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IndiaPulse

Ashapura Minechem Limited (ASHAPURMIN)

Micro Cap

Metals stocks · Micro cap · NSE

Ashapura Minechem is a diversified mineral-based products company with significant bauxite mining and export operations in Guinea. Its India business focuses on value-added mineral products including Bentonite & Allied Minerals, White Performance Minerals, Specialty Adsorbent Solutions, and Advanced Ceramic Materials, catering to various core industries.

₹551
+3.05 · +0.56%
Quote04 Sept, 03:58 pm IST
Fundamentals05 Sept 2026 · screener
Score05 Sept, 10:20 pm IST · v4.3-runtime-valuation
Tags02 May 2026
Coverage14/14 · 100%
Valuation2026-07-20 · Rf 6.8% · Metals P/E 20.4 (n=89)
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Strong fundamentals, management trust is supportive, but price trend argues for patience. Suitable for staggered entry or watchlist confirmation rather than aggressive buying.

Suggested next step
Add to watchlist
Fundamental setup is interesting, but technical confirmation is weak.
Strong U-Score but weak trend: timing is not confirming the thesis.
U-Score
DEEP VALUE
75

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
76

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Bearish
37

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
mixed
60

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

Bad · 0/100

PAT -5% YoY · margin compression · Rev +19% YoY

Filed 30 Jun 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,616 Cr+19.2%-17.9%
EBITDA₹181 Cr-0.5%+41.4%
Operating margin11.0%-200 bps+500 bps
PAT₹108 Cr-5.3%-10.7%
PAT margin6.7%-173 bps+53 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business & thesis

Growth engines, tailwinds/headwinds, and risk radar from management commentary

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-06-14T21:07:49.589Z
Management commentary snapshot

FY26 revenue surged 91% YoY to INR5,237 Cr, with EBITDA up 51% to INR674 Cr. Q4 FY26 revenue grew 105% QoQ to INR1,969 Cr, and EBITDA increased 48% QoQ to INR211 Cr, driven by Guinea bauxite volume doubling to 8 MT.

While FY26 saw strong top-line growth from Guinea bauxite, Q4 margins compressed significantly due to higher freight, fuel, and bauxite price correction. Management expects Q1 FY27 to be similar or more difficult. Future performance hinges on the impact of Guinea's bauxite quota system and successful cost management initiatives.

Current business mix

Revenue by Business Segment (FY26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 2 reported categories.

Businessmix
Guinea Business80.2%
India Business (Bentonite & Allied Minerals, White Performance Materials)19.1%
Growth engines

Guinea Bauxite Volume Expansion

Expanding port facilities to increase volume from 15 million tons to 20 million tons by end of current year. Targeting 10-12 MT for FY27 and 15 MT for FY28.

Iron Ore Business Development

Exploring iron ore business with plans for a beneficiation plant in the next three to four quarters to enhance top and bottom line.

Bauxite Washing Plant

Planning a bauxite washing plant with 20,000 tons per day capacity to upgrade non-marketable bauxite to export quality from existing resources.

Value-Added Products (India)

Expanding product basket in Bentonite & White Minerals, developing new products for oil & gas and foundry applications for long-term growth.

Capacity and execution

Boffa Port Capacity Expansion

Expanding Boffa port capacity from ~5 million tons to ~10 million tons, expected to be completed by end of Q2 FY27.

GSM Port Capacity Expansion

Working on expanding GSM port capacity by another 50% to 60% by the end of FY27-28.

Bauxite Washing Plant

Planning to put up a bauxite washing plant with a capacity of 20,000 tons per day.

Iron Ore Beneficiation Plant

Planning to put up an iron ore beneficiation plant, currently at the initial stage of due diligence, expected in next three to four quarters.

Tailwinds

Guinea Bauxite Quota System

Government planning to implement a bauxite quota system, expected to curtail export from large players and positively impact smaller miners like Ashapura.

Reduced Freight Costs Post-Quota

Quota system may decrease bauxite volume, leading to a positive impact on freight costs, which are expected to come down.

Favorable LME Aluminium Prices

LME aluminium metal trading at $3,600/ton, expected to go up to $4,000/ton, which will have a positive impact on bauxite consumption.

No New Bauxite Licenses in Guinea

Guinea government decided not to issue new bauxite licenses for at least the next three to five years, benefiting existing producers.

Headwinds

Increased Fuel and Freight Costs

Geopolitical unrest led to increased fuel, OGB, and freight costs, impacting margins in Q4 and potentially Q1 FY27.

Higher Tax and Duty in Guinea

Tax and duty by Guinean government increased due to the rise in LME aluminium metal prices.

Increased Input Costs (India)

Profitability in India business affected by higher input costs, specifically a sharp increase in sulfuric acid prices for Specialty Adsorbent Solutions.

Product Mix Shift (India)

Changes in product mix with a higher proportion of lower-margin products contributed to overall sales, impacting profitability.

Risk radar

Uncertainty of Guinea Quota System

Exact details of the bauxite quota system implementation are unknown, posing uncertainty for future volumes and pricing.

Freight Volatility and Vessel Availability

Significant volatility in freight or unavailability of vessels could curb export volumes, especially in the current geopolitical climate.

Iron Ore Project Delays

Commissioning phase for the iron ore business has gone slower than expected, delaying meaningful contribution.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

FY26 results are best viewed YoY to assess annual growth and overall performance. Q4 results are best viewed QoQ to understand recent sequential momentum, margin pressures, and the immediate impact of market dynamics and cost changes.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Bauxite Export Volume (Guinea)

Exported 8 million tons of bauxite in FY26, up from 3.5 million tons in the previous year. Targeting 10-12 million tons for FY27 and 15 million tons for FY28.

