Sep 2026 · Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Change in Management 29 Sep - Held 45th AGM on 29 Sept 2026; approved FY26 accounts, Rs 2 final dividend, and Chetan Shah's role change.
Source: Bse
Metals stocks · Micro cap · NSE
Ashapura Minechem is a diversified mineral-based products company with significant bauxite mining and export operations in Guinea. Its India business focuses on value-added mineral products including Bentonite & Allied Minerals, White Performance Minerals, Specialty Adsorbent Solutions, and Advanced Ceramic Materials, catering to various core industries.
full bear SMA stack · SMA20 -10.7% / mo · RSI oversold · MACD + · near 52W low
Latest mapped FPI equity flow was not positive. View sector evidence
Adjusted completed-session prices, rebased to 100
Strong fundamentals, management evidence is still limited to a financial-only Trust Lite signal, but price trend argues for patience. Suitable for staggered entry or watchlist confirmation rather than aggressive buying.
Strong U-Score but weak trend: timing is not confirming the thesis.
Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.
Revenue +19.2% · PAT -5.3% YoY
Price trend and sector-relative-strength timing.
Legacy margin-of-safety estimate; the revised evidence label remains in shadow validation.
Financial-only signal; management claim evidence is not sufficient yet.
Fundamentals, quarterly history, margins, returns and balance-sheet evidence
PAT -5% YoY · margin compression · Rev +19% YoY
| Metric | This quarter | YoY | QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₹1,616 Cr | +19.2% | -17.9% |
| EBITDA | ₹181 Cr | -0.5% | +41.4% |
| Operating margin | 11.0% | -200 bps | +500 bps |
| PAT | ₹108 Cr | -5.3% | -10.7% |
| PAT margin | 6.7% | -173 bps | +53 bps |
NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.
Updated 20/10/2026
Trend interpretation, Stage 2, relative strength, volume and indicator evidence
Signals are conflicting — long-term trend down. RSI 29. Wait for confirmation.
Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.
U-Score 78 · legacy U-Score band DEEP VALUE · valuation evidence and comparable companies
Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.
Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.
This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.
12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.
Business-comparable peers in Metals — ranked by industry, sub-sector, theme-tag overlap, market cap, and U-Score similarity. Green cells mark the best available peer metric in this table.
Growth engines, risks, management commitments and evidence-backed delivery
FY26 revenue surged 91% YoY to INR5,237 Cr, with EBITDA up 51% to INR674 Cr. Q4 FY26 revenue grew 105% QoQ to INR1,969 Cr, and EBITDA increased 48% QoQ to INR211 Cr, driven by Guinea bauxite volume doubling to 8 MT.
While FY26 saw strong top-line growth from Guinea bauxite, Q4 margins compressed significantly due to higher freight, fuel, and bauxite price correction. Management expects Q1 FY27 to be similar or more difficult. Future performance hinges on the impact of Guinea's bauxite quota system and successful cost management initiatives.
Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 2 reported categories.
Expanding port facilities to increase volume from 15 million tons to 20 million tons by end of current year. Targeting 10-12 MT for FY27 and 15 MT for FY28.
Exploring iron ore business with plans for a beneficiation plant in the next three to four quarters to enhance top and bottom line.
Planning a bauxite washing plant with 20,000 tons per day capacity to upgrade non-marketable bauxite to export quality from existing resources.
Expanding product basket in Bentonite & White Minerals, developing new products for oil & gas and foundry applications for long-term growth.
Expanding Boffa port capacity from ~5 million tons to ~10 million tons, expected to be completed by end of Q2 FY27.
Working on expanding GSM port capacity by another 50% to 60% by the end of FY27-28.
Planning to put up a bauxite washing plant with a capacity of 20,000 tons per day.
Planning to put up an iron ore beneficiation plant, currently at the initial stage of due diligence, expected in next three to four quarters.
Government planning to implement a bauxite quota system, expected to curtail export from large players and positively impact smaller miners like Ashapura.
Quota system may decrease bauxite volume, leading to a positive impact on freight costs, which are expected to come down.
LME aluminium metal trading at $3,600/ton, expected to go up to $4,000/ton, which will have a positive impact on bauxite consumption.
Guinea government decided not to issue new bauxite licenses for at least the next three to five years, benefiting existing producers.
Geopolitical unrest led to increased fuel, OGB, and freight costs, impacting margins in Q4 and potentially Q1 FY27.
Tax and duty by Guinean government increased due to the rise in LME aluminium metal prices.
Profitability in India business affected by higher input costs, specifically a sharp increase in sulfuric acid prices for Specialty Adsorbent Solutions.
Changes in product mix with a higher proportion of lower-margin products contributed to overall sales, impacting profitability.
Exact details of the bauxite quota system implementation are unknown, posing uncertainty for future volumes and pricing.
Significant volatility in freight or unavailability of vessels could curb export volumes, especially in the current geopolitical climate.
Commissioning phase for the iron ore business has gone slower than expected, delaying meaningful contribution.
Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.
FY26 results are best viewed YoY to assess annual growth and overall performance. Q4 results are best viewed QoQ to understand recent sequential momentum, margin pressures, and the immediate impact of market dynamics and cost changes.
Exported 8 million tons of bauxite in FY26, up from 3.5 million tons in the previous year. Targeting 10-12 million tons for FY27 and 15 million tons for FY28.
EBITDA per metric ton came in at $5.9 in Q4 FY26, a significant decline from previous quarters.
LME aluminium metal currently trading at about $3,600 per ton, expected to go up to $4,000 per ton.
Profitability impacted by increases in fuel prices, OGB, freight costs, and sulfuric acid prices (key raw material for Specialty Adsorbent Solutions).
Management is optimistic that EBITDA margins for FY27 will be better than Q4 FY26, expecting improvement after Q1 FY27.
Evaluating build-operate-transfer models for beneficiation plants to potentially handle capex through vendors/partners, aiming to avoid increasing balance sheet debt.
Strong focus on value addition and new product launches in India business, expecting above-average growth and EBITDA in the medium term.
Ashapura's Guinea concessions are free from local refining/smelting obligations, distinguishing it from larger players.
| Checkpoint | Current evidence | What to verify next |
|---|---|---|
| Guinea Bauxite Export Volumes | 8 million tons (FY26) | Achievement of 10-12 million tons target for FY27, and 15 million tons for FY28. |
| EBITDA Margins | Q4 FY26 saw a sharp drop to $5.9/ton | Improvement in EBITDA margins post Q1 FY27, as guided by management. |
| Guinea Quota System Details | Expected to be announced within this month | Specifics of the quota system and its impact on Ashapura's volumes, pricing, and freight costs. |
| Iron Ore Business Contribution | Still in commissioning phase, slower than expected | Meaningful contribution to Guinea business in the coming year or couple of years, and progress on beneficiation plant. |
Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.
Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.
Limited evidence: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 81st percentile of the scored universe and 83rd percentile within Metals. No major sub-score weakness stands out.
This is a financial-behaviour screen, not a claim-tested management reliability verdict.
Financial behaviour is scored, but management claims do not yet have enough outcome checks.
overall median 67 · Metals: 83rd pctile, median 70 · Micro: 66th pctile, median 73
13 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.
0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet
Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.
Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.
Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.
Latest exchange and company disclosures found within the past two years.
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