check
Order wins matter only if they convert into cash and margins.
PE
12.5
PB
1.5
EV/EBITDA
8.8
ROE
12.0%
ROCE
10.9%
FCF Yield
5.4%
Debt/Equity
1.7
MoS
-41.2%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
33
Previous: 33
Verdict
WATCHLIST
Previous: WATCHLIST
Margin of safety
-41.2%
Previous: -41.2%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +3 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
31
31
25
25
25
25
25
26
30
30
30
33

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹157.86
+7.2% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
8.8
Growth-justified Value
₹103.72
-41.2% MoS
PEG
4.46

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
71Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 66th percentile of the scored universe and 78th percentile within Power. Main check: balance sheet trust is weak at 35/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: Altman Z is 1.47.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
68 docs text-extracted · 0 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
66th percentile

overall median 67 · Power: 78th pctile, median 65 · Small: 69th pctile, median 66

Evidence depth
Financial-only

68 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
89
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
35
weak · leverage and solvency
Discipline
60
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
95
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is 5.4%.
  • 10 years of positive FCF.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • Altman Z is 1.47.
  • Debt/equity is 1.73.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
12.50
P/B
1.54
EV/EBITDA
8.76
Market Cap
19420.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
12.00%
ROCE
10.90%
ROA
3.51%
Dividend Y
4.10%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
10.00%
EPS 5Y
2.00%
Revenue 3Y
9.00%
EPS 3Y
4.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
1.73
Interest Coverage
2.66×
Altman Z
1.47
Book Value
94.50

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
5.38%
FCF Positive Y
10/5
OCF
4057.00 Cr
EPS TTM
11.72

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
52.11%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
12%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Power, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.