EBITDA per metric ton (Q4 FY26)

EBITDA per metric ton came in at $5.9 in Q4 FY26, a significant decline from previous quarters.

LME Aluminium Metal Price

LME aluminium metal currently trading at about $3,600 per ton, expected to go up to $4,000 per ton.

Input Costs & Freight

Profitability impacted by increases in fuel prices, OGB, freight costs, and sulfuric acid prices (key raw material for Specialty Adsorbent Solutions).

Management forward view

EBITDA Margin Outlook

Management is optimistic that EBITDA margins for FY27 will be better than Q4 FY26, expecting improvement after Q1 FY27.

Capex Strategy for Beneficiation Plants

Evaluating build-operate-transfer models for beneficiation plants to potentially handle capex through vendors/partners, aiming to avoid increasing balance sheet debt.

India Business Focus

Strong focus on value addition and new product launches in India business, expecting above-average growth and EBITDA in the medium term.

Guinea Concession Obligations

Ashapura's Guinea concessions are free from local refining/smelting obligations, distinguishing it from larger players.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Guinea Bauxite Export Volumes8 million tons (FY26)Achievement of 10-12 million tons target for FY27, and 15 million tons for FY28.
EBITDA MarginsQ4 FY26 saw a sharp drop to $5.9/tonImprovement in EBITDA margins post Q1 FY27, as guided by management.
Guinea Quota System DetailsExpected to be announced within this monthSpecifics of the quota system and its impact on Ashapura's volumes, pricing, and freight costs.
Iron Ore Business ContributionStill in commissioning phase, slower than expectedMeaningful contribution to Guinea business in the coming year or couple of years, and progress on beneficiation plant.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

37Bearish

full bear SMA stack · SMA20 -16.0% / mo · MACD − · sector +2.7pp vs Nifty (3M)

Stock trend: 19
Sector RS: 64
Sector 3M: +1.2% vs Nifty -1.5%

Technical chart

ASHAPURMINdaily · 1Y · AUTO+7.3%
Latest close ₹551.00 on 2026-09-04
Bar
+0.2%
RSI
32
MACD hist
-2.74
52W pos
20%
2026-09-04O ₹549.85H ₹559.95L ₹546.00C ₹551.00Vol 2.8L sh
₹438.46₹530.00₹621.55₹713.10₹804.6452L551.002026-032026-06VolRSIMACD2026-032026-042026-062026-072026-09
Up bar
Down bar
EMA 20
EMA 50
Volume + 20D avg
Result date
RSI(14)
MACD / signal

Daily technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend down. RSI 32.

  • Price < SMA20 < SMA50 < SMA200 — full bearish stack.
  • Recent death cross (SMA50 crossed below SMA200).
  • SMA20 falling (~19.1% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 32 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal but histogram contracting — bearish momentum easing.
  • 40% off 52W high · 21% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Valuation & score drivers

U-Score 75 · DEEP VALUE · pillar breakdown, sector model, fair-value anchor

75U-SCORE
Top Setup

Fundamental score breakdown

DEEP VALUE
Valuation18/30
Growth23/25
Quality17/20
Balance Sheet6/15
Cash Flow6/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
75

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

75/100 · DEEP VALUE

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 3.6%.
  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 57.7%.

Main drags

  • Balance sheet is weaker at 6/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Valuation is weaker at 18/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Cash flow is weaker at 6/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
12.8
PB
3.2
EV/EBITDA
9.7
ROE
28.0%
ROCE
20.7%
FCF Yield
3.6%
Debt/Equity
0.9
MoS
+57.7%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
Final score
75
Previous: 75
Verdict
DEEP VALUE
Previous: DEEP VALUE
Margin of safety
+57.7%
Previous: +58.3%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +3 points.

05 Sept 2026
v4.3-runtime-valuation
64
72
72
72
72
71
72
72
72
72
72
75

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.

Modelled fair value

Graham Number
₹407.16
-35.3% MoS
Growth-justified P/E
30.6
Growth-justified Value
₹1,303.25
+57.7% MoS
PEG
0.28

Trust score

Does management behaviour match later outcomes? Claim delivery, forensic breakdown, evidence depth

Trust Score
76Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 81st percentile of the scored universe and 83rd percentile within Metals. No major sub-score weakness stands out.

High Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: 1 of the latest 4 quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Computed 05 Sept 2026
management-trust-v1
13 docs text-extracted · 7 concalls text-extracted
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
81st percentile

overall median 67 · Metals: 83rd pctile, median 70 · Micro: 66th pctile, median 73

Evidence depth
Financial-only

13 documents have extracted text, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Can support position sizing if valuation and trend also agree.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
73
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
90
strong · capital discipline
Results
60
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 3.7%.
  • 5 years of positive FCF.
  • ROCE is 20.7%.

Trust risks

  • 1 of the latest 4 quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Financials

Full fundamentals table and 10-year revenue / profit / ROE history

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
12.80
P/B
3.18
EV/EBITDA
9.69
Market Cap
5263.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
28.00%
ROCE
20.70%
ROA
8.75%
Dividend Y
0.36%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
35.00%
EPS 5Y
43.00%
Revenue 3Y
42.00%
EPS 3Y
51.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.88
Interest Coverage
4.78×
Altman Z
3.21
Book Value
173.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
3.65%
FCF Positive Y
5/5
OCF
463.00 Cr
EPS TTM
42.59

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
48.04%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
20%

Financial History

Updated 5/9/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data

Peers

Business-comparable names in Metals, ranked by similarity

Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.